MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

8:00 p.m.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays

Brewers: 113-61 (64.9%) | Jacob Misiorowski (R): 25-8 (75.8%) | Market Rating: +5.7% (-126)

Rays: 106-69 (60.6%) | TBD | Market Rating: +2.1% (-109) | Home Field: +4.1% (-118)

Run line

Team Total

Total

Brewers

-158

-1.5 (+118)

o3.5 (-120)

6.5

Rays

+136

+1.5 (-138)

o2.5 (-123)

Open

Brewers

-156

-1.5 (+118)

o3.5 (-120)

6.5

Rays

+134

+1.5 (-139)

o2.5 (-125)

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Injury Report as of Oct 28, 12:42 PM ET MILNo key injuries TB3 Out1 Questionable

MIL

Not in rotation (60-day IL / season-ending, or under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched): Angel Zerpa, Brian Fitzpatrick, Quinn Priester

Player	PA/G · G	Status	Reason
Edwin Uceta	70 G ’25	Out	Uceta (shoulder) is playing catch from 75 feet, per MLB.com.
Gavin Lux	3.6 PA/G ’25	Out	Lux (shoulder) has resumed full baseball activity, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Shane McClanahan	24 G	Out	McClanahan (forearm) won't be available to pitch during the rest of the postseason, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Junior Caminero	4.3 PA/G	Questionable	Rays manager Kevin Cash said after Tuesday's win over the Brewers that Caminero (foot) is expected to be fine, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Not in rotation (60-day IL / season-ending, or under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched): Jacob Melton, Jonathan Heasley, Ryan Pepiot

PA/G = plate appearances per game played this season (hitters). G = games pitched this season (pitchers). ’25 = last season's figure (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 2.0 PA/G and fewer than 3 G pitched in both seasons, and long-term absences (60-day IL, season-ending, surgery), are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes

Brewers

Situational Factor(s)

Game off extra innings

Game off giving up a walk-off win

Baller System(s)

Unders on lower totals after a game that went into extra innings

Rays

Situational Factor(s)

Game off extra innings

Game off a walk-off win

Baller System(s)

Unders on lower totals after a game that went into extra innings

Baller Index Our Exclusive MLB Baller Index is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. Compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to see where the model and the market disagree. Regular season only.

Brewers

J. Misiorowski	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Rays

Starter TBD:	Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:	Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:	Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:	Unlock with Baller Access

Regression Analysis The Regression Analysis section is a strictly rule-based analysis designed to simplify and interpret what the data indicates. This section identifies potential regression signals and organizes them into a clear breakdown for each side. The goal isn't to tell you what to bet—it's to provide context.

By translating the data into plain language, this can help you understand how regression and matchup factors interact. These signals highlight tendencies, not guarantees, and are most effective when used alongside the rest of the matchup page for full context.

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Schedules

Brewers Schedule

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
10/31/26 2026	Brewers	-	vs.	Rays	-	-	-
10/30/26 2026	Brewers TBD	-	vs.	Rays TBD	-	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	-	@	Rays TBD	-	-158	6.5
10/27/26 2026	Brewers Dustin May (R)	3	@	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	4	-119	7.5
10/26/26 2026	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	10	@	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	1	+100	7.0
10/24/26 2026	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	5	vs.	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	4	-117	6.5
10/23/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	3	vs.	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	2	-188	6.5
10/15/26 2026	Brewers Shane Drohan (L)	6	@	Dodgers Tyler Glasnow (R)	4	+132	8.0
10/14/26 2026	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	6	@	Dodgers Blake Snell (L)	2	+153	7.0
10/12/26 2026	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	7	vs.	Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)	4	+116	7.0
10/11/26 2026	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	2	vs.	Dodgers Tarik Skubal (L)	1	-104	6.0
10/07/26 2026	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	3	@	Padres Walker Buehler (R)	1	-108	7.5
10/06/26 2026	Brewers Dustin May (R)	3	@	Padres Nick Pivetta (R)	4	+121	7.5
Away Games Avg (6 games)		5.2	-	-	2.7	+111	7.4
All Games Avg (10 games)		4.8	-	-	2.7	-100	7.1

Rays Schedule

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total
10/31/26 2026	Rays	-	@	Brewers	-	-	-
10/30/26 2026	Rays TBD	-	@	Brewers TBD	-	-	-
10/28/26 2026	Rays TBD	-	vs.	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	-	+136	6.5
10/27/26 2026	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	4	vs.	Brewers Dustin May (R)	3	+103	7.5
10/26/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	1	vs.	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	10	-116	7.0
10/24/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	4	@	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	5	+102	6.5
10/23/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	2	@	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	3	+161	6.5
10/19/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	7	vs.	Guardians Shawn Armstrong (R)	3	-154	7.0
10/18/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	3	@	Guardians Parker Messick (L)	1	-126	6.0
10/17/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	7	@	Guardians Shawn Armstrong (R)	3	-112	6.5
10/15/26 2026	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	2	@	Guardians Gavin Williams (R)	3	+110	6.5
10/13/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	3	vs.	Guardians Parker Messick (L)	1	-132	6.5
10/12/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	3	vs.	Guardians Foster Griffin (L)	7	-169	6.5
Home Games Avg (5 games)		3.6	-	-	4.8	-131	6.9
All Games Avg (10 games)		3.6	-	-	3.9	-112	6.7

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Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Jacob Misiorowski's mix vs. TBR bats

Jacob Misiorowski's pitches			TBR hitters vs. that pitch type, from all pitchers
Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff%	Chase%	BA	xBA	xwOBA	xSLG	xISO	Hard%	Barrel%	Avg EV
4-Seam Fastball	63.5%	100.6	19.1% (5)	29.7% (28)	.244 (16)	.302 (30)	.315 (29)	.504 (29)	.202 (29)	39.4% (28)	7.1% (29)	88.6 (30)
Cutter	13.9%	95.8	16.5% (1)	27.9% (9)	.306 (5)	.319 (20)	.335 (23)	.470 (29)	.151 (30)	33.3% (27)	6.4% (26)	85.8 (28)
Slider	10.9%	91.8	28.1% (2)	34.9% (20)	.223 (15)	.302 (27)	.290 (13)	.486 (27)	.184 (27)	31.2% (29)	7.1% (26)	84.6 (30)
Curveball	10.6%	88.0	23.7% (1)	28.0% (11)	.239 (3)	.342 (4)	.280 (11)	.479 (25)	.137 (28)	34.2% (19)	4.0% (30)	84.4 (28)
Changeup	1.0%	92.5	27.6% (3)	36.0% (20)	.252 (1)	.326 (4)	.288 (7)	.458 (23)	.132 (27)	28.1% (28)	3.9% (29)	84.8 (26)
Sinker	0.1%	100.6	9.0% (1)	27.7% (24)	.291 (7)	.302 (30)	.313 (30)	.423 (30)	.121 (30)	37.6% (30)	4.5% (29)	86.6 (30)
Whole mix, by usage			20.3% (1)	29.9% (22)	.250 (12)	.309 (29)	.311 (28)	.494 (29)	.185 (29)	37.0% (28)	6.6% (29)	87.3 (30)

2026 season totals. Usage and Velo are Jacob Misiorowski's; every other column is TBR's active hitters against that pitch type from every pitcher, not against him. (n) is TBR's place among the 30 clubs: 1 and green hit the pitch best, red is good for the pitcher.

Home Pitcher: TBD

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Jacob Misiorowski Last 5 Starts

	H	A	Line	Total	IP	NP	K	BB	Hits	HR	ER	Runs	Opp Starter
10/23	MIL [ 3 ]	TBR [ 2 ]	-188	6.5	5	79	3	1	4	0	1	1	Nick Martinez (R)
10/11	MIL [ 2 ]	LAD [ 1 ]	-104	6	4.33	94	5	3	5	0	1	1	Tarik Skubal (L)
10/3	MIL [ 3 ]	SDP [ 2 ]	-206	7	4	88	6	1	4	0	2	2	Robbie Ray (L)
9/27	MIL [ 6 ]	STL [ 4 ]	-207	7	5.33	68	5	2	2	0	0	0	Andre Pallante (R)
9/20	BAL [ 0 ]	MIL [ 3 ]	-212	7.5	3	44	4	0	1	0	0	0	Brandon Young (R)
Averages:					4.33	74.6	4.6	1.4	3.2	0	0.8	0.8

Home Pitcher: TBD

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

MIL Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	10/25	10/26	10/27	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Antonio Senzatela ⚠	·	2.0 (26)	0.2 (18)	2	2.2	44	2	1	0	0
Aaron Ashby	·	·	2.1 (31)	1	2.1	31	3	0	0	0
Abner Uribe	·	·	2.0 (19)	1	2.0	19	2	0	1	0
DL Hall	·	·	1.2 (24)	1	1.2	24	0	0	1	0
Brandon Woodruff	·	1.0 (18)	·	1	1.0	18	1	0	2	1
JoJo Romero	·	·	1.0 (11)	1	1.0	11	0	0	0	0
Trevor Megill	·	·	0.1 (5)	1	0.1	5	1	0	0	0
Shane Drohan	·	·	0.0 (15)	1	0.0	15	0	0	4	1
Team Totals (8 arms used):				9	11.0	167	9	1	8	2

