WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

12:30 p.m.
Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream

Valkyries: 40-15 (72.7%) | Market Rating: +3.52

Dream: 37-17 (68.5%) | Market Rating: +4.71 | Home Court: +2.8 pts

Line: -4.5

Total: 147.5

Open: -3.5

Open: 147.5

Team totals: Valkyries 71.5 · Dream 75.5 (open 72.5 / 75.5)

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Injury Report as of Oct 28, 1:17 PM ET GSV1 Out ATL1 Out

GSV

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Iliana Rupert	24.0 ’25	Out	Rupert is pregnant, and the Valkyries have filed for a replacement contract ahead of the 2026 season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports Thursday.

ATL

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Brionna Jones	16.9	Out	Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports.

Not in rotation (under 3 MPG): Matilde Villa

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes

Valkyries

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

In season revenge

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Bounceback Road Favorite

Zig Zag Theory: back team off a loss as a favorite

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model only runs during the regular season.

Schedules

Valkyries Schedule

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/31/26 2026	Valkyries	-	vs.	Dream	-	-	-	-	-
10/29/26 2026	Valkyries	-	@	Dream	-	+4.5	147.5	-	-
10/26/26	Valkyries	64	vs.	Dream	55	+1.0	150.5	-9	119 (-31.5)
2026	ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 79.3 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 79.3 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 69.3
10/24/26	Valkyries	67	@	Dream	62	+5.5	153.5	-5	129 (-24.5)
2026	ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 88.4 Pace: 70.1			ORtg: 88.4 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 70.1
10/21/26	Valkyries	71	@	Dream	97	+4.0	153.0	+26	168 (+15.0)
2026	ORtg: 88.0 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 88.0 Pace: 80.7
10/19/26	Valkyries	65	vs.	Dream	79	-1.5	153.5	+14	144 (-9.5)
2026	ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 79.4
10/17/26	Valkyries	68	vs.	Dream	64	-2.5	153.5	-4	132 (-21.5)
2026	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 84.9 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 84.9 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4
10/09/26	Valkyries	87	@	Aces	77	+5.0	156.5	-10	164 (+7.5)
2026	ORtg: 105.1 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 73.6			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 105.1 Pace: 73.6
10/07/26	Valkyries	83	vs.	Aces	81	-1.5	156.5	-2	164 (+7.5)
2026	ORtg: 119.6 DRtg: 116.8 Pace: 69.4			ORtg: 116.8 DRtg: 119.6 Pace: 69.4
10/04/26	Valkyries	71	vs.	Aces	60	-1.0	159.0	-11	131 (-28.0)
2026	ORtg: 101.1 DRtg: 85.4 Pace: 70.2			ORtg: 85.4 DRtg: 101.1 Pace: 70.2
10/02/26	Valkyries	77	vs.	Wings	73	-8.5	159.5	-4	150 (-9.5)
2026	ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 71.6			ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 71.6
09/30/26	Valkyries	100	@	Wings	108	-4.5	157.5	+8	208 (+50.5)
2026	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 129.3 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 129.3 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 74.3
Away Games Avg (4 games)		81.3	-	-	86.0	+2.5	155.1	+4.8	167.3 (+12.1)
	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 74.7
All Games Avg (10 games)		75.3	-	-	75.6	-0.4	155.3	+0.3	150.9 (-4.4)
	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 73.4

Dream Schedule

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/31/26 2026	Dream	-	@	Valkyries	-	-	-	-	-
10/29/26 2026	Dream	-	vs.	Valkyries	-	-4.5	147.5	-	-
10/26/26	Dream	55	@	Valkyries	64	-1.0	150.5	+9	119 (-31.5)
2026	ORtg: 79.3 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 79.3 Pace: 69.3
10/24/26	Dream	62	vs.	Valkyries	67	-5.5	153.5	+5	129 (-24.5)
2026	ORtg: 88.4 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 70.1			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 88.4 Pace: 70.1
10/21/26	Dream	97	vs.	Valkyries	71	-4.0	153.0	-26	168 (+15.0)
2026	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 88.0 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 88.0 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 80.7
10/19/26	Dream	79	@	Valkyries	65	+1.5	153.5	-14	144 (-9.5)
2026	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 79.4
10/17/26	Dream	64	@	Valkyries	68	+2.5	153.5	+4	132 (-21.5)
2026	ORtg: 84.9 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 84.9 Pace: 75.4
10/09/26	Dream	85	@	Liberty	83	+4.0	170.5	-2	168 (-2.5)
2026	ORtg: 118.5 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 71.7			ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 118.5 Pace: 71.7
10/07/26	Dream	101	vs.	Liberty	98	-2.0	170.5	-3	199 (+28.5)
2026	ORtg: 118.8 DRtg: 115.3 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 115.3 DRtg: 118.8 Pace: 75.6
10/04/26	Dream	92	vs.	Liberty	82	-4.5	173.0	-10	174 (+1.0)
2026	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 82.1
09/30/26	Dream	93	@	Mystics	75	-3.5	167.0	-18	168 (+1.0)
2026	ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 75.0
09/27/26	Dream	92	vs.	Mystics	77	-7.5	164.0	-15	169 (+5.0)
2026	ORtg: 107.9 DRtg: 90.3 Pace: 85.3			ORtg: 90.3 DRtg: 107.9 Pace: 85.3
Home Games Avg (5 games)		88.8	-	-	79.0	-4.7	162.8	-9.8	167.8 (+5.0)
	ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 78.7
All Games Avg (10 games)		82.0	-	-	75.0	-2.0	160.9	-7.0	157.0 (-3.9)
	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 96.9 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 96.9 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 76.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Dream are 72% (18-7) to the over as a home fav

The Dream are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

The Valkyries are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Valkyries are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over away

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Dream (Home)

The Dream are 50% (27-27) against the spread

The Dream are 48.1% (13-14) against the spread at home

The Dream are 46.8% (22-25) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 44% (11-14) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 51.9% (28-26) to the over

The Dream are 66.7% (18-9) to the over at home

The Dream are 59.6% (28-19) to the over as a fav

The Dream are 72% (18-7) to the over as a home fav

The Dream are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) to the over

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Dream are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Dream are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Valkyries (Away)

The Valkyries are 60% (33-22) against the spread

The Valkyries are 53.8% (14-12) against the spread away

The Valkyries are 63.2% (12-7) against the spread as a dog

The Valkyries are 69.2% (9-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Valkyries are 60% (33-22) to the under

The Valkyries are 61.5% (16-10) to the under away

The Valkyries are 63.2% (12-7) to the under as a dog

The Valkyries are 53.8% (7-6) to the under as an away dog

The Valkyries are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Valkyries are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Valkyries are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Valkyries are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Valkyries are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the under

The Valkyries are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Valkyries are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Valkyries are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26	Dream	55	@	Valkyries	64	-1.0	150.5	+9	119 (-31.5)
2026	ORtg: 79.3 DRtg: 92.3 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 92.3 DRtg: 79.3 Pace: 69.3
10/24/26	Dream	62	vs.	Valkyries	67	-5.5	153.5	+5	129 (-24.5)
2026	ORtg: 88.4 DRtg: 95.5 Pace: 70.1			ORtg: 95.5 DRtg: 88.4 Pace: 70.1
10/21/26	Dream	97	vs.	Valkyries	71	-4.0	153.0	-26	168 (+15.0)
2026	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 88.0 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 88.0 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 80.7
10/19/26	Dream	79	@	Valkyries	65	+1.5	153.5	-14	144 (-9.5)
2026	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 79.4
10/17/26	Dream	64	@	Valkyries	68	+2.5	153.5	+4	132 (-21.5)
2026	ORtg: 84.9 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 84.9 Pace: 75.4
07/04/26	Dream	83	vs.	Valkyries	88	-4.5	163.5	+5	171 (+7.5)
2026	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 110.3 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 110.3 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 79.8
06/26/26	Dream	75	@	Valkyries	78	-1.5	164.0	+3	153 (-11.0)
2026	ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 95.6 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 95.6 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 81.6
06/24/26	Dream	66	@	Valkyries	77	-1.5	166.0	+11	143 (-23.0)
2026	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 69.9			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 69.9
08/17/25	Dream	79	@	Valkyries	63	-4.5	152.0	-16	142 (-10.0)
2025	ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 69.6			ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 69.6
07/29/25	Dream	75	vs.	Valkyries	77	-8.5	155.5	+2	152 (-3.5)
2025	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 67.9			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 67.9
Dream as Home (4 games)		79.3	-	-	75.8	-5.6	156.4	-3.5	155.0 (-1.4)
	ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 74.6			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 74.6
All Games Avg (10 games)		73.5	-	-	71.8	-2.7	156.5	-1.7	145.3 (-11.2)
	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 74.4

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

12:30 p.m. Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Golden State Valkyries", home_team: "Atlanta Dream", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of Oct 28, 1:17 PM ET GSV1 Out ATL1 Out

Notes

Valkyries

Situational Factor(s)

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Schedules

Valkyries Schedule

Dream Schedule

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Dream (Home)

Valkyries (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

12:30 p.m.
Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream