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Updated: 01/08/26 1:12 p.m.
7:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Charlotte Hornets
Pacers: 6-31 (16.2%)
Hornets: 13-24 (35.1%)
Line: -4.5
Total: 231.0
Open: -3.5
Open: 233.5
Notes
Pacers
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Hornets
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
5th game in 7 nights
Baller System(s)
Back favorite on back-to-back off a loss Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 185 - 160 - 7 (53.6%)L365 Days: 37 - 35 - 0 (51.4%)Current Season: 13 - 7 - 0 (65.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/19/25 2025 Hornets 118 Away Pacers 127 -1.5 238.5 +9 245
04/02/25 2024 Hornets 105 Away Pacers 119 +15.0 223.5 +14 224
12/08/24 2024 Hornets 113 Away Pacers 109 +12.0 222.5 -4 222
11/08/24 2024 Hornets 103 Home Pacers 83 +6.5 236.5 -20 186
02/12/24 2023 Hornets 111 Home Pacers 102 +10.5 238.5 -9 213
02/04/24 2023 Hornets 99 Home Pacers 115 +9.5 237.0 +16 214
12/20/23 2023 Hornets 113 Away Pacers 144 +10.0 248.0 +31 257
11/04/23 2023 Hornets 125 Away Pacers 124 +5.0 240.5 -1 249
03/20/23 2022 Hornets 115 Home Pacers 109 +2.0 234.0 -6 224
01/08/23 2022 Hornets 111 Away Pacers 116 +5.5 239.5 +5 227
Hornets as Home (4 games) 107.0 - - 102.3 +7.1 236.5 -4.8 209.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 111.3 - - 114.8 +7.5 235.9 +3.5 226.1
Schedules
Pacers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/12/26 2025 Pacers - home Celtics - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Pacers - home Heat - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Pacers - away Hornets - +4.5 231.0 - -
01/06/26 2025 Pacers 116 home Cavaliers 120 +6.5 237.5 +4 236
01/04/26 2025 Pacers 127 away Magic 135 +6.5 228.5 +8 262
01/02/26 2025 Pacers 113 home Spurs 123 +5.0 239.0 +10 236
12/31/25 2025 Pacers 110 home Magic 112 +4.5 229.5 +2 222
12/29/25 2025 Pacers 119 away Rockets 126 +12.5 223.0 +7 245
12/27/25 2025 Pacers 116 away Heat 142 +6.5 233.5 +26 258
12/26/25 2025 Pacers 122 home Celtics 140 +8.5 222.5 +18 262
12/23/25 2025 Pacers 94 home Bucks 111 +1.0 217.0 +17 205
12/22/25 2025 Pacers 95 away Celtics 103 +11.5 225.5 +8 198
12/20/25 2025 Pacers 109 away Pelicans 128 +2.5 236.0 +19 237
Away Games Avg (5 games) 113.2 - - 126.8 +7.9 229.3 +13.6 240.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 112.1 - - 124.0 +6.5 229.2 +11.9 236.1
Hornets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/12/26 2025 Hornets - away Clippers - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Hornets - away Jazz - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Hornets - home Pacers - -4.5 231.0 - -
01/07/26 2025 Hornets 96 home Raptors 97 +2.5 229.5 +1 193
01/05/26 2025 Hornets 124 away Thunder 97 +15.5 235.5 -27 221
01/03/26 2025 Hornets 112 away Bulls 99 +2.5 241.5 -13 211
01/02/26 2025 Hornets 121 away Bucks 122 +6.0 233.5 +1 243
12/31/25 2025 Hornets 125 home Warriors 132 +7.5 234.5 +7 257
12/29/25 2025 Hornets 113 home Bucks 123 +3.0 227.5 +10 236
12/26/25 2025 Hornets 120 away Magic 105 +5.5 227.5 -15 225
12/23/25 2025 Hornets 126 home Wizards 109 -6.5 239.5 -17 235
12/22/25 2025 Hornets 132 away Cavaliers 139 +9.5 239.5 +7 271
12/20/25 2025 Hornets 86 away Pistons 112 +10.5 234.5 +26 198
