MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 5 – 12
Los Angeles Angels @ St. Louis Cardinals

Angels: 4-1 (80.0%) | Yusei Kikuchi (L): 0-1 (0.0%)

Cardinals: 3-2 (60.0%) | Sonny Gray (R): 1-0 (100.0%)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Angels

+133

+1.5 (-166)

o3.5 (-136)

8.5

Cardinals

-156

-1.5 (+139)

o4.5 (-104)

Open

Angels

+120

+1.5 (-166)

o3.5 (-136)

8.0

Cardinals

-140

-1.5 (+139)

o4.5 (-104)

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Games
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Injury Report LAANo report STLNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. Compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to see where the model and the market disagree. Regular season only.

Angels

Y. Kikuchi	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Cardinals

S. Gray	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Angels Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/05/25 2025	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	-	vs.	Guardians Tanner Bibee (R)	-	+126	8.5
04/04/25 2025	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	-	vs.	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	-	-102	8.0
04/02/25 2025	Angels Yusei Kikuchi (L)	-	@	Cardinals Sonny Gray (R)	-	+120	8.5
04/01/25 2025	Angels Kyle Hendricks (R)	9	@	Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (L)	7 F/11	+120	8.5
03/31/25 2025	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	5	@	Cardinals Miles Mikolas (R)	4 F/10	+132	8.0
03/30/25 2025	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	3	@	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	2	-126	8.5
03/29/25 2025	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	1	@	White Sox Jonathan Cannon (R)	0	-160	8.0
03/27/25 2025	Angels Yusei Kikuchi (L)	1	@	White Sox Sean Burke (R)	8	-164	7.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/29/24 2024	Angels Jack Kochanowicz (R)	0	vs.	Rangers Nathan Eovaldi (R)	8	+126	7.5
09/28/24 2024	Angels Griffin Canning (R)	8	vs.	Rangers Andrew Heaney (L)	9	+120	8.5
09/27/24 2024	Angels Reid Detmers (L)	2	vs.	Rangers Jacob deGrom (R)	5	+132	7.5
09/26/24 2024	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	0	@	White Sox Chris Flexen (R)	7	-134	7.5
09/25/24 2024	Angels Jose Suarez (L)	3	@	White Sox Davis Martin (R)	4 F/10	-120	7.5

Away Games Avg (5 games this season)		3.8	-	-	4.2	-115	8.1

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		3.8	-	-	4.2	-115	8.1

Cardinals Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
04/05/25 2025	Cardinals Andre Pallante (R)	-	@	Red Sox Richard Fitts (R)	-	+112	8.5
04/04/25 2025	Cardinals Erick Fedde (R)	-	@	Red Sox Walker Buehler (R)	-	+102	9.5
04/02/25 2025	Cardinals Sonny Gray (R)	-	vs.	Angels Yusei Kikuchi (L)	-	-142	8.5
04/01/25 2025	Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (L)	7	vs.	Angels Kyle Hendricks (R)	9 F/11	-142	8.5
03/31/25 2025	Cardinals Miles Mikolas (R)	4	vs.	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	5 F/10	-156	8.0
03/30/25 2025	Cardinals Andre Pallante (R)	9	vs.	Twins Bailey Ober (R)	2	-104	8.5
03/29/25 2025	Cardinals Erick Fedde (R)	5	vs.	Twins Joe Ryan (R)	1	-105	7.5
03/27/25 2025	Cardinals Sonny Gray (R)	5	vs.	Twins Pablo Lopez (R)	3	-104	7.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/29/24 2024	Cardinals Michael McGreevy (R)	6	@	Giants Hayden Birdsong (R)	1	+108	7.5
09/28/24 2024	Cardinals Andre Pallante (R)	5	@	Giants Tristan Beck (R)	6	+110	7.5
09/27/24 2024	Cardinals Miles Mikolas (R)	6	@	Giants Landen Roupp (R)	3	+112	7.5
09/26/24 2024	Cardinals Kyle Gibson (R)	8	@	Rockies Kyle Freeland (L)	10	-112	10.5
09/25/24 2024	Cardinals Erick Fedde (R)	5	@	Rockies Austin Gomber (L)	2	-126	10.5

Home Games Avg (5 games this season)		6.0	-	-	4.0	-120	8.0

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		6.0	-	-	4.0	-120	8.0

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Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Yusei Kikuchi's mix vs. STL bats

Yusei Kikuchi's pitches			STL hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
Slider	36.2%	87.0	32.2% 11th	32.6% 20th	.246 5th	.330 9th	.291 18th	.533 22nd	.203 24th	39.6% 12th	7.2% 26th	87.7 19th
4-Seam Fastball	34.9%	94.8	23.0% 23rd	23.5% 17th	.228 29th	.312 29th	.317 30th	.560 27th	.248 26th	46.3% 21st	10.2% 23rd	90.7 22nd
Curveball	15.4%	79.9	31.1% 17th	31.2% 26th	.204 25th	.328 14th	.285 13th	.549 17th	.221 16th	36.7% 17th	8.0% 15th	87.6 16th
Changeup	12.2%	85.6	32.0% 18th	33.3% 14th	.238 13th	.327 7th	.253 28th	.458 27th	.131 30th	29.6% 29th	3.6% 30th	84.8 27th
Sinker	1.1%	92.9	14.8% 21st	26.6% 24th	.285 11th	.333 10th	.333 22nd	.491 19th	.158 22nd	42.3% 24th	5.5% 25th	88.5 27th
Sweeper	0.2%	80.8	37.8% 29th	31.4% 20th	.194 25th	.280 27th	.244 27th	.508 18th	.228 14th	34.3% 11th	8.1% 16th	86.0 15th
Whole mix, by usage			28.6% 20th	29.2% 22nd	.233 18th	.323 19th	.295 26th	.535 26th	.212 28th	40.3% 21st	7.9% 29th	88.4 22nd

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Yusei Kikuchi's; every other column is STL's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is STL's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Sonny Gray's mix vs. LAA bats

Sonny Gray's pitches			LAA hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	21.7%	91.7	26.2% 30th	21.4% 3rd	.241 22nd	.337 17th	.337 23rd	.664 7th	.327 5th	45.4% 23rd	13.6% 4th	90.4 24th
Sweeper	19.2%	85.1	38.2% 30th	27.9% 9th	.161 30th	.281 25th	.237 29th	.461 28th	.180 26th	25.9% 29th	7.2% 22nd	84.5 26th
Curveball	18.3%	80.3	32.8% 23rd	29.6% 21st	.228 15th	.326 16th	.266 22nd	.531 19th	.205 19th	41.2% 6th	6.5% 23rd	86.1 28th
Sinker	18.0%	92.4	15.9% 28th	22.2% 4th	.256 29th	.343 5th	.359 6th	.546 4th	.203 7th	42.3% 24th	7.3% 13th	89.0 20th
Cutter	12.6%	87.8	25.8% 29th	28.4% 24th	.250 24th	.318 25th	.340 21st	.559 17th	.241 14th	35.6% 28th	7.9% 23rd	85.6 30th
Changeup	8.4%	86.2	32.6% 22nd	36.0% 26th	.197 28th	.312 18th	.252 29th	.523 7th	.211 7th	33.5% 16th	9.1% 3rd	86.0 18th
Slider	1.7%	84.4	36.0% 26th	33.5% 26th	.211 27th	.315 24th	.270 29th	.560 14th	.245 12th	35.3% 25th	10.9% 8th	87.2 25th
Slow Curve	0.1%	74.9	30.0% 16th	10.0% 5th	.000 14th	.486 4th	.464 5th	.554 5th	.068 7th	100.0% 1st	0.0% 4th	96.8 3rd
Whole mix, by usage			28.5% 29th	26.6% 14th	.223 30th	.321 19th	.301 26th	.552 15th	.232 14th	38.0% 28th	8.8% 15th	87.2 29th

2025 season totals. Usage and Velo are Sonny Gray's; every other column is LAA's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is LAA's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Yusei Kikuchi Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
3/27	CHW [ 8 ]	LAA [ 1 ]	-164	7.5	6	87	5	0	5	1	3	3	Sean Burke (R)
9/25	HOU [ 1 ]	SEA [ 8 ]	+130	7	6	98	8	1	4	0	0	2	George Kirby (R)
9/19	HOU [ 3 ]	LAA [ 1 ]	-290	8	6	101	9	1	5	1	1	1	Jose Suarez (L)
9/13	LAA [ 3 ]	HOU [ 5 ]	-215	8.5	7	85	6	2	3	1	3	3	Samuel Aldegheri (L)
9/7	HOU [ 11 ]	ARI [ 5 ]	-156	8	6	99	6	0	7	2	4	4	Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
Averages:					6.2	94	6.8	0.8	4.8	1	2.2	2.6

Sonny Gray Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
3/27	STL [ 5 ]	MIN [ 3 ]	-104	7.5	5	77	6	2	4	1	2	2	Pablo Lopez (R)
9/18	STL [ 10 ]	PIT [ 5 ]	-210	8	5.67	90	8	0	9	0	4	4	Jake Woodford (R)
9/12	STL [ 6 ]	CIN [ 1 ]	-152	7.5	6	91	9	2	2	0	1	1	Jakob Junis (R)
9/4	MIL [ 2 ]	STL [ 3 ]	+102	7.5	7	99	7	1	4	0	1	1	Colin Rea (R)
8/29	STL [ 4 ]	SDP [ 1 ]	-116	7.5	6	90	4	0	3	1	1	1	Michael King (R)
Averages:					5.93	89.4	6.8	1	4.4	0.4	1.8	1.8

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

LAA Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	3/30	3/31	4/1	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Brock Burke ⚠	1.0 (16)	1.0 (13)	·	2	2.0	29	2	1	2	0
Kenley Jansen	1.0 (12)	·	1.0 (11)	2	2.0	23	1	1	1	0
Ryan Johnson ⚠	·	1.0 (20)	1.0 (18)	2	2.0	38	1	1	3	0
Ben Joyce	0.2 (9)	·	1.0 (15)	2	1.2	24	0	0	1	0
Reid Detmers	·	1.2 (40)	·	1	1.2	40	3	2	1	0
Ryan Zeferjahn ⚠	0.1 (11)	0.1 (2)	0.2 (8)	3	1.1	21	2	1	1	0
Garrett McDaniels ⚠	·	1.0 (24)	0.1 (18)	2	1.1	42	1	2	3	2
Ian Anderson	·	·	1.0 (11)	1	1.0	11	2	0	0	0
Team Totals (8 arms used):				15	13.0	228	12	8	12	2

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

STL Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	3/30	3/31	4/1	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Steven Matz	4.0 (51)	·	·	1	4.0	51	2	0	1	0
Ryan Fernandez ⚠	·	1.0 (20)	1.0 (27)	2	2.0	47	1	2	3	3
Ryan Helsley ⚠	·	1.0 (11)	1.0 (14)	2	2.0	25	3	0	1	0
Kyle Leahy	·	·	2.0 (27)	1	2.0	27	1	0	0	0
Chris Roycroft ⚠	·	0.2 (6)	1.0 (21)	2	1.2	27	1	1	2	2
JoJo Romero	·	1.0 (16)	·	1	1.0	16	0	2	0	1
Phil Maton	·	1.0 (14)	·	1	1.0	14	3	0	0	0
Team Totals (7 arms used):				10	13.2	207	11	5	7	6

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Cardinals are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Cardinals (Home)

The Cardinals are 51.8% (87-81) on the moneyline

The Cardinals are 49.1% (27-28) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Cardinals are 52.4% (86-78-4) to the under

The Cardinals are 50.9% (28-27) to the under as a home fav

The Cardinals are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Cardinals are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home fav

The Cardinals are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Cardinals are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Angels (Away)

The Angels are 39.9% (67-101) on the moneyline

The Angels are 42.7% (32-43) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Angels are 50.6% (81-79-8) to the under

The Angels are 52.8% (38-34-3) to the over as an away dog

The Angels are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Angels are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away dog

The Angels are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Angels are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/01/25 2025	Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (L)	7	vs.	Angels Kyle Hendricks (R)	9 F/11	-142	8.5	+2	O 16 +7.5
03/31/25 2025	Cardinals Miles Mikolas (R)	4	vs.	Angels Tyler Anderson (L)	5 F/10	-156	8.0	+1	O 9 +1.0
05/15/24 2024	Cardinals Lance Lynn (R)	2	@	Angels Griffin Canning (R)	7	-124	8.5	+5	O 9 +0.5
05/14/24 2024	Cardinals Sonny Gray (R)	7	@	Angels Reid Detmers (L)	6	-148	7.5	-1	O 13 +5.5
05/13/24 2024	Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (L)	10	@	Angels Jose Soriano (R)	5	-112	8.5	-5	O 15 +6.5

Cardinals as Home (2 games)		5.5	-	-	7.0	-149	8.3	+1.5	O 12.5 +4.3

All Games Avg (5 games)		6.0	-	-	6.4	-135	8.2	+0.4	O 12.4 +4.2

MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 5 – 12 Los Angeles Angels @ St. Louis Cardinals window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Los Angeles Angels", home_team: "St. Louis Cardinals", game_date: "2025-04-02" };

Odds Full MLB odds board

Injury Report LAANo report STLNo report

Angels

Cardinals

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Schedules

Angels Schedule Follow global filters

Cardinals Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Cardinals (Home)

Angels (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7) Follow global filters

Final: 5 – 12
Los Angeles Angels @ St. Louis Cardinals