NFL Game Matchups & Analysis

Thu, 10/8, 8:15 p.m.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys

Buccaneers: 0-4 (0.0%) - NFC South | Market Rating: -0.70

Cowboys: 2-2 (50.0%) - NFC East | Market Rating: +0.72

Line: -8.0

Total: 47.5

Open: -8

Open: 48

Team totals: Buccaneers 19.5 · Cowboys 28.5 (open 18.5 / 29.5)

Roof — no weather forecast

Injury Report as of Oct 6, 9:36 PM ET TB2 Out3 Questionable DAL2 Out2 DoubtfulSecondary: 2 out

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Baker Mayfield	QB · 99%	Out	out
Antoine Winfield Jr.	S · 99%	Out	Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles said that Winfield was diagnosed Monday with a "slight rib fracture" and will miss 2-to-4 weeks, Jenna Laine of ESPN.com reports.
Benjamin Morrison	CB · 78%	Questionable	Morrison (quadriceps) did not participate in practice Tuesday.
SirVocea Dennis	LB · 51%	Questionable	Dennis (ankle) underwent an MRI after the Buccaneers' Week 4 loss to the Packers, Jenna Laine of ESPN.com reported Monday.
Chase McLaughlin	K	Questionable	McLaughlin didn't practice Tuesday due to a right groin/hip injury.

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Anthony Nelson, Ko Kieft

DAL

Secondary: 2 starters out or doubtful (Jalen Thompson, Cobie Durant)

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Tyler Smith	OL · 97%	Out	Smith (thumb) was a limited participant in Monday's estimated practice, Jon Machota of The Athletic reports.
Jalen Thompson	S · 88%	Out	The Cowboys placed Thompson (hamstring) on injured reserve Wednesday, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports.
Cobie Durant	CB · 74%	Doubtful	doubtful
DeMarvion Overshown	LB · 59%	Doubtful	Cowboys head coach Brian Schottenheimer said Tuesday that Overshown (hamstring) is a "long shot" to play Thursday night against Tampa Bay, Joe Hoyt of The Dallas Morning News reports.

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Jonathan Bullard, Drew Shelton

Snaps = share of the team's offensive or defensive snaps in the games he played, over the team's last 8 games (every position, linemen included). Players under 40%, or with no snap in those games (long-term absences), are listed under “Not in rotation.” = a position group with 2+ starters (50%+ of snaps, 40%+ on the D-line) out or doubtful, or 3+ counting questionable.

Notes

Buccaneers

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Cowboys

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

No algorithm data available for this game.

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Records

Loading records...

Schedules

Buccaneers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/26	2026	Buccaneers	-	away	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	45.5	-	-
10/18/26	2026	Buccaneers	-	home	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	39.0	-	-
10/08/26	2026	Buccaneers	-	away	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	+8.0	47.5	-	-
10/04/26	2026	Buccaneers	14	home	Packers	17	289	141	148	1	1	+3.0	39.0	+3	31 (-8.0)
09/27/26	2026	Buccaneers	16	home	Vikings	23	274	57	217	1	0	+1.0	42.5	+7	39 (-3.5)
09/20/26	2026	Buccaneers	19	home	Browns	23	319	137	182	0	1	-8.0	41.5	+4	42 (+0.5)
09/13/26	2026	Buccaneers	27	away	Bengals	33	305	89	216	1	4	+3.5	50.5	+6	60 (+9.5)
01/03/26	2025	Buccaneers	16	home	Panthers	14	343	140	203	1	2	-3.0	42.5	-2	30 (-12.5)
12/28/25	2025	Buccaneers	17	away	Dolphins	20	399	53	346	0	2	-5.5	44.0	+3	37 (-7.0)
12/21/25	2025	Buccaneers	20	away	Panthers	23	314	169	145	0	0	-3.0	45.5	+3	43 (-2.5)
12/11/25	2025	Buccaneers	28	home	Falcons	29	365	88	277	0	1	-6.0	43.5	+1	57 (+13.5)
12/07/25	2025	Buccaneers	20	home	Saints	24	301	179	122	1	1	-7.5	41.5	+4	44 (+2.5)
11/30/25	2025	Buccaneers	20	home	Cardinals	17	289	95	194	1	1	-4.5	45.5	-3	37 (-8.5)
Away Games Avg (3 games)			21.3	-	-	25.3	339	104	236	0.3	2.0	-1.7	46.7	+4.0	46.7 (0.0)
All Games Avg (10 games)			19.7	-	-	22.3	320	115	205	0.6	1.3	-3.0	43.6	+2.6	42.0 (-1.6)

Cowboys Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26	2026	Cowboys	-	away	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	48.5	-	-
10/18/26	2026	Cowboys	-	away	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	50.5	-	-
10/08/26	2026	Cowboys	-	home	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.0	47.5	-	-
10/04/26	2026	Cowboys	34	away	Texans	30	410	75	335	0	0	+3.0	48.5	-4	64 (+15.5)
09/27/26	2026	Cowboys	31	neutral	Ravens	34	424	148	276	0	2	+3.5	53.0	+3	65 (+12.0)
09/20/26	2026	Cowboys	37	home	Commanders	20	345	66	279	0	0	-4.0	51.0	-17	57 (+6.0)
09/13/26	2026	Cowboys	20	away	Giants	28	244	69	175	0	0	-3.0	47.5	+8	48 (+0.5)
01/04/26	2025	Cowboys	17	away	Giants	34	286	143	143	0	1	-3.0	50.5	+17	51 (+0.5)
12/25/25	2025	Cowboys	30	away	Commanders	23	518	211	307	0	0	-8.5	50.5	-7	53 (+2.5)
12/21/25	2025	Cowboys	17	home	Chargers	34	346	91	255	0	1	-2.5	49.5	+17	51 (+1.5)
12/14/25	2025	Cowboys	26	home	Vikings	34	432	138	294	1	0	-5.5	47.5	+8	60 (+12.5)
12/04/25	2025	Cowboys	30	away	Lions	44	467	91	376	0	3	+3.5	55.5	+14	74 (+18.5)
11/27/25	2025	Cowboys	31	home	Chiefs	28	457	137	320	0	1	+3.5	53.5	-3	59 (+5.5)
Home Games Avg (4 games)			27.8	-	-	29.0	395	108	287	0.3	0.5	-2.1	50.4	+1.3	56.8 (+6.4)
All Games Avg (10 games)			27.3	-	-	30.9	393	117	276	0.1	0.8	-1.3	50.7	+3.6	58.2 (+7.5)

Notable Trends

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Cowboys are 100% (4-0) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cowboys are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under

View All Records

Cowboys (Home)

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) against the spread at home

The Cowboys are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Cowboys are 100% (4-0) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) to the over/under at home

The Cowboys are 100% (2-0) to the over/under as a fav

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as a home fav

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Cowboys are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Cowboys are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Cowboys are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Buccaneers (Away)

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-3-1) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-1) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) to the over/under

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) to the over/under away

The Buccaneers are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Buccaneers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/22/24	2024	Cowboys	26	Home	Buccaneers	24	323	31	292	1	0	+6.0	49.0	-2	50
Cowboys as Home (1 games)			26.0	-	-	24.0	323	31	292	1.0	0.0	+6.0	49.0	-2.0	50.0
All Games Avg (1 games)			26.0	-	-	24.0	323	31	292	1.0	0.0	+6.0	49.0	-2.0	50.0

NFL Game Matchups & Analysis

Thu, 10/8, 8:15 p.m. Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", home_team: "Dallas Cowboys", game_date: "2026-10-08" };

Injury Report as of Oct 6, 9:36 PM ET TB2 Out3 Questionable DAL2 Out2 DoubtfulSecondary: 2 out

Notes

Buccaneers

Situational Factor(s)

Cowboys

Situational Factor(s)

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Schedules

Buccaneers Schedule

Cowboys Schedule

Notable Trends

View All Records

Cowboys (Home)

Buccaneers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Thu, 10/8, 8:15 p.m.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys