MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 16 – 0
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Cubs: 9-7 (56.3%) | Ben Brown (R): 1-1 (50.0%)

Dodgers: 11-4 (73.3%) | Roki Sasaki (R): 3-0 (100.0%)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Cubs

+153

+1.5 (-126)

o3.5 (-124)

9.0

Dodgers

-180

-1.5 (+105)

o4.5 (-137)

Open

Cubs

+151

+1.5 (-131)

o3.5 (-124)

8.5

Dodgers

-178

-1.5 (+110)

o4.5 (-137)

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report CHCNo report LADNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. Compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to see where the model and the market disagree. Regular season only.

Cubs

B. Brown	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Dodgers

R. Sasaki	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Cubs Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/14/25 2025	Cubs Jameson Taillon (R)	-	@	Padres Dylan Cease (R)	-	+126	7.5
04/13/25 2025	Cubs Colin Rea (R)	-	@	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	-	+190	9.0
04/12/25 2025	Cubs Ben Brown (R)	-	@	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	-	+152	8.5
04/11/25 2025	Cubs Matthew Boyd (L)	0	@	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	3	+150	8.5
04/09/25 2025	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	2	vs.	Rangers Tyler Mahle (R)	6	-174	7.5
04/08/25 2025	Cubs Jameson Taillon (R)	10	vs.	Rangers Patrick Corbin (L)	6	-162	8.0
04/07/25 2025	Cubs Justin Steele (L)	7	vs.	Rangers Nathan Eovaldi (R)	0	-130	6.0
04/06/25 2025	Cubs Ben Brown (R)	7	vs.	Padres Kyle Hart (L)	8	-142	7.5
04/05/25 2025	Cubs Matthew Boyd (L)	7	vs.	Padres Nick Pivetta (R)	1	-116	6.5
04/04/25 2025	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	3	vs.	Padres Randy Vasquez (R)	1	-172	7.0
04/02/25 2025	Cubs Jameson Taillon (R)	10	@	Athletics Jeffrey Springs (L)	2	+102	8.5
04/01/25 2025	Cubs Justin Steele (L)	7	@	Athletics Luis Severino (R)	4	-132	8.0
03/31/25 2025	Cubs Ben Brown (R)	18	@	Athletics Joey Estes (R)	3	-142	8.5

Away Games Avg (4 games)		8.8	-	-	3.0	-105	8.4

All Games Avg (10 games)		7.1	-	-	3.4	-129	7.6

Dodgers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/14/25 2025	Dodgers Dustin May (R)	-	vs.	Rockies Antonio Senzatela (R)	-	-360	8.5
04/13/25 2025	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	-	vs.	Cubs Colin Rea (R)	-	-230	9.0
04/12/25 2025	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	-	vs.	Cubs Ben Brown (R)	-	-180	8.5
04/11/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	3	vs.	Cubs Matthew Boyd (L)	0	-178	8.5
04/09/25 2025	Dodgers Landon Knack (R)	6	@	Nationals Jake Irvin (R)	5	-194	9.0
04/08/25 2025	Dodgers Justin Wrobleski (L)	2	@	Nationals Brad Lord (R)	8	-180	8.5
04/07/25 2025	Dodgers Dustin May (R)	4	@	Nationals MacKenzie Gore (L)	6	-176	7.5
04/06/25 2025	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	7	@	Phillies Cristopher Sanchez (L)	8	-136	7.5
04/05/25 2025	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	3	@	Phillies Aaron Nola (R)	1	-102	8.5
04/04/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	2	@	Phillies Jesus Luzardo (L)	3	-126	8.0
04/02/25 2025	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	6	vs.	Braves Bryce Elder (R)	5	-225	8.0
04/01/25 2025	Dodgers Dustin May (R)	3	vs.	Braves Chris Sale (L)	1	-126	7.5
03/31/25 2025	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	6	vs.	Braves Grant Holmes (R)	1	-210	8.0

Home Games Avg (4 games)		4.5	-	-	1.8	-179	8.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		4.2	-	-	3.8	-160	8.1

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Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Ben Brown's mix vs. LAD bats

Ben Brown's pitches			LAD hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	55.8%	95.9	20.0% 9th	21.4% 3rd	.263 7th	.345 8th	.374 1st	.677 3rd	.332 3rd	48.4% 15th	13.8% 3rd	91.9 10th
Knuckle Curve	39.5%	87.3	34.5% 12th	29.2% 3rd	.227 11th	.334 17th	.274 11th	.567 11th	.233 11th	38.4% 22nd	10.2% 8th	88.5 19th
Changeup	4.7%	90.5	31.9% 17th	30.9% 5th	.244 8th	.320 14th	.293 13th	.519 8th	.199 11th	35.8% 10th	7.4% 16th	86.9 12th
Whole mix, by usage			26.3% 12th	24.9% 2nd	.248 9th	.339 13th	.331 7th	.626 8th	.287 8th	43.9% 20th	12.1% 5th	90.3 16th

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Ben Brown's; every other column is LAD's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is LAD's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Roki Sasaki's mix vs. CHC bats

Roki Sasaki's pitches			CHC hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	48.8%	96.6	20.8% 14th	23.0% 11th	.238 25th	.347 6th	.354 11th	.673 4th	.326 6th	50.0% 7th	13.1% 6th	92.1 8th
Forkball	37.1%	85.3	32.4% 8th	47.4% 21st	.267 5th	.728 1st	.228 13th	.822 1st	.094 8th	20.0% 13th	0.0% 4th	87.3 11th
Sweeper	13.3%	81.9	29.2% 9th	26.4% 6th	.190 26th	.303 17th	.268 15th	.492 23rd	.189 24th	33.1% 17th	6.6% 25th	86.8 11th
Sinker	0.8%	97.4	13.7% 14th	26.9% 26th	.267 26th	.331 11th	.367 2nd	.534 9th	.203 7th	39.7% 29th	7.5% 11th	88.7 26th
Whole mix, by usage			26.2% 8th	32.5% 20th	.243 6th	.482 1st	.296 13th	.703 1st	.221 11th	36.5% 14th	7.3% 15th	89.6 11th

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Roki Sasaki's; every other column is CHC's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is CHC's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Ben Brown Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
4/6	CHC [ 7 ]	SDP [ 8 ]	-142	7.5	4	79	5	4	7	1	5	5	Kyle Hart (L)
3/31	ATH [ 3 ]	CHC [ 18 ]	-142	8.5	5	75	5	2	6	1	3	3	Joey Estes (R)
6/8	CIN [ 4 ]	CHC [ 3 ]	+106	9	4	65	3	1	3	2	3	3	Andrew Abbott (L)
6/2	CHC [ 2 ]	CIN [ 5 ]	-122	7	5	76	6	1	6	1	5	5	Nick Lodolo (L)
5/28	MIL [ 3 ]	CHC [ 6 ]	+140	7.5	7	93	10	2	0	0	0	0	Freddy Peralta (R)
Averages:					5	77.6	5.8	2	4.4	1	3.2	3.2

Roki Sasaki Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
4/5	PHI [ 1 ]	LAD [ 3 ]	-102	8.5	4	68	4	2	3	0	1	1	Aaron Nola (R)
3/29	LAD [ 7 ]	DET [ 3 ]	-210	7.5	1.67	61	2	4	3	0	2	2	Reese Olson (R)
3/19	CHC [ 3 ]	LAD [ 6 ]	-138	7.5	3	56	3	5	1	0	1	1	Justin Steele (L)
Averages:					2.89	61.7	3	3.67	2.33	0	1.33	1.33

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

CHC Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	4/9	4/10	4/11	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Eli Morgan	1.0 (8)	·	1.0 (20)	2	2.0	28	0	0	0	0
Ethan Roberts	1.0 (8)	·	1.0 (21)	2	2.0	29	3	0	3	0
Nate Pearson	2.0 (31)	·	·	1	2.0	31	2	0	3	1
Team Totals (3 arms used):				5	6.0	88	5	0	6	1

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

LAD Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	4/9	4/10	4/11	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Blake Treinen	1.0 (18)	·	1.0 (14)	2	2.0	32	0	1	1	0
Kirby Yates	1.0 (12)	·	1.0 (13)	2	2.0	25	4	0	0	0
Tanner Scott	1.0 (12)	·	1.0 (16)	2	2.0	28	2	0	0	0
Jack Dreyer	1.2 (25)	·	·	1	1.2	25	2	1	0	0
Alex Vesia	1.0 (16)	·	·	1	1.0	16	1	1	0	0
Anthony Banda	1.0 (11)	·	·	1	1.0	11	0	0	0	0
Team Totals (6 arms used):				9	9.2	137	9	3	1	0

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

Notable Trends

The Dodgers are 87.5% (7-1) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Dodgers are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Cubs are 75% (12-4-1) to the over

The Cubs are 75% (12-4-1) (L30 days) to the over

View All Records

Dodgers (Home)

The Dodgers are 68.8% (11-5) on the moneyline

The Dodgers are 87.5% (7-1) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Dodgers are 62.5% (10-6) to the over

The Dodgers are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a home fav

The Dodgers are 68.8% (11-5) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Dodgers are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Dodgers are 62.5% (10-6) (L30 days) to the over

The Dodgers are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Cubs (Away)

The Cubs are 58.8% (10-7) on the moneyline

The Cubs are 57.1% (4-3) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Cubs are 75% (12-4-1) to the over

The Cubs are 66.7% (4-2-1) to the over as an away dog

The Cubs are 58.8% (10-7) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Cubs are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Cubs are 75% (12-4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Cubs are 66.7% (4-2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/11/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	3	vs.	Cubs Matthew Boyd (L)	0	-178	8.5	-3	U 3 -5.5
03/19/25 2025	Dodgers Roki Sasaki (R)	6	vs.	Cubs Justin Steele (L)	3	-138	7.5	-3	O 9 +1.5
03/18/25 2025	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	4	vs.	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	1	-154	8.5	-3	U 5 -3.5
09/11/24 2024	Dodgers Bobby Miller (R)	10	vs.	Cubs Jordan Wicks (L)	8	-162	9.0	-2	O 18 +9.0
09/10/24 2024	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	3	vs.	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	6	-152	8.0	+3	O 9 +1.0
09/09/24 2024	Dodgers Walker Buehler (R)	4	vs.	Cubs Kyle Hendricks (R)	10	-188	9.5	+6	O 14 +4.5
04/07/24 2024	Dodgers Gavin Stone (R)	1	@	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	8	-116	8.5	+7	O 9 +0.5

Dodgers as Home (4 games)		5.0	-	-	6.0	-169	8.8	+1.0	O 11.0 +2.3

All Games Avg (7 games)		4.4	-	-	5.1	-153	8.5	+0.7	O 9.6 +1.1

MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 16 – 0 Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Chicago Cubs", home_team: "Los Angeles Dodgers", game_date: "2025-04-12" };

Odds Full MLB odds board

Injury Report CHCNo report LADNo report

Cubs

Dodgers

Filters

Schedules

Cubs Schedule Follow global filters

Dodgers Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Dodgers (Home)

Cubs (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Final: 16 – 0
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers