WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 94 – 86
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm

Fever: 6-7 (46.2%) | Market Rating: +1.52

Storm: 9-5 (64.3%) | Market Rating: +3.15 | Home Court: +0.3 pts

Line: -3.0

Total: 167.0

Open: -3.5

Open: 167

Team totals: Fever 83.5 · Storm 86.5

Odds Full WNBA odds board

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Games
Conversions

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Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Fade a small fav (3.5 or less) off a win

Storm

Baller System(s)

Fade team off 2 game losing streak when previous game was at home

Play over on team that has had a high assist-to-turnover ratio for multiple games

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/27/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Wings	-	-1.5	166.5	-	-
06/26/25 2025	Fever	-	vs.	Sparks	-	-5.5	168.0	-	-
06/24/25 2025	Fever	-	@	Storm	-	+3.0	167.0	-	-
06/22/25	Fever	81	@	Aces	89	-1.0	171.5	+8	U 170 -1.5
2025	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 80.4
06/19/25	Fever	77	@	Valkyries	88	-10.5	164.0	+11	O 165 +1.0
2025	ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 79.4
06/17/25	Fever	88	vs.	Sun	71	-18.0	166.0	-17	U 159 -7.0
2025	ORtg: 120.1 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 73.3			ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 120.1 Pace: 73.3
06/14/25	Fever	102	vs.	Liberty	88	+3.5	170.0	-14	O 190 +20.0
2025	ORtg: 123.4 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 123.4 Pace: 82.6
06/10/25	Fever	58	@	Dream	77	+5.0	161.0	+19	U 135 -26.0
2025	ORtg: 80.9 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 71.7			ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 80.9 Pace: 71.7
06/07/25	Fever	79	@	Sky	52	-3.0	166.0	-27	U 131 -35.0
2025	ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 75.0 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 75.0 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 69.3
06/03/25	Fever	85	vs.	Mystics	76	-5.0	161.5	-9	U 161 -0.5
2025	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 73.4
05/30/25	Fever	83	vs.	Sun	85	-12.5	158.0	+2	O 168 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 111.0 DRtg: 113.7 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 113.7 DRtg: 111.0 Pace: 74.8
05/28/25	Fever	77	@	Mystics	83	-4.0	166.0	+6	U 160 -6.0
2025	ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 83.0
05/24/25	Fever	88	vs.	Liberty	90	+4.0	173.5	+2	O 178 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 83.1

Away Games Avg (5 games)		74.4	-	-	77.8	-2.7	165.7	+3.4 -6.1	U 152.2 -13.5
	ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 76.8

All Games Avg (10 games)		81.8	-	-	79.9	-4.2	165.8	-1.9 -2.3	U 161.7 -4.1
	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 103.3 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 103.3 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 77.1

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/29/25 2025	Storm	-	@	Valkyries	-	-5.5	158.0	-	-
06/27/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Sun	-	-19.0	156.5	-	-
06/24/25 2025	Storm	-	vs.	Fever	-	-3.0	167.0	-	-
06/22/25	Storm	89	vs.	Liberty	79	-3.5	160.5	-10	O 168 +7.5
2025	ORtg: 106.2 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 106.2 Pace: 83.8
06/20/25	Storm	90	@	Aces	83	-2.5	160.0	-7	O 173 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 75.3
06/17/25	Storm	98	@	Sparks	67	-9.0	155.0	-31	O 165 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 82.2			ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 82.2
06/14/25	Storm	70	@	Valkyries	76	-10.0	155.0	+6	U 146 -9.0
2025	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 77.4
06/11/25	Storm	94	vs.	Lynx	84	+3.5	155.0	-10	O 178 +23.0
2025	ORtg: 124.6 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 124.6 Pace: 75.4
06/07/25	Storm	89	@	Mercury	77	-5.5	156.0	-12	O 166 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 104.4 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 104.4 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 73.8
06/03/25	Storm	83	vs.	Wings	77	-10.5	166.0	-6	U 160 -6.0
2025	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 82.7
06/01/25	Storm	70	vs.	Aces	75	+3.0	161.0	+5	U 145 -16.0
2025	ORtg: 89.6 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 89.6 Pace: 78.2
05/30/25	Storm	87	vs.	Dream	94	-5.0	156.5	+7	O 181 +24.5
2025	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 80.8
05/27/25	Storm	77	@	Lynx	82	+7.0	156.0	+5	O 159 +3.0
2025	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 109.6 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 109.6 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 74.8

Home Games Avg (5 games)		84.6	-	-	81.8	-2.5	159.8	-2.8 +0.3	O 166.4 +6.6
	ORtg: 105.7 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 105.7 Pace: 80.2

All Games Avg (10 games)		84.7	-	-	79.4	-3.3	158.1	-5.3 +2.1	O 164.1 +6.0
	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 78.4

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Storm are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Storm are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

The Fever are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 71.4% (5-2) to the under away

The Fever are 75% (3-1) to the over as a dog

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 60% (9-6) against the spread

The Storm are 50% (4-4) against the spread at home

The Storm are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 60% (9-6) to the over

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) to the over at home

The Storm are 54.5% (6-5) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 60% (3-2) to the over as a home fav

The Storm are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Storm are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 50% (7-7) against the spread

The Fever are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread away

The Fever are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 57.1% (8-6) to the under

The Fever are 71.4% (5-2) to the under away

The Fever are 75% (3-1) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Fever are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the under

The Fever are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/18/24	Storm	75	@	Fever	92	-4.0	171.0	+17	U 167 -4.0
2024	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 81.8
06/27/24	Storm	89	vs.	Fever	77	-9.5	167.0	-12	U 166 -1.0
2024	ORtg: 115.4 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 115.4 Pace: 77.1
05/30/24	Storm	103	@	Fever	88	-5.5	166.5	-15	O 191 +24.5
2024	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 81.6
05/22/24	Storm	85	vs.	Fever	83	-5.5	165.5	-2	O 168 +2.5
2024	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 75.1

Storm as Home (2 games)		87.0	-	-	80.0	-7.5	166.3	-7.0 -0.5	O 167.0 +0.8
	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 76.1

All Games Avg (4 games)		88.0	-	-	85.0	-6.1	167.5	-3.0 -3.1	O 173.0 +5.5
	ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 78.9

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 94 – 86 Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Indiana Fever", home_team: "Seattle Storm", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Storm

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Storm (Home)

Fever (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 94 – 86
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm