MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 8 – 6
Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels

Guardians: 2-4 (33.3%) | Gavin Williams (R): 0-1 (0.0%)

Angels: 4-2 (66.7%) | Jose Soriano (R): 1-0 (100.0%)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Guardians

-115

-1.5 (+146)

o3.5 (-141)

8.0

Angels

-103

+1.5 (-174)

o3.5 (-121)

Open

Guardians

-117

-1.5 (+143)

o3.5 (-141)

8.0

Angels

+100

+1.5 (-172)

o3.5 (-121)

Odds Full MLB odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report CLENo report LAANo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. Compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to see where the model and the market disagree. Regular season only.

Guardians

G. Williams	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Angels

J. Soriano	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

Loading regression analysis...

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Guardians Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/06/25 2025	Guardians Luis Ortiz (R)	-	@	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	-	-112	9.5
04/05/25 2025	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	-	@	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	-	-148	8.5
04/04/25 2025	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	-	@	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	-	-116	8.0
04/02/25 2025	Guardians Ben Lively (R)	2	@	Padres Dylan Cease (R)	5	+160	7.5
04/01/25 2025	Guardians Logan Allen (L)	0	@	Padres Michael King (R)	7	+146	7.5
03/31/25 2025	Guardians Luis Ortiz (R)	2	@	Padres Kyle Hart (L)	7	+110	7.5
03/30/25 2025	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	6	@	Royals Michael Wacha (R)	2	-102	7.0
03/29/25 2025	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	3	@	Royals Seth Lugo (R)	4	+100	9.0
03/27/25 2025	Guardians Ben Lively (R)	7	@	Royals Cole Ragans (L)	4 F/10	+144	8.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/19/24 2024	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	2	vs.	Yankees Carlos Rodon (L)	5	-102	7.5
10/18/24 2024	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	6	vs.	Yankees Luis Gil (R)	8	+102	7.5
10/17/24 2024	Guardians Matthew Boyd (L)	7	vs.	Yankees Clarke Schmidt (R)	5	-100	7.5
10/15/24 2024	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	3	@	Yankees Gerrit Cole (R)	6	+144	7.0

Away Games Avg (6 games this season)		3.3	-	-	4.8	+124	7.8

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		3.3	-	-	4.8	+124	7.8

Angels Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/06/25 2025	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	-	vs.	Guardians Luis Ortiz (R)	-	-104	9.5
04/05/25 2025	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	-	vs.	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	-	+126	8.5
04/04/25 2025	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	-	vs.	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	-	-102	8.0
04/02/25 2025	Angels Yusei Kikuchi (L)	5	@	Cardinals Sonny Gray (R)	12	+120	8.5
04/01/25 2025	Angels Kyle Hendricks (R)	9	@	Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (L)	7 F/11	+120	8.5
03/31/25 2025	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	5	@	Cardinals Miles Mikolas (R)	4 F/10	+132	8.0
03/30/25 2025	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	3	@	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	2	-126	8.5
03/29/25 2025	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	1	@	White Sox Jonathan Cannon (R)	0	-160	8.0
03/27/25 2025	Angels Yusei Kikuchi (L)	1	@	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	8	-164	7.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/29/24 2024	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	0	vs.	Rangers Nathan Eovaldi (R)	8	+126	7.5
09/28/24 2024	Angels Griffin Canning (R)	8	vs.	Rangers Andrew Heaney (L)	9	+120	8.5
09/27/24 2024	Angels Reid Detmers (L)	2	vs.	Rangers Jacob deGrom (R)	5	+132	7.5
09/26/24 2024	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	0	@	White Sox Chris Flexen (R)	7	-134	7.5

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		4.0	-	-	5.5	-109	8.2

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Gavin Williams's mix vs. LAA bats

Gavin Williams's pitches			LAA hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	36.9%	96.6	26.2% 30th	21.4% 3rd	.241 22nd	.337 17th	.337 23rd	.664 7th	.327 5th	45.4% 23rd	13.6% 4th	90.4 24th
Knuckle Curve	22.1%	82.0	39.2% 22nd	31.3% 11th	.173 23rd	.269 29th	.237 22nd	.451 27th	.182 17th	33.2% 28th	7.4% 17th	87.1 26th
Sweeper	20.1%	86.5	38.2% 30th	27.9% 9th	.161 30th	.281 25th	.237 29th	.461 28th	.180 26th	25.9% 29th	7.2% 22nd	84.5 26th
Cutter	14.3%	91.7	25.8% 29th	28.4% 24th	.250 24th	.318 25th	.340 21st	.559 17th	.241 14th	35.6% 28th	7.9% 23rd	85.6 30th
Sinker	6.5%	95.9	15.9% 28th	22.2% 4th	.256 29th	.343 5th	.359 6th	.546 4th	.203 7th	42.3% 24th	7.3% 13th	89.0 20th
Changeup	0.1%	87.6	32.6% 22nd	36.0% 26th	.197 28th	.312 18th	.252 29th	.523 7th	.211 7th	33.5% 16th	9.1% 3rd	86.0 18th
Whole mix, by usage			30.8% 30th	26.0% 5th	.212 30th	.308 29th	.297 28th	.553 22nd	.245 12th	37.2% 30th	9.7% 16th	87.7 29th

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Gavin Williams's; every other column is LAA's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is LAA's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Jose Soriano's mix vs. CLE bats

Jose Soriano's pitches			CLE hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
Sinker	49.1%	97.2	13.5% 13th	23.3% 8th	.268 25th	.307 29th	.320 30th	.451 29th	.144 29th	37.6% 30th	4.3% 30th	89.0 20th
Knuckle Curve	26.7%	85.2	27.1% 2nd	32.8% 15th	.208 17th	.327 19th	.307 5th	.708 4th	.381 2nd	39.2% 21st	17.4% 2nd	88.6 17th
Split-Finger	9.2%	92.3	29.2% 5th	33.7% 15th	.234 8th	.324 13th	.270 8th	.480 19th	.156 22nd	29.4% 28th	5.0% 25th	85.3 27th
4-Seam Fastball	8.6%	97.9	19.5% 7th	22.8% 10th	.248 18th	.332 19th	.333 26th	.584 25th	.252 25th	42.2% 29th	9.3% 27th	90.4 24th
Slider	6.0%	89.2	33.1% 15th	33.2% 25th	.229 15th	.314 25th	.290 19th	.565 13th	.251 10th	40.9% 9th	9.0% 15th	88.4 10th
Changeup	0.4%	86.9	29.2% 9th	33.5% 15th	.221 19th	.296 28th	.265 25th	.447 29th	.151 27th	31.2% 26th	5.1% 28th	85.7 22nd
Whole mix, by usage			20.3% 4th	27.4% 11th	.245 21st	.316 25th	.311 15th	.541 13th	.224 8th	37.8% 29th	8.6% 9th	88.6 23rd

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Jose Soriano's; every other column is CLE's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is CLE's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Gavin Williams Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
3/29	KCR [ 4 ]	CLE [ 3 ]	+100	9	5	74	2	1	4	0	2	2	Seth Lugo (R)
10/18	CLE [ 6 ]	NYY [ 8 ]	+102	7.5	2.33	40	4	0	3	2	3	3	Luis Gil (R)
9/22	STL [ 2 ]	CLE [ 1 ]	+110	7.5	5.67	86	3	2	4	0	1	1	Andre Pallante (R)
9/17	CLE [ 1 ]	MIN [ 4 ]	-126	8.5	5	89	7	2	5	0	2	2	Zebby Matthews (R)
9/12	CLE [ 2 ]	TBR [ 5 ]	-134	7.5	5.33	90	5	2	7	1	3	3	Ryan Pepiot (R)
Averages:					4.67	75.8	4.2	1.4	4.6	0.6	2.2	2.2

Jose Soriano Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
3/29	CHW [ 0 ]	LAA [ 1 ]	-160	8	7	73	5	2	2	0	0	0	Jonathan Cannon (R)
8/16	LAA [ 3 ]	ATL [ 2 ]	+136	8	3.33	76	5	3	3	0	2	2	Spencer Schwellenbach (R)
8/9	WSN [ 3 ]	LAA [ 2 ]	-104	9	6	88	7	1	4	0	1	1	Mitchell Parker (L)
8/3	LAA [ 5 ]	NYM [ 4 ]	+108	9	6	93	6	2	5	0	0	0	David Peterson (L)
7/28	LAA [ 8 ]	ATH [ 6 ]	-142	9.5	2.67	62	2	2	5	0	3	6	Osvaldo Bido (R)
Averages:					5	78.4	5	2	3.8	0	1.2	1.8

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

CLE Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	4/1	4/2	4/3	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Joey Cantillo	2.0 (43)	·	·	1	2.0	43	1	2	2	1
Cade Smith	·	1.0 (12)	·	1	1.0	12	0	0	0	0
Emmanuel Clase	·	1.0 (9)	·	1	1.0	9	0	0	1	0
Tim Herrin	·	1.0 (16)	·	1	1.0	16	1	0	1	1
Jakob Junis	·	0.2 (20)	·	1	0.2	20	0	0	1	0
Paul Sewald	0.2 (13)	·	·	1	0.2	13	1	0	1	0
Team Totals (6 arms used):				6	6.1	113	3	2	6	2

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

LAA Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	4/1	4/2	4/3	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Ian Anderson ⚠	1.0 (11)	1.0 (35)	·	2	2.0	46	3	1	6	4
Ben Joyce	1.0 (15)	·	·	1	1.0	15	0	0	1	0
Kenley Jansen	1.0 (11)	·	·	1	1.0	11	1	0	0	0
Ryan Johnson	1.0 (18)	·	·	1	1.0	18	0	1	2	0
Brock Burke	·	0.2 (28)	·	1	0.2	28	1	2	2	4
Ryan Zeferjahn	0.2 (8)	·	·	1	0.2	8	1	0	0	0
Garrett McDaniels	0.1 (18)	·	·	1	0.1	18	1	2	1	2
Reid Detmers	·	0.1 (4)	·	1	0.1	4	1	0	0	0
Team Totals (8 arms used):				9	7.0	148	8	6	12	10

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

Notable Trends

The Angels are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Angels are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over

View All Records

Angels (Home)

The Angels are 57.1% (4-3) on the moneyline

The Angels are 0% (0-1) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Angels are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Angels are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home dog

The Angels are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Angels are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Angels are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Angels are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Guardians (Away)

The Guardians are 42.9% (3-4) on the moneyline

The Guardians are 100% (1-0) on the moneyline as an away fav

The Guardians are 57.1% (4-3) to the over

The Guardians are 100% (1-0) to the over as an away fav

The Guardians are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Guardians are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away fav

The Guardians are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Guardians are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/26/24 2024	Angels Reid Detmers (L)	4	vs.	Guardians Ben Lively (R)	5	-104	8.5	+1	O 9 +0.5
05/25/24 2024	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	3	vs.	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	4	+122	8.0	+1	U 7 -1.0
05/24/24 2024	Angels Patrick Sandoval (L)	4	vs.	Guardians Logan Allen (L)	10	-104	7.5	+6	O 14 +6.5
05/05/24 2024	Angels Griffin Canning (R)	1	@	Guardians Carlos Carrasco (R)	4	+130	8.0	+3	U 5 -3.0
05/04/24 2024	Angels Reid Detmers (L)	1	@	Guardians Ben Lively (R)	7	+110	8.0	+6	P 8 0.0
05/03/24 2024	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	6	@	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	0	+172	7.5	-6	U 6 -1.5

Angels as Home (3 games)		3.7	-	-	6.3	+104	8.0	+2.7	O 10.0 +2.0

All Games Avg (6 games)		3.2	-	-	5.0	+118	7.9	+1.8	O 8.2 +0.3

MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 8 – 6 Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Cleveland Guardians", home_team: "Los Angeles Angels", game_date: "2025-04-04" };

Odds Full MLB odds board

Injury Report CLENo report LAANo report

Guardians

Angels

Filters

Schedules

Guardians Schedule Follow global filters

Angels Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Angels (Home)

Guardians (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Final: 8 – 6
Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels