Mavericks @ Timberwolves [ Timberwolves -4 / 207 ]
Mavericks | 58-36 (61.7%)Timberwolves | 64-29 (68.8%)
Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Our modell will run after the first two weeks of the season.
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
Baller Systems
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Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller Systems
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| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 5/24 | MIN | DAL +5.5 MIN -5.5 | 207 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 5/22 | MIN | DAL +4 MIN -4 | 207 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 5/18 | DAL [ 117 ] | DAL -3.5 OKC +3.5 | 209.5 | OKC [ 116 ] | +1 | -2.5 | +23.5 |
| 5/15 | OKC [ 92 ] | DAL +4.5 OKC -4.5 | 213 | DAL [ 104 ] | +12 | +16.5 | -17 |
| 5/13 | DAL [ 96 ] | DAL -1 OKC +1 | 213 | OKC [ 100 ] | -4 | -5 | -17 |
| 5/11 | DAL [ 105 ] | DAL -2.5 OKC +2.5 | 218 | OKC [ 101 ] | +4 | +1.5 | -12 |
| 5/9 | OKC [ 110 ] | DAL +5 OKC -5 | 217.5 | DAL [ 119 ] | +9 | +14 | +11.5 |
| 5/7 | OKC [ 117 ] | DAL +3.5 OKC -3.5 | 218 | DAL [ 95 ] | -22 | -18.5 | -6 |
| 5/3 | DAL [ 114 ] | DAL -8.5 LAC +8.5 | 209 | LAC [ 101 ] | +13 | +4.5 | +6 |
| 5/1 | LAC [ 93 ] | DAL -3 LAC +3 | 209.5 | DAL [ 123 ] | +30 | +27 | +6.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 5/24 | MIN | MIN -5.5 DAL +5.5 | 207 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 5/22 | MIN | MIN -4 DAL +4 | 207 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 5/19 | DEN [ 90 ] | MIN +4.5 DEN -4.5 | 199 | MIN [ 98 ] | +8 | +12.5 | -11 |
| 5/16 | MIN [ 115 ] | MIN -2.5 DEN +2.5 | 204.5 | DEN [ 70 ] | +45 | +42.5 | -19.5 |
| 5/14 | DEN [ 112 ] | MIN +4.5 DEN -4.5 | 205.5 | MIN [ 97 ] | -15 | -10.5 | +3.5 |
| 5/12 | MIN [ 107 ] | MIN -3 DEN +3 | 204.5 | DEN [ 115 ] | -8 | -11 | +17.5 |
| 5/10 | MIN [ 90 ] | MIN -4.5 DEN +4.5 | 204.5 | DEN [ 117 ] | -27 | -31.5 | +2.5 |
| 5/6 | DEN [ 80 ] | MIN +5.5 DEN -5.5 | 205.5 | MIN [ 106 ] | +26 | +31.5 | -19.5 |
| 5/4 | DEN [ 99 ] | MIN +5 DEN -5 | 208 | MIN [ 106 ] | +7 | +12 | -3 |
| 4/28 | PHO [ 116 ] | MIN +1 PHO -1 | 213 | MIN [ 122 ] | +6 | +7 | +25 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 1/22 | DAL | MIN -3.5 DAL +3.5 | 213 | MIN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 12/25 | DAL | MIN +5 DAL -5 | 222.5 | MIN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10/29 | MIN | MIN -4.5 DAL +4.5 | 220.5 | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/30 | MIN | MIN -4.5 DAL +4.5 | 209.5 | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/28 | DAL | MIN +1.5 DAL -1.5 | 210.5 | MIN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/26 | DAL | MIN +2.5 DAL -2.5 | 207.5 | MIN | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/24 | MIN | MIN -5.5 DAL +5.5 | 207 | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/22 | MIN | MIN -4 DAL +4 | 207 | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 1/31 | MIN [ 121 ] | MIN -14 DAL +14 | 221.5 | DAL [ 87 ] | +34 | +20 | -13.5 | 91.9 | 131.6 | 94.6 | 37 | 208 |
| 1/7 | DAL [ 115 ] | MIN -2 DAL +2 | 234.5 | MIN [ 108 ] | -7 | -9 | -11.5 | 95.1 | 113.5 | 120.9 | -7.4 | 223 |
| 12/28 | MIN [ 118 ] | MIN -12.5 DAL +12.5 | 228 | DAL [ 110 ] | +8 | -4.5 | 0 | 100.3 | 117.7 | 109.7 | 8 | 228 |
** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.
| Mavericks ( game/s) |
Timberwolves ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Strength of Schedule | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Mavericks ( game/s) |
Timberwolves ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Mavericks ( game/s) |
Timberwolves ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Mavericks ( game/s) |
Timberwolves ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Mavericks ( game/s) |
Timberwolves ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Mavericks | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Timberwolves 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Mavericks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Mavericks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Mavericks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Mavericks | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Timberwolves | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | 3-0-0 (100%) | 5-2-0 (71.4%) | 6-7-0 (46.2%) | 4-6-1 (40%) | 7-19-1 (26.9%) | 4-8-1 (33.3%) | 2-5-0 (28.6%) |
| Timberwolves | 2-2-0 (50%) | 3-7-0 (30%) | 17-8-0 (68%) | 9-9-0 (50%) | 6-9-0 (40%) | 4-4-0 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) |