WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 90 – 86
Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky

Fever: 19-12 (61.3%) | Market Rating: +2.69

Sky: 12-19 (38.7%) | Market Rating: -3.20 | Home Court: +1.7 pts

Line: +6.0

Total: 191.5

Open: +6.5

Open: 193.5

Team totals: Fever 98.5 · Sky 93.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report INDNo report CHINo report

Notes

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off an overtime game

Rest disadvantage

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Don't Be Scared to Shoot

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

In season revenge

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Play over on team that has had a high assist-to-turnover ratio for multiple games

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

Under

55.63% probability

View All Algorithms

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/14/26 2026	Fever	-	vs.	Wings	-	-8.5	186.0	-	-
08/11/26 2026	Fever	-	vs.	Liberty	-	-3.0	190.5	-	-
08/08/26 2026	Fever	-	@	Sky	-	-6.0	191.5	-	-
08/06/26	Fever	84	vs.	Aces	86 OT	-0.5	193.0	+2	U 170 -23.0
2026	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 80.8
08/02/26	Fever	100	@	Lynx	108	+5.5	191.5	+8	O 208 +16.5
2026	ORtg: 129.1 DRtg: 139.5 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 139.5 DRtg: 129.1 Pace: 77.4
07/31/26	Fever	112	@	Fire	98	-8.0	187.5	-14	O 210 +22.5
2026	ORtg: 131.8 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 131.8 Pace: 85.0
07/28/26	Fever	105	@	Storm	95	-8.5	187.0	-10	O 200 +13.0
2026	ORtg: 136.3 DRtg: 123.3 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 123.3 DRtg: 136.3 Pace: 77.0
07/22/26	Fever	123	vs.	Sun	88	-10.5	178.0	-35	O 211 +33.0
2026	ORtg: 142.5 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 86.3			ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 142.5 Pace: 86.3
07/18/26	Fever	108	vs.	Liberty	88	+1.5	184.0	-20	O 196 +12.0
2026	ORtg: 127.8 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 84.5			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 127.8 Pace: 84.5
07/17/26	Fever	110	vs.	Storm	107	-8.5	177.5	-3	O 217 +39.5
2026	ORtg: 133.6 DRtg: 130.0 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 130.0 DRtg: 133.6 Pace: 82.3
07/15/26	Fever	75	vs.	Valkyries	88	-2.5	166.5	+13	U 163 -3.5
2026	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 74.4
07/12/26	Fever	109	@	Aces	75	+5.5	181.0	-34	O 184 +3.0
2026	ORtg: 140.2 DRtg: 96.4 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 96.4 DRtg: 140.2 Pace: 77.8
07/09/26	Fever	92	@	Mercury	89	-0.5	171.5	-3	O 181 +9.5
2026	ORtg: 117.4 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 117.4 Pace: 78.4

Away Games Avg (5 games)		103.6	-	-	93.0	-1.2	183.7	-10.6 +9.4	O 196.6 +12.9
	ORtg: 131.0 DRtg: 117.6 Pace: 79.1			ORtg: 117.6 DRtg: 131.0 Pace: 79.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		101.8	-	-	92.2	-2.7	181.8	-9.6 +7.0	O 194.0 +12.3
	ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 80.4

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/12/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Valkyries	-	+8.5	166.5	-	-
08/10/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Storm	-	-2.5	179.0	-	-
08/08/26 2026	Sky	-	vs.	Fever	-	+6.0	191.5	-	-
08/05/26	Sky	95	vs.	Sparks	88	-2.5	187.0	-7	U 183 -4.0
2026	ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 108.5 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 108.5 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 81.1
08/03/26	Sky	101	vs.	Mercury	106	+1.5	179.5	+5	O 207 +27.5
2026	ORtg: 119.3 DRtg: 125.2 Pace: 84.7			ORtg: 125.2 DRtg: 119.3 Pace: 84.7
08/01/26	Sky	84	vs.	Aces	83	+6.0	184.0	-1	U 167 -17.0
2026	ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 84.8
07/30/26	Sky	94	vs.	Sun	88	-5.5	176.5	-6	O 182 +5.5
2026	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 104.9 Pace: 83.9			ORtg: 104.9 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 83.9
07/22/26	Sky	94	@	Liberty	95	+7.5	178.5	+1	O 189 +10.5
2026	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 114.5 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 114.5 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 83.0
07/19/26	Sky	91	@	Dream	93	+12.5	180.0	+2	O 184 +4.0
2026	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 80.5
07/17/26	Sky	96	vs.	Sparks	82	-2.5	182.5	-14	U 178 -4.5
2026	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 84.6			ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 84.6
07/15/26	Sky	95	vs.	Storm	90	-2.0	170.5	-5	O 185 +14.5
2026	ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 86.1			ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 86.1
07/12/26	Sky	91	@	Wings	96	+9.5	177.5	+5	O 187 +9.5
2026	ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 121.5 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 121.5 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 79.0
07/10/26	Sky	87	@	Sparks	102	+1.0	176.5	+15	O 189 +12.5
2026	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 118.6 Pace: 86.0			ORtg: 118.6 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 86.0

Home Games Avg (6 games)		94.2	-	-	89.5	-0.8	180.0	-4.7 +3.8	O 183.7 +3.7
	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 84.2			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 84.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		92.8	-	-	92.3	+2.6	179.3	-0.5 +3.1	O 185.1 +5.9
	ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 83.4			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 83.4

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

On / Off Court

Follows the Team Comparison Stats filters above.

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Sky are 81.8% (9-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Fever are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

View All Records

Sky (Home)

The Sky are 59.4% (19-13) against the spread

The Sky are 58.8% (10-7) against the spread at home

The Sky are 57.1% (12-9) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a home dog

The Sky are 62.5% (20-12) to the over

The Sky are 58.8% (10-7) to the over at home

The Sky are 57.1% (12-9) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a home dog

The Sky are 81.8% (9-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Sky are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Sky are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 46.9% (15-17) against the spread

The Fever are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread away

The Fever are 50% (12-12) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 55.6% (5-4) against the spread as an away fav

The Fever are 62.5% (20-12) to the over

The Fever are 60% (9-6) to the over away

The Fever are 58.3% (14-10) to the over as a fav

The Fever are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as an away fav

The Fever are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Fever are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/11/26	Sky	106	@	Fever	114 OT	+9.0	172.5	+8	O 220 +47.5
2026	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 81.4
09/05/25	Sky	77	@	Fever	97	+11.5	161.0	+20	O 174 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 78.3
08/09/25	Sky	70	@	Fever	92	+10.0	163.5	+22	U 162 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 129.6 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 129.6 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 71.0
07/27/25	Sky	78	vs.	Fever	93	+11.5	156.0	+15	O 171 +15.0
2025	ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 79.9
06/07/25	Sky	52	vs.	Fever	79	+3.0	166.0	+27	U 131 -35.0
2025	ORtg: 75.0 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 75.0 Pace: 69.3
05/17/25	Sky	58	@	Fever	93	+8.5	169.0	+35	U 151 -18.0
2025	ORtg: 68.2 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 85.0			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 68.2 Pace: 85.0

Sky as Home (2 games)		65.0	-	-	86.0	+7.3	161.0	+21.0 -13.8	U 151.0 -10.0
	ORtg: 86.3 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 86.3 Pace: 74.6

All Games Avg (6 games)		73.5	-	-	94.7	+8.9	164.7	+21.2 -12.3	O 168.2 +3.5
	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 77.5

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors. High Confidence: 11-9 (55%)	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 13-17 (43.3%)	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression. High Confidence: 24-21 (53.3%)	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate High Confidence: 34-51 (40%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics. Medium Confidence: 2-1 (66.7%)	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate Medium Confidence: 10-12 (45.5%)	Under
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 90 – 86 Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Indiana Fever", home_team: "Chicago Sky", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report INDNo report CHINo report

Notes

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Sky (Home)

Fever (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 90 – 86
Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky