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Updated: 01/23/26 8:07 a.m.

7:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ Detroit Pistons

Rockets: 26-16 (61.9%)

Pistons: 32-10 (76.2%)

Line: -4.5

Total: 217.5

Open: -3.5

Open: 216.5

Notes

Rockets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pistons are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Pistons are 0% (0-7) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 25% (3-9) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 0% (0-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Rockets are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Rockets are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Rockets are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Rockets are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) to the over/under away

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

The Pistons are 54.8% (23-19) against the spread

The Pistons are 52.4% (11-10) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 47.1% (16-18) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 47.1% (8-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 40.5% (17-25) to the over/under

The Pistons are 38.1% (8-13) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 41.2% (14-20) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 35.3% (6-11) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pistons are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Pistons are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 41.7% (5-7) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Pistons are 0% (0-7) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 25% (3-9) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 0% (0-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Rockets (Away)

The Rockets are 47.6% (20-22) against the spread

The Rockets are 50% (12-12) against the spread away

The Rockets are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Rockets are 100% (2-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Rockets are 47.6% (20-22) to the over/under

The Rockets are 54.2% (13-11) to the over/under away

The Rockets are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Rockets are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Rockets are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Rockets are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Rockets are 0% (0-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Rockets are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under

The Rockets are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Rockets are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/24/25	2025	Pistons	115	Away	Rockets	111	+6.5	226.5	-4	226
01/20/25	2024	Pistons	107	Away	Rockets	96	+7.5	224.0	-11	203
11/10/24	2024	Pistons	99	Home	Rockets	101	+4.0	218.5	+2	200
01/12/24	2023	Pistons	110	Home	Rockets	112	+7.0	227.0	+2	222
01/01/24	2023	Pistons	113	Away	Rockets	136	+8.5	228.0	+23	249
03/31/23	2022	Pistons	115	Away	Rockets	121	+5.5	229.0	+6	236
01/28/23	2022	Pistons	114	Home	Rockets	117	-6.0	235.0	+3	231
Pistons as Home (3 games)			107.7	-	-	110.0	+1.7	226.8	+2.3	217.7
All Games Avg (7 games)			110.4	-	-	113.4	+4.7	226.9	+3.0	223.9

Schedules

Rockets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/28/26	2025	Rockets	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
01/26/26	2025	Rockets	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Rockets	-	away	Pistons	-	+4.5	217.5	-	-
01/22/26	2025	Rockets	122	away	Seventysixers	128	-2.0	221.5	+6	250
01/20/26	2025	Rockets	111	home	Spurs	106	-4.5	220.5	-5	217
01/18/26	2025	Rockets	119	home	Pelicans	110	-13.5	232.5	-9	229
01/16/26	2025	Rockets	110	home	Timberwolves	105	-3.5	221.5	-5	215
01/15/26	2025	Rockets	91	home	Thunder	111	+4.5	221.5	+20	202
01/13/26	2025	Rockets	119	home	Bulls	113	-12.5	224.5	-6	232
01/11/26	2025	Rockets	98	away	Kings	111	-14.5	223.5	+13	209
01/09/26	2025	Rockets	105	away	Trailblazers	111	-6.5	221.5	+6	216
01/07/26	2025	Rockets	102	away	Trailblazers	103	-7.5	222.5	+1	205
01/05/26	2025	Rockets	100	home	Suns	97	-8.5	222.5	-3	197
Away Games Avg (4 games)			106.8	-	-	113.3	-7.6	222.3	+6.5	220.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.7	-	-	109.5	-6.9	223.2	+1.8	217.2

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Pistons	-	home	Kings	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Pistons	-	home	Rockets	-	-4.5	217.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Pistons	112	away	Pelicans	104	-7.5	233.5	-8	216
01/19/26	2025	Pistons	104	home	Celtics	103	-2.5	223.5	-1	207
01/17/26	2025	Pistons	121	home	Pacers	78	-16.0	225.5	-43	199
01/15/26	2025	Pistons	108	home	Suns	105	-7.5	218.5	-3	213
01/10/26	2025	Pistons	92	home	Clippers	98	-1.5	213.5	+6	190
01/07/26	2025	Pistons	108	home	Bulls	93	-7.5	227.5	-15	201
01/05/26	2025	Pistons	121	home	Knicks	90	+1.5	233.5	-31	211
01/04/26	2025	Pistons	114	away	Cavaliers	110	+3.5	239.5	-4	224
01/01/26	2025	Pistons	112	home	Heat	118	-4.5	235.5	+6	230
12/30/25	2025	Pistons	128	away	Lakers	106	-2.5	233.5	-22	234
Home Games Avg (7 games)			109.4	-	-	97.9	-5.4	225.4	-11.6	207.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.0	-	-	100.5	-4.5	228.4	-11.5	212.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Kings: 12-33 (26.7%)

