Updated: 05/24/26 12:45 a.m.
7:15 p.m.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinatti Reds
Cardinals: 28-21 (57.1%) , Kyle Leahy (R): 5-4 (55.6%)
Reds: 26-24 (52.0%) , Chase Petty (R): 0-1 (0.0%)
Line: -109
Total: 10
Open: -110
Open: 9.5
Notes
Cardinals
Situational Factor(s)
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2
Off a double header
Reds
Situational Factor(s)
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2
Off a double header
Baller System(s)
Back home team with high totals and poor offensive performance in pitcher's last start Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 311 - 283 - 0 (52.4%)L365 Days: 82 - 72 - 0 (53.3%)Current Season: 22 - 17 - 0 (56.4%)
Play under on home team with high totals and poor offensive performance in pitcher's last start Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 272 - 283 - 39 (49.0%)L365 Days: 67 - 75 - 12 (47.2%)Current Season: 18 - 19 - 2 (48.7%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.
Cardinals
K. Leahy
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup: 0 Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Reds
C. Petty
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup: 0 Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.
Loading regression analysis...
Team Comparison Stats Loading...
Loading team comparison stats...
Records
Starting Pitchers Recent Performance
Kyle Leahy Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/22 [ 0 ] [ 0 ]+1019.50000000Chris Paddack (R)
5/16 [ 4 ] [ 2 ]-11096235011Noah Cameron (L)
5/10 [ 3 ] [ 2 ]+1115.55542000Walker Buehler (R)
5/4 [ 6 ] [ 3 ]+1099.55.33526011Chad Patrick (R)
4/28 [ 7 ] [ 11 ]+1258.55.33709233Braxton Ashcraft (R)
Averages:4.333.81.84.40.411
Andre Pallante Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/17 [ 0 ] [ 2 ]-1239.56.67708112Stephen Kolek (R)
5/12 [ 4 ] [ 6 ]+132105434033Jeffrey Springs (L)
5/6 [ 2 ] [ 6 ]-1088.56328155Brandon Sproat (R)
5/5 [ 0 ] [ 0 ]-1107.50000000Brandon Sproat (R)
4/29 [ 4 ] [ 5 ]+1258.56605111Bubba Chandler (R)
Averages:4.734150.622.2
Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)
STL Bullpen — Last 3 Days
Pitcher5/205/215/22AppIPKBBHER
Justin Bruihl 2.00.2·22.22032
Matthew Pushard 1.11.0·22.13200
Matt Svanson 0.21.1·21.32064
Gordon Graceffo·0.2·10.20000
Team Totals (4 arms used):75.87296
= pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).
CIN Bullpen — Last 3 Days
Pitcher5/205/215/22AppIPKBBHER
Connor Phillips1.0··11.01000
Graham Ashcraft1.0··11.02000
Sam Moll1.0··11.01010
Brock Burke0.2··10.20022
Team Totals (4 arms used):43.24032
Schedules
Cardinals Schedule
Date Season Team
Starter
Runs Site Opponent
Starter
Opp Runs Line Total
05/25/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
- away Brewers
TBD
- - -
05/24/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
- away Reds
Brady Singer (R)
- -103 9.5
05/23/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
- away Reds
Chase Petty (R)
- -109 10.0
05/22/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
0 away Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
0 +101 9.5
05/21/26 2026 Cardinals
Dustin May (R)
2 home Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft (R)
6 +103 7.0
05/20/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
0 home Pirates
Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
7 -116 7.5
05/19/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
9 home Pirates
Mitch Keller (R)
6 -113 8.0
05/17/26 2026 Cardinals
Andre Pallante (R)
0 home Royals
Stephen Kolek (R)
2 -123 9.5
05/16/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
4 home Royals
Noah Cameron (L)
2 -110 9.0
05/15/26 2026 Cardinals
Dustin May (R)
5 home Royals
Michael Wacha (R)
4 -107 8.5
05/14/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
5 away Athletics
Jacob Lopez (L)
4 +103 9.5
05/13/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
2 away Athletics
JT Ginn (R)
6 +118 9.5
05/12/26 2026 Cardinals
Andre Pallante (R)
6 away Athletics
Jeffrey Springs (L)
4 +132 10.0
Away Games Avg (4 games) 3.3 - - 3.5 +114 9.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 3.3 - - 4.1 -1 8.8
Reds Schedule
Date Season Team
Starter
Runs Site Opponent
Starter
Opp Runs Line Total
05/25/26 2026 Reds
TBD
- away Mets
TBD
- - -
05/24/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
- home Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
- -116 9.5
05/23/26 2026 Reds
Chase Petty (R)
- home Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
- -109 10.0
05/22/26 2026 Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
0 home Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
0 -120 9.5
05/20/26 2026 Reds
Andrew Abbott (L)
9 away Phillies
Aaron Nola (R)
4 +130 9.5
05/19/26 2026 Reds
Chase Burns (R)
4 away Phillies
Jesus Luzardo (L)
1 +118 8.5
05/18/26 2026 Reds
Nick Lodolo (L)
4 away Phillies
Andrew Painter (R)
5 -101 8.5
05/17/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
3 away Guardians
Gavin Williams (R)
10 +134 8.5
05/16/26 2026 Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
4 away Guardians
Joey Cantillo (L)
7 +128 8.5
05/15/26 2026 Reds
Andrew Abbott (L)
7 away Guardians
Tanner Bibee (R)
6 +118 8.0
05/14/26 2026 Reds
Chase Burns (R)
15 home Nationals
Foster Griffin (L)
1 -156 8.0
05/13/26 2026 Reds
Nick Lodolo (L)
7 home Nationals
Jake Irvin (R)
8 -177 9.0
05/12/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
4 home Nationals
Miles Mikolas (R)
10 -142 9.5
Home Games Avg (4 games) 6.5 - - 4.8 -149 9.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 5.7 - - 5.2 -7 8.8
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 7)
7:15 p.m.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinatti Reds
Cardinals: 28-21 (57.1%) , Kyle Leahy (R): 5-4 (55.6%)
Reds: 26-24 (52.0%) , Chase Petty (R): 0-1 (0.0%)
Line: -109
Total: 10
Open: -110
Open: 9.5
Notes
Cardinals
Situational Factor(s)
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2
Off a double header
Reds
Situational Factor(s)
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2
Off a double header
Baller System(s)
Back home team with high totals and poor offensive performance in pitcher's last start Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 311 - 283 - 0 (52.4%)L365 Days: 82 - 72 - 0 (53.3%)Current Season: 22 - 17 - 0 (56.4%)
Play under on home team with high totals and poor offensive performance in pitcher's last start Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 272 - 283 - 39 (49.0%)L365 Days: 67 - 75 - 12 (47.2%)Current Season: 18 - 19 - 2 (48.7%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.
Cardinals
K. Leahy
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup: 0 Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Reds
C. Petty
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup: 0 Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.
Loading regression analysis...
Team Comparison Stats Loading...
Loading team comparison stats...
Records
Starting Pitchers Recent Performance
Kyle Leahy Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/22 [ 0 ] [ 0 ]+1019.50000000Chris Paddack (R)
5/16 [ 4 ] [ 2 ]-11096235011Noah Cameron (L)
5/10 [ 3 ] [ 2 ]+1115.55542000Walker Buehler (R)
5/4 [ 6 ] [ 3 ]+1099.55.33526011Chad Patrick (R)
4/28 [ 7 ] [ 11 ]+1258.55.33709233Braxton Ashcraft (R)
Averages:4.333.81.84.40.411
Andre Pallante Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/17 [ 0 ] [ 2 ]-1239.56.67708112Stephen Kolek (R)
5/12 [ 4 ] [ 6 ]+132105434033Jeffrey Springs (L)
5/6 [ 2 ] [ 6 ]-1088.56328155Brandon Sproat (R)
5/5 [ 0 ] [ 0 ]-1107.50000000Brandon Sproat (R)
4/29 [ 4 ] [ 5 ]+1258.56605111Bubba Chandler (R)
Averages:4.734150.622.2
Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)
STL Bullpen — Last 3 Days
Pitcher5/205/215/22AppIPKBBHER
Justin Bruihl 2.00.2·22.22032
Matthew Pushard 1.11.0·22.13200
Matt Svanson 0.21.1·21.32064
Gordon Graceffo·0.2·10.20000
Team Totals (4 arms used):75.87296
= pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).
CIN Bullpen — Last 3 Days
Pitcher5/205/215/22AppIPKBBHER
Connor Phillips1.0··11.01000
Graham Ashcraft1.0··11.02000
Sam Moll1.0··11.01010
Brock Burke0.2··10.20022
Team Totals (4 arms used):43.24032
Schedules
Cardinals Schedule
Date Season Team
Starter
Runs Site Opponent
Starter
Opp Runs Line Total
05/25/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
- away Brewers
TBD
- - -
05/24/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
- away Reds
Brady Singer (R)
- -103 9.5
05/23/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
- away Reds
Chase Petty (R)
- -109 10.0
05/22/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
0 away Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
0 +101 9.5
05/21/26 2026 Cardinals
Dustin May (R)
2 home Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft (R)
6 +103 7.0
05/20/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
0 home Pirates
Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
7 -116 7.5
05/19/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
9 home Pirates
Mitch Keller (R)
6 -113 8.0
05/17/26 2026 Cardinals
Andre Pallante (R)
0 home Royals
Stephen Kolek (R)
2 -123 9.5
05/16/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
4 home Royals
Noah Cameron (L)
2 -110 9.0
05/15/26 2026 Cardinals
Dustin May (R)
5 home Royals
Michael Wacha (R)
4 -107 8.5
05/14/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
5 away Athletics
Jacob Lopez (L)
4 +103 9.5
05/13/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
2 away Athletics
JT Ginn (R)
6 +118 9.5
05/12/26 2026 Cardinals
Andre Pallante (R)
6 away Athletics
Jeffrey Springs (L)
4 +132 10.0
Away Games Avg (4 games) 3.3 - - 3.5 +114 9.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 3.3 - - 4.1 -1 8.8
Reds Schedule
Date Season Team
Starter
Runs Site Opponent
Starter
Opp Runs Line Total
05/25/26 2026 Reds
TBD
- away Mets
TBD
- - -
05/24/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
- home Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
- -116 9.5
05/23/26 2026 Reds
Chase Petty (R)
- home Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
- -109 10.0
05/22/26 2026 Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
0 home Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
0 -120 9.5
05/20/26 2026 Reds
Andrew Abbott (L)
9 away Phillies
Aaron Nola (R)
4 +130 9.5
05/19/26 2026 Reds
Chase Burns (R)
4 away Phillies
Jesus Luzardo (L)
1 +118 8.5
05/18/26 2026 Reds
Nick Lodolo (L)
4 away Phillies
Andrew Painter (R)
5 -101 8.5
05/17/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
3 away Guardians
Gavin Williams (R)
10 +134 8.5
05/16/26 2026 Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
4 away Guardians
Joey Cantillo (L)
7 +128 8.5
05/15/26 2026 Reds
Andrew Abbott (L)
7 away Guardians
Tanner Bibee (R)
6 +118 8.0
05/14/26 2026 Reds
Chase Burns (R)
15 home Nationals
Foster Griffin (L)
1 -156 8.0
05/13/26 2026 Reds
Nick Lodolo (L)
7 home Nationals
Jake Irvin (R)
8 -177 9.0
05/12/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
4 home Nationals
Miles Mikolas (R)
10 -142 9.5
Home Games Avg (4 games) 6.5 - - 4.8 -149 9.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 5.7 - - 5.2 -7 8.8
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 7)
7:15 p.m.
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinatti Reds
Cardinals: 28-21 (57.1%) , Kyle Leahy (R): 5-4 (55.6%)
Reds: 26-24 (52.0%) , Chase Petty (R): 0-1 (0.0%)
Line: -109
Total: 10
Open: -110
Open: 9.5
Notes
Cardinals
Situational Factor(s)
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2
Off a double header
Reds
Situational Factor(s)
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2
Off a double header
Baller System(s)
Back home team with high totals and poor offensive performance in pitcher's last start Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 311 - 283 - 0 (52.4%)L365 Days: 82 - 72 - 0 (53.3%)Current Season: 22 - 17 - 0 (56.4%)
Play under on home team with high totals and poor offensive performance in pitcher's last start Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 272 - 283 - 39 (49.0%)L365 Days: 67 - 75 - 12 (47.2%)Current Season: 18 - 19 - 2 (48.7%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.
Cardinals
K. Leahy
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup: 0 Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Reds
C. Petty
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup: 0 Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.
Loading regression analysis...
Team Comparison Stats Loading...
Loading team comparison stats...
