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Orioles @ Blue Jays [ +128 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 6, 2024, 7:07 pm
Orioles | 84-68 (55.3%), Albert Suarez (R) | 8-6 (57.14%)
Blue Jays | 71-80 (47%), Chris Bassitt (R) | 10-13 (43.48%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Orioles
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Blue Jays
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Orioles Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• Fade home dog off long road trip

Blue Jays Situational Notes
Game off extra innings
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Orioles Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/7TORBowden Francis (R)BAL -142
TOR +116		9.5BALTrevor Rogers (L)
8/6TORChris Bassitt (R)BAL -152
TOR +128		8.5BALAlbert Suarez (R)
8/4CLE [ 5 ]Gavin Williams (R)BAL -126
CLE +108		7.5BAL [ 9 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
8/3CLE [ 4 ]Joey Cantillo (L)BAL -116
CLE -102		8.5BAL [ 7 ]Zach Eflin (R)
8/2CLE [ 8 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)BAL -112
CLE -104		9BAL [ 4 ]Dean Kremer (R)
8/1CLE [ 10 ]Ben Lively (R)BAL -104
CLE -112		9BAL [ 3 ]Trevor Rogers (L)
7/31BAL [ 10 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)BAL -245
TOR +200		9.5TOR [ 4 ]Paolo Espino (R)
7/30BAL [ 6 ]Corbin Burnes (R)BAL -215
TOR +180		8.5TOR [ 2 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
7/29BAL [ 11 ]Zach Eflin (L)BAL -164
TOR +138		8.5TOR [ 5 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)
7/29BAL [ 4 ]Cade Povich (R)BAL -152
TOR +128		9.5TOR [ 8 ]Bowden Francis (R)

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/7TORBowden Francis (R)TOR +120
BAL -136		9.5BALTrevor Rogers (L)
8/6TORChris Bassitt (R)TOR +128
BAL -152		8.5BALAlbert Suarez (R)
8/4NYY [ 4 ]Gerrit Cole (R)TOR +245
NYY -300		9.5TOR [ 3 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)
8/3NYY [ 8 ]Carlos Rodon (L)TOR +194
NYY -235		9.5TOR [ 3 ]Jose Berrios (R)
8/2NYY [ 5 ]Marcus Stroman (R)TOR +144
NYY -172		9TOR [ 8 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
7/31BAL [ 10 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)TOR +200
BAL -245		9.5TOR [ 4 ]Paolo Espino (R)
7/30BAL [ 6 ]Corbin Burnes (R)TOR +180
BAL -215		8.5TOR [ 2 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
7/29BAL [ 11 ]Zach Eflin (L)TOR +138
BAL -164		8.5TOR [ 5 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)
7/29BAL [ 4 ]Cade Povich (R)TOR +128
BAL -152		9.5TOR [ 8 ]Bowden Francis (R)
7/28TOR [ 7 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR +114
TEX -134		8.5TEX [ 3 ]Jon Gray (R)

Albert Suarez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/28BAL [ 8 ]SDP [ 6 ]-13894.67235033Randy Vasquez (R)
7/23MIA [ 6 ]BAL [ 3 ]-1748.52318166Kyle Tyler (R)
7/11BAL [ 0 ]CHC [ 8 ]-1348.55426044Justin Steele (L)
7/5OAK [ 2 ]BAL [ 3 ]-1668.56614222Hogan Harris (L)
6/28BAL [ 2 ]TEX [ 1 ]-1188.56203000Max Scherzer (R)
4.733.41.45.20.633

Chris Bassitt Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/30BAL [ 6 ]TOR [ 2 ]1808.54319155Corbin Burnes (R)
7/25TOR [ 0 ]TBR [ 13 ]-11685615133Taj Bradley (R)
7/19TOR [ 4 ]DET [ 5 ]-1327.56.67617255Jack Flaherty (R)
7/10SFG [ 6 ]TOR [ 10 ]13675645033Logan Webb (R)
7/4TOR [ 3 ]HOU [ 5 ]-10485348044Framber Valdez (L)
5.134.82.26.80.844


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

OriolesBlue Jays
152TG152
4.8R/G4.2
218HR151
0.247AVG0.242
92SB67
24CS14
OriolesBlue Jays
0.186ISO0.152
0.284BABIP0.283
0.314OBP0.314
0.434SLG0.394
0.323wOBA0.309
113wRC+103
OriolesBlue Jays
8BB%8.3
21.9K%20.3
0.36BB/K0.41
9Barrel%7.4
42.1HardHit%36.8
26.4WAR21.9

Pitching Matchup

Albert SuarezChris Bassitt
30G30
22GS30
122.2IP166.2
4.1IP/G5.5
8W10
6L13
77.6LOB%72.7
Albert SuarezChris Bassitt
7.19K/98.96
3.01BB/93.4
10.9K/BB%14
35.1GB%40.6
41.3FB%35.7
0.88HR/90.97
7.8HR/FB%10.4
Albert SuarezChris Bassitt
0.296BABIP0.335
3.6ERA4.16
4.15xERA4.41
3.92FIP4
4.55xFIP4.17
1.32WHIP1.43
4.61SIERA4.19
1.8WAR2.3

Bullpen Matchup

OriolesBlue Jays
3.31BPU/G3.36
3.4IP/G3.4
26W23
21L25
44SV36
20BS21
68.1LOB%69.4
OriolesBlue Jays
9.24K/97.99
3.3BB/93.73
15.7K/BB%10.9
44.3GB%42.1
38.1FB%38
1.04HR/91.51
11.1HR/FB%15
OriolesBlue Jays
0.275BABIP0.271
4.14ERA4.83
3.87FIP4.96
3.94xFIP4.47
1.2WHIP1.34
3.62SIERA4.2
3.4WAR-2.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Albert Suarez F57-6-1 (53.8%)4-2-0 (66.7%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-1 (0%)
Albert Suarez8-6 (57.1%)4-2 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-3 (0%)
Chris Bassitt F58-8-7 (50%)3-2-2 (60%)1-0-1 (100%)2-2-1 (50%)1-4-3 (20%)
Chris Bassitt9-14 (39.1%)3-4 (42.9%)1-1 (50%)2-3 (40%)2-6 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Albert Suarez F54-10-0 (28.6%)2-4-0 (33.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Albert Suarez4-9-1 (30.8%)2-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-1 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Chris Bassitt F58-15-0 (34.8%)2-5-0 (28.6%)0-2-0 (0%)2-3-0 (40%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Chris Bassitt10-10-3 (50%)4-3-0 (57.1%)0-2-0 (0%)2-2-1 (50%)4-3-1 (57.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Orioles vs. RHP F548-27-10 (64%)26-11-4 (70.3%)15-11-3 (57.7%)0-2-0 (0%)5-3-2 (62.5%)
Orioles vs. RHP50-35 (58.8%)26-15 (63.4%)15-14 (51.7%)0-2 (0%)7-3 (70%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F540-40-12 (50%)15-11-3 (57.7%)10-4-0 (71.4%)4-6-3 (40%)8-19-6 (29.6%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP44-48 (47.8%)16-13 (55.2%)10-4 (71.4%)3-10 (23.1%)12-21 (36.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Orioles vs. RHP F545-34-5 (57%)22-17-1 (56.4%)15-12-2 (55.6%)1-1-0 (50%)7-2-1 (77.8%)
Orioles vs. RHP49-29-7 (62.8%)23-16-2 (59%)18-6-5 (75%)1-1-0 (50%)7-3-0 (70%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F544-42-4 (51.2%)16-12-0 (57.1%)5-6-3 (45.5%)5-7-1 (41.7%)17-15-0 (53.1%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP51-38-3 (57.3%)18-11-0 (62.1%)5-9-0 (35.7%)8-5-0 (61.5%)18-13-2 (58.1%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Albert Suarez6-7 (46.2%)3-3 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)1-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Orioles58-53 (52.3%)26-27 (49.1%)17-20 (45.9%)3-2 (60%)12-4 (75%)
Chris Bassitt10-12 (45.5%)2-5 (28.6%)1-1 (50%)3-2 (60%)4-4 (50%)
Blue Jays51-59 (46.4%)12-26 (31.6%)10-7 (58.8%)6-10 (37.5%)23-16 (59%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Albert Suarez4-10 (28.6%)1-5 (16.7%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)
Orioles48-67 (41.7%)29-24 (54.7%)13-24 (35.1%)0-5 (0%)5-11 (31.3%)
Chris Bassitt8-15 (34.8%)1-6 (14.3%)0-2 (0%)3-2 (60%)4-4 (50%)
Blue Jays49-64 (43.4%)13-25 (34.2%)6-11 (35.3%)10-6 (62.5%)20-19 (51.3%)