NFL Game Matchups & Analysis

Thu, 10/1, 8:15 p.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns

Steelers: 2-1 (66.7%) - AFC North | Market Rating: -0.38

Browns: 2-1 (66.7%) - AFC North | Market Rating: -3.68

Line: +2.5

Total: 38.5

Open: +3

Open: 38

Notes

Steelers

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Browns

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller System(s)

Back early season divisional dogs who won last matchup

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

No algorithm data available for this game.

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Records

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Schedules

Steelers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/18/26	2026	Steelers	-	away	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	45.5	-	-
10/11/26	2026	Steelers	-	home	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	47.0	-	-
10/01/26	2026	Steelers	-	away	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	38.5	-	-
09/27/26	2026	Steelers	30	home	Bengals	27	430	138	292	0	0	+3.0	42.5	-3	57 (+14.5)
09/20/26	2026	Steelers	3	away	Patriots	20	278	91	187	1	2	+4.5	41.5	+17	23 (-18.5)
09/13/26	2026	Steelers	20	home	Falcons	13	279	58	221	2	1	-6.5	40.5	-7	33 (-7.5)
01/12/26	2025	Steelers	6	home	Texans	30	211	63	148	1	2	+3.0	38.5	+24	36 (-2.5)
01/04/26	2025	Steelers	26	home	Ravens	24	394	100	294	1	0	+4.5	41.5	-2	50 (+8.5)
12/28/25	2025	Steelers	6	away	Browns	13	299	131	168	2	3	-3.5	34.5	+7	19 (-15.5)
12/21/25	2025	Steelers	29	away	Lions	24	496	230	266	0	1	+7.0	52.0	-5	53 (+1.0)
12/15/25	2025	Steelers	28	home	Dolphins	15	359	135	224	1	0	-3.5	42.0	-13	43 (+1.0)
12/07/25	2025	Steelers	27	away	Ravens	22	318	34	284	1	0	+5.5	43.5	-5	49 (+5.5)
11/30/25	2025	Steelers	7	home	Bills	26	175	58	117	1	2	+3.0	44.5	+19	33 (-11.5)
Away Games Avg (4 games)			16.3	-	-	19.8	348	122	226	1.0	1.5	+3.4	42.9	+3.5	36.0 (-6.9)
All Games Avg (10 games)			18.2	-	-	21.4	324	104	220	1.0	1.1	+1.7	42.1	+3.2	39.6 (-2.5)

Browns Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/18/26	2026	Browns	-	home	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	44.5	-	-
10/11/26	2026	Browns	-	away	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	39.0	-	-
10/01/26	2026	Browns	-	home	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	38.5	-	-
09/27/26	2026	Browns	21	home	Panthers	18	276	132	144	1	1	+2.0	42.0	-3	39 (-3.0)
09/20/26	2026	Browns	23	away	Buccaneers	19	282	44	238	1	0	+8.0	41.5	-4	42 (+0.5)
09/13/26	2026	Browns	10	away	Jaguars	34	292	87	205	0	2	+8.5	40.5	+24	44 (+3.5)
01/04/26	2025	Browns	20	away	Bengals	18	229	118	111	1	1	+9.0	47.5	-2	38 (-9.5)
12/28/25	2025	Browns	13	home	Steelers	6	264	78	186	0	0	+3.5	34.5	-7	19 (-15.5)
12/21/25	2025	Browns	20	home	Bills	23	296	160	136	0	1	+10.5	42.0	+3	43 (+1.0)
12/14/25	2025	Browns	3	away	Bears	31	227	50	177	0	0	+7.5	38.5	+28	34 (-4.5)
12/07/25	2025	Browns	29	home	Titans	31	425	61	364	1	2	-4.0	33.5	+2	60 (+26.5)
11/30/25	2025	Browns	8	home	Fortyniners	26	287	138	149	0	4	+5.5	35.5	+18	34 (-1.5)
11/23/25	2025	Browns	24	away	Raiders	10	273	64	209	0	1	+3.5	36.0	-14	34 (-2.0)
Home Games Avg (5 games)			18.2	-	-	20.8	310	114	196	0.4	1.6	+3.5	37.5	+2.6	39.0 (+1.5)
All Games Avg (10 games)			17.1	-	-	21.6	285	93	192	0.4	1.2	+5.4	39.2	+4.5	38.7 (-0.5)

Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

View All Records

Browns (Home)

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread

The Browns are 100% (1-0) against the spread at home

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Browns are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) to the over/under

The Browns are 0% (0-1) to the over/under at home

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Browns are 0% (0-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Browns are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Browns are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Browns are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Browns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Browns are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Steelers (Away)

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) against the spread away

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a fav

The Steelers are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) to the over/under away

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) to the over/under as a fav

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Steelers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Steelers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/28/25	2025	Browns	13	Home	Steelers	6	264	78	186	0	0	+3.5	34.5	-7	19
10/12/25	2025	Browns	9	Away	Steelers	23	335	100	235	0	1	+6.5	38.0	+14	32
12/08/24	2024	Browns	14	Away	Steelers	27	278	120	158	2	1	+6.0	42.5	+13	41
11/21/24	2024	Browns	24	Home	Steelers	19	304	85	219	0	3	+3.5	36.5	-5	43
11/19/23	2023	Browns	13	Home	Steelers	10	261	96	165	0	0	-2.5	34.5	-3	23
09/18/23	2023	Browns	22	Away	Steelers	26	277	55	222	1	1	-2.5	38.5	+4	48
Browns as Home (3 games)			16.7	-	-	11.7	276	86	190	0.0	1.0	+1.5	35.2	-5.0	28.3
All Games Avg (6 games)			15.8	-	-	18.5	287	89	198	0.5	1.0	+2.4	37.4	+2.7	34.3

NFL Game Matchups & Analysis

Thu, 10/1, 8:15 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Pittsburgh Steelers", home_team: "Cleveland Browns", game_date: "2026-10-01" };

Notes

Steelers

Situational Factor(s)

Browns

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Schedules

Steelers Schedule

Browns Schedule

Notable Trends

View All Records

Browns (Home)

Steelers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Thu, 10/1, 8:15 p.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns