Bucks @ Grizzlies [ Grizzlies +6.5 / 230.5 ]
Bucks | 1-3 (25%)Grizzlies | 2-3 (40%)
Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Our base model will start on November 5, 2024 when we've gathered more team data.
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Baller Systems
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Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
4th game in 6 nights
2nd game of a back-to-back
5th game in 7 nights
3rd game in 4 nights
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 11/2 | MIL | MIL -2 CLE +2 | 230.5 | CLE | - | - | - |
| 10/31 | MEM | MIL -6.5 MEM +6.5 | 230.5 | MIL | - | - | - |
| 10/28 | BOS [ 119 ] | MIL +9 BOS -9 | 232 | MIL [ 108 ] | -11 | -2 | -5 |
| 10/27 | BKN [ 115 ] | MIL -8.5 BKN +8.5 | 228 | MIL [ 102 ] | -13 | -21.5 | -11 |
| 10/25 | MIL [ 122 ] | MIL -9.5 CHI +9.5 | 234 | CHI [ 133 ] | -11 | -20.5 | +21 |
| 10/23 | PHI [ 109 ] | MIL -4.5 PHI +4.5 | 222 | MIL [ 124 ] | +15 | +10.5 | +11 |
| 5/2 | IND [ 120 ] | MIL +6 IND -6 | 218 | MIL [ 98 ] | -22 | -16 | 0 |
| 4/30 | MIL [ 115 ] | MIL +4 IND -4 | 215 | IND [ 92 ] | +23 | +27 | -8 |
| 4/28 | IND [ 126 ] | MIL +10 IND -10 | 214.5 | MIL [ 113 ] | -13 | -3 | +24.5 |
| 4/26 | IND [ 121 ] | MIL +6.5 IND -6.5 | 224 | MIL [ 118 ] | -3 | +3.5 | +15 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 11/2 | PHI | MEM -1 PHI +1 | 222.5 | MEM | - | - | - |
| 10/31 | MEM | MEM +6.5 MIL -6.5 | 230.5 | MIL | - | - | - |
| 10/30 | MEM [ 106 ] | MEM -12 BKN +12 | 226 | BKN [ 119 ] | -13 | -25 | -1 |
| 10/28 | MEM [ 123 ] | MEM -5.5 CHI +5.5 | 232 | CHI [ 126 ] | -3 | -8.5 | +17 |
| 10/26 | MEM [ 124 ] | MEM -1 ORL +1 | 222 | ORL [ 111 ] | +13 | +12 | +13 |
| 10/25 | HOU [ 128 ] | MEM +3.5 HOU -3.5 | 226.5 | MEM [ 108 ] | -20 | -16.5 | +9.5 |
| 10/23 | UTA [ 124 ] | MEM -2.5 UTA +2.5 | 229 | MEM [ 126 ] | +2 | -0.5 | +21 |
| 4/14 | MEM [ 111 ] | MEM +14 DEN -14 | 216.5 | DEN [ 126 ] | -15 | -1 | +20.5 |
| 4/12 | MEM [ 120 ] | MEM +16 LAL -16 | 226 | LAL [ 123 ] | -3 | +13 | +17 |
| 4/10 | CLE [ 110 ] | MEM +18.5 CLE -18.5 | 213.5 | MEM [ 98 ] | -12 | +6.5 | -5.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 2/2 | MIL | MEM +4 MIL -4 | 248.5 | MEM | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 10/31 | MEM | MEM +6.5 MIL -6.5 | 230.5 | MIL | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| Bucks ( game/s) |
Grizzlies ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Bucks ( game/s) |
Grizzlies ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Bucks ( game/s) |
Grizzlies ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Bucks ( game/s) |
Grizzlies ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Bucks ( game/s) |
Grizzlies ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Bucks | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Grizzlies 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Bucks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Bucks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Bucks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Bucks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Grizzlies | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-2-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) |
| Grizzlies | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-2-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-1-0 (0%) |