MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 2 – 6
Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers

Rays: 2-2 (50.0%) | Shane McClanahan (L): 0-0 (0.0%) | Market Rating: +0.5% (-102)

Brewers: 3-1 (75.0%) | Brandon Woodruff (R): 0-0 (0.0%) | Market Rating: +3.8% (-116) | Home Field: +2.6% (-111)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Rays

+107

+1.5 (-209)

o3.5 (-107)

7.5

Brewers

-126

-1.5 (+171)

o3.5 (-123)

Open

Rays

+115

+1.5 (-193)

o3.5 (-107)

7.5

Brewers

-136

-1.5 (+160)

o3.5 (-123)

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Games
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Injury Report TBNo report MILNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. Compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to see where the model and the market disagree. Regular season only.

Rays

S. McClanahan	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Brewers

B. Woodruff	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Rays Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/03/26 2026	Rays Joe Boyle (R)	-	@	Twins Bailey Ober (R)	-	-106	7.5
04/01/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	-	@	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	-	+119	7.0
03/31/26 2026	Rays Shane McClanahan (L)	-	@	Brewers Brandon Woodruff (R)	-	+113	7.5
03/30/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	3	@	Brewers Kyle Harrison (L)	2	-	8.0
03/29/26 2026	Rays Steven Matz (L)	11	@	Cardinals Dustin May (R)	7	-114	8.0
03/28/26 2026	Rays Joe Boyle (R)	5	@	Cardinals Michael McGreevy (R)	6 F/10	-107	7.5
03/26/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	7	@	Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (L)	9	-129	8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/28/25 2025	Rays Ian Seymour (L)	4	@	Blue Jays Kevin Gausman (R)	13	+165	7.5
09/27/25 2025	Rays Joe Boyle (R)	1	@	Blue Jays Trey Yesavage (R)	5	+137	8.5
09/26/25 2025	Rays Adrian Houser (R)	2	@	Blue Jays Shane Bieber (R)	4	+192	-
09/25/25 2025	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	5	@	Orioles Cade Povich (L)	6	-118	8.5
09/24/25 2025	Rays Shane Baz (R)	6	@	Orioles Tyler Wells (R)	2	+104	8.0
09/23/25 2025	Rays Ryan Pepiot (R)	0	@	Orioles Dean Kremer (R)	6	-113	-

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		6.5	-	-	6.0	-116	7.9

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		6.5	-	-	6.0	-116	7.9

Brewers Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/03/26 2026	Brewers Chad Patrick (R)	-	@	Royals Luinder Avila (R)	-	-	9.0
04/01/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	-	vs.	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	-	-129	7.0
03/31/26 2026	Brewers Brandon Woodruff (R)	-	vs.	Rays Shane McClanahan (L)	-	-122	7.5
03/30/26 2026	Brewers Kyle Harrison (L)	2	vs.	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	3	-	8.0
03/29/26 2026	Brewers Brandon Sproat (R)	9	vs.	White Sox Anthony Kay (L)	7	-138	8.5
03/28/26 2026	Brewers Chad Patrick (R)	6	vs.	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	1	-191	8.0
03/26/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	14	vs.	White Sox Shane Smith (R)	2	-185	8.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/17/25 2025	Brewers Jose Quintana (L)	1	@	Dodgers Shohei Ohtani (R)	5	+163	7.5
10/16/25 2025	Brewers Aaron Ashby (L)	1	@	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	3	+140	7.5
10/14/25 2025	Brewers Freddy Peralta (R)	1	vs.	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	5	-	-
10/13/25 2025	Brewers Aaron Ashby (L)	1	vs.	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	2	+127	7.5
10/11/25 2025	Brewers Trevor Megill (R)	3	vs.	Cubs Drew Pomeranz (L)	1	-135	7.5
10/09/25 2025	Brewers Freddy Peralta (R)	0	@	Cubs Matthew Boyd (L)	6	-119	7.0

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		7.8	-	-	3.3	-169	8.1

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		7.8	-	-	3.3	-169	8.1

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Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Shane McClanahan's mix vs. MIL bats

Shane McClanahan's pitches			MIL hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	38.5%	95.6	21.0% 12th	26.6% 9th	.272 2nd	.351 4th	.344 9th	.586 18th	.235 24th	47.4% 6th	8.9% 24th	90.2 18th
Changeup	28.2%	86.9	30.2% 9th	30.1% 1st	.229 9th	.302 24th	.275 17th	.425 29th	.123 28th	31.0% 23rd	3.4% 30th	84.4 28th
Slider	18.4%	88.2	32.1% 10th	30.0% 1st	.218 19th	.316 18th	.270 25th	.484 27th	.168 30th	39.9% 5th	5.6% 30th	87.9 10th
Curveball	14.9%	82.2	27.8% 10th	24.6% 1st	.246 2nd	.328 11th	.275 18th	.498 16th	.170 22nd	32.5% 23rd	7.8% 13th	85.4 25th
Whole mix, by usage			26.7% 6th	27.9% 1st	.246 1st	.327 12th	.301 16th	.509 27th	.181 28th	39.2% 13th	6.6% 28th	87.4 24th

2026 season totals. Usage and Velo are Shane McClanahan's; every other column is MIL's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is MIL's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Brandon Woodruff's mix vs. TBR bats