Cavaliers: 25-20 (55.6%)

Line: -11.5

Total: 233.5

Open: -11.5

Open: 235.0

Notes

Kings

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Cavaliers

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Cavaliers are 28% (7-18) against the spread at home

The Kings are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread away

The Kings are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under away

The Kings are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Cavaliers (Home)

The Cavaliers are 35.6% (16-29) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 28% (7-18) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 33.3% (12-24) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 30.4% (7-16) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 46.7% (21-24) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 40% (10-15) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 47.2% (17-19) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 39.1% (9-14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 40% (2-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Kings (Away)

The Kings are 37.8% (17-28) against the spread

The Kings are 35% (7-13) against the spread away

The Kings are 36.6% (15-26) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 35% (7-13) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 46.7% (21-24) to the over/under

The Kings are 50% (10-10) to the over/under away

The Kings are 43.9% (18-23) to the over/under as a dog

The Kings are 50% (10-10) to the over/under as an away dog

The Kings are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) against the spread

The Kings are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread away

The Kings are 30.8% (4-9) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Kings are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under away

The Kings are 46.2% (6-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Kings are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/06/25	2024	Cavaliers	113	Home	Kings	120	-9.5	238.0	+7	233
03/19/25	2024	Cavaliers	119	Away	Kings	123	-6.5	228.5	+4	242
02/05/24	2023	Cavaliers	136	Home	Kings	110	-5.0	235.0	-26	246
11/13/23	2023	Cavaliers	120	Away	Kings	132	-1.0	226.5	+12	252
12/09/22	2022	Cavaliers	95	Home	Kings	106	-5.5	222.5	+11	201
11/09/22	2022	Cavaliers	120	Away	Kings	127	-4.5	228.0	+7	247
Cavaliers as Home (3 games)			114.7	-	-	112.0	-6.7	231.8	-2.7	226.7
All Games Avg (6 games)			117.2	-	-	119.7	-5.3	229.8	+2.5	236.8

Schedules

Kings Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Cavaliers	-	+11.5	233.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Kings	109	home	Raptors	122	+5.5	226.5	+13	231
01/20/26	2025	Kings	117	home	Heat	130	+4.5	238.5	+13	247
01/18/26	2025	Kings	110	home	Trailblazers	117	+1.5	230.5	+7	227
01/16/26	2025	Kings	128	home	Wizards	115	-7.5	234.5	-13	243
01/14/26	2025	Kings	112	home	Knicks	101	+10.5	229.5	-11	213
01/12/26	2025	Kings	124	home	Lakers	112	+8.5	231.0	-12	236
01/11/26	2025	Kings	111	home	Rockets	98	+14.5	223.5	-13	209
01/09/26	2025	Kings	103	away	Warriors	137	+14.5	230.5	+34	240
01/06/26	2025	Kings	98	home	Mavericks	100	+4.5	234.5	+2	198
01/04/26	2025	Kings	98	home	Bucks	115	+6.5	227.5	+17	213
Away Games Avg (1 games)			103.0	-	-	137.0	+14.5	230.5	+34.0	240.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.0	-	-	114.7	+6.3	230.7	+3.7	225.7

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/26/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
01/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Kings	-	-11.5	233.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Cavaliers	94	away	Hornets	87	-3.5	238.5	-7	181
01/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	104	home	Thunder	136	+6.5	229.5	+32	240
01/16/26	2025	Cavaliers	117	away	Seventysixers	115	+2.5	233.5	-2	232
01/14/26	2025	Cavaliers	133	away	Seventysixers	107	-1.5	236.5	-26	240
01/12/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Jazz	123	-13.0	249.5	+11	235
01/10/26	2025	Cavaliers	146	home	Timberwolves	134	-2.5	240.5	-12	280
01/08/26	2025	Cavaliers	122	away	Timberwolves	131	+3.5	239.5	+9	253
01/06/26	2025	Cavaliers	120	away	Pacers	116	-6.5	237.5	-4	236
01/04/26	2025	Cavaliers	110	home	Pistons	114	-3.5	239.5	+4	224
01/02/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	home	Nuggets	108	-13.5	239.5	-5	221
Home Games Avg (5 games)			117.0	-	-	123.0	-5.2	239.7	+6.0	240.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			117.1	-	-	117.1	-3.2	238.4	0.0	234.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Phoenix Suns @ Atlanta Hawks

Suns: 27-17 (61.4%)

Hawks: 21-25 (45.7%)

Line: +2.5

Total: 233.0

Notes

Suns

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Fade team off a close win by small margin

Fade team off win where they made many 3s

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Suns are 70.5% (31-13) against the spread

The Suns are 84.2% (16-3) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Suns are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread

The Suns are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Suns are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

The Hawks are 47.8% (22-24) against the spread

The Hawks are 35% (7-13) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 60% (15-10) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 60% (6-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Hawks are 52.2% (24-22) to the over/under

The Hawks are 45% (9-11) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 56% (14-11) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 60% (6-4) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hawks are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Hawks are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 60% (6-4) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Hawks are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Hawks are 40% (2-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Suns (Away)

The Suns are 70.5% (31-13) against the spread

The Suns are 64% (16-9) against the spread away

The Suns are 84.2% (16-3) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Suns are 43.2% (19-25) to the over/under

The Suns are 52% (13-12) to the over/under away

The Suns are 36.8% (7-12) to the over/under as a fav

The Suns are 37.5% (3-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Suns are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread

The Suns are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Suns are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Suns are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Suns are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Suns are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under away

The Suns are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Suns are 40% (2-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/16/25	2025	Hawks	124	Away	Suns	122	+1.5	226.0	-2	246
01/14/25	2024	Hawks	122	Home	Suns	117	+2.5	238.0	-5	239
01/09/25	2024	Hawks	115	Away	Suns	123	+6.0	238.0	+8	238
03/21/24	2023	Hawks	115	Away	Suns	128	+9.0	225.5	+13	243
02/02/24	2023	Hawks	129	Home	Suns	120	+3.5	249.0	-9	249
02/09/23	2022	Hawks	116	Home	Suns	107	-7.5	226.0	-9	223
02/01/23	2022	Hawks	132	Away	Suns	100	+1.0	231.0	-32	232
Hawks as Home (3 games)			122.3	-	-	114.7	-0.5	237.7	-7.7	237.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			121.9	-	-	116.7	+2.3	233.4	-5.1	238.6

Schedules

Suns Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Suns	-	away	Hawks	-	-2.5	233.0	-	-
01/20/26	2025	Suns	116	away	Seventysixers	110	-2.5	222.5	-6	226
01/19/26	2025	Suns	126	away	Nets	117	-9.5	214.5	-9	243
01/17/26	2025	Suns	106	away	Knicks	99	+1.0	223.5	-7	205
01/15/26	2025	Suns	105	away	Pistons	108	+7.5	218.5	+3	213
01/13/26	2025	Suns	121	away	Heat	127	+1.5	232.5	+6	248
01/11/26	2025	Suns	112	home	Wizards	93	-15.5	230.5	-19	205
01/09/26	2025	Suns	112	home	Knicks	107	+1.0	228.5	-5	219
01/07/26	2025	Suns	117	away	Grizzlies	98	-5.5	231.5	-19	215
01/05/26	2025	Suns	97	away	Rockets	100	+8.5	222.5	+3	197
01/04/26	2025	Suns	108	home	Thunder	105	+10.5	229.5	-3	213
Away Games Avg (7 games)			112.6	-	-	108.4	+0.1	223.6	-4.1	221.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.0	-	-	106.4	-0.3	225.4	-5.6	218.4

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/28/26	2025	Hawks	-	away	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
01/26/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Suns	-	+2.5	233.0	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Hawks	124	away	Grizzlies	122	+1.5	239.5	-2	246
01/19/26	2025	Hawks	110	home	Bucks	112	-1.5	232.5	+2	222
01/17/26	2025	Hawks	106	home	Celtics	132	+3.5	230.5	+26	238
01/15/26	2025	Hawks	101	away	Trailblazers	117	-4.0	230.5	+16	218
01/13/26	2025	Hawks	116	away	Lakers	141	+1.5	233.5	+25	257
01/11/26	2025	Hawks	124	away	Warriors	111	+7.5	237.5	-13	235
01/09/26	2025	Hawks	110	away	Nuggets	87	-3.0	229.5	-23	197
01/07/26	2025	Hawks	117	home	Pelicans	100	-10.5	246.5	-17	217
01/05/26	2025	Hawks	100	away	Raptors	118	+2.5	237.5	+18	218
01/03/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Raptors	134	+5.5	232.5	+17	251
Home Games Avg (3 games)			111.0	-	-	114.7	-2.8	236.5	+3.7	225.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.5	-	-	117.4	+0.3	235.0	+4.9	229.9

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets

Celtics: 27-16 (62.8%)

Nets: 12-30 (28.6%)

Line: +8.0

Total: 216.5

Open: +9.0

Open: 217.0

Notes

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Under system based on low totals

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Celtics

54.58% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Celtics
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	Celtics
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Celtics \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Celtics are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Celtics are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

View All Records

Nets (Home)

The Nets are 46.3% (19-22-1) against the spread

The Nets are 45.5% (10-12) against the spread at home

The Nets are 43.6% (17-22-1) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 40% (8-12) against the spread as a home dog

The Nets are 39% (16-25-1) to the over/under

The Nets are 40.9% (9-13) to the over/under at home

The Nets are 41% (16-23-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 45% (9-11) to the over/under as a home dog

The Nets are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) against the spread

The Nets are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Nets are 38.5% (5-8) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Nets are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Nets are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Nets are 46.2% (6-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Celtics (Away)

The Celtics are 58.1% (25-18) against the spread

The Celtics are 65.2% (15-8) against the spread away

The Celtics are 55.2% (16-13) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 64.3% (9-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Celtics are 41.9% (18-25) to the over/under

The Celtics are 39.1% (9-14) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 41.4% (12-17) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 35.7% (5-9) to the over/under as an away fav

The Celtics are 64.3% (9-5) (L14) against the spread

The Celtics are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Celtics are 63.6% (7-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Celtics are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Celtics are 44.4% (4-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 36.4% (4-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/21/25	2025	Nets	113	Away	Celtics	105	+13.5	221.5	-8	218
11/18/25	2025	Nets	99	Home	Celtics	113	+11.5	222.5	+14	212
03/18/25	2024	Nets	96	Away	Celtics	104	+13.5	211.0	+8	200
03/15/25	2024	Nets	113	Home	Celtics	115	+11.5	218.5	+2	228
11/13/24	2024	Nets	114	Home	Celtics	139	+10.5	218.5	+25	253
11/08/24	2024	Nets	104	Away	Celtics	108	+13.5	221.0	+4	212
02/14/24	2023	Nets	86	Away	Celtics	136	+13.0	227.0	+50	222
02/13/24	2023	Nets	110	Home	Celtics	118	+8.5	228.0	+8	228
11/10/23	2023	Nets	107	Away	Celtics	121	+11.5	229.0	+14	228
11/04/23	2023	Nets	114	Home	Celtics	124	+10.0	227.0	+10	238
Nets as Home (5 games)			110.0	-	-	121.8	+10.4	222.9	+11.8	231.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			105.6	-	-	118.3	+11.7	222.4	+12.7	223.9

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/26/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Trailblazers	-	-	-	-	-
01/24/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Nets	-	-8.0	216.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Celtics	119	home	Pacers	104	-10.5	225.5	-15	223
01/19/26	2025	Celtics	103	away	Pistons	104	+2.5	223.5	+1	207
01/17/26	2025	Celtics	132	away	Hawks	106	-3.5	230.5	-26	238
01/15/26	2025	Celtics	119	away	Heat	114	-3.0	234.5	-5	233
01/12/26	2025	Celtics	96	away	Pacers	98	-4.5	227.5	+2	194
01/10/26	2025	Celtics	95	home	Spurs	100	+1.5	231.5	+5	195
01/09/26	2025	Celtics	125	home	Raptors	117	-9.5	223.5	-8	242
01/07/26	2025	Celtics	110	home	Nuggets	114	-10.5	230.5	+4	224
01/05/26	2025	Celtics	115	home	Bulls	101	-10.5	236.5	-14	216
01/03/26	2025	Celtics	146	away	Clippers	115	+1.5	219.5	-31	261
Away Games Avg (5 games)			119.2	-	-	107.4	-1.4	227.1	-11.8	226.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.0	-	-	107.3	-4.7	228.3	-8.7	223.3

Nets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Nets	-	home	Celtics	-	+8.0	216.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Nets	66	away	Knicks	120	+12.5	219.5	+54	186
01/19/26	2025	Nets	117	home	Suns	126	+9.5	214.5	+9	243
01/18/26	2025	Nets	102	away	Bulls	124	+7.5	224.0	+22	226
01/16/26	2025	Nets	112	home	Bulls	109	-1.5	224.5	-3	221
01/14/26	2025	Nets	113	away	Pelicans	116	+1.5	232.5	+3	229
01/12/26	2025	Nets	105	away	Mavericks	113	+3.5	219.0	+8	218
01/11/26	2025	Nets	98	away	Grizzlies	103	+7.5	220.5	+5	201
01/09/26	2025	Nets	105	home	Clippers	121	+5.5	214.5	+16	226
01/07/26	2025	Nets	103	home	Magic	104	+2.5	220.5	+1	207
01/04/26	2025	Nets	127	home	Nuggets	115	+2.0	225.5	-12	242
Home Games Avg (5 games)			112.8	-	-	115.0	+3.6	219.9	+2.2	227.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			104.8	-	-	115.1	+5.1	221.5	+10.3	219.9

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks

Nuggets: 30-15 (66.7%)

Bucks: 18-25 (41.9%)

Line: -6.0

Total: 221.0

Open: -5.0

Open: 222.0

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

5th game in 7 nights

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

In-season revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Bucks are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 85.7% (6-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Bucks (Home)

The Bucks are 44.2% (19-24) against the spread

The Bucks are 40% (8-12) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 36.8% (7-12) against the spread as a fav

The Bucks are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a home fav

The Bucks are 39.5% (17-26) to the over/under

The Bucks are 50% (10-10) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 42.1% (8-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Bucks are 50% (5-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Bucks are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) against the spread

The Bucks are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Bucks are 0% (0-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Bucks are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Bucks are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Nuggets (Away)

The Nuggets are 57.8% (26-19) against the spread

The Nuggets are 64% (16-9) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 64.3% (9-5) against the spread as a dog

The Nuggets are 85.7% (6-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 60% (27-18) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 64% (16-9) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 35.7% (5-9) to the over/under as a dog

The Nuggets are 42.9% (3-4) to the over/under as an away dog

The Nuggets are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Nuggets are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 66.7% (6-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Nuggets are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 55.6% (5-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Nuggets are 40% (2-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/11/26	2025	Bucks	104	Away	Nuggets	108	-6.5	219.5	+4	212
03/26/25	2024	Bucks	117	Away	Nuggets	127	+11.5	227.5	+10	244
02/27/25	2024	Bucks	121	Home	Nuggets	112	+3.5	241.0	-9	233
02/12/24	2023	Bucks	112	Home	Nuggets	95	+1.5	231.5	-17	207
01/29/24	2023	Bucks	107	Away	Nuggets	113	+4.0	238.5	+6	220
03/25/23	2022	Bucks	106	Away	Nuggets	129	+3.0	237.0	+23	235
01/25/23	2022	Bucks	107	Home	Nuggets	99	-12.5	227.5	-8	206
Bucks as Home (3 games)			113.3	-	-	102.0	-2.5	233.3	-11.3	215.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			110.6	-	-	111.9	+0.6	231.8	+1.3	222.4

Schedules

Nuggets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Bucks	-	+6.0	221.0	-	-
01/22/26	2025	Nuggets	107	away	Wizards	97	-6.0	226.5	-10	204
01/20/26	2025	Nuggets	107	home	Lakers	115	+3.5	228.5	+8	222
01/18/26	2025	Nuggets	87	home	Hornets	110	+2.5	226.0	+23	197
01/17/26	2025	Nuggets	121	home	Wizards	115	-10.5	227.5	-6	236
01/14/26	2025	Nuggets	118	away	Mavericks	109	+1.5	224.5	-9	227
01/13/26	2025	Nuggets	122	away	Pelicans	116	-2.5	234.5	-6	238
01/11/26	2025	Nuggets	108	home	Bucks	104	+6.5	219.5	-4	212
01/09/26	2025	Nuggets	87	home	Hawks	110	+3.0	229.5	+23	197
01/07/26	2025	Nuggets	114	away	Celtics	110	+10.5	230.5	-4	224
01/05/26	2025	Nuggets	125	away	Seventysixers	124	+14.5	228.5	-1	249
Away Games Avg (5 games)			117.2	-	-	111.2	+3.6	228.9	-6.0	228.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.6	-	-	111.0	+2.3	227.6	+1.4	220.6

Bucks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Bucks	-	away	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Nuggets	-	-6.0	221.0	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Bucks	102	home	Thunder	122	+12.5	225.5	+20	224
01/19/26	2025	Bucks	112	away	Hawks	110	+1.5	232.5	-2	222
01/15/26	2025	Bucks	101	away	Spurs	119	+7.5	225.5	+18	220
01/13/26	2025	Bucks	106	home	Timberwolves	139	-1.5	229.5	+33	245
01/11/26	2025	Bucks	104	away	Nuggets	108	-6.5	219.5	+4	212
01/09/26	2025	Bucks	105	away	Lakers	101	+3.0	227.5	-4	206
01/07/26	2025	Bucks	113	away	Warriors	120	+6.5	228.5	+7	233
01/04/26	2025	Bucks	115	away	Kings	98	-6.5	227.5	-17	213
01/02/26	2025	Bucks	122	home	Hornets	121	-6.0	233.5	-1	243
12/31/25	2025	Bucks	113	home	Wizards	114	-10.5	234.5	+1	227
Home Games Avg (4 games)			110.8	-	-	124.0	-1.4	230.8	+13.3	234.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.3	-	-	115.2	0.0	228.4	+5.9	224.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies

Pelicans: 10-36 (21.7%)

Grizzlies: 18-24 (42.9%)

Line: -5.5

Total: 235.5

Open: -4.5

Open: 236.5

Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pelicans are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Pelicans are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 16.7% (2-10) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

View All Records

Grizzlies (Home)

The Grizzlies are 43.9% (18-23-1) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 42.9% (9-12) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 58.8% (10-7) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 42.9% (18-24) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 47.6% (10-11) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 47.1% (8-9) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 38.5% (5-8-1) (L14) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Pelicans (Away)

The Pelicans are 48.9% (22-23-1) against the spread

The Pelicans are 45% (9-11) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 43.9% (18-23-1) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 42.1% (8-11) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 52.2% (24-22) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 45% (9-11) to the over/under away

The Pelicans are 54.8% (23-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Pelicans are 47.4% (9-10) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pelicans are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Pelicans are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 16.7% (2-10) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Pelicans are 41.7% (5-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Pelicans are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/26/25	2025	Grizzlies	133	Away	Pelicans	128	-3.5	236.5	-5	261
10/22/25	2025	Grizzlies	128	Home	Pelicans	122	-3.5	236.5	-6	250
03/09/25	2024	Grizzlies	107	Away	Pelicans	104	-10.5	240.0	-3	211
01/24/25	2024	Grizzlies	139	Home	Pelicans	126	-9.5	243.5	-13	265
12/27/24	2024	Grizzlies	132	Away	Pelicans	124	-7.0	238.5	-8	256
11/29/24	2024	Grizzlies	120	Home	Pelicans	109	-11.5	231.5	-11	229
02/12/24	2023	Grizzlies	87	Home	Pelicans	96	+9.0	222.0	+9	183
12/26/23	2023	Grizzlies	116	Away	Pelicans	115	+4.5	229.5	-1	231
12/19/23	2023	Grizzlies	115	Away	Pelicans	113	+8.5	230.0	-2	228
10/25/23	2023	Grizzlies	104	Home	Pelicans	111	-1.0	224.0	+7	215
Grizzlies as Home (5 games)			115.6	-	-	112.8	-3.3	231.5	-2.8	228.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.1	-	-	114.8	-2.5	233.2	-3.3	232.9

Schedules

Pelicans Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Grizzlies	-	+5.5	235.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Pelicans	104	home	Pistons	112	+7.5	233.5	+8	216
01/18/26	2025	Pelicans	110	away	Rockets	119	+13.5	232.5	+9	229
01/16/26	2025	Pelicans	119	away	Pacers	127	+4.5	241.5	+8	246
01/14/26	2025	Pelicans	116	home	Nets	113	-1.5	232.5	-3	229
01/13/26	2025	Pelicans	116	home	Nuggets	122	+2.5	234.5	+6	238
01/11/26	2025	Pelicans	118	away	Magic	128	+7.5	236.5	+10	246
01/09/26	2025	Pelicans	128	away	Wizards	107	-3.0	242.5	-21	235
01/07/26	2025	Pelicans	100	away	Hawks	117	+10.5	246.5	+17	217
01/06/26	2025	Pelicans	103	home	Lakers	111	+5.5	245.5	+8	214
01/04/26	2025	Pelicans	106	away	Heat	125	+8.0	246.5	+19	231
Away Games Avg (6 games)			113.5	-	-	120.5	+6.8	241.0	+7.0	234.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.0	-	-	118.1	+5.5	239.2	+6.1	230.1

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/26/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Pelicans	-	-5.5	235.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Grizzlies	122	home	Hawks	124	-1.5	239.5	+2	246
01/18/26	2025	Grizzlies	126	neutral	Magic	109	+3.0	229.5	-17	235
01/15/26	2025	Grizzlies	111	neutral	Magic	118	+5.5	227.5	+7	229
01/11/26	2025	Grizzlies	103	home	Nets	98	-7.5	220.5	-5	201
01/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	116	home	Thunder	117	+5.5	229.5	+1	233
01/07/26	2025	Grizzlies	98	home	Suns	117	+5.5	231.5	+19	215
01/06/26	2025	Grizzlies	106	home	Spurs	105	+5.5	237.5	-1	211
01/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	114	away	Lakers	120	+6.0	237.5	+6	234
01/02/26	2025	Grizzlies	121	away	Lakers	128	+5.0	241.5	+7	249
12/30/25	2025	Grizzlies	136	home	Seventysixers	139	+1.5	235.5	+3	275
Home Games Avg (6 games)			113.5	-	-	116.7	+1.5	232.3	+3.2	230.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.3	-	-	117.5	+2.9	233.0	+2.2	232.8

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:30 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Pacers: 10-35 (22.2%)

Thunder: 37-8 (82.2%)

Line: -16.5

Total: 226.5

Notes

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Thunder

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Thunder

54.58% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Thunder
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	Thunder
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Thunder \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pacers are 28.6% (6-15) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 25% (5-15) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pacers are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Pacers are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Pacers are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Pacers are 25% (3-9) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 51.1% (23-22) against the spread

The Thunder are 52.2% (12-11) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 51.1% (23-22) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 52.2% (12-11) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 51.1% (23-22) to the over/under

The Thunder are 52.2% (12-11) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 51.1% (23-22) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 52.2% (12-11) to the over/under as a home fav

The Thunder are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Thunder are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Thunder are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Pacers (Away)

The Pacers are 48.9% (22-23) against the spread

The Pacers are 38.1% (8-13) against the spread away

The Pacers are 50% (19-19) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 40% (8-12) against the spread as an away dog

The Pacers are 35.6% (16-29) to the over/under

The Pacers are 28.6% (6-15) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 36.8% (14-24) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 25% (5-15) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pacers are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Pacers are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Pacers are 50% (6-6) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Pacers are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Pacers are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 25% (3-9) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/23/25	2025	Thunder	141	Away	Pacers	135	-7.5	231.5	-6	276
06/22/25	2024	Thunder	103	Home	Pacers	91	-6.5	215.5	-12	194
06/19/25	2024	Thunder	91	Away	Pacers	108	-5.5	223.0	+17	199
06/16/25	2024	Thunder	120	Home	Pacers	109	-9.0	223.0	-11	229
06/13/25	2024	Thunder	111	Away	Pacers	104	-6.0	227.5	-7	215
06/11/25	2024	Thunder	107	Away	Pacers	116	-5.5	226.0	+9	223
06/08/25	2024	Thunder	123	Home	Pacers	107	-11.5	228.0	-16	230
06/05/25	2024	Thunder	110	Home	Pacers	111	-10.0	230.0	+1	221
03/29/25	2024	Thunder	132	Home	Pacers	111	-8.5	234.0	-21	243
12/26/24	2024	Thunder	120	Away	Pacers	114	-5.0	228.0	-6	234
Thunder as Home (5 games)			117.6	-	-	105.8	-9.1	226.1	-11.8	223.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.8	-	-	110.6	-7.5	226.7	-5.2	226.4

Schedules

Pacers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/28/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
01/26/26	2025	Pacers	-	away	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Pacers	-	away	Thunder	-	+16.5	226.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Celtics	119	+10.5	225.5	+15	223
01/19/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Seventysixers	113	+6.5	230.5	+9	217
01/17/26	2025	Pacers	78	away	Pistons	121	+16.0	225.5	+43	199
01/16/26	2025	Pacers	127	home	Pelicans	119	-4.5	241.5	-8	246
01/14/26	2025	Pacers	101	home	Raptors	115	-1.5	220.5	+14	216
01/12/26	2025	Pacers	98	home	Celtics	96	+4.5	227.5	-2	194
01/10/26	2025	Pacers	123	home	Heat	99	+6.5	235.5	-24	222
01/08/26	2025	Pacers	114	away	Hornets	112	+4.5	232.5	-2	226
01/06/26	2025	Pacers	116	home	Cavaliers	120	+6.5	237.5	+4	236
01/04/26	2025	Pacers	127	away	Magic	135	+6.5	228.5	+8	262
Away Games Avg (5 games)			105.4	-	-	120.0	+8.8	228.5	+14.6	225.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.2	-	-	114.9	+5.6	230.5	+5.7	224.1

Thunder Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Pacers	-	-16.5	226.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Thunder	122	away	Bucks	102	-12.5	225.5	-20	224
01/19/26	2025	Thunder	136	away	Cavaliers	104	-6.5	229.5	-32	240
01/17/26	2025	Thunder	120	away	Heat	122	-10.5	235.5	+2	242
01/15/26	2025	Thunder	111	away	Rockets	91	-4.5	221.5	-20	202
01/13/26	2025	Thunder	119	home	Spurs	98	-8.5	230.5	-21	217
01/11/26	2025	Thunder	124	home	Heat	112	-14.5	234.5	-12	236
01/09/26	2025	Thunder	117	away	Grizzlies	116	-5.5	229.5	-1	233
01/07/26	2025	Thunder	129	home	Jazz	125	-19.5	242.5	-4	254
01/05/26	2025	Thunder	97	home	Hornets	124	-15.5	235.5	+27	221
01/04/26	2025	Thunder	105	away	Suns	108	-10.5	229.5	+3	213
Home Games Avg (4 games)			117.3	-	-	114.8	-14.5	235.8	-2.5	232.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.0	-	-	110.2	-10.8	231.4	-7.8	228.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ Portland Trailblazers

Raptors: 27-19 (58.7%)

Trailblazers: 23-22 (51.1%)

Line: +3.5

Total: 224.5

Open: +3.0

Open: 226.5

Notes

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Trailblazers are 73.3% (11-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 88.9% (8-1) (L14) against the spread at home

The Trailblazers are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 12.5% (1-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

View All Records

Trailblazers (Home)

The Trailblazers are 59.1% (26-18-1) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 65.2% (15-8) against the spread at home

The Trailblazers are 64.3% (18-10) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 73.3% (11-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 51.1% (23-22) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 56.5% (13-10) to the over/under at home

The Trailblazers are 35.7% (10-18) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 40% (6-9) to the over/under as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 88.9% (8-1) (L14) against the spread at home

The Trailblazers are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 55.6% (5-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Trailblazers are 12.5% (1-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Raptors (Away)

The Raptors are 50% (23-23) against the spread

The Raptors are 60.9% (14-9) against the spread away

The Raptors are 42.3% (11-15) against the spread as a fav

The Raptors are 50% (5-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Raptors are 43.5% (20-26) to the over/under

The Raptors are 43.5% (10-13) to the over/under away

The Raptors are 42.3% (11-15) to the over/under as a fav

The Raptors are 50% (5-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Raptors are 64.3% (9-5) (L14) against the spread

The Raptors are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Raptors are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Raptors are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Raptors are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Raptors are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Raptors are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Raptors are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/02/25	2025	Trailblazers	118	Away	Raptors	121	+5.0	230.5	+3	239
04/03/25	2024	Trailblazers	112	Away	Raptors	103	-5.0	223.0	-9	215
03/16/25	2024	Trailblazers	105	Home	Raptors	102	-7.5	226.5	-3	207
03/09/24	2023	Trailblazers	128	Home	Raptors	118	+3.0	228.5	-10	246
10/30/23	2023	Trailblazers	99	Away	Raptors	91	+10.0	216.0	-8	190
01/28/23	2022	Trailblazers	105	Home	Raptors	123	-3.0	231.0	+18	228
01/08/23	2022	Trailblazers	105	Away	Raptors	117	+3.0	226.5	+12	222
Trailblazers as Home (3 games)			112.7	-	-	114.3	-2.5	228.7	+1.7	227.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			110.3	-	-	110.7	+0.8	226.0	+0.4	221.0

Schedules

Raptors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/28/26	2025	Raptors	-	home	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
01/25/26	2025	Raptors	-	away	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Raptors	-	away	Trailblazers	-	-3.5	224.5	-	-
01/21/26	2025	Raptors	122	away	Kings	109	-5.5	226.5	-13	231
01/20/26	2025	Raptors	145	away	Warriors	127	+4.5	224.5	-18	272
01/18/26	2025	Raptors	93	away	Lakers	110	+3.0	227.0	+17	203
01/16/26	2025	Raptors	117	home	Clippers	121	-2.5	213.5	+4	238
01/14/26	2025	Raptors	115	away	Pacers	101	+1.5	220.5	-14	216
01/12/26	2025	Raptors	102	home	Seventysixers	115	+3.5	221.0	+13	217
01/11/26	2025	Raptors	116	home	Seventysixers	115	+1.5	219.5	-1	231
01/09/26	2025	Raptors	117	away	Celtics	125	+9.5	223.5	+8	242
01/07/26	2025	Raptors	97	away	Hornets	96	-2.5	229.5	-1	193
01/05/26	2025	Raptors	118	home	Hawks	100	-2.5	237.5	-18	218
Away Games Avg (6 games)			114.8	-	-	111.3	+1.8	225.3	-3.5	226.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	111.9	+1.1	224.3	-2.3	226.1

Trailblazers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/27/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
01/26/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
01/23/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	home	Raptors	-	+3.5	224.5	-	-
01/22/26	2025	Trailblazers	127	home	Heat	110	-3.0	235.0	-17	237
01/18/26	2025	Trailblazers	117	away	Kings	110	-1.5	230.5	-7	227
01/17/26	2025	Trailblazers	132	home	Lakers	116	-3.5	223.5	-16	248
01/15/26	2025	Trailblazers	117	home	Hawks	101	+4.0	230.5	-16	218
01/13/26	2025	Trailblazers	97	away	Warriors	119	+10.5	225.5	+22	216
01/11/26	2025	Trailblazers	114	home	Knicks	123	+5.5	230.5	+9	237
01/09/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	home	Rockets	105	+6.5	221.5	-6	216
01/07/26	2025	Trailblazers	103	home	Rockets	102	+7.5	222.5	-1	205
01/05/26	2025	Trailblazers	137	home	Jazz	117	-5.5	242.5	-20	254
01/03/26	2025	Trailblazers	115	away	Spurs	110	+8.5	234.5	-5	225
Home Games Avg (7 games)			120.1	-	-	110.6	+1.6	229.4	-9.6	230.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			117.0	-	-	111.3	+2.9	229.7	-5.7	228.3

Premium Content

7:00 p.m. Houston Rockets @ Detroit Pistons

Notes

Rockets

Situational Factor(s)

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

Rockets (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Rockets Schedule

Pistons Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m. Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Notes

Kings

Situational Factor(s)

Cavaliers

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Cavaliers (Home)

Kings (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Kings Schedule

Cavaliers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m. Phoenix Suns @ Atlanta Hawks

Notes

Suns

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

Suns (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Suns Schedule

Hawks Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m. Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets

Notes

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Nets (Home)

Celtics (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Nets Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m. Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks

Notes

7:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ Detroit Pistons

7:30 p.m.
Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers

7:30 p.m.
Phoenix Suns @ Atlanta Hawks

7:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Brooklyn Nets

8:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks

8:00 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies

9:30 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

10:00 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ Portland Trailblazers