NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 11/5, 8:15 p.m.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens

Jaguars: 5-2 (71.4%) - AFC South | Market Rating: +2.30

Ravens: 4-4 (50.0%) - AFC North | Market Rating: +2.20 | Home Field: +0.6 pts

Line: +8.5

Total: 43.5

Open: -3

Open: 49

NWS forecast: 65°F wind 5 mph S (gusts 10) 56% precip · Light Rain Likely (updated 1h ago)

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Injury Report as of Nov 2, 5:36 AM ET JAX2 Out4 Questionable BAL4 Out2 QuestionableO-line: 2 out

JAX

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Anton Harrison	OL · 93%	Out	Harrison was diagnosed with a torn ACL while undergoing a procedure on his right knee Thursday, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Antonio Johnson	S · 83%	Out	inactive
Ezra Cleveland	OL · 96%	Questionable	questionable
Eric Murray	S · 83%	Questionable	Murray (elbow) won't return to Sunday's game against the Colts, John Oehser of the Jaguars' official site reports.
Travon Walker	DE · 82%	Questionable	Walker (ribs) is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Colts.
DaVon Hamilton	DT · 46%	Questionable	Hamilton (knee) won't return to Sunday's game against Indianapolis.

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Albert Regis, Alijah Huzzie, CJ Williams, Jamal Hill, Wesley Williams

BAL

O-line: 2 starters out (Olaivavega Ioane, Emery Jones Jr.)

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Olaivavega Ioane	G · 89%	Out	inactive
Lamar Jackson	QB · 88%	Out	Jackson is slated to have surgery to address his right thumb injury and will be placed on injured reserve, per coach Jesse Minter, Brian Wacker of The Baltimore Sun reports.
Jaylinn Hawkins	S · 81%	Out	inactive
Emery Jones Jr.	G · 56%	Out	inactive
Nate Wiggins	CB · 99%	Questionable	Wiggins (stinger) is being evaluated for a possible concussion and is questionable to return to Sunday's game against the Bills.
Tyler Huntley	QB · 87%	Questionable	The status of Huntley (toe) is uncertain ahead of Thursday night's game against the Jaguars, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Adam Randall, Aeneas Peebles, Chandler Rivers, Elijah Sarratt, Joe Fagnano

Snaps = share of the team's offensive or defensive snaps in the games he played, over the team's last 8 games (every position, linemen included). Players under 40%, or with no snap in those games (long-term absences), are listed under “Not in rotation.” = a position group with 2+ starters (50%+ of snaps, 40%+ on the D-line) out or doubtful, or 3+ counting questionable.

Notes

Jaguars

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller System(s)

Over system based on market totals vs. average scoring

Ravens

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Jaguars Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/22/26 2026	Jaguars	-	@	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	46.5	-	-
11/15/26 2026	Jaguars	-	@	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	45.5	-	-
11/05/26 2026	Jaguars	-	@	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.5	43.5	-	-
11/01/26 2026	Jaguars	42	vs.	Colts	7	0	0	0	0	0	-10.0	45.5	-35	O 49 +3.5
10/18/26 2026	Jaguars	31	vs.	Texans	34	412	106	306	1	0	-2.5	42.0	+3	O 65 +23.0
10/11/26 2026	Jaguars	19	vs.	Eagles	17	433	102	331	0	2	-8.0	41.5	-2	U 36 -5.5
10/04/26 2026	Jaguars	22	@	Bengals	17	338	111	227	2	1	+2.5	52.0	-5	U 39 -13.0
09/27/26 2026	Jaguars	35	vs.	Patriots	6	319	137	182	2	0	-3.0	46.5	-29	U 41 -5.5
09/20/26 2026	Jaguars	13	@	Broncos	20	284	95	189	1	1	+2.5	45.5	+7	U 33 -12.5
09/13/26 2026	Jaguars	34	vs.	Browns	10	371	126	245	1	1	-8.5	40.5	-24	O 44 +3.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/11/26 2025	Jaguars	24	vs.	Bills	27	361	154	207	0	0	-1.5	51.5	+3	U 51 -0.5
01/04/26 2025	Jaguars	41	vs.	Titans	7	335	64	271	1	1	-12.5	46.5	-34	O 48 +1.5
12/28/25 2025	Jaguars	23	@	Colts	17	384	121	263	2	1	-4.5	48.5	-6	U 40 -8.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		17.5	-	-	18.5	311	103	208	1.5	1.0	+2.5	48.8	+1.0 +1.5	U 36.0 -12.8

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		28.0	-	-	15.9	308	97	211	1.0	0.7	-3.9	44.8	-12.1 +8.3	U 43.9 -0.9

Ravens Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/22/26 2026	Ravens	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	46.5	-	-
11/16/26 2026	Ravens	-	vs.	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	47.5	-	-
11/05/26 2026	Ravens	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+8.5	43.5	-	-
11/01/26 2026	Ravens	10	@	Bills	36	0	0	0	0	0	+3.0	55.0	+26	U 46 -9.0
10/25/26 2026	Ravens	13	vs.	Bengals	35	381	83	298	0	0	+3.0	46.5	+22	O 48 +1.5
10/18/26 2026	Ravens	10	@	Browns	13	252	87	165	0	2	-3.0	39.5	+3	U 23 -16.5
10/11/26 2026	Ravens	30	@	Falcons	23	409	208	201	1	1	+3.5	44.0	-7	O 53 +9.0
10/04/26 2026	Ravens	24	vs.	Titans	18	397	112	285	1	1	-11.5	42.5	-6	U 42 -0.5
09/27/26 2026	Ravens	34	vs.	Cowboys	31	378	192	186	0	0	-3.5	53.0	-3	O 65 +12.0
09/20/26 2026	Ravens	17	vs.	Saints	24	343	108	235	0	0	-8.5	45.0	+7	U 41 -4.0
09/13/26 2026	Ravens	41	@	Colts	23	526	202	324	1	1	-3.0	48.0	-18	O 64 +16.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/04/26 2025	Ravens	24	@	Steelers	26	375	137	238	0	0	-4.5	41.5	+2	O 50 +8.5
12/27/25 2025	Ravens	41	@	Packers	24	414	307	107	1	0	+2.5	37.5	-17	O 65 +27.5

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		18.0	-	-	25.7	374	101	273	0.3	0.3	-5.7	44.7	+7.7 -13.3	U 43.7 -1.0

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		22.4	-	-	25.4	336	124	212	0.4	0.6	-2.5	46.7	+3.0 -5.5	O 47.8 +1.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Ravens are 25% (2-6) against the spread

The Ravens are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

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Ravens (Home)

The Ravens are 25% (2-6) against the spread

The Ravens are 0% (0-3) against the spread at home

The Ravens are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a dog

The Ravens are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Ravens are 50% (4-4) to the over

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) to the under at home

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a dog

The Ravens are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home dog

The Ravens are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Ravens are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Ravens are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Ravens are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Ravens are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Ravens are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Ravens are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Jaguars (Away)

The Jaguars are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread

The Jaguars are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 57.1% (4-3) to the under

The Jaguars are 100% (2-0) to the under away

The Jaguars are 60% (3-2) to the over as a fav

The Jaguars are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/17/23 2023	Ravens	23	@	Jaguars	7	339	75	264	1	2	-4.0	42.5	-16	U 30 -12.5

All Games Avg (1 games)		23.0	-	-	7.0	339	75	264	1.0	2.0	-4.0	42.5	-16.0 +12.0	U 30.0 -12.5

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision. High Confidence: 19-14-1 (57.6%)	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression. Medium Confidence: 19-17-2 (52.8%)	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc. High Confidence: 3-2-1 (60%)	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression. High Confidence: 11-7-2 (61.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 11/5, 8:15 p.m. Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Jacksonville Jaguars", home_team: "Baltimore Ravens", game_date: "2026-11-05" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report as of Nov 2, 5:36 AM ET JAX2 Out4 Questionable BAL4 Out2 QuestionableO-line: 2 out

Notes

Jaguars

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Ravens

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Jaguars Schedule Follow global filters

Ravens Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Ravens (Home)

Jaguars (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Thu, 11/5, 8:15 p.m.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens