NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

7:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks

Bucks: 1-9 (10.0%) | Market Rating: -4.82

Knicks: 5-4 (55.6%) | Market Rating: +4.94 | Home Court: +1.9 pts

Line: -15.5

Total: 222.0

Open: -15.5

Open: 219.5

Team totals: Bucks 102.5 · Knicks 118.5 (open 101.5 / 118.5)

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Injury Report as of Nov 10, 12:30 PM ET MIL2 Questionable NYK1 Questionable

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Kel'el Ware	17.3	Questionable	Left Ankle Sprain Est. return Nov 10 (Updated Nov 10)
Tyler Herro	30.7	Questionable	Right Contusion Est. return Nov 10 (Updated Nov 10)

New York Knicks

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Josh Hart	31.7	Questionable	Illness Est. return Nov 10 (Updated Nov 10)

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Est. return an estimated return date, not the team's. A day-to-day player gets his team's next game.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Baller System(s)

Big Revenge Unders

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Bucks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/13/26 2026	Bucks	-	@	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
11/11/26 2026	Bucks	-	vs.	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
11/10/26 2026	Bucks	-	@	Knicks	-	+15.5	222.0	-	-
11/08/26	Bucks	97	vs.	Celtics	117	+13.5	223.0	+20	U 214 -9.0
2026	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 133.7 Pace: 87.5			ORtg: 133.7 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 87.5
11/06/26	Bucks	107	vs.	Raptors	121	+3.5	228.0	+14	P 228 0.0
2026	ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 98.3			ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 98.3
11/04/26	Bucks	102	@	Celtics	109	+12.0	222.5	+7	U 211 -11.5
2026	ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 93.0			ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 93.0
11/02/26	Bucks	100	@	Timberwolves	112	+11.5	233.0	+12	U 212 -21.0
2026	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 97.1			ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 97.1
10/31/26	Bucks	111	vs.	Cavaliers	136	+8.5	235.5	+25	O 247 +11.5
2026	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 132.4 Pace: 102.7			ORtg: 132.4 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 102.7
10/28/26	Bucks	100	vs.	Rockets	132	+8.5	227.0	+32	O 232 +5.0
2026	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 133.6 Pace: 98.8			ORtg: 133.6 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 98.8
10/26/26	Bucks	110	vs.	Pacers	102	+3.5	239.0	-8	U 212 -27.0
2026	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 98.8			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 98.8
10/24/26	Bucks	116	@	76ers	127	+13.0	235.0	+11	O 243 +8.0
2026	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 107.3			ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 107.3
10/23/26	Bucks	125	vs.	Bulls	132	-1.5	240.5	+7	O 257 +16.5
2026	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 108.4			ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 108.4
10/21/26	Bucks	116	@	Wizards	128	+4.0	238.5	+12	O 244 +5.5
2026	ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 100.5			ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 100.5

Away Games Avg (4 games)		108.5	-	-	119.0	+10.1	232.3	+10.5 -0.4	U 227.5 -4.8
	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 99.5			ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 99.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		108.4	-	-	121.6	+7.7	232.2	+13.2 -5.6	U 230.0 -2.2
	ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 122.6 Pace: 99.2			ORtg: 122.6 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 99.2

Knicks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/13/26 2026	Knicks	-	@	Pacers	-	-2.5	233.5	-	-
11/11/26 2026	Knicks	-	vs.	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
11/10/26 2026	Knicks	-	vs.	Bucks	-	-15.5	222.0	-	-
11/07/26	Knicks	109	@	Cavaliers	97	-4.5	223.0	-12	U 206 -17.0
2026	ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 88.5			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 88.5
11/04/26	Knicks	135	vs.	Bulls	105	-11.5	234.0	-30	O 240 +6.0
2026	ORtg: 139.1 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 97.0			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 139.1 Pace: 97.0
11/02/26	Knicks	103	vs.	Nets	90	-14.5	219.0	-13	U 193 -26.0
2026	ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 86.8			ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 86.8
10/30/26	Knicks	93	@	76ers	98	-3.0	225.5	+5	U 191 -34.5
2026	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 89.2			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 89.2
10/28/26	Knicks	133	@	Bulls	127	-7.5	233.0	-6	O 260 +27.0
2026	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 121.4 Pace: 104.6			ORtg: 121.4 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 104.6
10/27/26	Knicks	111	vs.	Pistons	97	-4.5	220.5	-14	U 208 -12.5
2026	ORtg: 117.3 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 94.6			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 117.3 Pace: 94.6
10/25/26	Knicks	102	vs.	Magic	111	-7.0	224.5	+9	U 213 -11.5
2026	ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 100.9			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 100.9
10/23/26	Knicks	103	@	Celtics	107	+2.5	220.5	+4	U 210 -10.5
2026	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 90.7			ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 90.7
10/20/26	Knicks	100	vs.	76ers	106	-4.5	231.5	+6	U 206 -25.5
2026	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 103.7 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 103.7 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 102.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
06/13/26	Knicks	94	@	Spurs	90	+5.5	216.0	-4	U 184 -32.0
2025	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 90.3			ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 90.3

Home Games Avg (5 games this season)		110.2	-	-	101.8	-8.4	225.9	-8.4 0.0	U 212.0 -13.9
	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 96.3			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 96.3

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		109.9	-	-	104.2	-6.1	225.7	-5.7 -0.4	U 214.1 -11.6
	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 95.0			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 95.0

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Knicks are 77.8% (7-2) to the under

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Knicks are 75% (6-2) to the under as a fav

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home fav

The Knicks are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Knicks are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread

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Knicks (Home)

The Knicks are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread

The Knicks are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Knicks are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Knicks are 77.8% (7-2) to the under

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Knicks are 75% (6-2) to the under as a fav

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home fav

The Knicks are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Knicks are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Knicks are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Knicks are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Knicks are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Knicks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Bucks (Away)

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Bucks are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Bucks are 55.6% (5-4-1) to the over

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Bucks are 50% (4-4-1) to the over as a dog

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) to the over as an away dog

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Bucks are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Bucks are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Bucks are 50% (4-4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/27/26	Knicks	127	@	Bucks	98	-8.5	219.5	-29	O 225 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 131.5 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 96.6			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 131.5 Pace: 96.6
11/28/25	Knicks	118	vs.	Bucks	109	-7.5	232.5	-9	U 227 -5.5
2025	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 92.2			ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 92.2
10/28/25	Knicks	111	@	Bucks	121	-2.0	230.0	+10	O 232 +2.0
2025	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 96.0

Knicks as Home (1 games)		118.0	-	-	109.0	-7.5	232.5	-9.0 +1.5	U 227.0 -5.5
	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 118.3 Pace: 92.2			ORtg: 118.3 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 92.2

All Games Avg (3 games)		118.7	-	-	109.3	-6.0	227.3	-9.3 +3.3	O 228.0 +0.7
	ORtg: 125.0 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 94.9			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 125.0 Pace: 94.9

Algorithm	Model Side
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 7-5 (58.3%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 14-14-2 (50%) Medium Confidence: 10-5 (66.7%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

7:30 p.m. Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Milwaukee Bucks", home_team: "New York Knicks", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Nov 10, 12:30 PM ET MIL2 Questionable NYK1 Questionable

Notes

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Bucks Schedule Follow global filters

Knicks Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Knicks (Home)

Bucks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

7:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New York Knicks