Brandon Woodruff's pitches			TBR hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	44.3%	91.8	19.0% 2nd	29.2% 23rd	.244 17th	.300 30th	.315 29th	.501 29th	.201 29th	39.4% 29th	7.1% 29th	88.6 30th
Changeup	20.9%	82.4	26.9% 2nd	35.5% 15th	.258 1st	.328 5th	.293 3rd	.462 22nd	.134 25th	28.6% 27th	4.1% 27th	84.8 24th
Sinker	19.3%	92.4	9.0% 1st	27.5% 24th	.290 8th	.301 30th	.312 30th	.419 30th	.118 30th	37.8% 30th	4.4% 30th	86.7 30th
Cutter	10.4%	88.5	16.0% 1st	27.9% 9th	.310 3rd	.313 23rd	.330 24th	.455 29th	.142 30th	32.7% 26th	5.9% 27th	85.7 28th
Curveball	4.4%	76.2	23.2% 1st	27.1% 7th	.237 4th	.340 5th	.283 10th	.478 24th	.138 27th	33.6% 20th	4.1% 29th	84.4 29th
Sweeper	0.8%	79.2	23.2% 1st	30.3% 10th	.209 11th	.270 30th	.258 22nd	.436 29th	.166 27th	29.5% 24th	5.0% 29th	84.1 28th
Whole mix, by usage			18.6% 1st	30.0% 20th	.262 3rd	.309 30th	.310 29th	.471 30th	.162 30th	35.8% 29th	5.7% 30th	86.9 30th

2026 season totals. Usage and Velo are Brandon Woodruff's; every other column is TBR's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is TBR's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Shane McClanahan Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
Averages:					0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0

Brandon Woodruff Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
9/17	MIL [ 9 ]	LAA [ 2 ]	-240	7.5	5	69	9	0	2	1	1	1	Jose Soriano (R)
9/6	PIT [ 1 ]	MIL [ 4 ]	-156	8	6	85	8	0	2	0	0	0	Mitch Keller (R)
8/31	TOR [ 8 ]	MIL [ 4 ]	-116	7.5	4.33	89	3	2	10	0	5	8	Max Scherzer (R)
8/25	MIL [ 7 ]	ARI [ 5 ]	-178	8	5.67	97	8	1	5	1	5	5	Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
8/19	CHC [ 4 ]	MIL [ 1 ]	-118	7	4.33	94	6	3	5	0	3	3	Jameson Taillon (L)
Averages:					5.07	86.8	6.8	1.2	4.8	0.4	2.8	3.4

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

TBR Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	3/28	3/29	3/30	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Bryan Baker ⚠	1.0 (13)	1.0 (10)	·	2	2.0	23	2	0	0	0
Garrett Cleavinger ⚠	·	1.0 (23)	1.0 (16)	2	2.0	39	3	4	1	0
Cole Sulser	2.0 (41)	·	·	1	2.0	41	2	1	2	1
Griffin Jax	0.1 (9)	·	1.0 (15)	2	1.1	24	1	1	1	1
Kevin Kelly ⚠	·	1.0 (10)	0.1 (5)	2	1.1	15	1	0	1	0
Mason Englert	·	1.0 (24)	·	1	1.0	24	1	0	3	3
Ian Seymour	·	·	0.2 (8)	1	0.2	8	1	0	0	0
Team Totals (7 arms used):				11	10.1	174	11	6	8	5

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

MIL Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	3/28	3/29	3/30	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Aaron Ashby	1.2 (33)	·	2.0 (24)	2	3.2	57	7	2	2	1
Angel Zerpa	1.0 (17)	·	1.0 (10)	2	2.0	27	2	0	2	0
Trevor Megill ⚠	·	1.0 (15)	1.0 (20)	2	2.0	35	3	1	2	1
Grant Anderson	·	2.0 (31)	·	1	2.0	31	3	1	1	0
Jake Woodford	·	2.0 (22)	·	1	2.0	22	1	0	1	0
Abner Uribe	1.0 (14)	·	·	1	1.0	14	2	0	0	0
DL Hall	1.0 (18)	·	·	1	1.0	18	1	1	0	0
Jared Koenig	·	1.0 (13)	·	1	1.0	13	3	0	0	0
Team Totals (8 arms used):				11	14.2	217	22	5	8	2

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Brewers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Brewers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Rays are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

View All Records

Brewers (Home)

The Brewers are 59.1% (104-72) on the moneyline

The Brewers are 69.1% (47-21) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Brewers are 51.7% (89-83-4) to the under

The Brewers are 53.7% (36-31-1) to the over as a home fav

The Brewers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Brewers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Brewers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Brewers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Rays (Away)

The Rays are 47.3% (79-88) on the moneyline

The Rays are 40.7% (24-35) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Rays are 52.2% (82-75-10) to the under

The Rays are 52.7% (29-26-4) to the under as an away dog

The Rays are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Rays are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Rays are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Rays are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/30/26 2026	Brewers Kyle Harrison (L)	2	vs.	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	3	-	8.0	+1	U 5 -3.0
05/11/25 2025	Brewers Chad Patrick (R)	4	@	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	2	+120	9.0	-2	U 6 -3.0
05/10/25 2025	Brewers Tobias Myers (R)	2	@	Rays Taj Bradley (R)	3	+110	9.5	+1	U 5 -4.5
05/09/25 2025	Brewers Jose Quintana (L)	3	@	Rays Zack Littell (R)	4	-116	9.5	+1	U 7 -2.5

Brewers as Home (1 games)		2.0	-	-	3.0	-	8.0	+1.0	U 5.0 -3.0

All Games Avg (4 games)		2.8	-	-	3.0	+104	9.0	+0.3	U 5.8 -3.3

MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 2 – 6 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Tampa Bay Rays", home_team: "Milwaukee Brewers", game_date: "2026-03-31" };

Odds Full MLB odds board

Injury Report TBNo report MILNo report

Rays

Brewers

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Schedules

Rays Schedule Follow global filters

Brewers Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Brewers (Home)

Rays (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Final: 2 – 6
Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers