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NFL Player Props & Projections

Look up any NFL player's game log, season and recent-week averages, home/road splits and opponent-adjusted projections. Pick a game or search a player above: the matchup view sets his recent production against what the opponent's defense allows, and you can mark teammates in or out to see his numbers without them.

Tyler Shough QB Saints

Steelers @ Saints, Oct 25 · per-game averages

GPPass YdsPass TDCmpAttINTRush YdsRush Att
Season6240.5225.539.20.817.33.5
Last 4 Wks4195.3222.836.30.818.32
Last 8 Wks6240.5225.539.20.817.33.5
Home3212.31.72538.3113.71
Away3268.72.326400.7216

Recent games

WkOppPass YdsPass TDCmpAttINTRush YdsRush Att
6@ Giants144316300325
5vs Vikings9601625200
4vs Falcons28613048052
3vs Raiders255429421361
2@ Ravens252127340239

How this projection is built

Tyler Shough, passing yards against the Steelers. Our own calculation from this season's box scores, in three steps.

  1. His own games. Tyler Shough has averaged 240.5 passing yards over 6 games. In the steps below, recent games count for more than early ones.
  2. The defenses he has faced. Between them they allow 243.9 passing yards per game; the league average is 236.2, so his schedule has been easier than average. With recent form and that schedule taken into account, his adjusted level is 227.9.
    GameOpponentHis passing yardsOpp. allows per game (passing yards)Rank of 32
    Wk 1Lions410321.41
    Wk 2Ravens252225.722
    Wk 3Raiders255253.59
    Wk 4Falcons286268.74
    Wk 5Vikings96195.430
    Wk 6Giants144198.729
  3. The next defense. The Steelers allow 222.0 passing yards per game, 8th fewest of 32 teams and below the league average of 236.2. That lowers the projection to 222.4.

Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most. A defense's figure is its team total per game this season, so what moves a projection is how far that figure sits from the league average, not its size. The same steps give his other projections: pass attempts 37.5, interceptions 1.0. Projections are estimates from games already played and change as new games are added.

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