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

TBR Bullpen — Last 3 Days

Pitcher	10/25	10/26	10/27	App	IP	NP	K	BB	H	ER
Tyler Wells ⚠	·	1.0 (16)	1.2 (24)	2	2.2	40	2	0	0	0
Bryan Baker	·	·	2.0 (21)	1	2.0	21	0	0	1	0
Nick Martinez	·	·	2.0 (33)	1	2.0	33	1	0	1	0
Cole Sulser	·	1.1 (32)	·	1	1.1	32	1	0	4	1
Garrett Cleavinger	·	1.0 (11)	·	1	1.0	11	1	0	0	0
Ian Seymour	·	·	1.0 (32)	1	1.0	32	1	0	2	1
Kevin Kelly	·	·	1.0 (12)	1	1.0	12	1	1	0	0
Steven Matz	·	1.0 (17)	·	1	1.0	17	0	0	1	0
Cam Booser ⚠	·	0.0 (12)	0.1 (9)	2	0.1	21	1	1	4	4
Team Totals (9 arms used):				11	12.1	219	8	2	13	6

A day reads innings (pitches). NP = number of pitches over the window.

⚠ = pitched on consecutive days within window (fatigue signal).

Notable Trends

The Rays are 77.8% (7-2) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Brewers are 83.3% (10-2) (L30 days) on the moneyline

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Rays (Home)

The Rays are 60.3% (105-69) on the moneyline

The Rays are 77.8% (7-2) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Rays are 51.8% (87-81-6) to the under

The Rays are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as a home dog

The Rays are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Rays are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) on the moneyline as a home dog

The Rays are 54.5% (6-5-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Rays are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Brewers (Away)

The Brewers are 64.9% (113-61) on the moneyline

The Brewers are 62% (31-19) on the moneyline as an away fav

The Brewers are 53.6% (90-78-5) to the under

The Brewers are 61.2% (30-19-1) to the under as an away fav

The Brewers are 83.3% (10-2) (L30 days) on the moneyline

The Brewers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) on the moneyline as an away fav

The Brewers are 54.5% (6-5-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Brewers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 7)

Date	Team Starter	Runs		Opponent Starter	Opp Runs	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/27/26 2026	Rays Griffin Jax (R)	4	vs.	Brewers Dustin May (R)	3	+103	7.5	-1	7 (-0.5)
10/26/26 2026	Rays Freddy Peralta (R)	1	vs.	Brewers Robert Gasser (L)	10	-116	7.0	+9	11 (+4.0)
10/24/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	4	@	Brewers Logan Henderson (R)	5	+102	6.5	+1	9 (+2.5)
10/23/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	2	@	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	3	+161	6.5	+1	5 (-1.5)
04/01/26 2026	Rays Drew Rasmussen (R)	2	@	Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (R)	8	+119	7.0	+6	10 (+3.0)
03/31/26 2026	Rays Shane McClanahan (L)	2	@	Brewers Brandon Woodruff (R)	6	+113	7.5	+4	8 (+0.5)
03/30/26 2026	Rays Nick Martinez (R)	3	@	Brewers Kyle Harrison (L)	2	-	8.0	-1	5 (-3.0)
Rays as Home (2 games)		2.5	-	-	6.5	-106	7.3	+4.0	9.0 (+1.8)
All Games Avg (7 games)		2.6	-	-	5.3	+112	7.1	+2.7	7.9 (+0.7)

MLB Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

8:00 p.m. Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "mlb", away_team: "Milwaukee Brewers", home_team: "Tampa Bay Rays", game_date: "2026-10-28" };

Odds Full MLB odds board

Injury Report as of Oct 28, 12:42 PM ET MILNo key injuries TB3 Out1 Questionable

Notes

Brewers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Rays

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Brewers

Rays

Schedules

Brewers Schedule

Rays Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Pitch Mix vs. Bats

Starting Pitchers Recent Performance

Bullpen Usage (Last 3 Days)

Notable Trends

View All Records

Rays (Home)

Brewers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 7)

8:00 p.m.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays