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Updated: 12/19/25 4:15 a.m.
Thu, 12/18, 8:15 p.m.
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Rams: 11-3 (78.6%) - NFC West
Seahawks: 11-3 (78.6%) - NFC West
Line: -1.5
Total: 42.0
Open: 46.5
Notes
Rams
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 3 days (TNF)
Baller System(s)
Back divisional road team with above average passing vs poor pass defefnse Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 36 - 15 - 2 (70.6%)L365 Days: 5 - 3 - 0 (62.5%)Current Season: 5 - 2 - 0 (71.4%)
Seahawks
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Short rest: 3 days (TNF)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/16/25 2025 Seahawks 19 Away Rams 21 249 119 130 4 1 +3.0 49.5 +2 40
01/05/25 2024 Seahawks 30 Away Rams 25 418 84 334 0 0 -7.5 38.5 -5 55
11/03/24 2024 Seahawks 20 Home Rams 26 470 107 363 1 2 +2.5 48.5 +6 46
11/19/23 2023 Seahawks 16 Away Rams 17 272 82 190 1 0 +2.5 45.5 +1 33
09/10/23 2023 Seahawks 13 Home Rams 30 197 85 112 0 0 -4.5 44.5 +17 43
01/08/23 2022 Seahawks 19 Home Rams 16 410 197 213 1 0 -4.0 43.5 -3 35
12/04/22 2022 Seahawks 27 Away Rams 23 349 171 178 1 1 -6.5 41.0 -4 50
Seahawks as Home (3 games) 17.3 - - 24.0 359 130 229 0.7 0.7 -2.0 45.5 +6.7 41.3
All Games Avg (7 games) 20.6 - - 22.6 338 121 217 1.1 0.6 -2.1 44.4 +2.0 43.1
Schedules
Rams Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Rams - home Cardinals - - - - - - -4.5 45.5 - -
12/29/25 2025 Rams - away Falcons - - - - - - -7.5 48.5 - -
12/18/25 2025 Rams - away Seahawks - - - - - - +1.5 42.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Rams 41 home Lions 34 527 159 368 0 1 -5.5 55.5 -7 75
12/07/25 2025 Rams 45 away Cardinals 17 530 249 281 1 0 -9.5 49.5 -28 62
11/30/25 2025 Rams 28 away Panthers 31 395 152 243 0 1 -10.0 44.5 +3 59
11/23/25 2025 Rams 34 home Buccaneers 7 343 70 273 2 0 -6.5 49.5 -27 41
11/16/25 2025 Rams 21 home Seahawks 19 249 119 130 4 1 -3.0 49.5 -2 40
11/09/25 2025 Rams 42 away Fortyniners 26 406 126 280 1 0 -5.5 49.5 -16 68
11/02/25 2025 Rams 34 home Saints 10 452 171 281 1 0 -14.0 44.5 -24 44
10/19/25 2025 Rams 35 neutral Jaguars 7 271 89 182 0 0 -3.0 44.5 -28 42
10/12/25 2025 Rams 17 away Ravens 3 255 74 181 1 2 -6.5 43.5 -14 20
10/02/25 2025 Rams 23 home Fortyniners 26 467 78 389 0 2 -7.5 43.5 +3 49
Away Games Avg (4 games) 33.0 - - 19.3 397 150 246 0.8 0.8 -7.9 46.8 -13.8 52.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 32.0 - - 18.0 390 129 261 1.0 0.7 -7.1 47.4 -14.0 50.0
Seahawks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Seahawks - away Fortyniners - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/29/25 2025 Seahawks - away Panthers - - - - - - -7.5 42.5 - -
12/18/25 2025 Seahawks - home Rams - - - - - - -1.5 42.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Seahawks 18 home Colts 16 321 50 271 1 1 -13.5 42.5 -2 34
12/07/25 2025 Seahawks 37 away Falcons 9 378 129 249 2 2 -7.0 44.5 -28 46
11/30/25 2025 Seahawks 26 home Vikings 0 253 125 128 4 3 -12.5 42.5 -26 26
11/23/25 2025 Seahawks 30 away Titans 24 358 114 244 0 0 -13.0 40.5 -6 54
11/16/25 2025 Seahawks 19 away Rams 21 414 135 279 0 1 +3.0 49.5 +2 40
11/09/25 2025 Seahawks 44 home Cardinals 22 376 198 178 0 4 -7.5 44.5 -22 66
11/02/25 2025 Seahawks 38 away Commanders 14 418 88 330 1 1 -2.5 47.5 -24 52
10/20/25 2025 Seahawks 27 home Texans 19 331 118 213 1 2 -3.0 41.5 -8 46
10/12/25 2025 Seahawks 20 away Jaguars 12 355 60 295 0 0 -1.5 47.5 -8 32
10/05/25 2025 Seahawks 35 home Buccaneers 38 463 122 341 0 1 -3.5 44.5 +3 73
Home Games Avg (5 games) 30.0 - - 19.0 349 123 226 1.2 2.2 -8.0 43.1 -11.0 49.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 29.4 - - 17.5 367 114 253 0.9 1.5 -6.1 44.5 -11.9 46.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sat, 12/20, 5:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Eagles: 9-5 (64.3%) - NFC East
Commanders: 4-10 (28.6%) - NFC East
Line: +7.0
Total: 44.5
Open: +4.5
Open: 45.0
Notes
Eagles
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
Commanders
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
First game home off 2+ game road trip
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Unders system: playoff rematch Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 28 - 36 - 0 (43.8%)L365 Days: 7 - 8 - 0 (46.7%)Current Season: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/26/25 2024 Commanders 23 Away Eagles 55 475 229 246 1 0 +6.0 46.5 +32 78
12/22/24 2024 Commanders 36 Home Eagles 33 371 113 258 1 3 +4.0 47.0 -3 69
11/14/24 2024 Commanders 18 Away Eagles 26 449 228 221 1 1 +4.5 49.5 +8 44
10/29/23 2023 Commanders 31 Home Eagles 38 481 84 397 0 1 +7.0 42.0 +7 69
10/01/23 2023 Commanders 31 Away Eagles 34 423 104 319 0 1 +8.5 43.0 +3 65
11/14/22 2022 Commanders 32 Away Eagles 21 269 94 175 1 3 +11.0 43.0 -11 53
09/25/22 2022 Commanders 8 Home Eagles 24 298 87 211 0 2 +6.0 47.5 +16 32
Commanders as Home (3 games) 25.0 - - 31.7 383 95 289 0.3 2.0 +5.7 45.5 +6.7 56.7
All Games Avg (7 games) 25.6 - - 33.0 395 134 261 0.6 1.6 +6.7 45.5 +7.4 58.6
Schedules
Eagles Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Eagles - away Bills - - - - - - +3.0 44.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Eagles - away Commanders - - - - - - -6.5 44.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Eagles - away Commanders - - - - - - -7.0 44.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Eagles 31 home Raiders 0 391 183 208 1 0 -12.5 37.0 -31 31
12/08/25 2025 Eagles 19 away Chargers 22 374 134 240 1 2 -1.5 42.0 +3 41
11/28/25 2025 Eagles 15 home Bears 24 317 87 230 1 2 -7.0 43.5 +9 39
11/23/25 2025 Eagles 21 away Cowboys 24 352 63 289 1 2 -3.0 47.5 +3 45
11/16/25 2025 Eagles 16 home Lions 9 283 148 135 1 2 -2.5 46.0 -7 25
11/10/25 2025 Eagles 10 away Packers 7 294 111 183 0 1 +1.0 45.0 -3 17
10/26/25 2025 Eagles 38 home Giants 20 455 276 179 0 0 -7.5 43.5 -18 58
10/19/25 2025 Eagles 28 away Vikings 22 371 45 326 2 0 -2.5 44.0 -6 50
10/09/25 2025 Eagles 17 away Giants 34 356 73 283 0 1 -7.5 40.5 +17 51
10/05/25 2025 Eagles 17 home Broncos 21 325 45 280 0 0 -4.0 44.5 +4 38
Away Games Avg (5 games) 19.0 - - 21.8 349 85 264 0.8 1.2 -2.7 43.8 +2.8 40.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 21.2 - - 18.3 352 117 235 0.7 1.0 -4.7 43.4 -2.9 39.5
Commanders Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/25/25 2025 Commanders - home Cowboys - - - - - - +3.5 51.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Commanders - home Eagles - - - - - - +6.5 44.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Commanders - home Eagles - - - - - - +7.0 44.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Commanders 29 away Giants 21 356 145 211 1 4 +2.5 47.5 -8 50
12/07/25 2025 Commanders 0 away Vikings 31 215 107 108 0 1 +1.5 43.5 +31 31
11/30/25 2025 Commanders 26 home Broncos 27 437 143 294 1 2 +6.0 43.5 +1 53
11/16/25 2025 Commanders 13 neutral Dolphins 16 385 172 213 0 1 +2.5 47.5 +3 29
11/09/25 2025 Commanders 22 home Lions 44 306 93 213 0 0 +8.5 49.5 +22 66
11/02/25 2025 Commanders 14 home Seahawks 38 310 157 153 1 1 +2.5 47.5 +24 52
10/27/25 2025 Commanders 7 away Chiefs 28 273 60 213 2 1 +10.5 48.0 +21 35
10/19/25 2025 Commanders 22 away Cowboys 44 355 136 219 0 1 +1.5 55.5 +22 66
10/13/25 2025 Commanders 24 home Bears 25 335 124 211 0 3 -5.5 49.0 +1 49
10/05/25 2025 Commanders 27 away Chargers 10 394 163 231 1 1 +3.0 48.5 -17 37
Home Games Avg (4 games) 21.5 - - 33.5 347 129 218 0.5 1.5 +2.9 47.4 +12.0 55.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 18.4 - - 28.4 337 130 207 0.6 1.5 +3.3 48.0 +10.0 46.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sat, 12/20, 8:20 p.m.
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
Packers: 9-4 (69.2%) - NFC North
Bears: 10-4 (71.4%) - NFC North
Line: -1.5
Total: 46.5
Open: +3.0
Open: 45.5
Notes
Packers
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
Baller System(s)
Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 145 - 103 - 6 (58.5%)L365 Days: 23 - 22 - 0 (51.1%)Current Season: 19 - 19 - 0 (50.0%)
Bears
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Packers
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/07/25 2025 Bears 21 Away Packers 28 351 117 234 1 0 +6.5 44.5 +7 49
01/05/25 2024 Bears 24 Away Packers 22 388 183 205 1 4 +10.0 41.5 -2 46
11/17/24 2024 Bears 19 Home Packers 20 410 179 231 1 0 +6.0 41.0 +1 39
01/07/24 2023 Bears 9 Away Packers 17 440 124 316 0 1 +2.5 46.0 +8 26
09/10/23 2023 Bears 20 Home Packers 38 338 122 216 0 1 -1.0 41.0 +18 58
12/04/22 2022 Bears 19 Home Packers 28 409 155 254 0 1 +3.5 45.0 +9 47
09/18/22 2022 Bears 10 Away Packers 27 437 203 234 1 3 +10.0 41.5 +17 37
Bears as Home (3 games) 19.3 - - 28.7 386 152 234 0.3 0.7 +2.8 42.3 +9.3 48.0
All Games Avg (7 games) 17.4 - - 25.7 396 155 241 0.6 1.4 +5.4 42.9 +8.3 43.1
Schedules
Packers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/25 2025 Packers - home Ravens - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/27/25 2025 Packers - home Ravens - - - - - - - - - -
12/20/25 2025 Packers - away Bears - - - - - - +1.5 46.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Packers 26 away Broncos 34 391 115 276 0 0 -2.5 43.5 +8 60
12/07/25 2025 Packers 28 home Bears 21 351 117 234 1 0 -6.5 44.5 -7 49
11/27/25 2025 Packers 31 away Lions 24 359 125 234 0 2 +2.5 47.5 -7 55
11/23/25 2025 Packers 23 home Vikings 6 292 146 146 2 0 -6.5 41.5 -17 29
11/16/25 2025 Packers 27 away Giants 20 308 128 180 1 2 -7.5 42.5 -7 47
11/10/25 2025 Packers 7 home Eagles 10 280 104 176 0 3 -1.0 45.0 +3 17
11/02/25 2025 Packers 13 home Panthers 16 377 104 273 1 1 -12.5 43.5 +3 29
10/26/25 2025 Packers 35 away Steelers 25 454 94 360 0 2 -2.5 46.0 -10 60
10/19/25 2025 Packers 27 away Cardinals 23 273 94 179 0 2 -7.0 44.5 -4 50
10/12/25 2025 Packers 27 home Bengals 18 412 153 259 0 0 -14.0 44.5 -9 45
Away Games Avg (5 games) 29.2 - - 25.2 357 111 246 0.2 1.6 -3.4 44.8 -4.0 54.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 24.4 - - 19.7 350 118 232 0.5 1.2 -5.8 44.3 -4.7 44.1
Bears Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Bears - home Lions - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Bears - away Fortyniners - - - - - - +2.5 51.0 - -
12/20/25 2025 Bears - home Packers - - - - - - -1.5 46.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Bears 31 home Browns 3 384 142 242 3 1 -7.5 38.5 -28 34
12/07/25 2025 Bears 21 away Packers 28 324 138 186 1 1 +6.5 44.5 +7 49
11/28/25 2025 Bears 24 away Eagles 15 435 281 154 1 0 +7.0 43.5 -9 39
11/23/25 2025 Bears 31 home Steelers 28 338 99 239 1 2 -2.5 45.5 -3 59
11/16/25 2025 Bears 19 away Vikings 17 333 140 193 2 1 +2.5 47.5 -2 36
11/09/25 2025 Bears 24 home Giants 20 391 171 220 0 0 -4.5 44.5 -4 44
11/02/25 2025 Bears 47 away Bengals 42 585 283 302 2 0 -3.0 51.5 -5 89
10/26/25 2025 Bears 16 away Ravens 30 381 96 285 0 1 +2.5 44.5 +14 46
10/19/25 2025 Bears 26 home Saints 14 394 222 172 3 2 -3.5 43.5 -12 40
10/13/25 2025 Bears 25 away Commanders 24 397 145 252 1 0 +5.5 49.0 -1 49
Home Games Avg (4 games) 28.0 - - 16.3 377 159 218 1.8 1.3 -4.5 43.0 -11.8 44.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 26.4 - - 22.1 396 172 225 1.4 0.8 +0.3 45.3 -4.3 48.5
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns
Bills: 10-4 (71.4%) - AFC East
Browns: 3-11 (21.4%) - AFC North
Line: +10.5
Total: 41.5
Open: 40.5
Notes
Bills
Baller System(s)
Unders system: back an under when a favorite is a bigger favorite than their previous game and their total is lower Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 73 - 79 - 2 (48.0%)L365 Days: 15 - 14 - 0 (51.7%)Current Season: 13 - 11 - 0 (54.2%)
Browns
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/20/22 2022 Browns 23 Away Bills 31 368 171 197 0 0 +7.5 50.5 +8 54
All Games Avg (1 games) 23.0 - - 31.0 368 171 197 0.0 0.0 +7.5 50.5 +8.0 54.0
Schedules
Bills Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Bills - home Jets - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Bills - home Eagles - - - - - - -3.0 44.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Bills - away Browns - - - - - - -10.5 41.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Bills 35 away Patriots 31 361 168 193 1 0 -2.5 49.5 -4 66
12/07/25 2025 Bills 39 home Bengals 34 434 183 251 2 2 -6.0 54.5 -5 73
11/30/25 2025 Bills 26 away Steelers 7 372 249 123 1 2 -3.0 44.5 -19 33
11/20/25 2025 Bills 19 away Texans 23 396 143 253 0 1 -4.5 44.0 +4 42
11/16/25 2025 Bills 44 home Buccaneers 32 414 97 317 1 2 -6.5 46.5 -12 76
11/09/25 2025 Bills 13 away Dolphins 30 393 87 306 2 2 -8.5 50.0 +17 43
11/02/25 2025 Bills 28 home Chiefs 21 414 141 273 1 0 +2.5 53.0 -7 49
10/26/25 2025 Bills 40 away Panthers 9 430 245 185 1 0 -7.0 47.5 -31 49
10/13/25 2025 Bills 14 away Falcons 24 314 134 180 0 2 -3.5 49.5 +10 38
10/05/25 2025 Bills 20 home Patriots 23 371 118 253 0 2 -7.5 48.5 +3 43
Away Games Avg (6 games) 24.5 - - 20.7 378 171 207 0.8 1.2 -4.8 47.5 -3.8 45.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 27.8 - - 23.4 390 157 233 0.9 1.3 -4.7 48.8 -4.4 51.2
Browns Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Browns - away Bengals - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Browns - home Steelers - - - - - - +4.5 34.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Browns - home Bills - - - - - - +10.5 41.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Browns 3 away Bears 31 227 50 177 0 0 +7.5 38.5 +28 34
12/07/25 2025 Browns 29 home Titans 31 425 61 364 1 2 -4.0 33.5 +2 60
11/30/25 2025 Browns 8 home Fortyniners 26 287 138 149 0 4 +5.5 35.5 +18 34
11/23/25 2025 Browns 24 away Raiders 10 273 64 209 0 1 +3.5 36.0 -14 34
11/16/25 2025 Browns 16 home Ravens 23 221 106 115 2 1 +7.5 37.5 +7 39
11/09/25 2025 Browns 20 away Jets 27 325 158 167 1 0 -2.0 37.5 +7 47
10/26/25 2025 Browns 13 away Patriots 32 224 68 156 1 0 +7.0 40.5 +19 45
10/19/25 2025 Browns 31 home Dolphins 6 220 104 116 3 1 -2.5 34.5 -25 37
10/12/25 2025 Browns 9 away Steelers 23 286 65 221 0 0 +6.5 38.0 +14 32
10/05/25 2025 Browns 17 neutral Vikings 21 330 140 190 0 0 +3.5 35.5 +4 38
Home Games Avg (4 games) 21.0 - - 21.5 288 102 186 1.5 2.0 +1.6 35.3 +0.5 42.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 17.0 - - 23.0 282 95 186 0.8 0.9 +3.3 36.7 +6.0 40.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys
Chargers: 10-4 (71.4%) - AFC West
Cowboys: 6-7 (46.2%) - NFC East
Line: -2.0
Total: 49.5
Open: -2.5
Open: 48.5
Notes
Chargers
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller System(s)
Fade home favorites off a loss Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 76 - 64 - 1 (54.3%)L365 Days: 13 - 18 - 0 (41.9%)Current Season: 11 - 12 - 0 (47.8%)
Cowboys
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Chargers
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/16/23 2023 Cowboys 20 Away Chargers 17 280 53 227 0 0 -1.5 49.5 -3 37
All Games Avg (1 games) 20.0 - - 17.0 280 53 227 0.0 0.0 -1.5 49.5 -3.0 37.0
Schedules
Chargers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/25 2025 Chargers - home Texans - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/27/25 2025 Chargers - home Texans - - - - - - - - - -
12/21/25 2025 Chargers - away Cowboys - - - - - - +2.0 49.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Chargers home Texans 0 0 0 0 0 - - 0 0
12/14/25 2025 Chargers 16 away Chiefs 13 304 94 210 2 1 +5.5 41.5 -3 29
12/08/25 2025 Chargers 22 home Eagles 19 308 169 139 4 3 +1.5 42.0 -3 41
11/30/25 2025 Chargers 31 home Raiders 14 352 192 160 1 0 -9.5 40.5 -17 45
11/16/25 2025 Chargers 6 away Jaguars 35 160 42 118 1 0 -3.0 43.5 +29 41
11/09/25 2025 Chargers 25 home Steelers 10 335 115 220 2 0 -3.0 45.5 -15 35
11/02/25 2025 Chargers 27 away Titans 20 381 131 250 0 1 -10.0 44.5 -7 47
10/23/25 2025 Chargers 37 home Vikings 10 434 207 227 1 0 -3.5 44.5 -27 47
10/19/25 2025 Chargers 24 home Colts 38 474 54 420 0 0 -2.5 49.0 +14 62
10/12/25 2025 Chargers 29 away Dolphins 27 404 140 264 3 2 -3.5 45.5 -2 56
Away Games Avg (4 games) 19.5 - - 23.8 312 102 211 1.5 1.0 -2.8 43.8 +4.3 43.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 21.7 - - 18.6 315 114 201 1.4 0.7 -3.1 44.1 -3.1 40.3
Cowboys Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Cowboys - away Giants - - - - - - -1.5 - - -
12/25/25 2025 Cowboys - away Commanders - - - - - - -3.5 51.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Cowboys - home Chargers - - - - - - -2.0 49.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Cowboys 26 home Vikings 34 432 138 294 1 0 -5.5 47.5 +8 60
12/04/25 2025 Cowboys 30 away Lions 44 467 91 376 0 3 +3.5 55.5 +14 74
11/27/25 2025 Cowboys 31 home Chiefs 28 457 137 320 0 1 +3.5 53.5 -3 59
11/23/25 2025 Cowboys 24 home Eagles 21 479 125 354 0 2 +3.0 47.5 -3 45
11/17/25 2025 Cowboys 33 away Raiders 16 382 114 268 1 1 -3.5 48.5 -17 49
11/03/25 2025 Cowboys 17 home Cardinals 27 373 123 250 0 4 -3.5 53.5 +10 44
10/26/25 2025 Cowboys 24 away Broncos 44 354 108 246 1 1 +3.5 51.5 +20 68
10/19/25 2025 Cowboys 44 home Commanders 22 416 152 264 1 1 -1.5 55.5 -22 66
10/12/25 2025 Cowboys 27 away Panthers 30 292 31 261 1 2 -3.0 47.0 +3 57
10/05/25 2025 Cowboys 37 away Jets 22 417 180 237 0 0 +1.5 47.5 -15 59
Home Games Avg (5 games) 28.4 - - 26.4 431 135 296 0.4 1.6 -0.8 51.5 -2.0 54.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 29.3 - - 28.8 407 120 287 0.5 1.5 -0.2 50.8 -0.5 58.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins
Bengals: 4-10 (28.6%) - AFC North
Dolphins: 6-8 (42.9%) - AFC East
Line: +4.0
Total: 47.5
Open: 49.5
Notes
Bengals
Situational Factor(s)
Rest Advantage
Baller System(s)
Bounce back after being shut out. Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 15 - 11 - 0 (57.7%)L365 Days: 5 - 2 - 0 (71.4%)Current Season: 5 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)
Bet on teams who are on the road after a shutout. Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 7 - 4 - 0 (63.6%)L365 Days: 2 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)Current Season: 2 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)
Dolphins
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
Rest Disadvantage
First game home off 2+ game road trip
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Bengals
61.88% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/29/22 2022 Dolphins 15 Away Bengals 27 377 67 310 2 0 +4.0 48.5 +12 42
All Games Avg (1 games) 15.0 - - 27.0 377 67 310 2.0 0.0 +4.0 48.5 +12.0 42.0
Schedules
Bengals Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Bengals - home Browns - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/29/25 2025 Bengals - home Cardinals - - - - - - -5.5 51.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Bengals - away Dolphins - - - - - - -4.0 47.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Bengals 0 home Ravens 24 325 100 225 1 1 +3.0 51.5 +24 24
12/07/25 2025 Bengals 34 away Bills 39 346 62 284 0 0 +6.0 54.5 +5 73
11/27/25 2025 Bengals 32 away Ravens 14 389 128 261 1 1 +7.0 52.5 -18 46
11/23/25 2025 Bengals 20 home Patriots 26 317 120 197 1 0 +7.0 51.5 +6 46
11/16/25 2025 Bengals 12 away Steelers 34 304 105 199 0 1 +5.5 47.5 +22 46
11/02/25 2025 Bengals 42 home Bears 47 516 46 470 0 1 +3.0 51.5 +5 89
10/26/25 2025 Bengals 38 home Jets 39 404 181 223 0 0 -5.5 43.5 +1 77
10/16/25 2025 Bengals 33 home Steelers 31 484 142 342 2 0 +5.5 45.0 -2 64
10/12/25 2025 Bengals 18 away Packers 27 274 55 219 1 0 +14.0 44.5 +9 45
10/05/25 2025 Bengals 24 home Lions 37 336 85 251 0 2 +10.0 49.5 +13 61
Away Games Avg (4 games) 24.0 - - 28.5 328 88 241 0.5 0.5 +8.1 49.8 +4.5 52.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 25.3 - - 31.8 370 102 267 0.6 0.6 +5.6 49.2 +6.5 57.1
Dolphins Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Dolphins - away Patriots - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Dolphins - home Buccaneers - - - - - - +3.0 46.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Dolphins - home Bengals - - - - - - +4.0 47.5 - -
12/15/25 2025 Dolphins 15 away Steelers 28 316 63 253 0 0 +3.5 42.0 +13 43
12/07/25 2025 Dolphins 34 away Jets 10 366 239 127 3 1 -2.5 41.5 -24 44
11/30/25 2025 Dolphins 21 home Saints 17 321 164 157 1 1 -5.5 41.5 -4 38
11/16/25 2025 Dolphins 16 neutral Commanders 13 340 169 171 1 0 -2.5 47.5 -3 29
11/09/25 2025 Dolphins 30 home Bills 13 370 197 173 1 0 +8.5 50.0 -17 43
10/30/25 2025 Dolphins 6 home Ravens 28 348 87 261 0 2 +7.5 51.5 +22 34
10/26/25 2025 Dolphins 34 away Falcons 10 346 141 205 0 0 +7.0 44.5 -24 44
10/19/25 2025 Dolphins 6 away Browns 31 252 99 153 0 6 +2.5 34.5 +25 37
10/12/25 2025 Dolphins 27 home Chargers 29 350 137 213 0 0 +3.5 45.5 +2 56
10/05/25 2025 Dolphins 24 away Panthers 27 275 19 256 1 0 -1.5 44.5 +3 51
Home Games Avg (4 games) 21.0 - - 21.8 347 146 201 0.5 0.8 +3.5 47.1 +0.8 42.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 21.3 - - 20.6 328 132 197 0.7 1.0 +2.1 44.3 -0.7 41.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants
Vikings: 6-8 (42.9%) - NFC North
Giants: 2-12 (14.3%) - NFC East
Line: +2.5
Total: 43.5
Open: +1.5
Open: 41.5
Notes
Vikings
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Unders system: back an under when a favorite is a bigger favorite than their previous game and their total is lower Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 73 - 79 - 2 (48.0%)L365 Days: 15 - 14 - 0 (51.7%)Current Season: 13 - 11 - 0 (54.2%)
Unders system: based on team with consecutive road games and a higher than average total Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 77 - 112 - 4 (40.7%)L365 Days: 17 - 18 - 1 (48.6%)Current Season: 12 - 15 - 1 (44.4%)
Giants
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/08/24 2024 Giants 6 Home Vikings 28 260 74 186 1 1 +1.0 42.0 +22 34
01/15/23 2022 Giants 31 Away Vikings 24 332 61 271 0 1 +3.0 48.0 -7 55
12/24/22 2022 Giants 24 Away Vikings 27 382 83 299 1 0 +4.0 48.0 +3 51
Giants as Home (1 games) 6.0 - - 28.0 260 74 186 1.0 1.0 +1.0 42.0 +22.0 34.0
All Games Avg (3 games) 20.3 - - 26.3 325 73 252 0.7 0.7 +2.7 46.0 +6.0 46.7
Schedules
Vikings Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Vikings - home Packers - - - - - - +1.5 44.5 - -
12/25/25 2025 Vikings - home Lions - - - - - - +3.5 48.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Vikings - away Giants - - - - - - -2.5 43.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Vikings 34 away Cowboys 26 327 77 250 0 0 +5.5 47.5 -8 60
12/07/25 2025 Vikings 31 home Commanders 0 325 162 163 2 0 -1.5 43.5 -31 31
11/30/25 2025 Vikings 0 away Seahawks 26 192 66 126 0 2 +12.5 42.5 +26 26
11/23/25 2025 Vikings 6 away Packers 23 180 93 87 0 2 +6.5 41.5 +17 29
11/16/25 2025 Vikings 17 home Bears 19 265 115 150 0 1 -2.5 47.5 +2 36
11/09/25 2025 Vikings 19 home Ravens 27 368 120 248 0 2 +4.5 48.5 +8 46
11/02/25 2025 Vikings 27 away Lions 24 285 142 143 0 1 +9.5 47.5 -3 51
10/23/25 2025 Vikings 10 away Chargers 37 191 34 157 1 1 +3.5 44.5 +27 47
10/19/25 2025 Vikings 22 home Eagles 28 402 89 313 0 2 +2.5 44.0 +6 50
10/05/25 2025 Vikings 21 neutral Browns 17 365 97 268 0 2 -3.5 35.5 -4 38
Away Games Avg (5 games) 15.4 - - 27.2 235 82 153 0.2 1.2 +7.5 44.7 +11.8 42.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 18.7 - - 22.7 290 100 191 0.3 1.3 +3.7 44.3 +4.0 41.4
Giants Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Giants - home Cowboys - - - - - - +1.5 - - -
12/29/25 2025 Giants - away Raiders - - - - - - -3.0 43.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Giants - home Vikings - - - - - - +2.5 43.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Giants 21 home Commanders 29 392 146 246 0 1 -2.5 47.5 +8 50
12/01/25 2025 Giants 15 away Patriots 33 250 111 139 0 1 +7.0 46.5 +18 48
11/23/25 2025 Giants 27 away Lions 34 521 122 399 1 1 +12.5 50.5 +7 61
11/16/25 2025 Giants 20 home Packers 27 343 142 201 0 1 +7.5 42.5 +7 47
11/09/25 2025 Giants 20 away Bears 24 456 169 287 0 1 +4.5 44.5 +4 44
11/02/25 2025 Giants 24 home Fortyniners 34 308 117 191 0 0 +2.5 47.5 +10 58
10/26/25 2025 Giants 20 away Eagles 38 261 68 193 0 0 +7.5 43.5 +18 58
10/19/25 2025 Giants 32 away Broncos 33 402 119 283 0 0 +8.0 40.5 +1 65
10/09/25 2025 Giants 34 home Eagles 17 367 172 195 1 0 +7.5 40.5 -17 51
10/05/25 2025 Giants 14 away Saints 26 338 136 202 0 3 +2.5 41.5 +12 40
Home Games Avg (4 games) 24.8 - - 26.8 353 144 208 0.3 0.5 +3.8 44.5 +2.0 51.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 22.7 - - 29.5 364 130 234 0.2 0.8 +5.7 44.5 +6.8 52.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
Buccaneers: 7-7 (50.0%) - NFC South
Panthers: 7-7 (50.0%) - NFC South
Line: +3.0
Total: 45.5
Open: +2.0
Open: 44.5
Notes
Buccaneers
Situational Factor(s)
Extended rest: Non-bye week
Rest Advantage
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Baller System(s)
Back road favorite off a loss as a home favorite Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 34 - 21 - 2 (61.8%)L365 Days: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)Current Season: 4 - 6 - 0 (40.0%)
Panthers
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Rest Disadvantage
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/24 2024 Panthers 14 Away Buccaneers 48 561 202 359 0 0 +9.5 47.5 +34 62
12/01/24 2024 Panthers 23 Home Buccaneers 26 376 78 298 2 1 +7.0 46.0 +3 49
01/07/24 2023 Panthers 0 Home Buccaneers 9 225 131 94 0 2 +4.0 36.0 +9 9
12/03/23 2023 Panthers 18 Away Buccaneers 21 330 128 202 1 0 +3.5 37.0 +3 39
01/01/23 2022 Panthers 24 Away Buccaneers 30 499 67 432 1 1 +3.5 40.5 +6 54
10/23/22 2022 Panthers 21 Home Buccaneers 3 350 173 177 0 0 +13.5 39.0 -18 24
Panthers as Home (3 games) 14.7 - - 12.7 317 127 190 0.7 1.0 +8.2 40.3 -2.0 27.3
All Games Avg (6 games) 16.7 - - 22.8 390 130 260 0.7 0.7 +6.8 41.0 +6.2 39.5
Schedules
Buccaneers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Buccaneers - home Panthers - - - - - - -7.0 46.5 - -
12/28/25 2025 Buccaneers - away Dolphins - - - - - - -3.0 46.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Buccaneers - away Panthers - - - - - - -3.0 45.5 - -
12/11/25 2025 Buccaneers 28 home Falcons 29 365 88 277 0 1 -6.0 43.5 +1 57
12/07/25 2025 Buccaneers 20 home Saints 24 301 179 122 1 1 -7.5 41.5 +4 44
11/30/25 2025 Buccaneers 20 home Cardinals 17 289 95 194 1 1 -4.5 45.5 -3 37
11/23/25 2025 Buccaneers 7 away Rams 34 226 123 103 0 1 +6.5 49.5 +27 41
11/16/25 2025 Buccaneers 32 away Bills 44 375 202 173 2 1 +6.5 46.5 +12 76
11/09/25 2025 Buccaneers 23 home Patriots 28 386 113 273 1 0 -2.5 48.5 +5 51
10/26/25 2025 Buccaneers 23 away Saints 3 240 88 152 2 2 -3.5 46.0 -20 26
10/20/25 2025 Buccaneers 9 away Lions 24 269 41 228 1 2 +6.0 54.5 +15 33
10/12/25 2025 Buccaneers 30 home Fortyniners 19 360 104 256 2 1 -3.5 47.0 -11 49
10/05/25 2025 Buccaneers 38 away Seahawks 35 435 56 379 1 0 +3.5 44.5 -3 73
Away Games Avg (5 games) 21.8 - - 28.0 309 102 207 1.2 1.2 +3.8 48.2 +6.2 49.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 23.0 - - 25.7 325 109 216 1.1 1.0 -0.5 46.7 +2.7 48.7
Panthers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Panthers - away Buccaneers - - - - - - +7.0 46.5 - -
12/29/25 2025 Panthers - home Seahawks - - - - - - +7.5 42.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Panthers - home Buccaneers - - - - - - +3.0 45.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Panthers 17 away Saints 20 290 127 163 0 1 -2.5 40.5 +3 37
11/30/25 2025 Panthers 31 home Rams 28 370 164 206 2 0 +10.0 44.5 -3 59
11/24/25 2025 Panthers 9 away Fortyniners 20 238 69 169 3 1 +7.0 49.5 +11 29
11/16/25 2025 Panthers 30 away Falcons 27 515 67 448 0 0 +4.0 42.0 -3 57
11/09/25 2025 Panthers 7 home Saints 17 197 73 124 0 1 -5.5 37.5 +10 24
11/02/25 2025 Panthers 16 away Packers 13 265 163 102 1 1 +12.5 43.5 -3 29
10/26/25 2025 Panthers 9 home Bills 40 289 114 175 0 3 +7.0 47.5 +31 49
10/19/25 2025 Panthers 13 away Jets 6 323 125 198 2 1 +1.5 39.5 -7 19
10/12/25 2025 Panthers 30 home Cowboys 27 415 216 199 0 2 +3.0 47.0 -3 57
10/05/25 2025 Panthers 27 home Dolphins 24 437 239 198 0 1 +1.5 44.5 -3 51
Home Games Avg (5 games) 20.8 - - 27.2 342 161 180 0.4 1.4 +3.2 44.2 +6.4 48.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 18.9 - - 22.2 334 136 198 0.8 1.1 +3.9 43.6 +3.3 41.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints
Jets: 3-11 (21.4%) - AFC East
Saints: 4-10 (28.6%) - NFC South
Line: -4.5
Total: 40.5
Open: 39.5
Notes
Jets
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Saints
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules
Jets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Jets - away Bills - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Jets - home Patriots - - - - - - +9.0 42.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Jets - away Saints - - - - - - +4.5 40.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Jets 20 away Jaguars 48 306 130 176 0 0 +13.5 40.5 +28 68
12/07/25 2025 Jets 10 home Dolphins 34 234 65 169 0 3 +2.5 41.5 +24 44
11/30/25 2025 Jets 27 home Falcons 24 282 110 172 0 0 +3.0 38.5 -3 51
11/23/25 2025 Jets 10 away Ravens 23 300 78 222 0 1 +13.5 44.5 +13 33
11/13/25 2025 Jets 14 away Patriots 27 256 140 116 0 1 +12.5 43.5 +13 41
11/09/25 2025 Jets 27 home Browns 20 181 127 54 0 0 +2.0 37.5 -7 47
10/26/25 2025 Jets 39 away Bengals 38 502 254 248 0 0 +5.5 43.5 -1 77
10/19/25 2025 Jets 6 home Panthers 13 253 81 172 0 0 -1.5 39.5 +7 19
10/12/25 2025 Jets 11 neutral Broncos 13 137 92 45 0 1 +7.0 43.5 +2 24
10/05/25 2025 Jets 22 home Cowboys 37 427 144 283 0 1 -1.5 47.5 +15 59
Away Games Avg (4 games) 20.8 - - 34.0 341 151 191 0.0 0.5 +11.3 43.0 +13.3 54.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 18.6 - - 27.7 288 122 166 0.0 0.7 +5.7 42.0 +9.1 46.3
Saints Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Saints - away Falcons - - - - - - +5.5 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Saints - away Titans - - - - - - -2.0 39.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Saints - home Jets - - - - - - -4.5 40.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Saints 20 home Panthers 17 353 81 272 0 1 +2.5 40.5 -3 37
12/07/25 2025 Saints 24 away Buccaneers 20 283 139 144 1 1 +7.5 41.5 -4 44
11/30/25 2025 Saints 17 away Dolphins 21 320 81 239 1 1 +5.5 41.5 +4 38
11/23/25 2025 Saints 10 home Falcons 24 322 79 243 1 2 -2.0 40.5 +14 34
11/09/25 2025 Saints 17 away Panthers 7 404 122 282 1 1 +5.5 37.5 -10 24
11/02/25 2025 Saints 10 away Rams 34 233 57 176 0 1 +14.0 44.5 +24 44
10/26/25 2025 Saints 3 home Buccaneers 23 312 48 264 0 2 +3.5 46.0 +20 26
10/19/25 2025 Saints 14 away Bears 26 277 44 233 1 1 +3.5 43.5 +12 40
10/12/25 2025 Saints 19 home Patriots 25 300 73 227 0 1 +3.5 45.5 +6 44
10/05/25 2025 Saints 26 home Giants 14 332 88 244 2 0 -2.5 41.5 -12 40
Home Games Avg (5 games) 15.6 - - 20.6 324 74 250 0.6 1.2 +1.0 42.8 +5.0 36.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 16.0 - - 21.1 314 81 232 0.7 1.1 +4.1 42.3 +5.1 37.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 1:00 p.m.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans
Chiefs: 6-8 (42.9%) - AFC West
Titans: 2-12 (14.3%) - AFC South
Line: +3.0
Total: 37.5
Open: +11.0
Open: 41.0
Notes
Chiefs
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Back road favorite off a loss as a home favorite Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 34 - 21 - 2 (61.8%)L365 Days: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)Current Season: 4 - 6 - 0 (40.0%)
Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 145 - 103 - 6 (58.5%)L365 Days: 23 - 22 - 0 (51.1%)Current Season: 19 - 19 - 0 (50.0%)
Titans
Situational Factor(s)
First game home off 2+ game road trip
Baller System(s)
Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 61 - 93 - 0 (39.6%)L365 Days: 20 - 24 - 0 (45.5%)Current Season: 13 - 18 - 0 (41.9%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/06/22 2022 Titans 17 Away Chiefs 20 523 77 446 0 0 +14.5 45.5 +3 37
All Games Avg (1 games) 17.0 - - 20.0 523 77 446 0.0 0.0 +14.5 45.5 +3.0 37.0
Schedules
Chiefs Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Chiefs - away Raiders - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/25/25 2025 Chiefs - home Broncos - - - - - - +5.5 39.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Chiefs - away Titans - - - - - - -3.0 37.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Chiefs 13 home Chargers 16 260 49 211 1 0 -5.5 41.5 +3 29
12/07/25 2025 Chiefs 10 home Texans 20 286 126 160 0 0 -4.5 41.5 +10 30
11/27/25 2025 Chiefs 28 away Cowboys 31 380 119 261 1 1 -3.5 53.5 +3 59
11/23/25 2025 Chiefs 23 home Colts 20 500 148 352 0 1 -3.5 50.0 -3 43
11/16/25 2025 Chiefs 19 away Broncos 22 338 62 276 0 0 -4.0 44.5 +3 41
11/02/25 2025 Chiefs 21 away Bills 28 329 79 250 0 0 -2.5 53.0 +7 49
10/27/25 2025 Chiefs 28 home Commanders 7 447 148 299 2 2 -10.5 48.0 -21 35
10/19/25 2025 Chiefs 31 home Raiders 0 438 152 286 0 2 -13.5 44.5 -31 31
10/12/25 2025 Chiefs 30 home Lions 17 369 112 257 0 1 -2.5 51.5 -13 47
10/06/25 2025 Chiefs 28 away Jaguars 31 476 158 318 1 0 -3.5 45.5 +3 59
Away Games Avg (4 games) 24.0 - - 28.0 381 105 276 0.5 0.3 -3.4 49.1 +4.0 52.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 23.1 - - 19.2 382 115 267 0.5 0.7 -5.4 47.4 -3.9 42.3
Titans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Titans - away Jaguars - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Titans - home Saints - - - - - - +2.0 39.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Titans - home Chiefs - - - - - - +3.0 37.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Titans 24 away Fortyniners 37 306 136 170 0 0 +12.5 44.5 +13 61
12/07/25 2025 Titans 31 away Browns 29 301 184 117 1 0 +4.0 33.5 -2 60
11/30/25 2025 Titans 3 home Jaguars 25 208 67 141 0 3 +6.0 42.5 +22 28
11/23/25 2025 Titans 24 home Seahawks 30 320 64 256 0 0 +13.0 40.5 +6 54
11/16/25 2025 Titans 13 home Texans 16 252 58 194 0 2 +5.5 37.5 +3 29
11/02/25 2025 Titans 20 home Chargers 27 233 88 145 1 2 +10.0 44.5 +7 47
10/26/25 2025 Titans 14 away Colts 38 372 113 259 0 0 +14.5 48.0 +24 52
10/19/25 2025 Titans 13 home Patriots 31 294 39 255 0 1 +6.5 41.5 +18 44
10/12/25 2025 Titans 10 away Raiders 20 287 65 222 1 2 +3.5 41.5 +10 30
10/05/25 2025 Titans 22 away Cardinals 21 343 78 265 0 1 +7.5 41.5 -1 43
Home Games Avg (5 games) 14.6 - - 25.8 261 63 198 0.2 1.6 +8.2 41.3 +11.2 40.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 17.4 - - 27.4 292 89 202 0.3 1.1 +8.3 41.6 +10.0 44.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 4:05 p.m.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos
Jaguars: 10-4 (71.4%) - AFC South
Broncos: 12-2 (85.7%) - AFC West
Line: -3.5
Total: 47.0
Open: -2.5
Open: 43.0
Notes
Jaguars
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Broncos
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules
Jaguars Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Jaguars - home Titans - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Jaguars - away Colts - - - - - - -5.5 44.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Jaguars - away Broncos - - - - - - +3.5 47.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Jaguars 48 home Jets 20 438 108 330 3 1 -13.5 40.5 -28 68
12/07/25 2025 Jaguars 36 home Colts 19 350 103 247 2 2 +2.5 44.5 -17 55
11/30/25 2025 Jaguars 25 away Titans 3 299 70 229 0 0 -6.0 42.5 -22 28
11/23/25 2025 Jaguars 27 away Cardinals 24 390 134 256 0 1 -3.0 47.5 -3 51
11/16/25 2025 Jaguars 35 home Chargers 6 345 192 153 1 0 +3.0 43.5 -29 41
11/09/25 2025 Jaguars 29 away Texans 36 252 94 158 1 2 -1.5 37.5 +7 65
11/02/25 2025 Jaguars 30 away Raiders 29 371 151 220 1 1 -2.5 43.5 -1 59
10/19/25 2025 Jaguars 7 neutral Rams 35 390 94 296 0 1 +3.0 44.5 +28 42
10/12/25 2025 Jaguars 12 home Seahawks 20 317 59 258 0 1 +1.5 47.5 +8 32
10/06/25 2025 Jaguars 31 home Chiefs 28 330 109 221 1 1 +3.5 45.5 -3 59
Away Games Avg (4 games) 27.8 - - 23.0 328 112 216 0.5 1.0 -3.3 42.8 -4.8 50.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 28.0 - - 22.0 348 111 237 0.9 1.0 -1.3 43.7 -6.0 50.0
Broncos Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Broncos - home Chargers - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/25/25 2025 Broncos - away Chiefs - - - - - - -5.5 39.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Broncos - home Jaguars - - - - - - -3.5 47.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Broncos 34 home Packers 26 391 89 302 2 1 +2.5 43.5 -8 60
12/07/25 2025 Broncos 24 away Raiders 17 364 152 212 0 0 -8.5 40.5 -7 41
11/30/25 2025 Broncos 27 away Commanders 26 408 87 321 1 1 -6.0 43.5 -1 53
11/16/25 2025 Broncos 22 home Chiefs 19 354 59 295 1 1 +4.0 44.5 -3 41
11/06/25 2025 Broncos 10 home Raiders 7 234 84 150 1 0 -9.5 42.5 -3 17
11/02/25 2025 Broncos 18 away Texans 15 273 100 173 0 1 +1.5 40.5 -3 33
10/26/25 2025 Broncos 44 home Cowboys 24 426 179 247 2 0 -3.5 51.5 -20 68
10/19/25 2025 Broncos 33 home Giants 32 421 142 279 1 1 -8.0 40.5 -1 65
10/12/25 2025 Broncos 13 neutral Jets 11 252 78 174 0 2 -7.0 43.5 -2 24
10/05/25 2025 Broncos 21 away Eagles 17 372 130 242 0 0 +4.0 44.5 -4 38
Home Games Avg (5 games) 28.6 - - 21.6 365 111 255 1.4 0.6 -2.9 44.5 -7.0 50.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 24.6 - - 19.4 350 110 240 0.8 0.7 -3.1 43.5 -5.2 44.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 4:05 p.m.
Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals
Falcons: 5-9 (35.7%) - NFC South
Cardinals: 3-11 (21.4%) - NFC West
Line: +2.5
Total: 48.0
Open: 44.5
Notes
Falcons
Situational Factor(s)
Extended rest: Non-bye week
Rest Advantage
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Cardinals
Situational Factor(s)
Rest Disadvantage
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
11/12/23 2023 Cardinals 25 Home Falcons 23 371 122 249 0 0 +2.0 43.5 -2 48
01/01/23 2022 Cardinals 19 Away Falcons 20 301 132 169 0 1 +7.0 40.5 +1 39
Cardinals as Home (1 games) 25.0 - - 23.0 371 122 249 0.0 0.0 +2.0 43.5 -2.0 48.0
All Games Avg (2 games) 22.0 - - 21.5 336 127 209 0.0 0.5 +4.5 42.0 -0.5 43.5
Schedules
Falcons Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Falcons - home Saints - - - - - - -5.5 - - -
12/29/25 2025 Falcons - home Rams - - - - - - +7.5 48.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Falcons - away Cardinals - - - - - - -2.5 48.0 - -
12/11/25 2025 Falcons 29 away Buccaneers 28 484 111 373 1 3 +6.0 43.5 -1 57
12/07/25 2025 Falcons 9 home Seahawks 37 282 120 162 1 1 +7.0 44.5 +28 46
11/30/25 2025 Falcons 24 away Jets 27 401 167 234 0 1 -3.0 38.5 +3 51
11/23/25 2025 Falcons 24 away Saints 10 320 121 199 1 1 +2.0 40.5 -14 34
11/16/25 2025 Falcons 27 home Panthers 30 348 125 223 0 3 -4.0 42.0 +3 57
11/09/25 2025 Falcons 25 neutral Colts 31 317 140 177 1 1 +6.5 48.5 +6 56
11/02/25 2025 Falcons 23 away Patriots 24 292 71 221 1 1 +5.5 45.5 +1 47
10/26/25 2025 Falcons 10 home Dolphins 34 218 45 173 0 1 -7.0 44.5 +24 44
10/19/25 2025 Falcons 10 away Fortyniners 20 303 62 241 1 1 +0.5 46.5 +10 30
10/13/25 2025 Falcons 24 home Bills 14 460 210 250 2 0 +3.5 49.5 -10 38
Away Games Avg (5 games) 22.0 - - 21.8 360 106 254 0.8 1.4 +2.2 42.9 -0.2 43.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 20.5 - - 25.5 343 117 225 0.8 1.3 +1.7 44.4 +5.0 46.0
Cardinals Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Cardinals - away Rams - - - - - - +4.5 45.5 - -
12/29/25 2025 Cardinals - away Bengals - - - - - - +5.5 51.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Cardinals - home Falcons - - - - - - +2.5 48.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Cardinals 20 away Texans 40 321 72 249 0 1 +10.5 42.5 +20 60
12/07/25 2025 Cardinals 17 home Rams 45 322 51 271 0 0 +9.5 49.5 +28 62
11/30/25 2025 Cardinals 17 away Buccaneers 20 396 95 301 0 1 +4.5 45.5 +3 37
11/23/25 2025 Cardinals 24 home Jaguars 27 370 55 315 3 1 +3.0 47.5 +3 51
11/16/25 2025 Cardinals 22 home Fortyniners 41 488 36 452 0 1 +3.5 48.5 +19 63
11/09/25 2025 Cardinals 22 away Seahawks 44 387 129 258 1 2 +7.5 44.5 +22 66
11/03/25 2025 Cardinals 27 away Cowboys 17 380 119 261 1 1 +3.5 53.5 -10 44
10/19/25 2025 Cardinals 23 home Packers 27 373 94 279 0 1 +7.0 44.5 +4 50
10/12/25 2025 Cardinals 27 away Colts 31 408 88 320 1 0 +8.5 46.5 +4 58
10/05/25 2025 Cardinals 21 home Titans 22 388 168 220 1 3 -7.5 41.5 +1 43
Home Games Avg (5 games) 21.4 - - 32.4 388 81 307 0.8 1.2 +3.1 46.3 +11.0 53.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 22.0 - - 31.4 383 91 293 0.7 1.1 +5.0 46.4 +9.4 53.4
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 4:25 p.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Detroit Lions
Steelers: 8-6 (57.1%) - AFC North
Lions: 8-6 (57.1%) - NFC North
Line: -7.0
Total: 52.0
Open: -6.0
Open: 49.5
Notes
Steelers
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
Rest Disadvantage
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Fade home favorites off a loss Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 76 - 64 - 1 (54.3%)L365 Days: 13 - 18 - 0 (41.9%)Current Season: 11 - 12 - 0 (47.8%)
Lions
Situational Factor(s)
Rest Advantage
Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Steelers
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules
Steelers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Steelers - home Ravens - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Steelers - away Browns - - - - - - -4.5 34.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Steelers - away Lions - - - - - - +7.0 52.0 - -
12/15/25 2025 Steelers 28 home Dolphins 15 359 135 224 1 0 -3.5 42.0 -13 43
12/07/25 2025 Steelers 27 away Ravens 22 318 34 284 1 0 +5.5 43.5 -5 49
11/30/25 2025 Steelers 7 home Bills 26 175 58 117 1 2 +3.0 44.5 +19 33
11/23/25 2025 Steelers 28 away Bears 31 357 186 171 0 2 +2.5 45.5 +3 59
11/16/25 2025 Steelers 34 home Bengals 12 354 111 243 1 0 -5.5 47.5 -22 46
11/09/25 2025 Steelers 10 away Chargers 25 234 73 161 0 2 +3.0 45.5 +15 35
11/02/25 2025 Steelers 27 home Colts 20 241 38 203 3 1 +3.0 51.5 -7 47
10/26/25 2025 Steelers 25 home Packers 35 312 93 219 0 1 +2.5 46.0 +10 60
10/16/25 2025 Steelers 31 away Bengals 33 396 147 249 0 0 -5.5 45.0 +2 64
10/12/25 2025 Steelers 23 home Browns 9 335 100 235 0 1 -6.5 38.0 -14 32
Away Games Avg (4 games) 24.0 - - 27.8 326 110 216 0.3 1.0 +1.4 44.9 +3.8 51.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 24.0 - - 22.8 308 98 211 0.7 0.9 -0.2 44.9 -1.2 46.8
Lions Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Lions - away Bears - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/25/25 2025 Lions - away Vikings - - - - - - -3.5 48.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Lions - home Steelers - - - - - - -7.0 52.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Lions 34 away Rams 41 408 70 338 1 0 +5.5 55.5 +7 75
12/04/25 2025 Lions 44 home Cowboys 30 418 109 309 2 0 -3.5 55.5 -14 74
11/27/25 2025 Lions 24 home Packers 31 375 119 256 0 1 -2.5 47.5 +7 55
11/23/25 2025 Lions 34 home Giants 27 516 237 279 1 0 -12.5 50.5 -7 61
11/16/25 2025 Lions 9 away Eagles 16 329 74 255 0 0 +2.5 46.0 +7 25
11/09/25 2025 Lions 44 away Commanders 22 546 226 320 0 0 -8.5 49.5 -22 66
11/02/25 2025 Lions 24 home Vikings 27 349 65 284 1 1 -9.5 47.5 +3 51
10/20/25 2025 Lions 24 home Buccaneers 9 405 164 241 1 1 -6.0 54.5 -15 33
10/12/25 2025 Lions 17 away Chiefs 30 301 98 203 0 1 +2.5 51.5 +13 47
10/05/25 2025 Lions 37 away Bengals 24 379 118 261 3 1 -10.0 49.5 -13 61
Home Games Avg (5 games) 30.0 - - 24.8 413 139 274 1.0 0.6 -6.8 51.1 -5.2 54.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 29.1 - - 25.7 403 128 275 0.9 0.5 -4.2 50.8 -3.4 54.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 4:25 p.m.
Las Vegas Raiders @ Houston Texans
Raiders: 2-12 (14.3%) - AFC West
Texans: 9-5 (64.3%) - AFC South
Line: -14.0
Total: 38.0
Open: -11.5
Open: 37.5
Notes
Raiders
Baller System(s)
Bounce back after being shut out. Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 15 - 11 - 0 (57.7%)L365 Days: 5 - 2 - 0 (71.4%)Current Season: 5 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)
Bet on teams who are on the road after a shutout. Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 7 - 4 - 0 (63.6%)L365 Days: 2 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)Current Season: 2 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)
Back a team who was a double digit dog and didn't cover, and is now a double digit dog again. Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 8 - 6 - 1 (57.1%)L365 Days: 3 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)Current Season: 3 - 0 - 0 (100.0%)
Texans
Baller System(s)
Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 61 - 93 - 0 (39.6%)L365 Days: 20 - 24 - 0 (45.5%)Current Season: 13 - 18 - 0 (41.9%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Raiders
60.31% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
10/23/22 2022 Texans 20 Away Raiders 38 405 164 241 1 2 +6.5 46.0 +18 58
All Games Avg (1 games) 20.0 - - 38.0 405 164 241 1.0 2.0 +6.5 46.0 +18.0 58.0
Schedules
Raiders Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Raiders - home Chiefs - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/29/25 2025 Raiders - home Giants - - - - - - +3.0 43.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Raiders - away Texans - - - - - - +14.0 38.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Raiders 0 away Eagles 31 110 46 64 0 0 +12.5 37.0 +31 31
12/07/25 2025 Raiders 17 home Broncos 24 253 40 213 0 0 +8.5 40.5 +7 41
11/30/25 2025 Raiders 14 away Chargers 31 196 31 165 1 1 +9.5 40.5 +17 45
11/23/25 2025 Raiders 10 home Browns 24 345 60 285 1 2 -3.5 36.0 +14 34
11/17/25 2025 Raiders 16 home Cowboys 33 265 27 238 0 0 +3.5 48.5 +17 49
11/06/25 2025 Raiders 7 away Broncos 10 217 74 143 2 2 +9.5 42.5 +3 17
11/02/25 2025 Raiders 29 home Jaguars 30 341 57 284 1 0 +2.5 43.5 +1 59
10/19/25 2025 Raiders 0 away Chiefs 31 100 25 75 0 2 +13.5 44.5 +31 31
10/12/25 2025 Raiders 20 home Titans 10 242 68 174 1 0 -3.5 41.5 -10 30
10/05/25 2025 Raiders 6 away Colts 40 334 106 228 0 0 +7.5 46.5 +34 46
Away Games Avg (5 games) 5.4 - - 28.6 191 56 135 0.6 1.0 +10.5 42.2 +23.2 34.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 11.9 - - 26.4 240 53 187 0.6 0.7 +6.0 42.1 +14.5 38.3
Texans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/25 2025 Texans - away Chargers - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/27/25 2025 Texans - away Chargers - - - - - - - - - -
12/21/25 2025 Texans - home Raiders - - - - - - -14.0 38.0 - -
12/20/25 2025 Texans away Chargers 0 0 0 0 0 - - 0 0
12/14/25 2025 Texans 40 home Cardinals 20 403 143 260 1 1 -10.5 42.5 -20 60
12/07/25 2025 Texans 20 away Chiefs 10 285 82 203 3 0 +4.5 41.5 -10 30
11/30/25 2025 Texans 20 away Colts 16 384 108 276 0 1 +3.0 44.5 -4 36
11/20/25 2025 Texans 23 home Bills 19 261 108 153 2 0 +4.5 44.0 -4 42
11/16/25 2025 Texans 16 away Titans 13 349 75 274 0 0 -5.5 37.5 -3 29
11/09/25 2025 Texans 36 home Jaguars 29 422 130 292 1 2 +1.5 37.5 -7 65
11/02/25 2025 Texans 15 home Broncos 18 293 77 216 1 0 -1.5 40.5 +3 33
10/26/25 2025 Texans 26 home Fortyniners 15 475 157 318 1 0 -3.0 41.5 -11 41
10/20/25 2025 Texans 19 away Seahawks 27 285 56 229 2 0 +3.0 41.5 +8 46
Home Games Avg (5 games) 28.0 - - 20.2 371 123 248 1.2 0.6 -1.8 41.2 -7.8 48.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 21.5 - - 16.7 316 94 222 1.1 0.4 -0.4 41.2 -4.8 38.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 8:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Eagles: 9-5 (64.3%) - NFC East
Commanders: 4-10 (28.6%) - NFC East
Line: +6.5
Total: 44.5
Notes
Eagles
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
Commanders
Situational Factor(s)
Short rest: 4 or 5 days
First game home off 2+ game road trip
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller System(s)
Unders system: playoff rematch Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 28 - 36 - 0 (43.8%)L365 Days: 7 - 8 - 0 (46.7%)Current Season: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/20/25 2025 Commanders 0 Home Eagles 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.0 44.5 0 0
01/26/25 2024 Commanders 23 Away Eagles 55 475 229 246 1 0 +6.0 46.5 +32 78
12/22/24 2024 Commanders 36 Home Eagles 33 371 113 258 1 3 +4.0 47.0 -3 69
11/14/24 2024 Commanders 18 Away Eagles 26 449 228 221 1 1 +4.5 49.5 +8 44
10/29/23 2023 Commanders 31 Home Eagles 38 481 84 397 0 1 +7.0 42.0 +7 69
10/01/23 2023 Commanders 31 Away Eagles 34 423 104 319 0 1 +8.5 43.0 +3 65
11/14/22 2022 Commanders 32 Away Eagles 21 269 94 175 1 3 +11.0 43.0 -11 53
09/25/22 2022 Commanders 8 Home Eagles 24 298 87 211 0 2 +6.0 47.5 +16 32
Commanders as Home (4 games) 18.8 - - 23.8 288 71 217 0.3 1.5 +6.0 45.3 +5.0 42.5
All Games Avg (8 games) 22.4 - - 28.9 346 117 228 0.5 1.4 +6.8 45.4 +6.5 51.3
Schedules
Eagles Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Eagles - home Commanders - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Eagles - away Bills - - - - - - +3.0 44.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Eagles - away Commanders - - - - - - -6.5 44.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Eagles 0 away Commanders 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.0 44.5 0 0
12/14/25 2025 Eagles 31 home Raiders 0 391 183 208 1 0 -12.5 37.0 -31 31
12/08/25 2025 Eagles 19 away Chargers 22 374 134 240 1 2 -1.5 42.0 +3 41
11/28/25 2025 Eagles 15 home Bears 24 317 87 230 1 2 -7.0 43.5 +9 39
11/23/25 2025 Eagles 21 away Cowboys 24 352 63 289 1 2 -3.0 47.5 +3 45
11/16/25 2025 Eagles 16 home Lions 9 283 148 135 1 2 -2.5 46.0 -7 25
11/10/25 2025 Eagles 10 away Packers 7 294 111 183 0 1 +1.0 45.0 -3 17
10/26/25 2025 Eagles 38 home Giants 20 455 276 179 0 0 -7.5 43.5 -18 58
10/19/25 2025 Eagles 28 away Vikings 22 371 45 326 2 0 -2.5 44.0 -6 50
10/09/25 2025 Eagles 17 away Giants 34 356 73 283 0 1 -7.5 40.5 +17 51
Away Games Avg (6 games) 15.8 - - 18.2 291 71 220 0.7 1.0 -3.4 43.9 +2.3 34.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 19.5 - - 16.2 319 112 207 0.7 1.0 -5.0 43.4 -3.3 35.7
Commanders Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Commanders - away Eagles - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/25/25 2025 Commanders - home Cowboys - - - - - - +3.5 51.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Commanders - home Eagles - - - - - - +6.5 44.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Commanders 0 home Eagles 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.0 44.5 0 0
12/14/25 2025 Commanders 29 away Giants 21 356 145 211 1 4 +2.5 47.5 -8 50
12/07/25 2025 Commanders 0 away Vikings 31 215 107 108 0 1 +1.5 43.5 +31 31
11/30/25 2025 Commanders 26 home Broncos 27 437 143 294 1 2 +6.0 43.5 +1 53
11/16/25 2025 Commanders 13 neutral Dolphins 16 385 172 213 0 1 +2.5 47.5 +3 29
11/09/25 2025 Commanders 22 home Lions 44 306 93 213 0 0 +8.5 49.5 +22 66
11/02/25 2025 Commanders 14 home Seahawks 38 310 157 153 1 1 +2.5 47.5 +24 52
10/27/25 2025 Commanders 7 away Chiefs 28 273 60 213 2 1 +10.5 48.0 +21 35
10/19/25 2025 Commanders 22 away Cowboys 44 355 136 219 0 1 +1.5 55.5 +22 66
10/13/25 2025 Commanders 24 home Bears 25 335 124 211 0 3 -5.5 49.0 +1 49
Home Games Avg (5 games) 17.2 - - 26.8 278 103 174 0.4 1.2 +3.7 46.8 +9.6 44.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 15.7 - - 27.4 297 114 184 0.5 1.4 +3.7 47.6 +11.7 43.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 12/21, 8:20 p.m.
