OUT Excluded · Out Injury reported · IN Required

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NCAAF Player Props & Projections

Look up any college football player's game log, season and recent averages and opponent-adjusted projections. Pick a game or search a player above to compare his recent production with what the opponent's defense allows.

Roman Gagliano QB MTEN

KENN @ MTEN, Oct 28 · per-game averages

	GP	Pass Yds	Pass TD	Cmp	Att	INT	Rush Yds	Rush Att
Season	6	200.7	1.7	17.7	31.5	0.3	17.8	4.8
Last 4 Wks	4	197	1.5	16.3	28.3	0.3	8.8	4
Last 8 Wks	6	200.7	1.7	17.7	31.5	0.3	17.8	4.8

Recent games

Wk	Opp	Pass Yds	Pass TD	Cmp	Att	INT	Rush Yds	Rush Att
8	vs FINT	200	1	16	27	0	41	7
7	vs DEL	291	3	22	32	1	22	4
5	vs KAN	81	0	9	26	0	-4	1
4	vs JVST	216	2	18	28	0	-24	4
3	vs NEV	173	2	16	29	0	14	5

How this projection is built

Roman Gagliano, passing yards against Kennesaw State. Our own calculation from this season's box scores, in three steps.

His own games. Roman Gagliano has averaged 200.7 passing yards over 6 games. In the steps below, recent games count for more than early ones.

The defenses he has faced. Between them they allow 199.4 passing yards per game; the national average is 218.6, so his schedule has been tougher than average. With recent form and that schedule taken into account, his adjusted level is 210.5.

Game	Opponent	His passing yards	Opp. allows per game (passing yards)	Rank of 259
Wk 2	Marshall	243	238.4	78
Wk 3	Nevada	173	155.3	250
Wk 4	Jacksonville State	216	187.9	202
Wk 5	Kansas	81	174.3	221
Wk 7	Delaware	291	269.6	28
Wk 8	Florida International	200	171.0	230

The next defense. Kennesaw State allows 246.0 passing yards per game, 62nd most of 259 teams and above the national average of 218.6. That raises the projection to 221.0.

Rank 1 is the defense that allows the most. A defense's figure is its team total per game this season, so what moves a projection is how far that figure sits from the national average, not its size. The same steps give his other projections: pass attempts 31.9, interceptions 0.3, rushing yards 18.1, rushing attempts 4.8. Projections are estimates from games already played and change as new games are added.

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Positional Matchup

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Stat	Player Avg	Player SOS	Adj.	League Avg	Team Allow	Diff	Team SOS	Rank	Projected
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Positional Matchup

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Stat	Player Avg	Player SOS Reflects the difficulty of defenses this player has faced compared to a league average team and ranks them among other players at their position (#1 = toughest schedule, you would expect this player to perform better than their raw numbers against an average team).	Adj.	League Avg	Team Allow	Diff	Team SOS Strength of schedule rank for the defending team, to help understand if raw numbers are inflated or deflated. (#1 = toughest schedule, they faced the best offensive players at this position, so their defensive numbers are likely deflated.)	Rank vs. Pos Think of this as how much of each stat a team allows. #1 allows the most (presumably easiest matchup), #30 allows the least (toughest matchup). Based on raw averages without SOS adjustment.	Projected Projections for each stat start from the player's average, with recent games counting for more, adjusted for the defenses he has faced and for what the selected team's defense allows. The steps, with his own numbers, are set out under this table. The projections do not take injuries or defensive assignment changes into account.

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	GP	CMP	ATT	CMP%	YDS	TD	INT	RTG	Y/A	RUSH	RYDS	RTD	SACK	FUM	TD%	INT%
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