MLB Game Matchups & Analysis

1:10 p.m.
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

White Sox: 64-60 (51.6%) | Anthony Kay (L): 14-9 (60.9%) | Market Rating: -1.4% (+106)

Tigers: 64-62 (50.8%) | Troy Melton (R): 13-2 (86.7%) | Market Rating: +0.6% (-103)

Line: -139

Total: 7.5

Open: -149

Open: 8

Injury Report Aug 15, 3:11 PM ET CWS8 Out DET14 Out

CWS

Player	PA/G · G	Status	Reason
Brooks Baldwin	3.2 PA/G ’25	Out	The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
Chris Murphy	29 G	Out	Murphy will serve as the White Sox's opener for Sunday's game against the Guardians, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Davis Martin	24 G	Out	Martin was ejected from Thursday's start against the Reds in the third inning after hitting Sal Stewart with a pitch, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Joey Bart	3.1 PA/G	Out	White Sox general manager Chris Getz said Friday that Bart is expected to be sidelined for "over a month" due to a left hand fracture, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
Jordan Leasure	18 G	Out	Leasure (forearm) has resumed throwing bullpen sessions, MLB.com reports.
Kyle Teel	3.7 PA/G	Out	White Sox manager Will Venable said Thursday that Teel's (ankle) current progress should have him ready to begin a rehab assignment before the end of August, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
Mike Vasil	47 G ’25	Out	The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
Tanner Murray	2.6 PA/G	Out	The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.

Not in rotation (under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched): Drew Thorpe, Ky Bush, Prelander Berroa

DET

Player	PA/G · G	Status	Reason
Bailey Horn	10 G ’25	Out	Horn (elbow) will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Brant Hurter	21 G	Out	The Tigers transferred Hurter (back) to Triple-A Toledo on Saturday to begin a rehab assignment, Emily Waldon of Baseball America reports.
Burch Smith	13 G	Out	Smith is being evaluated after exiting a rehab appearance with Triple-A Toledo on Thursday with right shoulder/lat discomfort, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
Jack Flaherty	19 G	Out	Manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that he expects Flaherty (forearm) to be on the injured list beyond the 15-day minimum, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
James Outman	2.7 PA/G	Out	The Tigers placed Outman on the 7-day concussion injured list Thursday.
Justin Verlander	1 G	Out	Verlander (hamstring/hip) threw off the front of the bullpen mound Wednesday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
Kerry Carpenter	3.1 PA/G	Out	The Tigers announced Friday that Carpenter (foot) has begun a full progression of hitting, running and playing defense, MLB.com reports.
Matt Vierling	3.4 PA/G	Out	The Tigers placed Vierling on the 10-day injured list Friday, retroactive to Thursday, due to a left adductor strain.
Parker Meadows	3.3 PA/G	Out	Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Meadows (forearm) has yet to resume hitting and is without a timeline to return from the 60-day injured list, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Reese Olson	13 G ’25	Out	The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday after he underwent a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
Riley Greene	4.2 PA/G	Out	Greene exited Tuesday's game versus Cleveland in the third inning as a result of right hamstring tightness.
Trey Sweeney	3.0 PA/G ’25	Out	Sweeney will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery this week, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
Wenceel Perez	3.3 PA/G	Out	Perez (orbital) was pulled off his rehab assignment Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
Will Vest	27 G	Out	Vest (elbow) underwent hip surgery Tuesday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.

PA/G = plate appearances per game played this season (hitters). G = games pitched this season (pitchers). ’25 = last season's figure (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes

White Sox

Nothing active

Tigers

Baller System(s)

Medium favorite with in-series revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

White Sox

A. Kay	0/4
Bullpen:	1/3
Team Batting:	1/3
Matchup:	-4 Est. fair odds: +163 to +187 Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%

Tigers

T. Melton	3/4
Bullpen:	1/3
Team Batting:	2/3
Matchup:	+4 Est. fair odds: -163 to -187 Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Team Comparison Stats Loading...

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Records

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Anthony Kay Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
8/8	[ 6 ]	[ 3 ]	+113	7	6	4	1	6	1	2	2	Gavin Williams (R)
8/2	[ 1 ]	[ 9 ]	+126	7.5	6.33	3	1	7	0	0	0	Griffin Jax (R)
7/28	[ 2 ]	[ 3 ]	+101	8	5.33	7	1	5	0	3	3	Gerrit Cole (R)
7/22	[ 2 ]	[ 4 ]	-121	8.5	5	4	2	5	1	2	2	Tyler Alexander (L)
7/17	[ 4 ]	[ 12 ]	+115	8.5	4	5	3	2	1	2	2	Spencer Miles (R)
Averages:					5.33	4.6	1.6	5	0.6	1.8	1.8

Troy Melton Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
8/9	[ 1 ]	[ 3 ]	-128	7.5	6	5	1	4	0	0	1	Logan Webb (R)
8/4	[ 0 ]	[ 8 ]	+108	7.5	7	4	2	3	0	0	0	Emerson Hancock (R)
7/28	[ 14 ]	[ 0 ]	-146	9	7	5	2	3	0	0	0	Dean Kremer (R)
7/23	[ 4 ]	[ 3 ]	-231	8.5	5	5	4	5	1	2	2	Randy Dobnak (R)
7/17	[ 1 ]	[ 2 ]	-114	8.5	5.67	9	4	4	0	1	1	Reid Detmers (L)
Averages:					6.13	5.6	2.6	3.8	0.2	0.6	0.8

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

CHW Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	8/12	8/13	8/14	App	IP	K	BB	H	ER
Jose Urquidy	·	·	3.2	1	3.2	3	0	5	3
Erick Fedde	·	3.0	·	1	3.0	1	2	5	4
Trevor Richards	·	2.2	·	1	2.2	2	0	1	0
Huascar Brazoban	1.0	·	1.1	2	2.1	0	0	4	2
Grant Taylor	·	·	1.2	1	1.2	0	0	1	0
Bryan Hudson	·	·	1.0	1	1.0	2	0	1	0
Hagen Smith	1.0	·	·	1	1.0	3	1	0	0
Jordan Hicks	·	1.0	·	1	1.0	0	0	0	0
Tanner McDougal	·	0.1	·	1	0.1	0	3	0	1
Team Totals (9 arms used):				10	14.8	11	6	17	10

DET Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	8/12	8/13	8/14	App	IP	K	BB	H	ER
Enmanuel De Jesus	1.0	·	2.1	2	3.1	2	2	6	3
Ty Madden	0.2	·	1.2	2	1.4	1	0	3	2
Tanner Rainey	1.2	·	·	1	1.2	1	2	0	0
Tyler Holton	·	1.2	·	1	1.2	0	0	1	0
Jacob Waguespack	·	·	1.1	1	1.1	0	0	0	0
Kenley Jansen	·	1.0	·	1	1.0	0	0	0	0
Team Totals (6 arms used):				8	9.0	4	4	10	5

Schedules

White Sox Schedule

Date	Season	Team Starter	Runs	Site	Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
08/17/26	2026	White Sox TBD	-	away	Cubs Shota Imanaga (L)	-	-	-
08/16/26	2026	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	-	away	Tigers Drew Anderson (R)	-	-	-
08/15/26	2026	White Sox Anthony Kay (L)	-	away	Tigers Troy Melton (R)	-	+118	7.5
08/14/26	2026	White Sox Sean Newcomb (L)	9	away	Tigers Jackson Jobe (R)	5	+117	8.5
08/13/26	2026	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	8	home	Reds Andrew Abbott (L)	9	+106	11.0
08/12/26	2026	White Sox Luis Castillo (R)	5	home	Reds Rhett Lowder (R)	0	-148	8.5
08/11/26	2026	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	4	home	Reds Nick Lodolo (L)	5	-156	7.5
08/09/26	2026	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	5	home	Guardians Joey Cantillo (L)	3	+115	8.5
08/08/26	2026	White Sox Anthony Kay (L)	6	home	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	3	+113	7.0
08/07/26	2026	White Sox Noah Schultz (L)	2	home	Guardians Parker Messick (L)	8	+125	7.5
08/06/26	2026	White Sox Luis Castillo (R)	11	away	Red Sox Ranger Suarez (L)	12	+171	8.5
08/05/26	2026	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	0	away	Red Sox Sonny Gray (R)	4	+127	8.0
08/04/26	2026	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	2	away	Red Sox Patrick Sandoval (L)	14	+129	9.0
Away Games Avg (4 games)			5.5	-	-	8.8	+136	8.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			5.2	-	-	6.3	+70	8.4

Tigers Schedule

Date	Season	Team Starter	Runs	Site	Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
08/17/26	2026	Tigers TBD	-	away	Pirates TBD	-	-	-
08/16/26	2026	Tigers Drew Anderson (R)	-	home	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	-	-	-
08/15/26	2026	Tigers Troy Melton (R)	-	home	White Sox Anthony Kay (L)	-	-145	7.5
08/14/26	2026	Tigers Jackson Jobe (R)	5	home	White Sox Sean Newcomb (L)	9	-132	8.5
08/13/26	2026	Tigers Keider Montero (R)	3	home	Guardians Parker Messick (L)	0	-101	8.0
08/12/26	2026	Tigers Framber Valdez (L)	4	home	Guardians Foster Griffin (L)	6	-126	8.0
08/11/26	2026	Tigers Drew Anderson (R)	6	home	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	4	-139	8.5
08/09/26	2026	Tigers Troy Melton (R)	3	away	Giants Logan Webb (R)	1	-128	7.5
08/08/26	2026	Tigers Jackson Jobe (R)	8	away	Giants Landen Roupp (R)	0	-116	8.0
08/07/26	2026	Tigers Keider Montero (R)	2	away	Giants JT Brubaker (R)	5	-141	8.5
08/06/26	2026	Tigers Framber Valdez (L)	11	away	Mariners Bryce Miller (R)	0	+104	8.0
08/05/26	2026	Tigers Drew Anderson (R)	2	away	Mariners Bryan Woo (R)	4	+132	7.5
08/04/26	2026	Tigers Troy Melton (R)	8	away	Mariners Emerson Hancock (R)	0	+108	7.5
Home Games Avg (4 games)			4.5	-	-	4.8	-125	8.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			5.2	-	-	2.9	-54	8.0

Notable Trends

The Tigers are 75% (6-2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The White Sox are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Tigers (Home)

The Tigers are 50.8% (64-62) on the moneyline

The Tigers are 55.6% (25-20) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Tigers are 47% (54-61-6) to the over/under

The Tigers are 50% (21-21-3) to the over/under as a home fav

The Tigers are 63% (17-10) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Tigers are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Tigers are 56.5% (13-10-2) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Tigers are 75% (6-2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

White Sox (Away)

The White Sox are 51.6% (64-60) on the moneyline

The White Sox are 44.2% (23-29) on the moneyline as an away dog

The White Sox are 58% (69-50-2) to the over/under

The White Sox are 60.8% (31-20-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The White Sox are 51.9% (14-13) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The White Sox are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away dog

The White Sox are 57.7% (15-11) (L30 days) to the over/under

The White Sox are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 7)

Date	Season	Team Starter	Runs	Site	Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/14/26	2026	Tigers Jackson Jobe (R)	5	Home	White Sox Sean Newcomb (L)	9	-132	8.5	+4	14
06/21/26	2026	Tigers Keider Montero (R)	5	Home	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	4	-120	8.5	-1	9
06/20/26	2026	Tigers Troy Melton (R)	4	Home	White Sox Sean Newcomb (L)	1	-125	9.0	-3	5
06/19/26	2026	Tigers Tarik Skubal (L)	4	Home	White Sox Brandon Eisert (L)	3	-207	8.0	-1	7
05/31/26	2026	Tigers Keider Montero (R)	1	Away	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	2	+134	8.0	+1	3
05/30/26	2026	Tigers Framber Valdez (L)	1	Away	White Sox Anthony Kay (L)	7	+106	7.5	+6	8
05/29/26	2026	Tigers Troy Melton (R)	3	Away	White Sox Brandon Eisert (R)	4	+111	8.5	+1	7
Tigers as Home (4 games)			4.5	-	-	4.3	-146.0	8.5	-0.3	8.8
All Games Avg (7 games)			3.3	-	-	4.3	-33.3	8.3	+1.0	7.6

MLB Game Matchups & Analysis

1:10 p.m. Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Chicago White Sox", home_team: "Detroit Tigers", game_date: "2026-08-15" };

Injury Report Aug 15, 3:11 PM ET CWS8 Out DET14 Out

Notes

White Sox

Tigers

Baller System(s)

White Sox

Tigers

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Schedules

White Sox Schedule

Tigers Schedule

Notable Trends

View All Records

Tigers (Home)

White Sox (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7)

1:10 p.m.
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers