NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 11/13, Final: 24 – 22
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills

Broncos: 3-5 (37.5%) - AFC West

Bills: 5-4 (55.6%) - AFC East

Line: -7.5

Total: 47.5

Open: -8

Open: 46

Team totals: Broncos 19.5 · Bills 27.5

Odds Full NFL odds board

Pick your own books and see where the sharp action is coming in. Become a member or log in

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report DENNo report BUFNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

No algorithm data available for this game.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Broncos Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/26/23 2023	Broncos	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.0	37.5	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Broncos	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	42.5	-	-
11/13/23 2023	Broncos	-	@	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	47.5	-	-
10/29/23 2023	Broncos	24	vs.	Chiefs	9	267	153	114	2	2	+7.0	45.5	-15	U 33 -12.5
10/22/23 2023	Broncos	19	vs.	Packers	17	339	145	194	1	0	-1.0	44.0	-2	U 36 -8.0
10/12/23 2023	Broncos	8	@	Chiefs	19	210	115	95	1	1	+10.5	47.5	+11	U 27 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Broncos	21	vs.	Jets	31	335	139	196	1	4	-2.5	42.5	+10	O 52 +9.5
10/01/23 2023	Broncos	31	@	Bears	28	320	97	223	1	0	-3.0	47.0	-3	O 59 +12.0
09/24/23 2023	Broncos	20	@	Dolphins	70	375	69	306	0	3	+6.0	47.5	+50	O 90 +42.5
09/17/23 2023	Broncos	33	vs.	Commanders	35	430	122	308	0	1	-4.0	40.5	+2	O 68 +27.5
09/10/23 2023	Broncos	16	vs.	Raiders	17	271	94	177	1	0	-3.0	43.0	+1	U 33 -10.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/08/23 2022	Broncos	31	vs.	Chargers	28	488	205	283	0	3	-6.5	39.0	-3	O 59 +20.0
01/01/23 2022	Broncos	24	@	Chiefs	27	339	117	222	1	1	+12.5	46.0	+3	O 51 +5.0

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		19.7	-	-	39.0	302	94	208	0.7	1.3	+4.5	47.3	+19.3 -14.8	O 58.7 +11.3

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		21.5	-	-	28.3	318	117	202	0.9	1.4	+1.3	44.7	+6.8 -5.5	O 49.8 +5.1

Bills Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/26/23 2023	Bills	-	@	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	48.5	-	-
11/19/23 2023	Bills	-	vs.	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.5	39.5	-	-
11/13/23 2023	Bills	-	vs.	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	47.5	-	-
11/05/23 2023	Bills	18	@	Bengals	24	326	68	258	0	1	+1.5	51.0	+6	U 42 -9.0
10/26/23 2023	Bills	24	vs.	Buccaneers	18	439	115	324	0	0	-10.0	43.0	-6	U 42 -1.0
10/22/23 2023	Bills	25	@	Patriots	29	346	81	265	0	1	-7.5	41.5	+4	O 54 +12.5
10/15/23 2023	Bills	14	vs.	Giants	9	297	128	169	0	1	-15.0	43.5	-5	U 23 -20.5
10/08/23 2023	Bills	20	vs.	Jaguars	25	388	29	359	0	2	-5.0	48.5	+5	U 45 -3.5
10/01/23 2023	Bills	48	vs.	Dolphins	20	424	104	320	1	0	-3.0	53.0	-28	O 68 +15.0
09/24/23 2023	Bills	37	@	Commanders	3	386	168	218	4	0	-5.0	44.5	-34	U 40 -4.5
09/17/23 2023	Bills	38	vs.	Raiders	10	457	183	274	2	0	-7.5	47.0	-28	O 48 +1.0
09/11/23 2023	Bills	16	@	Jets	22 OT	333	97	236	1	2	-2.5	44.5	+6	U 38 -6.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/22/23 2022	Bills	10	vs.	Bengals	27	328	64	264	0	0	-5.5	48.5	+17	U 37 -11.5

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		31.0	-	-	14.3	404	133	272	0.8	0.3	-8.9	46.6	-16.8 +7.9	U 45.3 -1.4

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		26.7	-	-	17.8	377	108	269	0.9	0.8	-6.0	46.3	-8.9 +2.9	U 44.4 -1.8

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Bills are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bills are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Bills are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Bills are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Broncos are 28.6% (2-5-1) against the spread

The Broncos are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

View All Records

Bills (Home)

The Bills are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread

The Bills are 50% (2-2) against the spread at home

The Bills are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a fav

The Bills are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Bills are 66.7% (6-3) to the under

The Bills are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Bills are 62.5% (5-3) to the under as a fav

The Bills are 50% (2-2) to the over as a home fav

The Bills are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bills are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bills are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Bills are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Bills are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Bills are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Bills are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Bills are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Broncos (Away)

The Broncos are 28.6% (2-5-1) against the spread

The Broncos are 0% (0-2-1) against the spread away

The Broncos are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a dog

The Broncos are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Broncos are 50% (4-4) to the over

The Broncos are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Broncos are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a dog

The Broncos are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Broncos are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Broncos are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Broncos are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Broncos are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog