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Our Baller Exclusive NFL base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Model output will show after week 3.


Raiders Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Chargers Situational Notes

Raiders Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/15BAL
(10d rest)
LV +9
BAL -9
42.5LV
(7d rest)
---
9/8LAC
(0d rest)
LV +3
LAC -3
41LV
(0d rest)
---

Chargers Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/15CAR
(7d rest)
LAC -5
CAR +5
39LAC
(7d rest)
---
9/8LAC
(0d rest)
LAC -3
LV +3
41LV
(0d rest)
---

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Yds. Rush Rec Plays Yds/Play Yds/Pt Int Fum
1/5/25
Week 18
LV
(7d rest)
LAC -1
LV +1
43.5LAC
(7d rest)
---LAC
LV
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-


9/8/24
Week 1
LAC
(0d rest)
LAC -3
LV +3
41LV
(0d rest)
---LAC
LV
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
0
0
2
12/14/23
Week 15
LV [ 63 ]
(4d rest)
LAC +3
LV -3
36.5LAC [ 21 ]
(4d rest)
-42-39+47.5LAC
LV
349
384
92
124
257
260
63
63
5.5
6.1
16.6
5.5
0
1
5
0
10/1/23
Week 4
LAC [ 24 ]
(7d rest)
LAC -6
LV +6
49LV [ 17 ]
(7d rest)
+7+1-8LAC
LV
322
314
155
76
167
238
64
70
5
4.5
13.4
18.9
1
1
1
3
12/4/22
Week 13
LV [ 27 ]
(7d rest)
LAC +2.5
LV -2.5
49LAC [ 20 ]
(7d rest)
-7-4.5-2LAC
LV
407
404
72
154
335
250
77
62
5.3
6.5
20.4
15.1
1
0
3
1
9/11/22
Week 1
LAC [ 24 ]
(0d rest)
LAC -3.5
LV +3.5
52.5LV [ 19 ]
(0d rest)
+5+1.5-9.5LAC
LV
355
359
76
64
279
295
67
58
5.3
6.2
14.8
18.7
3
0
1
3
1/9/22
Week 18
LV [ 35 ]
(7d rest)
LAC -3
LV +3
49LAC [ 32 ]
(7d rest)
-3-6+18LAC
LV
468
364
85
174
383
190
90
79
5.2
4.6
14.6
13.4
0
1
1
2
10/4/21
Week 4
LAC [ 28 ]
(8d rest)
LAC -3.5
LV +3.5
52LV [ 14 ]
(8d rest)
+14+10.5-10LAC
LV
390
244
168
48
222
196
75
57
5.2
4.3
13.9
27.9
1
0
0
2



Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Raiders 1h--------------
Raiders -------
Chargers 1h--------------
Chargers -------

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Raiders 1h--------------
Raiders --------------
Chargers 1h--------------
Chargers --------------

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Raiders 1h--------------
Raiders --------------
Chargers 1h--------------
Chargers --------------

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Raiders 1h--------------
Raiders --------------
Chargers 1h--------------
Chargers --------------

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Raiders 1h--------------
Raiders --------------
Chargers 1h--------------
Chargers --------------


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Chargers0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Raiders0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)