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Cubs @ Guardians [ -132 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 14, 2024, 6:40 pm
Cubs | 77-75 (50.7%), Jameson Taillon (R) | 10-8 (55.56%)
Guardians | 88-65 (57.5%), Alex Cobb (R) | 2-1 (66.67%)

Last updated: August 16, 2024 8:29 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Cubs
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Bullpen:
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Matchup:
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Guardians
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Bullpen:
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Matchup:
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Cubs Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/16CHCKyle Hendricks (R)CHC -130
TOR +110		9.5TORYariel Rodriguez (R)
8/14CLEAlex Cobb (R)CHC +112
CLE -132		8CHCJameson Taillon (R)
8/13CLE [ 2 ]Matthew Boyd (L)CHC +104
CLE -154		8.5CHC [ 1 ]Javier Assad (R)
8/12CLE [ 9 ]Ben Lively (R)CHC -122
CLE +104		8CHC [ 8 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
8/10CHW [ 1 ]Chris Flexen (R)CHC -230
CHW +190		9CHC [ 3 ]Justin Steele (L)
8/9CHW [ 6 ]Garrett Crochet (L)CHC -148
CHW +126		8.5CHC [ 7 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
8/7CHC [ 8 ]Javier Assad (R)CHC +120
MIN -142		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
8/6CHC [ 7 ]Shota Imanaga (L)CHC -110
MIN -106		6MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
8/5CHC [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)CHC +104
MIN -122		7.5MIN [ 3 ]David Festa (R)
8/4CHC [ 6 ]Justin Steele (L)CHC -148
STL +126		9STL [ 2 ]Miles Mikolas (R)

Guardians Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/16MILAaron Civale (R)CLE -110
MIL -106		8CLEGavin Williams (R)
8/14CLEAlex Cobb (R)CLE -132
CHC +112		8CHCJameson Taillon (R)
8/13CLE [ 2 ]Matthew Boyd (L)CLE -122
CHC +130		8.5CHC [ 1 ]Javier Assad (R)
8/12CLE [ 9 ]Ben Lively (R)CLE +104
CHC -122		8CHC [ 8 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
8/11MIN [ 3 ]David Festa (R)CLE -102
MIN -116		8CLE [ 5 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
8/10MIN [ 1 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)CLE -100
MIN -118		8.5CLE [ 2 ]Gavin Williams (R)
8/9MIN [ 4 ]Bailey Ober (R)CLE +138
MIN -164		8.5CLE [ 2 ]Joey Cantillo (R)
8/9MIN [ 6 ]Louie Varland (R)CLE -112
MIN -104		8CLE [ 3 ]Alex Cobb (L)
8/7CLE [ 3 ]Ben Lively (R)CLE -116
ARI -102		8.5ARI [ 7 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)
8/7CLE [ 3 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)CLE -108
ARI -108		8ARI [ 5 ]Eduardo Rodriguez (R)

Jameson Taillon Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/9CHW [ 6 ]CHC [ 7 ]-1488.55409255Garrett Crochet (L)
8/3CHC [ 4 ]STL [ 5 ]-1128.56406111Kyle Gibson (R)
7/29CIN [ 7 ]CHC [ 1 ]-11294.33416266Carson Spiers (R)
7/23CHC [ 0 ]MIL [ 1 ]-1108.57.33334011Colin Rea (R)
7/14STL [ 3 ]CHC [ 8 ]1088.55.67307133Miles Mikolas (R)
5.673.60.86.41.23.23.2

Alex Cobb Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/9MIN [ 6 ]CLE [ 3 ]-11284.67119145Louie Varland (R)
4.67119145


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

CubsGuardians
152TG153
4.6R/G4.4
162HR174
0.243AVG0.238
137SB143
27CS42
CubsGuardians
0.153ISO0.156
0.292BABIP0.272
0.318OBP0.308
0.396SLG0.394
0.312wOBA0.306
102wRC+100
CubsGuardians
8.9BB%7.9
22.5K%20.1
0.4BB/K0.39
7.9Barrel%5.7
38.2HardHit%33.7
21.5WAR20.5

Pitching Matchup

Jameson TaillonAlex Cobb
26G3
26GS3
152.1IP16.1
5.9IP/G5.4
10W2
8L1
74.5LOB%64.1
Jameson TaillonAlex Cobb
7.03K/95.51
1.71BB/91.65
14.4K/BB%11.3
40.4GB%61.2
40.6FB%26.5
1.24HR/90.55
10.9HR/FB%7.7
Jameson TaillonAlex Cobb
0.277BABIP0.271
3.54ERA2.76
3.98xERA4.88
3.97FIP3.29
4.09xFIP3.7
1.16WHIP1.04
4.21SIERA3.87
2.1WAR0.3

Bullpen Matchup

CubsGuardians
3.06BPU/G3.67
3.5IP/G3.8
34W40
33L11
34SV51
25BS15
73.1LOB%77.9
CubsGuardians
9.28K/99.42
3.84BB/92.93
14.2K/BB%18
42.2GB%42.5
38.6FB%37.5
0.96HR/90.75
10.2HR/FB%8.7
CubsGuardians
0.285BABIP0.256
3.81ERA2.67
3.92FIP3.28
4.12xFIP3.66
1.28WHIP1.05
3.82SIERA3.37
2.7WAR7.6

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon F511-9-1 (55%)3-3-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)3-0-0 (100%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Jameson Taillon10-11 (47.6%)3-4 (42.9%)1-1 (50%)3-0 (100%)3-5 (37.5%)
Alex Cobb F51-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Alex Cobb1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon F514-6-1 (70%)3-3-1 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)5-3-0 (62.5%)
Jameson Taillon10-11-0 (47.6%)4-3-0 (57.1%)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Alex Cobb F52-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Alex Cobb1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F541-41-17 (50%)10-13-9 (43.5%)6-6-1 (50%)10-7-0 (58.8%)14-15-7 (48.3%)
Cubs vs. RHP50-49 (50.5%)16-16 (50%)6-7 (46.2%)11-6 (64.7%)17-19 (47.2%)
Guardians vs. RHP F536-38-12 (48.6%)13-14-5 (48.1%)8-7-2 (53.3%)4-3-0 (57.1%)11-11-4 (50%)
Guardians vs. RHP46-40 (53.5%)22-10 (68.8%)8-9 (47.1%)3-4 (42.9%)12-14 (46.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F545-47-5 (48.9%)12-16-2 (42.9%)7-5-1 (58.3%)8-9-0 (47.1%)17-17-2 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP41-57-1 (41.8%)14-18-0 (43.8%)6-7-0 (46.2%)6-11-0 (35.3%)14-21-1 (40%)
Guardians vs. RHP F540-36-6 (52.6%)16-12-3 (57.1%)9-6-1 (60%)5-0-1 (100%)8-16-1 (33.3%)
Guardians vs. RHP38-43-5 (46.9%)16-15-1 (51.6%)8-8-1 (50%)6-1-0 (85.7%)7-17-2 (29.2%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon7-13 (35%)1-6 (14.3%)0-2 (0%)3-0 (100%)3-5 (37.5%)
Cubs58-64 (47.5%)11-30 (26.8%)5-12 (29.4%)12-7 (63.2%)30-15 (66.7%)
Alex Cobb1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Guardians58-58 (50%)19-26 (42.2%)12-15 (44.4%)8-3 (72.7%)19-14 (57.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon12-9 (57.1%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)3-0 (100%)4-4 (50%)
Cubs46-77 (37.4%)13-28 (31.7%)6-11 (35.3%)9-10 (47.4%)18-27 (40%)
Alex Cobb1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Guardians56-65 (46.3%)21-24 (46.7%)14-13 (51.9%)6-5 (54.5%)13-20 (39.4%)