Updated: 03/05/26 6:07 p.m.
7:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Orlando Magic
Mavericks: 21-39 (35.0%)
Magic: 31-27 (53.4%)
Line: -7.5
Total: 229.5
Open: -8.0
Open: 229.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Mavericks
Situational Factor(s)
1st game of a back-to-back
Magic
Baller System(s)
Offensive Momentum Game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 327 - 276 - 4 (54.2%)L365 Days: 64 - 47 - 2 (57.7%)Current Season: 55 - 40 - 1 (57.9%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/27/25 2024 Magic 92 Home Mavericks 101 -7.0 216.0 +9 193
11/03/24 2024 Magic 85 Away Mavericks 108 +6.5 221.0 +23 193
01/29/24 2023 Magic 129 Away Mavericks 131 +4.0 229.5 +2 260
11/06/23 2023 Magic 102 Home Mavericks 117 +1.0 230.5 +15 219
11/09/22 2022 Magic 94 Home Mavericks 87 +8.0 212.5 -7 181
10/30/22 2022 Magic 105 Away Mavericks 114 +9.0 211.5 +9 219
Magic as Home (3 games) 96.0 - - 101.7 +0.7 219.7 +5.7 197.7
All Games Avg (6 games) 101.2 - - 109.7 +3.6 220.2 +8.5 210.8
Schedules
Mavericks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Mavericks - away Raptors - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Mavericks - away Celtics - +15.0 223.0 - -
03/05/26 2025 Mavericks - away Magic - +7.5 229.5 - -
03/03/26 2025 Mavericks 90 away Hornets 117 +13.5 226.5 +27 207
03/01/26 2025 Mavericks 87 home Thunder 100 +16.5 236.5 +13 187
02/27/26 2025 Mavericks 105 home Grizzlies 124 -4.5 241.5 +19 229
02/26/26 2025 Mavericks 121 home Kings 130 -7.5 236.5 +9 251
02/24/26 2025 Mavericks 123 away Nets 114 -1.5 226.5 -9 237
02/22/26 2025 Mavericks 134 away Pacers 130 -1.5 237.5 -4 264
02/20/26 2025 Mavericks 111 away Timberwolves 122 +14.0 239.5 +11 233
02/12/26 2025 Mavericks 104 away Lakers 124 +6.5 237.5 +20 228
02/10/26 2025 Mavericks 111 away Suns 120 +8.5 229.5 +9 231
02/07/26 2025 Mavericks 125 away Spurs 138 +11.5 233.5 +13 263
Away Games Avg (7 games) 114.0 - - 123.6 +7.3 232.9 +9.6 237.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 111.1 - - 121.9 +5.6 234.5 +10.8 233.0
Magic Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Magic - away Bucks - - - - -
03/07/26 2025 Magic - away Timberwolves - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Magic - home Mavericks - -7.5 229.5 - -
03/03/26 2025 Magic 126 home Wizards 109 -16.5 227.5 -17 235
03/01/26 2025 Magic 92 home Pistons 106 +5.5 224.5 +14 198
02/26/26 2025 Magic 108 home Rockets 113 +2.5 214.5 +5 221
02/24/26 2025 Magic 110 away Lakers 109 +6.5 228.5 -1 219
02/22/26 2025 Magic 111 away Clippers 109 +4.5 215.5 -2 220
02/21/26 2025 Magic 110 away Suns 113 +3.5 218.5 +3 223
02/19/26 2025 Magic 131 away Kings 94 -8.5 226.5 -37 225
02/11/26 2025 Magic 108 home Bucks 116 -11.5 219.5 +8 224
02/09/26 2025 Magic 118 home Bucks 99 -9.5 220.5 -19 217
02/07/26 2025 Magic 120 home Jazz 117 -7.5 234.5 -3 237
Home Games Avg (6 games) 112.0 - - 110.0 -6.2 223.5 -2.0 222.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.4 - - 108.5 -3.1 223.0 -4.9 221.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
7:00 p.m.
Utah Jazz @ Washington Wizards
Jazz: 18-44 (29.0%)
Wizards: 16-45 (26.2%)
Line: -4.0
Total: 241.0
Open: -1.0
Open: 241.0
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Jazz
Situational Factor(s)
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
2nd game of a back-to-back
Wizards
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Offensive Momentum Game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 327 - 276 - 4 (54.2%)L365 Days: 64 - 47 - 2 (57.7%)Current Season: 55 - 40 - 1 (57.9%)
Offense + Scheduling Edge Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 53 - 53 - 0 (50.0%)L365 Days: 11 - 12 - 0 (47.8%)Current Season: 8 - 4 - 0 (66.7%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/19/25 2024 Wizards 112 Away Jazz 128 +2.5 234.5 +16 240
03/05/25 2024 Wizards 125 Home Jazz 122 -5.5 231.0 -3 247
03/04/24 2023 Wizards 115 Away Jazz 127 +5.0 241.5 +12 242
01/25/24 2023 Wizards 108 Home Jazz 123 +7.5 245.0 +15 231
12/22/22 2022 Wizards 112 Away Jazz 120 +7.0 232.0 +8 232
11/12/22 2022 Wizards 121 Home Jazz 112 +4.5 221.5 -9 233
Wizards as Home (3 games) 118.0 - - 119.0 +2.2 232.5 +1.0 237.0
All Games Avg (6 games) 115.5 - - 122.0 +3.5 234.3 +6.5 237.5
Schedules
Jazz Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/09/26 2025 Jazz - home Warriors - - - - -
03/07/26 2025 Jazz - away Bucks - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Jazz - away Wizards - +4.0 241.0 - -
03/04/26 2025 Jazz 102 away Seventysixers 106 +7.5 238.5 +4 208
03/02/26 2025 Jazz 125 home Nuggets 128 +11.5 242.5 +3 253
02/28/26 2025 Jazz 105 home Pelicans 115 +5.5 244.5 +10 220
02/26/26 2025 Jazz 118 home Pelicans 129 +6.5 245.5 +11 247
02/23/26 2025 Jazz 105 away Rockets 125 +13.5 228.0 +20 230
02/20/26 2025 Jazz 114 away Grizzlies 123 +2.5 237.5 +9 237
02/12/26 2025 Jazz 119 home Trailblazers 135 +6.5 236.5 +16 254
02/11/26 2025 Jazz 121 home Kings 93 -5.5 229.5 -28 214
02/09/26 2025 Jazz 115 away Heat 111 +5.5 234.5 -4 226
02/07/26 2025 Jazz 117 away Magic 120 +7.5 234.5 +3 237
Away Games Avg (5 games) 110.6 - - 117.0 +7.3 234.6 +6.4 227.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 114.1 - - 118.5 +6.1 237.2 +4.4 232.6
Wizards Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/10/26 2025 Wizards - away Heat - - - - -
03/08/26 2025 Wizards - away Pelicans - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Wizards - home Jazz - -4.0 241.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Wizards 109 away Magic 126 +16.5 227.5 +17 235
03/02/26 2025 Wizards 118 home Rockets 123 +14.5 224.5 +5 241
02/28/26 2025 Wizards 125 home Raptors 134 +13.5 229.5 +9 259
02/26/26 2025 Wizards 96 away Hawks 126 +10.5 236.5 +30 222
02/24/26 2025 Wizards 98 away Hawks 119 +12.5 236.5 +21 217
02/22/26 2025 Wizards 112 home Hornets 129 +10.5 223.5 +17 241
02/20/26 2025 Wizards 131 home Pacers 118 -1.0 228.5 -13 249
02/19/26 2025 Wizards 112 home Pacers 105 +2.5 233.5 -7 217
02/11/26 2025 Wizards 113 away Cavaliers 138 +17.5 238.5 +25 251
02/08/26 2025 Wizards 101 home Heat 132 +13.5 235.5 +31 233
Home Games Avg (6 games) 116.5 - - 123.5 +8.9 229.2 +7.0 240.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 111.5 - - 125.0 +11.1 231.4 +13.5 236.5
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7:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Miami Heat
Nets: 15-46 (24.6%)
Heat: 33-29 (53.2%)
Line: -12.5
Total: 224.0
Open: -12.5
Open: 225.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Nets
Situational Factor(s)
Double digit, in-season revenge
In-season revenge
Heat
Situational Factor(s)
1st game of a back-to-back
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
Under
55.63% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/03/26 2025 Heat 124 Home Nets 98 -12.5 226.5 -26 222
12/18/25 2025 Heat 106 Away Nets 95 -8.5 228.5 -11 201
02/07/25 2024 Heat 86 Away Nets 102 -5.0 209.0 +16 188
01/25/25 2024 Heat 106 Away Nets 97 -7.0 211.0 -9 203
12/23/24 2024 Heat 110 Home Nets 95 -9.5 210.0 -15 205
01/15/24 2023 Heat 96 Away Nets 95 -1.0 221.0 -1 191
11/25/23 2023 Heat 97 Away Nets 112 +7.5 217.0 +15 209
11/16/23 2023 Heat 122 Home Nets 115 -3.5 215.0 -7 237
11/01/23 2023 Heat 105 Home Nets 109 -7.0 222.5 +4 214
03/25/23 2022 Heat 100 Home Nets 129 -5.5 221.0 +29 229
Heat as Home (5 games) 112.2 - - 109.2 -7.6 219.0 -3.0 221.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 105.2 - - 104.7 -5.2 218.2 -0.5 209.9
Schedules
Nets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/09/26 2025 Nets - home Grizzlies - - - - -
03/07/26 2025 Nets - away Pistons - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Nets - away Heat - +12.5 224.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Nets 98 away Heat 124 +12.5 226.5 +26 222
03/01/26 2025 Nets 102 home Cavaliers 106 +12.5 224.5 +4 208
02/27/26 2025 Nets 111 away Celtics 148 +16.5 208.5 +37 259
02/26/26 2025 Nets 110 home Spurs 126 +10.5 223.5 +16 236
02/24/26 2025 Nets 114 home Mavericks 123 +1.5 226.5 +9 237
02/22/26 2025 Nets 104 away Hawks 115 +9.5 227.5 +11 219
02/20/26 2025 Nets 86 away Thunder 105 +17.0 214.5 +19 191
02/19/26 2025 Nets 84 away Cavaliers 112 +15.5 229.5 +28 196
02/11/26 2025 Nets 110 home Pacers 115 -6.5 215.5 +5 225
02/09/26 2025 Nets 123 home Bulls 115 +3.5 218.5 -8 238
Away Games Avg (5 games) 96.6 - - 120.8 +14.2 221.3 +24.2 217.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 104.2 - - 118.9 +9.3 221.5 +14.7 223.1
Heat Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Heat - home Pistons - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Heat - away Hornets - +6.0 229.5 - -
03/05/26 2025 Heat - home Nets - -12.5 224.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Heat 124 home Nets 98 -12.5 226.5 -26 222
02/28/26 2025 Heat 115 home Rockets 105 +2.5 226.5 -10 220
02/26/26 2025 Heat 117 away Seventysixers 124 +2.5 240.5 +7 241
02/24/26 2025 Heat 117 away Bucks 128 -6.5 229.5 +11 245
02/21/26 2025 Heat 136 home Grizzlies 120 -11.5 238.5 -16 256
02/20/26 2025 Heat 128 away Hawks 97 -3.5 244.5 -31 225
02/11/26 2025 Heat 123 away Pelicans 111 +1.5 233.5 -12 234
02/09/26 2025 Heat 111 home Jazz 115 -5.5 234.5 +4 226
02/08/26 2025 Heat 132 away Wizards 101 -13.5 235.5 -31 233
02/06/26 2025 Heat 96 away Celtics 98 +5.5 227.5 +2 194
Home Games Avg (4 games) 121.5 - - 109.5 -6.8 231.5 -12.0 231.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 119.9 - - 109.7 -4.1 233.7 -10.2 229.6
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7:30 p.m.
Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets
Warriors: 31-30 (50.8%)
Rockets: 38-22 (63.3%)
Line: -9.5
Total: 214.5
Open: -9.5
Open: 215.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Warriors
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Rockets
Situational Factor(s)
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
1st game of a back-to-back
1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
Under
58.75% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/26/25 2025 Rockets 104 Away Warriors 100 +3.5 224.5 -4 204
05/04/25 2024 Rockets 89 Home Warriors 103 -2.5 205.5 +14 192
05/02/25 2024 Rockets 115 Away Warriors 107 +5.5 208.5 -8 222
04/30/25 2024 Rockets 131 Home Warriors 116 -4.0 203.0 -15 247
04/28/25 2024 Rockets 106 Away Warriors 109 +3.5 203.0 +3 215
04/26/25 2024 Rockets 93 Away Warriors 104 +2.0 205.5 +11 197
04/23/25 2024 Rockets 109 Home Warriors 94 -4.0 204.5 -15 203
04/20/25 2024 Rockets 85 Home Warriors 95 -1.5 213.0 +10 180
04/06/25 2024 Rockets 106 Away Warriors 96 +5.5 226.0 -10 202
02/13/25 2024 Rockets 98 Home Warriors 105 +1.5 225.5 +7 203
Rockets as Home (5 games) 102.4 - - 102.6 -2.1 210.3 +0.2 205.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 103.6 - - 102.9 +1.0 211.9 -0.7 206.5
Schedules
Warriors Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/09/26 2025 Warriors - away Jazz - - - - -
03/07/26 2025 Warriors - away Thunder - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Warriors - away Rockets - +9.5 214.5 - -
03/02/26 2025 Warriors 101 home Clippers 114 +1.5 216.5 +13 215
02/28/26 2025 Warriors 101 home Lakers 129 +3.5 225.5 +28 230
02/25/26 2025 Warriors 133 away Grizzlies 112 -3.5 227.5 -21 245
02/24/26 2025 Warriors 109 away Pelicans 113 -1.5 229.5 +4 222
02/22/26 2025 Warriors 128 home Nuggets 117 +6.5 228.5 -11 245
02/19/26 2025 Warriors 110 home Celtics 121 +5.5 211.5 +11 231
02/11/26 2025 Warriors 113 home Spurs 126 +7.5 220.5 +13 239
02/09/26 2025 Warriors 114 home Grizzlies 113 -9.5 218.5 -1 227
02/07/26 2025 Warriors 99 away Lakers 105 +2.5 219.5 +6 204
02/05/26 2025 Warriors 101 away Suns 97 +5.5 212.5 -4 198
Away Games Avg (4 games) 110.5 - - 106.8 +0.8 222.3 -3.8 217.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.9 - - 114.7 +1.8 221.0 +3.8 225.6
Rockets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Rockets - away Spurs - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Rockets - home Trailblazers - -6.5 222.0 - -
03/05/26 2025 Rockets - home Warriors - -9.5 214.5 - -
03/02/26 2025 Rockets 123 away Wizards 118 -14.5 224.5 -5 241
02/28/26 2025 Rockets 105 away Heat 115 -2.5 226.5 +10 220
02/26/26 2025 Rockets 113 away Magic 108 -2.5 214.5 -5 221
02/25/26 2025 Rockets 128 home Kings 97 -13.5 222.5 -31 225
02/23/26 2025 Rockets 125 home Jazz 105 -13.5 228.0 -20 230
02/21/26 2025 Rockets 106 away Knicks 108 +3.5 220.5 +2 214
02/19/26 2025 Rockets 105 away Hornets 101 -4.5 218.5 -4 206
02/11/26 2025 Rockets 102 home Clippers 105 -8.5 212.5 +3 207
02/10/26 2025 Rockets 102 home Clippers 95 -9.5 213.5 -7 197
02/07/26 2025 Rockets 112 away Thunder 106 +3.5 213.5 -6 218
Home Games Avg (4 games) 114.3 - - 100.5 -11.3 219.1 -13.8 214.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 112.1 - - 105.8 -6.2 219.5 -6.3 217.9
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8:00 p.m.
Detroit Pistons @ San Antonio Spurs
Pistons: 44-15 (74.6%)
Spurs: 44-17 (72.1%)
Line: -3.0
Total: 228.0
Open: -3.5
Open: 228.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Pistons
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Double digit, in-season revenge
In-season revenge
Spurs
Situational Factor(s)
1st game of a back-to-back
1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)
Baller System(s)
Elite Team Defensive Battle Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 142 - 124 - 5 (53.4%)L365 Days: 41 - 37 - 1 (52.6%)Current Season: 8 - 5 - 0 (61.5%)
Rematch Defensive Adjustment Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 309 - 274 - 8 (53.0%)L365 Days: 59 - 60 - 0 (49.6%)Current Season: 33 - 17 - 0 (66.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/23/26 2025 Spurs 114 Away Pistons 103 +1.5 232.5 -11 217
03/25/25 2024 Spurs 96 Away Pistons 122 +8.5 233.5 +26 218
02/21/25 2024 Spurs 110 Home Pistons 125 +4.5 236.0 +15 235
04/14/24 2023 Spurs 123 Home Pistons 95 -4.5 221.5 -28 218
01/10/24 2023 Spurs 130 Away Pistons 108 -2.5 238.0 -22 238
02/10/23 2022 Spurs 131 Away Pistons 138 +6.0 235.0 +7 269
01/06/23 2022 Spurs 121 Home Pistons 109 -1.0 236.0 -12 230
Spurs as Home (3 games) 118.0 - - 109.7 -0.3 231.2 -8.3 227.7
All Games Avg (7 games) 117.9 - - 114.3 +1.8 233.2 -3.6 232.1
Schedules
Pistons Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Pistons - away Heat - - - - -
03/07/26 2025 Pistons - home Nets - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Pistons - away Spurs - +3.0 228.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Pistons 109 away Cavaliers 113 -2.5 227.5 +4 222
03/01/26 2025 Pistons 106 away Magic 92 -5.5 224.5 -14 198
02/27/26 2025 Pistons 122 home Cavaliers 119 -8.5 227.5 -3 241
02/25/26 2025 Pistons 124 home Thunder 116 -10.5 220.5 -8 240
02/23/26 2025 Pistons 103 home Spurs 114 -1.5 232.5 +11 217
02/21/26 2025 Pistons 126 away Bulls 110 -10.5 234.5 -16 236
02/19/26 2025 Pistons 126 away Knicks 111 +3.5 218.5 -15 237
02/11/26 2025 Pistons 113 away Raptors 95 +1.5 223.5 -18 208
02/09/26 2025 Pistons 110 away Hornets 104 -2.5 222.5 -6 214
02/06/26 2025 Pistons 118 home Knicks 80 -5.5 219.5 -38 198
Away Games Avg (6 games) 115.0 - - 104.2 -2.7 225.2 -10.8 219.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 115.7 - - 105.4 -4.2 225.1 -10.3 221.1
Spurs Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Spurs - home Rockets - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Spurs - home Clippers - -8.0 225.0 - -
03/05/26 2025 Spurs - home Pistons - -3.0 228.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Spurs 131 away Seventysixers 91 -7.5 231.5 -40 222
03/01/26 2025 Spurs 89 away Knicks 114 -1.5 227.5 +25 203
02/26/26 2025 Spurs 126 away Nets 110 -10.5 223.5 -16 236
02/25/26 2025 Spurs 110 away Raptors 107 -5.5 230.5 -3 217
02/23/26 2025 Spurs 114 away Pistons 103 +1.5 232.5 -11 217
02/21/26 2025 Spurs 139 home Kings 122 -18.5 230.5 -17 261
02/19/26 2025 Spurs 121 home Suns 94 -7.5 229.5 -27 215
02/11/26 2025 Spurs 126 away Warriors 113 -7.5 220.5 -13 239
02/10/26 2025 Spurs 136 away Lakers 108 -13.5 226.5 -28 244
02/07/26 2025 Spurs 138 home Mavericks 125 -11.5 233.5 -13 263
Home Games Avg (3 games) 132.7 - - 113.7 -12.5 231.2 -19.0 246.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 123.0 - - 108.7 -8.2 228.6 -14.3 231.7
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8:00 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Raptors: 35-26 (57.4%)
Timberwolves: 39-23 (62.9%)
Line: -5.0
Total: 227.0
Open: -7.0
Open: 227.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Raptors
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Timberwolves

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/04/26 2025 Timberwolves 128 Away Raptors 126 -2.5 228.5 -2 254
11/21/24 2024 Timberwolves 105 Away Raptors 110 -7.0 225.5 +5 215
10/26/24 2024 Timberwolves 112 Home Raptors 101 -15.0 219.0 -11 213
04/03/24 2023 Timberwolves 133 Home Raptors 85 -15.0 215.5 -48 218
10/25/23 2023 Timberwolves 94 Away Raptors 97 +1.0 220.5 +3 191
03/18/23 2022 Timberwolves 107 Away Raptors 122 +9.5 224.5 +15 229
01/19/23 2022 Timberwolves 128 Home Raptors 126 +4.0 233.5 -2 254
Timberwolves as Home (3 games) 124.3 - - 104.0 -8.7 222.7 -20.3 228.3
All Games Avg (7 games) 115.3 - - 109.6 -3.6 223.9 -5.7 224.9
Schedules
Raptors Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/10/26 2025 Raptors - away Rockets - - - - -
03/08/26 2025 Raptors - home Mavericks - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Raptors - away Timberwolves - +5.0 227.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Raptors 95 home Knicks 111 +2.5 221.5 +16 206
02/28/26 2025 Raptors 134 away Wizards 125 -13.5 229.5 -9 259
02/25/26 2025 Raptors 107 home Spurs 110 +5.5 230.5 +3 217
02/24/26 2025 Raptors 107 home Thunder 116 -1.5 216.5 +9 223
02/22/26 2025 Raptors 122 away Bucks 94 -4.5 219.5 -28 216
02/19/26 2025 Raptors 110 away Bulls 101 -6.5 234.5 -9 211
02/11/26 2025 Raptors 95 home Pistons 113 -1.5 223.5 +18 208
02/08/26 2025 Raptors 122 home Pacers 104 -7.5 226.5 -18 226
02/05/26 2025 Raptors 123 home Bulls 107 -7.5 227.5 -16 230
02/04/26 2025 Raptors 126 home Timberwolves 128 +2.5 228.5 +2 254
Away Games Avg (3 games) 122.0 - - 106.7 -8.2 227.8 -15.3 228.7
All Games Avg (10 games) 114.1 - - 110.9 -3.2 225.8 -3.2 225.0
Timberwolves Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/10/26 2025 Timberwolves - away Lakers - - - - -
03/07/26 2025 Timberwolves - home Magic - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Timberwolves - home Raptors - -5.0 227.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Timberwolves 117 home Grizzlies 110 -14.5 235.5 -7 227
03/01/26 2025 Timberwolves 117 away Nuggets 108 +2.5 240.5 -9 225
02/26/26 2025 Timberwolves 94 away Clippers 88 -8.5 220.5 -6 182
02/24/26 2025 Timberwolves 124 away Trailblazers 121 -6.5 234.5 -3 245
02/22/26 2025 Timberwolves 108 home Seventysixers 135 -9.5 239.5 +27 243
02/20/26 2025 Timberwolves 122 home Mavericks 111 -14.0 239.5 -11 233
02/11/26 2025 Timberwolves 133 home Trailblazers 109 -7.5 237.5 -24 242
02/09/26 2025 Timberwolves 138 home Hawks 116 -8.5 239.5 -22 254
02/08/26 2025 Timberwolves 96 home Clippers 115 -8.5 222.5 +19 211
02/06/26 2025 Timberwolves 115 home Pelicans 119 -8.5 237.5 +4 234
Home Games Avg (7 games) 118.4 - - 116.4 -10.1 235.9 -2.0 234.9
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.4 - - 113.2 -8.4 234.7 -3.2 229.6
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9:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Phoenix Suns
Bulls: 25-37 (40.3%)
Suns: 35-26 (57.4%)
Line: -11.0
Total: 225.0
Open: -11.5
Open: 224.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Bulls
Baller System(s)
Low Total Reinforcement Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 378 - 401 - 13 (48.5%)L365 Days: 82 - 80 - 0 (50.6%)Current Season: 51 - 42 - 0 (54.8%)
Suns
Situational Factor(s)
1st game of a back-to-back
Baller System(s)
Offensive Momentum Game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 327 - 276 - 4 (54.2%)L365 Days: 64 - 47 - 2 (57.7%)Current Season: 55 - 40 - 1 (57.9%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
Under
55.63% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/19/25 2024 Suns 127 Home Bulls 121 -5.5 235.5 -6 248
02/22/25 2024 Suns 121 Away Bulls 117 -5.0 240.5 -4 238
01/22/24 2023 Suns 115 Home Bulls 113 -5.5 226.5 -2 228
11/08/23 2023 Suns 116 Away Bulls 115 -1.0 218.0 -1 231
03/03/23 2022 Suns 125 Away Bulls 104 -3.0 224.5 -21 229
11/30/22 2022 Suns 132 Home Bulls 113 -5.5 227.0 -19 245
Suns as Home (3 games) 124.7 - - 115.7 -5.5 229.7 -9.0 240.3
All Games Avg (6 games) 122.7 - - 113.8 -4.3 228.7 -8.8 236.5
Schedules
Bulls Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/10/26 2025 Bulls - away Warriors - - - - -
03/08/26 2025 Bulls - away Kings - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Bulls - away Suns - +11.0 225.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Bulls 108 home Thunder 116 +9.5 231.5 +8 224
03/01/26 2025 Bulls 120 home Bucks 97 +2.5 231.5 -23 217
02/26/26 2025 Bulls 112 home Trailblazers 121 +3.5 235.5 +9 233
02/24/26 2025 Bulls 99 home Hornets 131 +8.5 232.5 +32 230
02/22/26 2025 Bulls 99 home Knicks 105 +9.5 233.5 +6 204
02/21/26 2025 Bulls 110 home Pistons 126 +10.5 234.5 +16 236
02/19/26 2025 Bulls 101 home Raptors 110 +6.5 234.5 +9 211
02/11/26 2025 Bulls 105 away Celtics 124 +13.5 227.5 +19 229
02/09/26 2025 Bulls 115 away Nets 123 -3.5 218.5 +8 238
02/07/26 2025 Bulls 120 home Nuggets 136 +8.5 235.5 +16 256
Away Games Avg (2 games) 110.0 - - 123.5 +5.0 223.0 +13.5 233.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.9 - - 118.9 +6.9 231.5 +10.0 227.8
Suns Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Suns - home Hornets - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Suns - home Pelicans - -6.0 226.0 - -
03/05/26 2025 Suns - home Bulls - -11.0 225.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Suns 114 away Kings 103 -9.5 224.5 -11 217
02/26/26 2025 Suns 113 home Lakers 110 +5.5 222.5 -3 223
02/24/26 2025 Suns 81 home Celtics 97 +5.5 207.5 +16 178
02/22/26 2025 Suns 77 home Trailblazers 92 +3.5 224.5 +15 169
02/21/26 2025 Suns 113 home Magic 110 -3.5 218.5 -3 223
02/19/26 2025 Suns 94 away Spurs 121 +7.5 229.5 +27 215
02/11/26 2025 Suns 109 home Thunder 136 +7.5 211.5 +27 245
02/10/26 2025 Suns 120 home Mavericks 111 -8.5 229.5 -9 231
02/07/26 2025 Suns 103 home Seventysixers 109 -2.5 224.5 +6 212
