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Our Baller Exclusive NFL base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Model output will show after week 3.


Panthers Situational Notes

Saints Situational Notes

Panthers Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/15CAR
(7d rest)
CAR +5
LAC -5
39LAC
(7d rest)
---
9/8NO
(0d rest)
CAR +3.5
NO -3.5
41.5CAR
(0d rest)
---

Saints Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/15DAL
(7d rest)
NO +6.5
DAL -6.5
47NO
(7d rest)
---
9/8NO
(0d rest)
NO -3.5
CAR +3.5
41.5CAR
(0d rest)
---

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Yds. Rush Rec Plays Yds/Play Yds/Pt Int Fum
11/3/24
Week 9
CAR
(7d rest)
NO -1
CAR +1
40.5NO
(7d rest)
---NO
CAR
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-


9/8/24
Week 1
NO
(0d rest)
NO -3.5
CAR +3.5
41.5CAR
(0d rest)
---NO
CAR
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2
0
1
1
12/10/23
Week 14
NO [ 28 ]
(7d rest)
NO -5.5
CAR +5.5
39.5CAR [ 6 ]
(7d rest)
+22+16.5-5.5NO
CAR
216
341
97
204
119
137
53
82
4.1
4.2
7.7
36
0
1
0
3
9/18/23
Week 2
CAR [ 17 ]
(8d rest)
NO -3
CAR +3
39.5NO [ 20 ]
(8d rest)
+30-2.5NO
CAR
370
253
134
100
236
153
76
59
4.9
4.3
18.5
21.8
0
1
0
1
1/8/23
Week 18
NO [ 7 ]
(7d rest)
NO -3.5
CAR +3.5
41.5CAR [ 10 ]
(7d rest)
-3-6.5-24.5NO
CAR
314
214
143
171
171
43
60
59
5.2
3.6
44.9
31.4
2
0
1
3
9/25/22
Week 3
CAR [ 22 ]
(7d rest)
NO -2
CAR +2
41NO [ 14 ]
(7d rest)
-8-10-5NO
CAR
437
315
84
145
353
170
66
60
6.6
5.3
31.2
19.9
0
2
3
0
1/2/22
Week 17
NO [ 18 ]
(6d rest)
NO -6.5
CAR +6.5
37CAR [ 10 ]
(7d rest)
+8+1.5-9NO
CAR
295
220
73
88
222
132
62
61
4.8
3.6
16.4
29.5
1
0
0
1
9/19/21
Week 2
CAR [ 26 ]
(7d rest)
NO -3
CAR +3
45NO [ 7 ]
(7d rest)
-19-22-12NO
CAR
159
394
48
89
111
305
43
76
3.7
5.2
22.7
6.1
1
2
0
1



Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Panthers 1h--------------
Panthers -------
Saints 1h--------------
Saints -------

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Panthers 1h--------------
Panthers --------------
Saints 1h--------------
Saints --------------

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Panthers 1h--------------
Panthers --------------
Saints 1h--------------
Saints --------------

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Panthers 1h--------------
Panthers --------------
Saints 1h--------------
Saints --------------

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Panthers 1h--------------
Panthers --------------
Saints 1h--------------
Saints --------------


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Saints0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Panthers0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)