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Our Baller Exclusive NFL base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Model output will show after week 3.


Texans Situational Notes

Colts Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Texans Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/15HOU
(7d rest)
HOU -6.5
CHI +6.5
45.5CHI
(7d rest)
---
9/8IND
(0d rest)
HOU -3
IND +3
48.5HOU
(0d rest)
---

Colts Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/15GB
(9d rest)
IND -3
GB +3
41.5IND
(7d rest)
---
9/8IND
(0d rest)
IND +3
HOU -3
48.5HOU
(0d rest)
---

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Yds. Rush Rec Plays Yds/Play Yds/Pt Int Fum
10/27/24
Week 8
HOU
(7d rest)
IND +4
HOU -4
48IND
(7d rest)
---IND
HOU
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-


9/8/24
Week 1
IND
(0d rest)
IND +3
HOU -3
48.5HOU
(0d rest)
---IND
HOU
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
1
0
0
1/6/24
Week 18
IND [ 19 ]
(6d rest)
IND +1.5
HOU -1.5
46.5HOU [ 23 ]
(6d rest)
-4-2.5-4.5IND
HOU
368
324
227
60
141
264
66
57
5.6
5.7
19.4
16
0
0
1
0
9/17/23
Week 2
HOU [ 20 ]
(7d rest)
IND 0
HOU 0
40.5IND [ 31 ]
(7d rest)
+11+11+10.5IND
HOU
353
436
126
52
227
384
57
82
6.2
5.3
11.4
17.7
0
0
1
3
1/8/23
Week 18
IND [ 31 ]
(7d rest)
IND -3
HOU +3
37.5HOU [ 32 ]
(7d rest)
-1-4+25.5IND
HOU
405
370
196
59
209
311
71
65
5.7
5.7
13.1
12.7
2
2
4
2
9/11/22
Week 1
HOU [ 20 ]
(0d rest)
IND -7
HOU +7
46.5IND [ 20 ]
(0d rest)
0-7-6.5IND
HOU
529
317
177
77
352
240
93
70
5.7
4.5
26.5
26.5
0
1
5
1
12/5/21
Week 13
HOU [ 0 ]
(7d rest)
IND -10
HOU +10
45.5IND [ 31 ]
(7d rest)
+31+21-14.5IND
HOU
396
178
238
84
158
94
73
50
5.4
3.6
12.8
INF
1
0
1
1
10/17/21
Week 6
IND [ 31 ]
(6d rest)
IND -11
HOU +11
44.5HOU [ 3 ]
(7d rest)
+28+17-10.5IND
HOU
397
367
174
124
223
243
49
75
8.1
4.9
12.8
132.3
2
0
0
1



Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Texans 1h--------------
Texans -------
Colts 1h--------------
Colts -------

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Texans 1h--------------
Texans --------------
Colts 1h--------------
Colts --------------

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Texans 1h--------------
Texans --------------
Colts 1h--------------
Colts --------------

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Texans 1h--------------
Texans --------------
Colts 1h--------------
Colts --------------

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Texans 1h--------------
Texans --------------
Colts 1h--------------
Colts --------------


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Colts0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Texans0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)