02/05/26 2025 Suns 97 home Warriors 101 -5.5 212.5 +4 198
Home Games Avg (8 games) 101.6 - - 108.3 +0.3 218.9 +6.6 209.9
All Games Avg (10 games) 102.1 - - 109.0 0.0 220.5 +6.9 211.1
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10:00 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings
Pelicans: 19-44 (30.2%)
Kings: 14-49 (22.2%)
Line: +5.5
Total: 234.5
Open: +4.0
Open: 231.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Pelicans
Situational Factor(s)
4th game in 6 nights
1st game of a back-to-back
Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)
Baller System(s)
Quality Gap Game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 58 - 47 - 3 (55.2%)L365 Days: 17 - 13 - 1 (56.7%)Current Season: 14 - 12 - 1 (53.9%)
Late Season Road Strength Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 376 - 311 - 16 (54.7%)L365 Days: 77 - 52 - 1 (59.7%)Current Season: 25 - 16 - 1 (61.0%)
Kings
Situational Factor(s)
Double digit, in-season revenge
In-season revenge
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/09/26 2025 Kings 94 Away Pelicans 120 +9.5 229.5 +26 214
02/13/25 2024 Kings 133 Away Pelicans 140 -8.0 236.0 +7 273
02/12/25 2024 Kings 119 Away Pelicans 111 -6.0 240.0 -8 230
02/08/25 2024 Kings 123 Home Pelicans 118 -8.0 238.5 -5 241
12/12/24 2024 Kings 111 Away Pelicans 109 -6.5 231.0 -2 220
04/19/24 2023 Kings 98 Away Pelicans 105 +1.0 211.5 +7 203
04/11/24 2023 Kings 123 Home Pelicans 135 -1.5 217.0 +12 258
01/07/24 2023 Kings 100 Home Pelicans 133 -3.5 235.5 +33 233
12/04/23 2023 Kings 117 Home Pelicans 127 -3.0 238.5 +10 244
11/22/23 2023 Kings 112 Away Pelicans 117 -1.5 236.0 +5 229
Kings as Home (4 games) 115.8 - - 128.3 -4.0 232.4 +12.5 244.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.0 - - 121.5 -2.8 231.4 +8.5 234.5
Schedules
Pelicans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Pelicans - home Wizards - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Pelicans - away Suns - +6.0 226.0 - -
03/05/26 2025 Pelicans - away Kings - -5.5 234.5 - -
03/03/26 2025 Pelicans 101 away Lakers 110 +8.5 242.5 +9 211
03/01/26 2025 Pelicans 117 away Clippers 137 +8.5 222.5 +20 254
02/28/26 2025 Pelicans 115 away Jazz 105 -5.5 244.5 -10 220
02/26/26 2025 Pelicans 129 away Jazz 118 -6.5 245.5 -11 247
02/24/26 2025 Pelicans 113 home Warriors 109 +1.5 229.5 -4 222
02/21/26 2025 Pelicans 126 home Seventysixers 111 +4.5 235.5 -15 237
02/20/26 2025 Pelicans 118 home Bucks 139 -4.0 223.5 +21 257
02/11/26 2025 Pelicans 111 home Heat 123 -1.5 233.5 +12 234
02/09/26 2025 Pelicans 120 home Kings 94 -9.5 229.5 -26 214
02/06/26 2025 Pelicans 119 away Timberwolves 115 +8.5 237.5 -4 234
Away Games Avg (5 games) 116.2 - - 117.0 +2.7 238.5 +0.8 233.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.9 - - 116.1 +0.5 234.4 -0.8 233.0
Kings Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/10/26 2025 Kings - home Pacers - - - - -
03/08/26 2025 Kings - home Bulls - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Kings - home Pelicans - +5.5 234.5 - -
03/03/26 2025 Kings 103 home Suns 114 +9.5 224.5 +11 217
03/01/26 2025 Kings 104 away Lakers 128 +12.5 235.5 +24 232
02/26/26 2025 Kings 130 away Mavericks 121 +7.5 236.5 -9 251
02/25/26 2025 Kings 97 away Rockets 128 +13.5 222.5 +31 225
02/23/26 2025 Kings 123 away Grizzlies 114 +2.5 233.5 -9 237
02/21/26 2025 Kings 122 away Spurs 139 +18.5 230.5 +17 261
02/19/26 2025 Kings 94 home Magic 131 +8.5 226.5 +37 225
02/11/26 2025 Kings 93 away Jazz 121 +5.5 229.5 +28 214
02/09/26 2025 Kings 94 away Pelicans 120 +9.5 229.5 +26 214
02/07/26 2025 Kings 126 home Cavaliers 132 +13.5 229.5 +6 258
Home Games Avg (3 games) 107.7 - - 125.7 +10.5 226.8 +18.0 233.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.6 - - 124.8 +10.1 229.8 +16.2 233.4
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10:00 p.m.
Los Angeles Lakers @ Denver Nuggets
Lakers: 37-24 (60.7%)
Nuggets: 38-24 (61.3%)
Line: -4.0
Total: 240.0
Open: -5.0
Open: 238.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Lakers
Situational Factor(s)
4th game in 6 nights
1st game of a back-to-back
Nuggets
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
1st game of a back-to-back
Baller System(s)
Elite Conference Defensive Clash Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 219 - 200 - 4 (52.3%)L365 Days: 59 - 56 - 1 (51.3%)Current Season: 42 - 36 - 0 (53.9%)
Elite Team Defensive Battle Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 142 - 124 - 5 (53.4%)L365 Days: 41 - 37 - 1 (52.6%)Current Season: 8 - 5 - 0 (61.5%)
Offensive Momentum Game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 327 - 276 - 4 (54.2%)L365 Days: 64 - 47 - 2 (57.7%)Current Season: 55 - 40 - 1 (57.9%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/20/26 2025 Nuggets 107 Home Lakers 115 +3.5 228.5 +8 222
03/19/25 2024 Nuggets 108 Away Lakers 120 +5.5 223.5 +12 228
03/14/25 2024 Nuggets 131 Home Lakers 126 -15.5 230.5 -5 257
02/22/25 2024 Nuggets 100 Home Lakers 123 -6.5 244.5 +23 223
11/23/24 2024 Nuggets 127 Away Lakers 102 +4.0 236.5 -25 229
04/29/24 2023 Nuggets 108 Home Lakers 106 -7.5 217.0 -2 214
04/27/24 2023 Nuggets 108 Away Lakers 119 -3.5 220.5 +11 227
04/25/24 2023 Nuggets 112 Away Lakers 105 +1.0 217.5 -7 217
04/22/24 2023 Nuggets 101 Home Lakers 99 -7.0 223.0 -2 200
04/20/24 2023 Nuggets 114 Home Lakers 103 -6.5 227.0 -11 217
Nuggets as Home (6 games) 110.2 - - 112.0 -6.6 228.4 +1.8 222.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 111.6 - - 111.8 -3.3 226.9 +0.2 223.4
Schedules
Lakers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/08/26 2025 Lakers - home Knicks - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Lakers - home Pacers - -12.0 235.0 - -
03/05/26 2025 Lakers - away Nuggets - +4.0 240.0 - -
03/03/26 2025 Lakers 110 home Pelicans 101 -8.5 242.5 -9 211
03/01/26 2025 Lakers 128 home Kings 104 -12.5 235.5 -24 232
02/28/26 2025 Lakers 129 away Warriors 101 -3.5 225.5 -28 230
02/26/26 2025 Lakers 110 away Suns 113 -5.5 222.5 +3 223
02/24/26 2025 Lakers 109 home Magic 110 -6.5 228.5 +1 219
02/22/26 2025 Lakers 89 home Celtics 111 +1.5 230.5 +22 200
02/20/26 2025 Lakers 125 home Clippers 122 -7.0 225.5 -3 247
02/12/26 2025 Lakers 124 home Mavericks 104 -6.5 237.5 -20 228
02/10/26 2025 Lakers 108 home Spurs 136 +13.5 226.5 +28 244
02/09/26 2025 Lakers 110 home Thunder 119 +7.5 222.5 +9 229
Away Games Avg (2 games) 119.5 - - 107.0 -4.5 224.0 -12.5 226.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 114.2 - - 112.1 -2.8 229.7 -2.1 226.3
Nuggets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/09/26 2025 Nuggets - away Thunder - - - - -
03/06/26 2025 Nuggets - home Knicks - -1.0 229.5 - -
03/05/26 2025 Nuggets - home Lakers - -4.0 240.0 - -
03/02/26 2025 Nuggets 128 away Jazz 125 -11.5 242.5 -3 253
03/01/26 2025 Nuggets 108 home Timberwolves 117 -2.5 240.5 +9 225
02/27/26 2025 Nuggets 121 away Thunder 127 +6.5 234.5 +6 248
02/25/26 2025 Nuggets 103 home Celtics 84 -3.5 228.5 -19 187
02/22/26 2025 Nuggets 117 away Warriors 128 -6.5 228.5 +11 245
02/20/26 2025 Nuggets 157 away Trailblazers 103 +1.0 240.5 -54 260
02/19/26 2025 Nuggets 114 away Clippers 115 -4.5 226.5 +1 229
02/11/26 2025 Nuggets 122 home Grizzlies 116 -14.5 239.5 -6 238
02/09/26 2025 Nuggets 117 home Cavaliers 119 -2.5 242.5 +2 236
02/07/26 2025 Nuggets 136 away Bulls 120 -8.5 235.5 -16 256
Home Games Avg (4 games) 112.5 - - 109.0 -5.8 237.8 -3.5 221.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 122.3 - - 115.4 -4.7 235.9 -6.9 237.7
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