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Tag: nba

Money Baller Betting Report – NBA – Wednesday, October 23

Posted on by Austin Wang

Welcome Ballers! Nice 2-0 to start the NBA season yesterday! See below for a Game 1 system and some notes on a few of the matchups. For games not listed, we didn’t find any meaningful trends/systems worth noting.

Published: Tuesday, October 22, 2024, 11:42 PM CT

Game 1 System

Road underdogs in their first regular season game when they won their previous head-to-head matchup have gone 30-15-1 ATS since the 2011-2012 season. This is active on the Nets and Bulls for Wednesday evening.



Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

  • Hawks: 29-54 ATS (9-18 ATS as home favorites) last season
  • Road underdogs in their first regular season game when they won their previous head-to-head matchup have gone 30-15-1 ATS since the 2011-2012 season. This is active on the Nets and Bulls for Wednesday evening.
    • TMB thoughts: The Hawks have proven to be one of the least reliable teams ATS, and we don’t believe they deserve to be 8-point favorites here. We’re backing the Nets +8.



Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat

  • Heat’s Opponents: 11-21 1H Team Total O/U as home favorites
  • Magic: 11-20 1H Team Total O/U as road underdogs
    • TMB thoughts: These lines are not always readily available, but the 1H Team Total trends were interesting last season. No lines are available right now, but the Orlando 1H Team Total Under is something to keep an eye on for tomorrow.



Cleveland Cavaliers @ Toronto Raptors

  • Raptors: 3-20 SU and 5-18 ATS as home underdogs.
  • Raptors: went 3-21 SU to end the season last year.
    • We’re high on the Cavs this season and see little reason for optimism with the Raptors. If you can get the Cavs -6.5 or better, we’re on board with that play.


Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers

  • Bucks: 7-20 1H ATS as road favorites.
    • TMB thoughts: With Embiid out, has the line shifted too far in the Bucks’ favor? We’re passing on this one, but it’s worth noting the Bucks’ struggles in the 1H last season. Philly, playing at home, might come out with extra energy to compensate for their missing star. We’ve seen this “Injured Player Theory” prove successful int he past.


Chicago Bulls @ New Orleans Pelicans

  • Pelicans: 20-11-1 1H ATS as home favorites.
  • Road underdogs in their first regular season game when they won their previous head-to-head matchup have gone 30-15-1 ATS since the 2011-2012 season. This is active on the Nets and Bulls for Wednesday evening.
    • TMB thoughts: With conflicting trends and both teams integrating new players, we don’t see a clear edge worth backing in this game.


Charlotte Hornets @ Houston Rockets

  • Rockets: 14-4 ATS as home favorites.
  • Hornets: 14-25-1 ATS as road underdogs.
  • Hornets: 11-27-2 1H Team Total O/U as road underdogs.
  • Rockets: held opponents to 5-13 1H Team Total O/U as home favorites.
    • TMB thoughts: The trends clearly favor the Rockets, and the market is high on them as well. We’re backing Rockets -6.5, and off the record, we’ll also be watching for a potential Hornets 1H Team Total Under.


Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers

  • Warriors: 17-2 SU as road favorites.
    • TMB thoughts: We don’t think there’s any action here, but thought this was an interesting trend if you were looking for a ML parlay piece.

NBA Opening Night – Tuesday, Oct 22 – FREE Preview

Posted on by Austin Wang

🏀 The NBA is Back! 🏀

At Money Baller, we’re as passionate as ever about the NBA! As we transition from the MLB season, we recognize there were some inconsistent posts on some days. So, for the upcoming NBA season, we want to set clear expectations on our content schedule:


Money Baller Reports Schedule:

  • Monday: Off
  • Tuesday: Off
  • Wednesday: NBA Money Baller Report
  • Thursday: Off
  • Friday: NBA Money Baller Report
  • Saturday: NBA Money Baller Report + NFL Weekly Newsletter
  • Sunday: NBA Money Baller Report


While this is our regular schedule, keep an eye out for ad-hoc content on off days, especially when there’s a marquee matchup or a key betting edge we spot! We’re also working on new tools to consolidate systems and trends, all on one page, for even greater convenience.

Stay tuned, and let’s make this NBA season the best one yet! 🙌


While I just mentioned Tuesday is an off day, we couldn’t resist Opening Night:


New York Knicks at Boston Celtics

  • Last season, Celtics: 56-25-1 1H ATS (27-13 1H ATS as home favorites).
  • Last season, Knicks: 33-45-3 1H ATS
  • In last 20 seasons, the defending champions are 17-3 SU on opening night.
  • Revenge game for the Celtics
    • TMB thoughts: We don’t usually put too much stock in prior season’s trends/stats, but this one was too good to pass up. The Celtics have brought back the band, while the Knicks could face some growing pains with a myriad of newcomers in Mikal Bridges and Karl Anthony-Towns, and could struggle coming out of the gate. I’m on the Celtics 1H -3.


Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Lakers

  • Last season, Lakers: 6-0 1H ATS in the playoffs.
  • Revenge game for the Lakers
  • Revenge game for D’Angelo Russell
  • Last season, Timberwolves: 34-46-1 1H ATS in the regular season.
  • Last season, Timberwolves: 6-20-1 1H TT Under after the all star break.
    • TMB thoughts: The trends favor the Lakers in this matchup, and they have the upper hand with continuity. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are adjusting to new players like Julius Randle, which may create some early challenges. I’m backing the Lakers 1H +0.5.

Kyrie’s Return to Boston: Key Betting Insights for the 2024 NBA Finals

Posted on by Austin Wang

Kyrie Irving #11 of the Dallas Mavericks drives against Derrick White at the TD Garden on March 1, 2024. (BRIAN FLUHARTY / GETTY IMAGES)

The NBA Finals are here! To no one’s surprise, the Celtics reigned supreme in the Eastern Conference. They’ve benefited from injuries to key players on their opponents’ rosters in each round. Celtics haven’t been fully healthy either – oft-injured big man Kristaps Porzingis missed Rounds 2 and 3. He is expected back in the lineup; however, rust and conditioning could be potential issues.

Hats off to the Dallas Mavericks! While their potential was recognized, many are surprised to see them outlast the Nuggets, Timberwolves, and Thunder. Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving have formed an unstoppable duo, consistently delivering in clutch moments. Mid-season acquisitions P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford have excelled in their roles, while rookie Dereck Lively made significant contributions, especially in the series against the Thunder.

A lot of juicy narratives are at play. Irving’s short stint with the Celtics (2017-2019) held much promise but ultimately fell short, leading to significant hostility between Irving and the Boston fans. Expect an earful directed at Irving from the Boston faithful at TD Garden. On the other side, Porzingis will face his former team, the Mavericks, where his two-and-a-half season tenure was marred by injuries and chemistry issues.

Here are a few bullet points for each team and a link to the matchup page where you can dive into advanced stats, trends, splits, and situational spots. Sign up for access to this website free until August 1.

1. Boston Celtics vs. 4. Dallas Mavericks

Click here for The Money Baller matchup page for stats, trends, splits, and systems for this matchup.


Boston Celtics

  • The Boston Celtics have demonstrated their strength in the first half throughout the season, boasting an impressive 64-31-1 ATS record in the first half. This trend continued into the playoffs, where they went 7-3 ATS in the first half in the first two rounds, but only 1-3 1H ATS in the Conference Finals against the Pacers.
  • The home team in Game 1 of the NBA Finals has gone 18-3 SU and 17-4 ATS in the history of the KillerSports.com database.
  • Teams playing as home favorites in Game 1 with a rest advantage have historically performed exceptionally well. Data from the KillerSports.com database reveals a strong 61-42 (59%) ATS record (5-2 ATS in these playoffs) for such teams, underscoring the significance of rest and home-court advantage in setting the tone for the series. Specific to the NBA Finals, this trend has gone 8-2 ATS.
  • Favorites playing in Game 1 after a sweep are 23-14-1 ATS. These stats favor the under as well.


Dallas Mavericks

  • The Mavericks have established themselves as road warriors, boasting an impressive 33-16-1 ATS record in road games this season. Their ability to perform well away from home speaks to their resilience and adaptability. They are 7-2 ATS on the road in the postseason.
  • The Mavericks are 27-6 SU and 25-8 ATS when both Doncic and Irving suit up, dating back to March 7, 2024.
  • Unlike the Celtics, the Mavericks are not a strong first-half team. This season, they are 57-41-1 ATS for the full game but only 48-50-1 ATS in the first half.
  • Some interesting stat comparisons to note in these playoffs:

    – The Mavericks rank 2nd in Free Throw Rate, but the Celtics are 1st in Free Throw Rate allowed.

    – The Mavericks’ duo of young big men has propelled them to the 3rd best Offensive Rebounding Percentage in the playoffs, while the Celtics are 1st in Offensive Rebounding Percentage allowed.

    – The Mavericks average the most corner three-point attempts in the postseason. However, the Celtics neutralize this, ranking 1st in both Corner 3 attempts allowed and Corner 3 FG% allowed.

Stats and trends are pointing to the Celtics -6.5 and Celtics 1H -3.5. However, the Mavericks have defied odds throughout the playoffs (especially on the road) and have been red-hot as of late. We are eagerly awaiting this Finals matchup!

For a limited time, Basic Access is free until August 1, offering coverage for the majority of the MLB and WNBA season. Plus, with Baller Access, you’ll unlock access to profitable situational systems and exclusive breakdowns that can give you an edge in your betting strategy.

Don’t miss out! Click here to sign up and elevate your betting tools and resources today!

NBA Playoffs 2024 | Conference Finals Preview

Posted on by Austin Wang

The conference semi-finals were nothing short of thrilling and full of surprises! The series between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers, as well as the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, both went to a decisive Game 7. The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks also delivered an electrifying showdown. Although the Boston Celtics versus Cleveland Cavaliers series lacked excitement, it was largely due to injuries on the Cavaliers’ side.

We witnessed a changing of the guard with the Timberwolves and Pacers, two rising teams that fought hard to advance. Meanwhile, Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks secured their spot in the conference finals for the second time in three seasons.

Kristaps Porzingis still remains sidelined for the Celtics with a calf injury. He is likely missing the first two games of the conference finals but there’s optimism he’ll return sometime during the series.

Similar to the first two rounds, here are 3 bullet points for each team and a link to the matchup page where you can dive into advanced stats, trends, splits, and situational spots. Sign up for access to this website free until August 1.


3. Minnesota Timberwolves vs. 4. Dallas Mavericks

Click here for The Money Baller matchup page for stats, trends, splits, and systems for this matchup.


Minnesota Timberwolves

  • The Wolves are 5-1 SU and ATS on the road in this playoffs.
  • Wolves/Mavericks have gone 7-1-1 to the under in their previous nine matchups (dating back to March 21, 2022), averaging 219.7 points per game.
  • A notable weakness for the Timberwolves this season is their slow starts at home, where they are 16-30 ATS (34.8%) in the first half. On the other hand, the Mavericks are 25-21-1 (54.3%) in the first half on the road.



Dallas Mavericks

  • The Mavericks have established themselves as road warriors, boasting an impressive 30-16-1 ATS record in road games this season. Their ability to perform well away from home speaks to their resilience and adaptability.
  • The Mavericks are ranked 2nd in Offensive Rebounding % in the playoffs; however, the Timberwolves are 3rd in Offensive Rebounding % allowed.
  • Teams playing in Game 1 after a seven-game series (against a team that did not play a seven-game series) are 19-33-1 ATS in the history of the Killer Sports SDQL database. This trend supports a play on the Mavericks in Game 1.


1. Boston Celtics vs. 6. Indiana Pacers

Click here for The Money Baller matchup page for stats, trends, splits, and systems for this matchup.



Boston Celtics

  • The Boston Celtics have demonstrated their strength in the first half throughout the season, boasting an impressive 63-28-1 ATS record in the first half. This trend continued into the playoffs, where they went 7-3 ATS in the first half in the first two rounds, highlighting their ability to start games strong.
  • Teams playing as home favorites in Game 1 with a rest advantage have historically performed exceptionally well. Data from the KillerSports.com database reveals a strong 61-41 (59%) ATS record (5-1 ATS in these playoffs) for such teams, underscoring the significance of rest and home-court advantage in setting the tone for the series.
  • Teams playing in Game 1 after a seven-game series (versus one that did not play a seven-game series) are 19-33-1 ATS in the history of the Killer Sports SDQL database. This trend supports a play on the Celtics in Game 1.



Indiana Pacers

  • The Pacers have defied odds this season, sporting a solid 25-17-2 ATS record as underdogs. Their ability to exceed expectations underscores their resilience and competitive spirit on the court.
  • In their previous 18 games, the Pacers have showcased their offensive firepower, with a 13-5 record to the over. They are 7-1 to the over in their last 8 games as underdogs, highlighting their ability to generate scoring opportunities and capitalize on offensive possessions.
  • Contrary to the Celtics, the Pacers have been a poor first-half team. They have a 46-47-3 ATS record in the first half, compared to 53-42-1 ATS in the full game. They were 18th in Net Rating in the first half and 5th in Net Rating in the second half.

NBA Playoffs | Round 2: Eastern Conference Preview

Posted on by The Money Baller Team

With the Cavaliers surviving a seven-game series battle on Sunday, the matchups have been set for Round 2 in the Eastern Conference.

The first matchup is between the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers. The absence of Kristaps Porzingis leaves the Celtics with a void to fill. Can the Cleveland Cavaliers capitalize on this opportunity to level the playing field? With their own injury concerns, notably Jarrett Allen’s absence, and coming off a taxing seven-game series, the Cavaliers’ offense may continue to struggle.

Meanwhile, in a throwback to the 90s, we get flashbacks of Spike Lee and Reggie Miller with the matchup between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers. The Knicks emerge from a captivating series against the 76ers, earning acclaim for their resilient and clutch performances. Their gritty, grind-it-out style contrasts sharply with the run-and-gun approach of the Indiana Pacers, setting the stage for an intriguing clash of styles in this upcoming series.

Similar to the first round, here are 3 bullet points for each team and a link to the matchup page where you can dive into advanced stats, trends, splits, and situational spots. Sign up for access to this website free until August 1.

2. New York Knicks vs. 6. Indiana Pacers

Click here for The Money Baller matchup page for stats, trends, splits, and systems for this matchup.


New York Knicks

  • A key catalyst for the Knicks’ success has been the presence of OG Anunoby. When Anunoby has been on the court, the Knicks have thrived with an outstanding 24-5 straight up record and a 19-10 ATS record. Anunoby’s versatile contributions have proven instrumental in elevating the team’s performance on both ends of the court.
  • Knicks’ games are 15-3 to the over in their last 18 games. Surprisingly, the Knicks ranked #7 in Offensive Rating during the regular season, exceeding expectations for a team coached by the defensive-minded Tom Thibodeau.
  • Despite their overall success, the Knicks have faced challenges against the Indiana Pacers in recent matchups. They have suffered losses in three out of their last four encounters with the Pacers, highlighting the competitive nature of their rivalry.


Indiana Pacers

  • The Pacers have defied odds this season, sporting a solid 24-16-1 ATS record as underdogs. Their ability to exceed expectations underscores their resilience and competitive spirit on the court. When facing teams with an Offensive Rating greater than the league average, the Pacers have thrived, compiling an impressive 26-12-1 ATS record.
  • In their previous 11 games, the Pacers have showcased their offensive firepower and their games went 9-2 record to the over. This streak of high-scoring games highlights their ability to generate scoring opportunities and capitalize on offensive possessions.
  • Despite their strengths, the Pacers face challenges in rebounding, particularly on the defensive end. Ranking 25th in Offensive Rebound Percentage allowed, they are susceptible to opponents’ second-chance opportunities. This weakness could be exploited by opponents like the New York Knicks, who lead the league in Offensive Rebound Percentage.

1. Boston Celtics vs. 4. Cleveland Cavaliers

Click here for The Money Baller matchup page for stats, trends, splits, and systems for this matchup.


Boston Celtics

  • The Boston Celtics have demonstrated their strength in the first half throughout the season, boasting an impressive 60-26-1 ATS record in the first half. This trend continued into the playoffs, where they went 4-1 ATS in the first half against the Miami Heat in the first round, highlighting their ability to start games strong.
  • The Celtics will be without Kristaps Porzingis in this round due to a calf injury. However, historical data reveals that the Celtics have fared well in games without Porzingis, holding a strong 22-4 SU and 16-8-2 ATS record. On/Off numbers indicate a decrease in Pace by an average of 4.7 possessions per 48 minutes when Porzingis is off the court; interestingly, their games have trended towards the over, with a record of 15-11.
  • Teams playing as home favorites in Game 1 with a rest advantage have historically performed exceptionally well. Data from the KillerSports.com database reveals a strong 59-41 (59%) ATS record for such teams, underscoring the significance of rest and home-court advantage in setting the tone for the series. This historical trend could be a factor to consider in assessing the performance of teams in Game 1 matchups.


Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Teams coming off a seven-game series typically face challenges in Game 1 of the following series. Historical data from the Killer Sports database dating back to the 2002-2003 season reveals a 24-37-1 (39.3%) ATS record. Additionally, these games have trended towards the over, with a record of 37-23-2 (61.7%).
  • The Cavaliers have faced difficulties in games without their key player, Jarrett Allen. They hold a 2-7 ATS record this season when Allen is sidelined. On/Off numbers from Basketball Reference underscore Allen’s significance, showing a notable -6.1 Net Rating when he is off the court. His absence could pose challenges for the Cavaliers and is worth monitoring, especially if he misses additional playing time.
  • Cleveland has encountered road struggles in recent outings, losing 10 of their last 11 road games and posting a dismal 2-9 ATS record in those matchups. This road slump continued into the first round of the playoffs, where they faltered with a 0-3 record both SU and ATS against the Magic.
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