Records
Starting Pitchers Recent Performance
Kyle Leahy Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/22 [ 0 ] [ 0 ]+1019.50000000Chris Paddack (R)
5/16 [ 4 ] [ 2 ]-11096235011Noah Cameron (L)
5/10 [ 3 ] [ 2 ]+1115.55542000Walker Buehler (R)
5/4 [ 6 ] [ 3 ]+1099.55.33526011Chad Patrick (R)
4/28 [ 7 ] [ 11 ]+1258.55.33709233Braxton Ashcraft (R)
Averages:4.333.81.84.40.411
Andre Pallante Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/17 [ 0 ] [ 2 ]-1239.56.67708112Stephen Kolek (R)
5/12 [ 4 ] [ 6 ]+132105434033Jeffrey Springs (L)
5/6 [ 2 ] [ 6 ]-1088.56328155Brandon Sproat (R)
5/5 [ 0 ] [ 0 ]-1107.50000000Brandon Sproat (R)
4/29 [ 4 ] [ 5 ]+1258.56605111Bubba Chandler (R)
Averages:4.734150.622.2
Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)
STL Bullpen — Last 3 Days
Pitcher5/205/215/22AppIPKBBHER
Justin Bruihl 2.00.2·22.22032
Matthew Pushard 1.11.0·22.13200
Matt Svanson 0.21.1·21.32064
Gordon Graceffo·0.2·10.20000
Team Totals (4 arms used):75.87296
= pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).
CIN Bullpen — Last 3 Days
Pitcher5/205/215/22AppIPKBBHER
Connor Phillips1.0··11.01000
Graham Ashcraft1.0··11.02000
Sam Moll1.0··11.01010
Brock Burke0.2··10.20022
Team Totals (4 arms used):43.24032
Schedules
Cardinals Schedule
Date Season Team
Starter
Runs Site Opponent
Starter
Opp Runs Line Total
05/25/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
- away Brewers
TBD
- - -
05/24/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
- away Reds
Brady Singer (R)
- -103 9.5
05/23/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
- away Reds
Chase Petty (R)
- -109 10.0
05/22/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
0 away Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
0 +101 9.5
05/21/26 2026 Cardinals
Dustin May (R)
2 home Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft (R)
6 +103 7.0
05/20/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
0 home Pirates
Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
7 -116 7.5
05/19/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
9 home Pirates
Mitch Keller (R)
6 -113 8.0
05/17/26 2026 Cardinals
Andre Pallante (R)
0 home Royals
Stephen Kolek (R)
2 -123 9.5
05/16/26 2026 Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
4 home Royals
Noah Cameron (L)
2 -110 9.0
05/15/26 2026 Cardinals
Dustin May (R)
5 home Royals
Michael Wacha (R)
4 -107 8.5
05/14/26 2026 Cardinals
Michael McGreevy (R)
5 away Athletics
Jacob Lopez (L)
4 +103 9.5
05/13/26 2026 Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
2 away Athletics
JT Ginn (R)
6 +118 9.5
05/12/26 2026 Cardinals
Andre Pallante (R)
6 away Athletics
Jeffrey Springs (L)
4 +132 10.0
Away Games Avg (4 games) 3.3 - - 3.5 +114 9.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 3.3 - - 4.1 -1 8.8
Reds Schedule
Date Season Team
Starter
Runs Site Opponent
Starter
Opp Runs Line Total
05/25/26 2026 Reds
TBD
- away Mets
TBD
- - -
05/24/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
- home Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore (L)
- -116 9.5
05/23/26 2026 Reds
Chase Petty (R)
- home Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
- -109 10.0
05/22/26 2026 Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
0 home Cardinals
Kyle Leahy (R)
0 -120 9.5
05/20/26 2026 Reds
Andrew Abbott (L)
9 away Phillies
Aaron Nola (R)
4 +130 9.5
05/19/26 2026 Reds
Chase Burns (R)
4 away Phillies
Jesus Luzardo (L)
1 +118 8.5
05/18/26 2026 Reds
Nick Lodolo (L)
4 away Phillies
Andrew Painter (R)
5 -101 8.5
05/17/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
3 away Guardians
Gavin Williams (R)
10 +134 8.5
05/16/26 2026 Reds
Chris Paddack (R)
4 away Guardians
Joey Cantillo (L)
7 +128 8.5
05/15/26 2026 Reds
Andrew Abbott (L)
7 away Guardians
Tanner Bibee (R)
6 +118 8.0
05/14/26 2026 Reds
Chase Burns (R)
15 home Nationals
Foster Griffin (L)
1 -156 8.0
05/13/26 2026 Reds
Nick Lodolo (L)
7 home Nationals
Jake Irvin (R)
8 -177 9.0
05/12/26 2026 Reds
Brady Singer (R)
4 home Nationals
Miles Mikolas (R)
10 -142 9.5
Home Games Avg (4 games) 6.5 - - 4.8 -149 9.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 5.7 - - 5.2 -7 8.8
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 7)