WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 101 – 83
Portland Fire @ Atlanta Dream

Fire: 15-23 (39.5%) | Market Rating: -3.84

Dream: 25-13 (65.8%) | Market Rating: +4.69 | Home Court: +2.0 pts

Line: -13.0

Total: 178.5

Open: -12.5

Open: 180.5

Team totals: Fire 82.5 · Dream 96.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report as of Aug 28, 11:47 PM ET PDX4 Out ATL3 Out

Portland Fire

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Frieda Buhner	15.5	Out	The Fire temporarily suspended Buhner's contract Wednesday. Updated Aug 26
Karlie Samuelson	16.0	Out	Samuelson (knee) won't return to Friday's game versus Atlanta. She finished with zero points (0-2 FG, 0-1 3Pt) and two rebounds over nine minutes. Updated Aug 28
Luisa Geiselsoder	16.6	Out	Geiselsoder (personal) won't return this season, according to Sean Highkin of RoseGardenReport.com. Updated Aug 14
Sarah Ashlee Barker	24.7	Out	The Fire announced Friday that Barker will undergo surgery to repair a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 campaign. Updated Jul 22

Not in rotation / low minutes: Iyana Martin, Nika Muhl, Sania Feagin

Atlanta Dream

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Angel Reese	31.7	Out	Suspension Updated Aug 28
Brionna Jones	16.9	Out	General manager Dan Padover said Friday that Jones (leg) won't return to game action before the FIBA World Cup break, Meghan L. Hall of USA Today reports. Updated Aug 14
DeWanna Bonner	25.3	Out	Bonner (rest) is out for Friday's game against the Fire. Updated Aug 27

Not in rotation / low minutes: Indya Nivar

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Fire

Situational Factor(s)

Rest disadvantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Complacent Offense at Home

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

1st game home off long road trip (at least three games)

Double digit, in season revenge

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

View All Algorithms

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Fire Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/17/26 2026	Fire	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+3.0	171.5	-	-
08/30/26 2026	Fire	-	vs.	Valkyries	-	+6.5	159.0	-	-
08/28/26 2026	Fire	-	@	Dream	-	+13.0	178.5	-	-
08/25/26	Fire	78	@	Wings	96	+8.5	177.5	+18	U 174 -3.5
2026	ORtg: 105.0 DRtg: 129.3 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 129.3 DRtg: 105.0 Pace: 74.3
08/23/26	Fire	100	vs.	Mystics	105	+4.5	166.5	+5	O 205 +38.5
2026	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 126.7 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 126.7 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 82.9
08/21/26	Fire	79	@	Tempo	82	-2.5	182.5	+3	U 161 -21.5
2026	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 76.8
08/16/26	Fire	88	@	Mercury	85	+4.5	178.0	-3	U 173 -5.0
2026	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 79.9
08/14/26	Fire	84	@	Storm	82	+3.5	179.5	-2	U 166 -13.5
2026	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 81.3
08/12/26	Fire	81	vs.	Lynx	85	+12.5	187.0	+4	U 166 -21.0
2026	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 79.4
08/08/26	Fire	100	vs.	Storm	93	+1.5	180.5	-7	O 193 +12.5
2026	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 79.6
08/06/26	Fire	97	vs.	Tempo	83	-2.5	187.0	-14	U 180 -7.0
2026	ORtg: 118.0 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 118.0 Pace: 82.2
08/02/26	Fire	101	vs.	Sparks	106	-0.5	186.0	+5	O 207 +21.0
2026	ORtg: 121.4 DRtg: 127.4 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 127.4 DRtg: 121.4 Pace: 83.2
07/31/26	Fire	98	vs.	Fever	112	+8.0	187.5	+14	O 210 +22.5
2026	ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 131.8 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 131.8 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 85.0

Away Games Avg (4 games)		82.3	-	-	86.3	+3.5	179.4	+4.0 -0.5	U 168.5 -10.9
	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 78.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		90.6	-	-	92.9	+3.8	181.2	+2.3 +1.5	O 183.5 +2.3
	ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 80.4

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/17/26 2026	Dream	-	vs.	Sun	-	-17.5	168.5	-	-
08/30/26 2026	Dream	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+2.5	177.0	-	-
08/28/26 2026	Dream	-	vs.	Fire	-	-13.0	178.5	-	-
08/24/26	Dream	78	@	Sparks	71	-10.5	182.0	-7	U 149 -33.0
2026	ORtg: 101.0 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 101.0 Pace: 77.2
08/22/26	Dream	99	@	Mercury	89	-8.5	176.5	-10	O 188 +11.5
2026	ORtg: 122.9 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 122.9 Pace: 80.6
08/20/26	Dream	124	@	Sparks	88	-9.5	181.0	-36	O 212 +31.0
2026	ORtg: 144.8 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 85.6			ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 144.8 Pace: 85.6
08/18/26	Dream	97	@	Aces	82	+3.5	179.5	-15	U 179 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 84.6
08/16/26	Dream	91	vs.	Fever	95 OT	-1.5	188.0	+4	U 186 -2.0
2026	ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 79.1
08/13/26	Dream	104	@	Sun	69	-10.0	173.5	-35	U 173 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 134.3 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 134.3 Pace: 77.4
08/10/26	Dream	107	vs.	Tempo	95	-15.0	187.5	-12	O 202 +14.5
2026	ORtg: 131.0 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 81.7			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 131.0 Pace: 81.7
08/07/26	Dream	74	@	Mystics	79	-5.5	171.0	+5	U 153 -18.0
2026	ORtg: 87.1 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 87.1 Pace: 85.0
08/05/26	Dream	96	vs.	Mercury	82	-6.5	182.5	-14	U 178 -4.5
2026	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 79.3
08/03/26	Dream	87	vs.	Aces	109	-2.5	184.5	+22	O 196 +11.5
2026	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 136.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 136.5 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 79.8

Home Games Avg (4 games)		95.3	-	-	95.3	-6.4	185.6	0.0 -6.4	O 190.5 +4.9
	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 80.0			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 80.0

All Games Avg (10 games)		95.7	-	-	85.9	-6.6	180.6	-9.8 +3.2	O 181.6 +1.0
	ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 81.0

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

On / Off Court

Follows the Team Comparison Stats filters above.

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Dream are 27.8% (5-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 72.2% (13-5) to the over as a home fav

The Dream are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Fire are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fire are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Fire are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

View All Records

Dream (Home)

The Dream are 38.5% (15-24) against the spread

The Dream are 31.6% (6-13) against the spread at home

The Dream are 36.1% (13-23) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 27.8% (5-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 53.8% (21-18) to the over

The Dream are 68.4% (13-6) to the over at home

The Dream are 58.3% (21-15) to the over as a fav

The Dream are 72.2% (13-5) to the over as a home fav

The Dream are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the under

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Dream are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Fire (Away)

The Fire are 51.3% (20-19) against the spread

The Fire are 50% (10-10) against the spread away

The Fire are 53.1% (17-15) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread as an away dog

The Fire are 57.9% (22-16-1) to the over

The Fire are 55% (11-9) to the over away

The Fire are 64.5% (20-11-1) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 57.9% (11-8) to the over as an away dog

The Fire are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fire are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fire are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fire are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Fire are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Fire are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/11/26	Dream	92	vs.	Fire	102	-12.5	174.0	+10	O 194 +20.0
2026	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 81.4
05/29/26	Dream	86	@	Fire	66	-8.5	164.0	-20	U 152 -12.0
2026	ORtg: 112.6 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 112.6 Pace: 76.4

Dream as Home (1 games)		92.0	-	-	102.0	-12.5	174.0	+10.0 -22.5	O 194.0 +20.0
	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 81.4

All Games Avg (2 games)		89.0	-	-	84.0	-10.5	169.0	-5.0 -5.5	O 173.0 +4.0
	ORtg: 112.8 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 112.8 Pace: 78.9

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors. High Confidence: 13-12 (52%)	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 15-24 (38.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression. High Confidence: 25-30 (45.5%)	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate High Confidence: 45-67 (40.2%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics. Medium Confidence: 2-1 (66.7%)	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate Medium Confidence: 14-17 (45.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 101 – 83 Portland Fire @ Atlanta Dream window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Portland Fire", home_team: "Atlanta Dream", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of Aug 28, 11:47 PM ET PDX4 Out ATL3 Out

Notes

Fire

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Fire Schedule Follow global filters

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Dream (Home)

Fire (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 101 – 83
Portland Fire @ Atlanta Dream