NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 113 – 121
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons

Celtics: 0-0 (0.0%)

Pistons: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: +1.0

Total: 221.0

Open: -1.5

Open: 221

Team totals: Celtics 111.5 · Pistons 110.5 (open 110.5 / 111.5)

Injury Report as of Oct 20, 9:45 PM ET BOS1 Out DET3 Out

BOS

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Devin Carter	18.4 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-Illness

DET

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Elijah Harkless	21.0 ’25	Out	GLeague-Two-Way
Isaac Jones	5.1 ’25	Out	GLeague-Two-Way
Taurean Prince	23.5 ’25	Out	PersonalReasons

Not in rotation (under 3 MPG): Ugonna Onyenso

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 3 games, and this is game 1 for the Celtics and game 1 for the Pistons. Predictions start with their games once each has played 3: the Celtics after Mon, Oct 26, the Pistons after Sun, Oct 25.

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26	2026	Celtics	-	home	Bulls	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Celtics	-	home	Knicks	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/20/26	2026	Celtics	-	away	Pistons	-	-1.0	221.0	-	-
05/02/26	2025	Celtics	100	home	76ers	109	-4.0	205.0	+9	209 (+4.0)
04/30/26	2025	Celtics	93	away	76ers	106	-6.5	214.5	+13	199 (-15.5)
04/28/26	2025	Celtics	97	home	76ers	113	-10.5	214.5	+16	210 (-4.5)
04/26/26	2025	Celtics	128	away	76ers	96	-6.5	212.5	-32	224 (+11.5)
04/24/26	2025	Celtics	108	away	76ers	100	-9.5	215.5	-8	208 (-7.5)
04/21/26	2025	Celtics	97	home	76ers	111	-13.5	218.5	+14	208 (-10.5)
04/19/26	2025	Celtics	123	home	76ers	91	-13.0	217.0	-32	214 (-3.0)
04/12/26	2025	Celtics	113	home	Magic	108	+13.0	222.5	-5	221 (-1.5)
04/10/26	2025	Celtics	144	home	Pelicans	118	-18.0	227.5	-26	262 (+34.5)
04/09/26	2025	Celtics	106	away	Knicks	112	+3.5	210.5	+6	218 (+7.5)
Away Games Avg (4 games)			108.8	-	-	103.5	-4.8	213.3	-5.3	212.3 (-1.0)
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.9	-	-	106.4	-6.5	215.8	-4.5	217.3 (+1.5)

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/26	2026	Pistons	-	away	76ers	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Pistons	-	away	Heat	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/20/26	2026	Pistons	-	home	Celtics	-	+1.0	221.0	-	-
05/17/26	2025	Pistons	94	home	Cavaliers	125	-4.5	204.5	+31	219 (+14.5)
05/15/26	2025	Pistons	115	away	Cavaliers	94	+3.5	209.5	-21	209 (-0.5)
05/13/26	2025	Pistons	113	home	Cavaliers	117	-4.5	210.5	+4	230 (+19.5)
05/11/26	2025	Pistons	103	away	Cavaliers	112	+3.5	213.0	+9	215 (+2.0)
05/09/26	2025	Pistons	109	away	Cavaliers	116	+5.5	211.5	+7	225 (+13.5)
05/07/26	2025	Pistons	107	home	Cavaliers	97	-5.5	207.5	-10	204 (-3.5)
05/05/26	2025	Pistons	111	home	Cavaliers	101	-3.5	216.5	-10	212 (-4.5)
05/03/26	2025	Pistons	116	home	Magic	94	-8.5	200.5	-22	210 (+9.5)
05/01/26	2025	Pistons	93	away	Magic	79	-3.5	210.5	-14	172 (-38.5)
04/29/26	2025	Pistons	116	home	Magic	109	-11.5	211.0	-7	225 (+14.0)
Home Games Avg (6 games)			109.5	-	-	107.2	-6.3	208.4	-2.3	216.7 (+8.3)
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.7	-	-	104.4	-2.9	209.5	-3.3	212.1 (+2.6)

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Pistons are 78.9% (15-4) against the spread as a dog

The Pistons are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a home dog

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Pistons (Home)

The Pistons are 52.6% (51-46) against the spread

The Pistons are 51% (25-24) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 78.9% (15-4) against the spread as a dog

The Pistons are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Pistons are 48.5% (47-50) to the over/under

The Pistons are 51% (25-24) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 47.4% (9-10) to the over/under as a dog

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) to the over/under as a home dog

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Pistons are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Celtics (Away)

The Celtics are 56.7% (51-39) against the spread

The Celtics are 60% (27-18) against the spread away

The Celtics are 54.5% (36-30) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 60.7% (17-11) against the spread as an away fav

The Celtics are 36.7% (33-57) to the over/under

The Celtics are 37.8% (17-28) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 36.4% (24-42) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 39.3% (11-17) to the over/under as an away fav

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Celtics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/19/26	2025	Pistons	104	Home	Celtics	103	-2.5	223.5	-1	207
12/15/25	2025	Pistons	112	Away	Celtics	105	+1.5	231.5	-7	217
11/26/25	2025	Pistons	114	Away	Celtics	117	-1.5	233.5	+3	231
10/26/25	2025	Pistons	119	Home	Celtics	113	-2.5	227.0	-6	232
Pistons as Home (2 games)			111.5	-	-	108.0	-2.5	225.3	-3.5	219.5
All Games Avg (4 games)			112.3	-	-	109.5	-1.3	228.9	-2.8	221.8