New England Patriots @ Baltimore Ravens
Patriots: 11-3 (78.6%) - AFC East
Ravens: 7-7 (50.0%) - AFC North
Line: -3.0
Total: 48.0
Open: -1.0
Open: 47.5
Notes
Patriots
Situational Factor(s)
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Ravens

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
09/25/22 2022 Ravens 37 Away Patriots 26 466 145 321 1 3 -2.5 44.0 -11 63
All Games Avg (1 games) 37.0 - - 26.0 466 145 321 1.0 3.0 -2.5 44.0 -11.0 63.0
Schedules
Patriots Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Patriots - home Dolphins - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Patriots - away Jets - - - - - - -9.0 42.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Patriots - away Ravens - - - - - - +3.0 48.0 - -
12/14/25 2025 Patriots 31 home Bills 35 401 246 155 0 2 +2.5 49.5 +4 66
12/01/25 2025 Patriots 33 home Giants 15 401 119 282 0 0 -7.0 46.5 -18 48
11/23/25 2025 Patriots 26 away Bengals 20 401 107 294 1 0 -7.0 51.5 -6 46
11/13/25 2025 Patriots 27 home Jets 14 346 65 281 0 0 -12.5 43.5 -13 41
11/09/25 2025 Patriots 28 away Buccaneers 23 436 166 270 0 1 +2.5 48.5 -5 51
11/02/25 2025 Patriots 24 home Falcons 23 369 110 259 0 2 -5.5 45.5 -1 47
10/26/25 2025 Patriots 32 home Browns 13 459 177 282 2 2 -7.0 40.5 -19 45
10/19/25 2025 Patriots 31 away Titans 13 409 175 234 1 0 -6.5 41.5 -18 44
10/12/25 2025 Patriots 25 away Saints 19 334 73 261 0 2 -3.5 45.5 -6 44
10/05/25 2025 Patriots 23 away Bills 20 344 71 273 1 2 +7.5 48.5 -3 43
Away Games Avg (5 games) 26.6 - - 19.0 385 118 266 0.6 1.0 -1.4 47.1 -7.6 45.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 28.0 - - 19.5 390 131 259 0.5 1.1 -3.7 46.1 -8.5 47.5
Ravens Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/25 2025 Ravens - away Packers - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/27/25 2025 Ravens - away Packers - - - - - - - - - -
12/21/25 2025 Ravens - home Patriots - - - - - - -3.0 48.0 - -
12/20/25 2025 Ravens away Packers 0 0 0 0 0 - - 0 0
12/14/25 2025 Ravens 24 away Bengals 0 339 189 150 2 1 -3.0 51.5 -24 24
12/07/25 2025 Ravens 22 home Steelers 27 436 217 219 0 0 -5.5 43.5 +5 49
11/27/25 2025 Ravens 14 home Bengals 32 369 123 246 0 4 -7.0 52.5 +18 46
11/23/25 2025 Ravens 23 home Jets 10 251 98 153 1 1 -13.5 44.5 -13 33
11/16/25 2025 Ravens 23 away Browns 16 377 184 193 1 1 -7.5 37.5 -7 39
11/09/25 2025 Ravens 27 away Vikings 19 328 152 176 2 3 -4.5 48.5 -8 46
10/30/25 2025 Ravens 28 away Dolphins 6 354 150 204 1 0 -7.5 51.5 -22 34
10/26/25 2025 Ravens 30 home Bears 16 363 177 186 1 1 -2.5 44.5 -14 46
10/12/25 2025 Ravens 3 home Rams 17 319 179 140 0 3 +6.5 43.5 +14 20
Home Games Avg (5 games) 18.4 - - 20.4 348 159 189 0.4 1.8 -4.4 45.7 +2.0 38.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 19.4 - - 14.3 314 147 167 0.8 1.4 -4.9 46.4 -5.1 33.7
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Mon, 12/22, 8:15 p.m.
San Francisco Fortyniners @ Indianapolis Colts
Fortyniners: 10-4 (71.4%) - NFC West
Colts: 8-6 (57.1%) - AFC South
Line: +5.5
Total: 46.5
Open: +6.5
Open: 46.0
Notes
Fortyniners
Situational Factor(s)
Extended rest: Non-bye week
West Coast team traveling East
Colts
Situational Factor(s)
Extended rest: Non-bye week
First game home off 2+ game road trip
Lookahead: next game versus division rival
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Fortyniners
57.19% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
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Notable Trends
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules
Fortyniners Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Fortyniners - home Seahawks - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Fortyniners - home Bears - - - - - - -2.5 51.0 - -
12/22/25 2025 Fortyniners - away Colts - - - - - - -5.5 46.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Fortyniners 37 home Titans 24 433 138 295 0 1 -12.5 44.5 -13 61
11/30/25 2025 Fortyniners 26 away Browns 8 259 91 168 0 0 -5.5 35.5 -18 34
11/24/25 2025 Fortyniners 20 home Panthers 9 340 147 193 2 1 -7.0 49.5 -11 29
11/16/25 2025 Fortyniners 41 away Cardinals 22 295 95 200 2 0 -3.5 48.5 -19 63
11/09/25 2025 Fortyniners 26 home Rams 42 393 74 319 0 1 +5.5 49.5 +16 68
11/02/25 2025 Fortyniners 34 away Giants 24 394 159 235 0 1 -2.5 47.5 -10 58
10/26/25 2025 Fortyniners 15 away Texans 26 241 48 193 1 1 +3.0 41.5 +11 41
10/19/25 2025 Fortyniners 20 home Falcons 10 326 174 152 0 0 -0.5 46.5 -10 30
10/12/25 2025 Fortyniners 19 away Buccaneers 30 414 67 347 0 1 +3.5 47.0 +11 49
10/02/25 2025 Fortyniners 26 away Rams 23 416 74 342 0 0 +7.5 43.5 -3 49
Away Games Avg (6 games) 26.8 - - 22.2 337 89 248 0.5 0.5 +0.4 43.9 -4.7 49.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 26.4 - - 21.8 351 107 244 0.5 0.6 -1.2 45.4 -4.6 48.2
Colts Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/04/26 2025 Colts - away Texans - - - - - - 0.0 - - -
12/28/25 2025 Colts - home Jaguars - - - - - - +5.5 44.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Colts - home Fortyniners - - - - - - +5.5 46.5 - -
12/14/25 2025 Colts 16 away Seahawks 18 217 97 120 0 0 +13.5 42.5 +2 34
12/07/25 2025 Colts 19 away Jaguars 36 294 89 205 0 1 -2.5 44.5 +17 55
11/30/25 2025 Colts 16 home Texans 20 287 86 201 1 2 -3.0 44.5 +4 36
11/23/25 2025 Colts 20 away Chiefs 23 255 74 181 1 0 +3.5 50.0 +3 43
11/09/25 2025 Colts 31 neutral Falcons 25 578 323 255 0 4 -6.5 48.5 -6 56
11/02/25 2025 Colts 20 away Steelers 27 397 55 342 0 4 -3.0 51.5 +7 47
10/26/25 2025 Colts 38 home Titans 14 436 164 272 1 0 -14.5 48.0 -24 52
10/19/25 2025 Colts 38 away Chargers 24 408 120 288 2 1 +2.5 49.0 -14 62
10/12/25 2025 Colts 31 home Cardinals 27 362 150 212 1 0 -8.5 46.5 -4 58
10/05/25 2025 Colts 40 home Raiders 6 317 96 221 2 1 -7.5 46.5 -34 46
Home Games Avg (4 games) 31.3 - - 16.8 351 124 227 1.3 0.8 -8.4 46.4 -14.5 48.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 26.9 - - 22.0 355 125 230 0.8 1.3 -2.6 47.2 -4.9 48.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load