Home Games Avg (4 games) 115.0 - - 115.3 +1.6 232.8 +0.3 230.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 115.5 - - 113.5 +5.6 234.3 -2.0 229.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
Heat: 20-17 (54.1%)
Bulls: 17-20 (45.9%)
Line: +7.0
Total: 237.5
Open: +6.0
Open: 241.5
Notes
Heat
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
4th game in 6 nights
Bulls
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
5th game in 7 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Heat
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/21/25 2025 Bulls 107 Home Heat 143 -2.5 250.5 +36 250
04/16/25 2024 Bulls 90 Home Heat 109 -2.0 220.0 +19 199
04/09/25 2024 Bulls 119 Home Heat 111 +2.5 227.5 -8 230
03/08/25 2024 Bulls 114 Away Heat 109 +5.0 225.5 -5 223
02/04/25 2024 Bulls 133 Home Heat 124 +3.5 229.0 -9 257
04/19/24 2023 Bulls 91 Away Heat 112 +2.5 207.5 +21 203
12/16/23 2023 Bulls 116 Away Heat 118 +5.0 218.0 +2 234
12/14/23 2023 Bulls 124 Away Heat 116 +3.5 213.0 -8 240
11/20/23 2023 Bulls 100 Home Heat 118 +1.5 209.0 +18 218
11/18/23 2023 Bulls 102 Home Heat 97 +2.0 212.0 -5 199
Bulls as Home (6 games) 108.5 - - 117.0 +0.8 224.7 +8.5 225.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 109.6 - - 115.7 +2.1 221.2 +6.1 225.3
Schedules
Heat Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/11/26 2025 Heat - away Thunder - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Heat - away Pacers - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Heat - away Bulls - -7.0 237.5 - -
01/06/26 2025 Heat 94 away Timberwolves 122 +5.5 238.5 +28 216
01/04/26 2025 Heat 125 home Pelicans 106 -8.0 246.5 -19 231
01/03/26 2025 Heat 115 home Timberwolves 125 +2.5 235.5 +10 240
01/01/26 2025 Heat 118 away Pistons 112 +4.5 235.5 -6 230
12/29/25 2025 Heat 147 home Nuggets 123 +1.5 243.5 -24 270
12/27/25 2025 Heat 142 home Pacers 116 -6.5 233.5 -26 258
12/26/25 2025 Heat 126 away Hawks 111 +2.5 250.5 -15 237
12/23/25 2025 Heat 91 home Raptors 112 -5.5 228.5 +21 203
12/21/25 2025 Heat 125 away Knicks 132 +7.5 236.5 +7 257
12/19/25 2025 Heat 116 away Celtics 129 +7.5 233.0 +13 245
Away Games Avg (5 games) 115.8 - - 121.2 +5.5 238.8 +5.4 237.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 119.9 - - 118.8 +1.2 238.2 -1.1 238.7
Bulls Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/13/26 2025 Bulls - away Rockets - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Bulls - home Mavericks - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Bulls - home Heat - +7.0 237.5 - -
01/07/26 2025 Bulls 93 away Pistons 108 +7.5 227.5 +15 201
01/05/26 2025 Bulls 101 away Celtics 115 +10.5 236.5 +14 216
01/03/26 2025 Bulls 99 home Hornets 112 -2.5 241.5 +13 211
01/02/26 2025 Bulls 121 home Magic 114 +5.0 233.5 -7 235
12/31/25 2025 Bulls 134 home Pelicans 118 -1.5 248.5 -16 252
12/29/25 2025 Bulls 101 home Timberwolves 136 +6.0 243.0 +35 237
12/27/25 2025 Bulls 103 home Bucks 112 -2.5 233.5 +9 215
12/26/25 2025 Bulls 109 home Seventysixers 102 +1.5 241.5 -7 211
12/23/25 2025 Bulls 126 away Hawks 123 +3.5 254.5 -3 249
12/21/25 2025 Bulls 152 away Hawks 150 +4.5 248.5 -2 302
Home Games Avg (6 games) 111.2 - - 115.7 +1.0 240.3 +4.5 226.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.9 - - 119.0 +3.2 240.9 +5.1 232.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Cavaliers: 21-17 (55.3%)
Timberwolves: 24-13 (64.9%)
Line: -2.0
Total: 237.5
Open: -4.0
Open: 238.0
Notes
Cavaliers

Nothing active

Timberwolves
Situational Factor(s)
4th game in 6 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/10/25 2024 Timberwolves 107 Away Cavaliers 128 +7.5 232.0 +21 235
01/18/25 2024 Timberwolves 117 Home Cavaliers 124 +5.0 227.5 +7 241
03/22/24 2023 Timberwolves 104 Home Cavaliers 91 -7.5 206.5 -13 195
03/08/24 2023 Timberwolves 104 Away Cavaliers 113 +1.0 207.0 +9 217
01/14/23 2022 Timberwolves 110 Home Cavaliers 102 +4.5 224.0 -8 212
11/13/22 2022 Timberwolves 129 Away Cavaliers 124 +1.0 221.0 -5 253
Timberwolves as Home (3 games) 110.3 - - 105.7 +0.7 219.3 -4.7 216.0
All Games Avg (6 games) 111.8 - - 113.7 +1.9 219.7 +1.8 225.5
Schedules
Cavaliers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/12/26 2025 Cavaliers - home Jazz - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Cavaliers - home Timberwolves - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Cavaliers - away Timberwolves - +2.0 237.5 - -
01/06/26 2025 Cavaliers 120 away Pacers 116 -6.5 237.5 -4 236
01/04/26 2025 Cavaliers 110 home Pistons 114 -3.5 239.5 +4 224
01/02/26 2025 Cavaliers 113 home Nuggets 108 -13.5 239.5 -5 221
12/31/25 2025 Cavaliers 129 home Suns 113 -6.5 232.5 -16 242
12/29/25 2025 Cavaliers 113 away Spurs 101 +3.5 244.0 -12 214
12/27/25 2025 Cavaliers 100 away Rockets 117 +2.5 231.5 +17 217
12/25/25 2025 Cavaliers 124 away Knicks 126 +4.5 241.5 +2 250
12/23/25 2025 Cavaliers 141 home Pelicans 118 -9.5 248.5 -23 259
12/22/25 2025 Cavaliers 139 home Hornets 132 -9.5 239.5 -7 271
12/19/25 2025 Cavaliers 125 home Bulls 136 -4.5 238.5 +11 261
Away Games Avg (4 games) 114.3 - - 115.0 +1.0 238.6 +0.8 229.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 121.4 - - 118.1 -4.3 239.3 -3.3 239.5
Timberwolves Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/11/26 2025 Timberwolves - home Spurs - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Timberwolves - away Cavaliers - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Timberwolves - home Cavaliers - -2.0 237.5 - -
01/06/26 2025 Timberwolves 122 home Heat 94 -5.5 238.5 -28 216
01/04/26 2025 Timberwolves 141 away Wizards 115 -11.0 239.5 -26 256
01/03/26 2025 Timberwolves 125 away Heat 115 -2.5 235.5 -10 240
12/31/25 2025 Timberwolves 102 away Hawks 126 -5.5 240.5 +24 228
12/29/25 2025 Timberwolves 136 away Bulls 101 -6.0 243.0 -35 237
12/27/25 2025 Timberwolves 107 home Nets 123 -12.5 224.5 +16 230
12/25/25 2025 Timberwolves 138 away Nuggets 142 -1.0 239.0 +4 280
12/23/25 2025 Timberwolves 115 home Knicks 104 -7.0 230.0 -11 219
12/21/25 2025 Timberwolves 103 home Bucks 100 -12.5 226.5 -3 203
12/19/25 2025 Timberwolves 112 home Thunder 107 +5.5 232.5 -5 219
Home Games Avg (5 games) 111.8 - - 105.6 -6.4 230.4 -6.2 217.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 120.1 - - 112.7 -5.8 235.0 -7.4 232.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
9:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Utah Jazz
Mavericks: 14-23 (37.8%)
Jazz: 12-24 (33.3%)
Line: +6.5
Total: 239.5
Open: +6.0
Open: 241.5
Notes
Mavericks
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
In-season revenge
Baller System(s)
Back road favorite between two bad teams Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 53 - 43 - 3 (55.2%)L365 Days: 11 - 13 - 1 (45.8%)Current Season: 5 - 5 - 1 (50.0%)
Jazz
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Coming off an Overtime game
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Mavericks
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/15/25 2025 Jazz 140 Home Mavericks 133 +1.5 240.5 -7 273
11/30/24 2024 Jazz 94 Home Mavericks 106 +6.0 230.0 +12 200
11/14/24 2024 Jazz 115 Home Mavericks 113 +8.0 230.5 -2 228
10/28/24 2024 Jazz 102 Away Mavericks 110 +12.0 232.0 +8 212
03/25/24 2023 Jazz 105 Home Mavericks 115 +8.0 236.0 +10 220
03/21/24 2023 Jazz 97 Away Mavericks 113 +14.0 237.5 +16 210
01/01/24 2023 Jazz 127 Home Mavericks 90 +3.5 246.0 -37 217
12/06/23 2023 Jazz 97 Away Mavericks 147 +11.5 235.0 +50 244
03/07/23 2022 Jazz 116 Away Mavericks 120 -11.0 223.0 +4 236
02/06/23 2022 Jazz 111 Home Mavericks 124 -9.5 222.0 +13 235
Jazz as Home (6 games) 115.3 - - 113.5 +2.9 234.2 -1.8 228.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.4 - - 117.1 +4.4 233.3 +6.7 227.5
Schedules
Mavericks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/12/26 2025 Mavericks - home Nets - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Mavericks - away Bulls - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Mavericks - away Jazz - -6.5 239.5 - -
01/06/26 2025 Mavericks 100 away Kings 98 -4.5 234.5 -2 198
01/03/26 2025 Mavericks 110 home Rockets 104 +7.5 228.5 -6 214
01/01/26 2025 Mavericks 108 home Seventysixers 123 +2.5 231.5 +15 231
12/29/25 2025 Mavericks 122 away Trailblazers 125 +2.5 232.5 +3 247
12/27/25 2025 Mavericks 107 away Kings 113 -2.5 233.5 +6 220
12/25/25 2025 Mavericks 116 away Warriors 126 +9.5 230.5 +10 242
12/23/25 2025 Mavericks 131 home Nuggets 130 +6.0 236.5 -1 261
12/22/25 2025 Mavericks 113 away Pelicans 119 -1.5 241.5 +6 232
12/20/25 2025 Mavericks 114 away Seventysixers 121 +1.0 226.5 +7 235
12/18/25 2025 Mavericks 116 home Pistons 114 +5.5 230.5 -2 230
Away Games Avg (6 games) 112.0 - - 117.0 +0.8 233.2 +5.0 229.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.7 - - 117.3 +2.6 232.6 +3.6 231.0
Jazz Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/12/26 2025 Jazz - away Cavaliers - - - - -
01/10/26 2025 Jazz - home Hornets - - - - -
01/08/26 2025 Jazz - home Mavericks - +6.5 239.5 - -
01/07/26 2025 Jazz 125 away Thunder 129 +19.5 242.5 +4 254
01/05/26 2025 Jazz 117 away Trailblazers 137 +5.5 242.5 +20 254
01/03/26 2025 Jazz 114 away Warriors 123 +12.5 248.5 +9 237
01/01/26 2025 Jazz 101 away Clippers 118 +13.5 230.5 +17 219
12/30/25 2025 Jazz 119 home Celtics 129 +8.5 243.5 +10 248
12/27/25 2025 Jazz 127 away Spurs 114 +14.5 244.5 -13 241
12/26/25 2025 Jazz 131 home Pistons 129 +9.5 245.5 -2 260
12/23/25 2025 Jazz 128 home Grizzlies 137 +4.0 242.0 +9 265
12/22/25 2025 Jazz 112 away Nuggets 135 +12.5 251.5 +23 247
12/20/25 2025 Jazz 127 home Magic 128 +7.5 240.0 +1 255
Home Games Avg (4 games) 126.3 - - 130.8 +7.4 242.8 +4.5 257.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 120.1 - - 127.9 +10.8 243.1 +7.8 248.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load