Heat @ Celtics [ Celtics -14.5 / 210 ]
Heat | 47-37 (56%)Celtics | 64-18 (78%)
Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Our modell will run after the first two weeks of the season.
In-season revenge
Baller Systems
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Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Baller Systems
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| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 4/24 | BOS | MIA +13.5 BOS -13.5 | 206 | MIA | - | - | - |
| 4/21 | BOS | MIA +14.5 BOS -14.5 | 210 | MIA | - | - | - |
| 4/19 | MIA [ 112 ] | MIA -2.5 CHI +2.5 | 207.5 | CHI [ 91 ] | +21 | +18.5 | -4.5 |
| 4/17 | PHI [ 105 ] | MIA +6 PHI -6 | 208.5 | MIA [ 104 ] | -1 | +5 | +0.5 |
| 4/14 | MIA [ 118 ] | MIA -15 TOR +15 | 220.5 | TOR [ 103 ] | +15 | 0 | +0.5 |
| 4/12 | MIA [ 125 ] | MIA -14 TOR +14 | 220 | TOR [ 103 ] | +22 | +8 | +8 |
| 4/10 | MIA [ 92 ] | MIA +5.5 DAL -5.5 | 215.5 | DAL [ 111 ] | -19 | -13.5 | -12.5 |
| 4/9 | ATL [ 111 ] | MIA -3.5 ATL +3.5 | 222 | MIA [ 117 ] | +6 | +2.5 | +6 |
| 4/7 | IND [ 117 ] | MIA +1.5 IND -1.5 | 227.5 | MIA [ 115 ] | -2 | -0.5 | +4.5 |
| 4/5 | HOU [ 104 ] | MIA -2.5 HOU +2.5 | 215 | MIA [ 119 ] | +15 | +12.5 | +8 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 4/24 | BOS | BOS -13.5 MIA +13.5 | 206 | MIA | - | - | - |
| 4/21 | BOS | BOS -14.5 MIA +14.5 | 210 | MIA | - | - | - |
| 4/14 | BOS [ 132 ] | BOS -10 WAS +10 | 229.5 | WAS [ 122 ] | +10 | 0 | +24.5 |
| 4/12 | BOS [ 131 ] | BOS -7.5 CHA +7.5 | 217.5 | CHA [ 98 ] | +33 | +25.5 | +11.5 |
| 4/11 | BOS [ 109 ] | BOS +3 NYK -3 | 221.5 | NYK [ 118 ] | -9 | -6 | +5.5 |
| 4/9 | MIL [ 104 ] | BOS -2 MIL +2 | 228 | BOS [ 91 ] | -13 | -15 | -33 |
| 4/7 | BOS [ 124 ] | BOS -16 POR +16 | 216 | POR [ 107 ] | +17 | +1 | +15 |
| 4/5 | BOS [ 101 ] | BOS -10 SAC +10 | 226 | SAC [ 100 ] | +1 | -9 | -25 |
| 4/3 | BOS [ 135 ] | BOS -8.5 OKC +8.5 | 230.5 | OKC [ 100 ] | +35 | +26.5 | +4.5 |
| 4/1 | CHA [ 104 ] | BOS -17 CHA +17 | 219 | BOS [ 118 ] | +14 | -3 | +3 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 4/2 | BOS | BOS -10 MIA +10 | 211 | MIA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3/14 | MIA | BOS -8 MIA +8 | 211.5 | BOS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2/10 | MIA | BOS -8.5 MIA +8.5 | 211 | BOS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12/2 | BOS | BOS -9.5 MIA +9.5 | 221 | MIA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/1 | BOS | BOS -13 MIA +13 | 201.5 | MIA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4/29 | MIA | BOS -10.5 MIA +10.5 | 203.5 | BOS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4/27 | MIA | BOS -9.5 MIA +9.5 | 206.5 | BOS | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4/24 | BOS | BOS -13.5 MIA +13.5 | 206 | MIA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4/21 | BOS | BOS -14.5 MIA +14.5 | 210 | MIA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2/11 | MIA [ 106 ] | BOS -5.5 MIA +5.5 | 226 | BOS [ 110 ] | +4 | -1.5 | -10 | 91.4 | 120.4 | 116 | 4.4 | 216 |
| 1/25 | MIA [ 110 ] | BOS -8 MIA +8 | 224 | BOS [ 143 ] | +33 | +25 | +29 | 91.6 | 156.1 | 120 | 36 | 253 |
** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.
| Heat ( game/s) |
Celtics ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Strength of Schedule | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Heat ( game/s) |
Celtics ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Heat ( game/s) |
Celtics ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Heat ( game/s) |
Celtics ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Heat ( game/s) |
Celtics ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Heat | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Celtics 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Heat | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Heat | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Heat | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Heat | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Celtics | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 3-0-0 (100%) | 6-2-0 (75%) | 7-9-0 (43.8%) | 7-9-0 (43.8%) | 14-15-0 (48.3%) | 2-4-0 (33.3%) | 1-3-0 (25%) |
| Celtics | 1-0-0 (100%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 7-3-0 (70%) | 11-11-1 (50%) | 11-11-0 (50%) | 8-13-0 (38.1%) |