NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

7:00 p.m.
Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic

Hawks: 0-0 (0.0%)

Magic: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: -3.5

Total: 235.5

Open: -2.5

Open: 233.5

Team totals: Hawks 116.5 · Magic 119.5 (open 116.5 / 118.5)

Injury Report as of Oct 21, 7:45 AM ET ATL1 Out3 Questionable ORL3 Out

ATL

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Mouhamed Gueye	14.8 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftFootFracture
Jalen Wilson	15.9 ’25	Questionable	GLeague-Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert	18.4 ’25	Questionable	GLeague-Two-Way
RayJ Dennis	12.1 ’25	Questionable	GLeague-Two-Way

Not in rotation (under 3 MPG): Henri Veesaar

ORL

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Anthony Black	29.5 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-RightAnkleSprain
Jonathan Isaac	10.0 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftKneeInjury Management
Noah Penda	12.6 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-RightPartiallytorn hamstring

Not in rotation (under 3 MPG): Izaiyah Nelson

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 3 games, and this is game 1 for the Hawks and game 1 for the Magic. Predictions start with their games once each has played 3: the Hawks after Sat, Oct 24, the Magic after Sun, Oct 25.

Schedules

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/24/26	2026	Hawks	-	home	Rockets	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Hawks	-	away	Hornets	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/21/26	2026	Hawks	-	away	Magic	-	+3.5	235.5	-	-
04/30/26	2025	Hawks	89	home	Knicks	140	+3.0	214.5	+51	229 (+14.5)
04/28/26	2025	Hawks	97	away	Knicks	126	+9.5	217.5	+29	223 (+5.5)
04/25/26	2025	Hawks	98	home	Knicks	114	+2.5	215.5	+16	212 (-3.5)
04/23/26	2025	Hawks	109	home	Knicks	108	+1.0	214.5	-1	217 (+2.5)
04/20/26	2025	Hawks	107	away	Knicks	106	+6.0	217.5	-1	213 (-4.5)
04/18/26	2025	Hawks	102	away	Knicks	113	+6.0	217.5	+11	215 (-2.5)
04/12/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Heat	143	+10.5	240.5	+26	260 (+19.5)
04/10/26	2025	Hawks	124	home	Cavaliers	102	-8.5	232.5	-22	226 (-6.5)
04/08/26	2025	Hawks	116	away	Cavaliers	122	+3.5	236.5	+6	238 (+1.5)
04/06/26	2025	Hawks	105	home	Knicks	108	-1.5	226.5	+3	213 (-13.5)
Away Games Avg (5 games)			107.8	-	-	122.0	+7.1	225.9	+14.2	229.8 (+3.9)
All Games Avg (10 games)			106.4	-	-	118.2	+3.2	223.3	+11.8	224.6 (+1.3)

Magic Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/26	2026	Magic	-	away	Knicks	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Magic	-	home	Timberwolves	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/21/26	2026	Magic	-	home	Hawks	-	-3.5	235.5	-	-
05/03/26	2025	Magic	94	away	Pistons	116	+8.5	200.5	+22	210 (+9.5)
05/01/26	2025	Magic	79	home	Pistons	93	+3.5	210.5	+14	172 (-38.5)
04/29/26	2025	Magic	109	away	Pistons	116	+11.5	211.0	+7	225 (+14.0)
04/27/26	2025	Magic	94	home	Pistons	88	+3.5	213.5	-6	182 (-31.5)
04/25/26	2025	Magic	113	home	Pistons	105	+2.5	215.0	-8	218 (+3.0)
04/22/26	2025	Magic	83	away	Pistons	98	+9.0	219.0	+15	181 (-38.0)
04/19/26	2025	Magic	112	away	Pistons	101	+8.5	220.5	-11	213 (-7.5)
04/17/26	2025	Magic	121	home	Hornets	90	+2.5	218.5	-31	211 (-7.5)
04/15/26	2025	Magic	97	away	76ers	109	0.0	223.5	+12	206 (-17.5)
04/12/26	2025	Magic	108	away	Celtics	113	-13.0	222.5	+5	221 (-1.5)
Home Games Avg (4 games)			101.8	-	-	94.0	+3.0	214.4	-7.8	195.8 (-18.6)
All Games Avg (10 games)			101.0	-	-	102.9	+3.7	215.5	+1.9	203.9 (-11.6)

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Magic (Home)

The Magic are 47.3% (43-48) against the spread

The Magic are 48.9% (22-23) against the spread at home

The Magic are 43.1% (22-29) against the spread as a fav

The Magic are 43.3% (13-17) against the spread as a home fav

The Magic are 52.7% (48-43) to the over/under

The Magic are 55.6% (25-20) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 54.9% (28-23) to the over/under as a fav

The Magic are 60% (18-12) to the over/under as a home fav

Hawks (Away)

The Hawks are 52.3% (46-42) against the spread

The Hawks are 54.5% (24-20) against the spread away

The Hawks are 50% (23-23) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 51.7% (15-14) against the spread as an away dog

The Hawks are 50% (44-44) to the over/under

The Hawks are 56.8% (25-19) to the over/under away

The Hawks are 52.2% (24-22) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 51.7% (15-14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/01/26	2025	Magic	101	Home	Hawks	130	+2.5	235.5	+29	231
03/16/26	2025	Magic	112	Away	Hawks	124	+3.5	232.5	+12	236
11/04/25	2025	Magic	112	Away	Hawks	127	-3.5	229.5	+15	239
10/24/25	2025	Magic	107	Home	Hawks	111	-5.5	235.5	+4	218
Magic as Home (2 games)			104.0	-	-	120.5	-1.5	235.5	+16.5	224.5
All Games Avg (4 games)			108.0	-	-	123.0	-0.8	233.3	+15.0	231.0