NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 11/12, 8:15 p.m.
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants

Commanders: 2-4 (33.3%) - NFC East | Market Rating: -2.09

Giants: 4-2 (66.7%) - NFC East | Market Rating: -3.46 | Home Field: +0.3 pts

Line: -1.5

Total: 45.0

Open: -1.5

Open: 45

NWS forecast: 48°F wind 6–7 mph NE (gusts 13) 28% precip · Chance Light Rain (updated 7h ago)

Odds Full NFL odds board

Want to see only your books? Want to see where the sharp action is coming in? Become a member or log in.

Games
Conversions

Loading game odds...

Injury Report as of Nov 7, 10:37 AM ET WAS5 OutD-line: 3 outReceivers: 2 out NYG1 Doubtful

Washington Commanders

D-line: 3 starters out (Daron Payne, Javon Kinlaw, Jer'Zhan Newton)

Receivers: 2 starters out (Terry McLaurin, Treylon Burks)

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Daron Payne	DT · 73%	Out	Payne (foot) underwent season-ending surgery Wednesday, Ben Standig of The Team 980 Washington D.C. reports. Est. return Feb 15 (Updated Oct 30)
Terry McLaurin	WR · 62%	Out	McLaurin (knee) underwent surgery Friday to repair the torn patellar tendon in his left knee, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Est. return Feb 15 (Updated Oct 19)
Javon Kinlaw	DT · 62%	Out	Kinlaw underwent season-ending surgery Tuesday to repair his MCL, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Est. return Feb 15 (Updated Oct 30)
Jer'Zhan Newton	DT · 59%	Out	Newton (pectoral) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Rams, Zach Selby of the Commanders' official site reports. Est. return Nov 8 (Updated Oct 28)
Treylon Burks	WR · 55%	Out	Burks (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams. Est. return Nov 12 (Updated Nov 6)

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Dyami Brown, Jeremy McNichols, Laremy Tunsil

New York Giants

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Cam Skattebo	RB · 55%	Doubtful	Skattebo (hamstring) is listed as doubtful for Sunday's game at Philadelphia, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports. Est. return Nov 8 (Updated Nov 6)

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Tyrone Tracy Jr., Charlie Jones

Snaps his share of the team's offensive or defensive snaps in the games he played, over the team's last 8 games.
Not in rotation under 40% of snaps, or no snap in those games (long-term absences).
a position group with 2+ starters (50%+ of snaps, 40%+ on the D-line) out or doubtful, or 3+ counting questionable.
Est. return ESPN's estimated return date, not the team's. A day-to-day player gets his team's next game.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Commanders

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Giants

Situational Factor(s)

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

View All Algorithms

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

Loading filters...

Schedules

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/29/26 2026	Commanders	-	@	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	47.5	-	-
11/23/26 2026	Commanders	-	vs.	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	52.5	-	-
11/12/26 2026	Commanders	-	@	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	45.0	-	-
11/01/26 2026	Commanders	27	vs.	Eagles	10	352	135	217	1	1	+3.5	40.5	-17	U 37 -3.5
10/19/26 2026	Commanders	17	@	49ers	23	353	53	300	0	0	+7.0	51.5	+6	U 40 -11.5
10/11/26 2026	Commanders	27	vs.	Giants	27 OT	401	202	199	0	1	-3.5	41.0	0	O 54 +13.0
10/04/26 2026	Commanders	13	vs.	Colts	30	332	100	232	1	0	+4.5	46.5	+17	U 43 -3.5
09/27/26 2026	Commanders	33	vs.	Seahawks	31	265	82	183	2	0	+8.5	40.5	-2	O 64 +23.5
09/20/26 2026	Commanders	20	@	Cowboys	37	389	182	207	0	3	+4.0	51.0	+17	O 57 +6.0
09/13/26 2026	Commanders	22	@	Eagles	24	296	132	164	0	1	+6.0	44.0	+2	O 46 +2.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/04/26 2025	Commanders	24	@	Eagles	17	274	143	131	1	3	+3.0	38.5	-7	O 41 +2.5
12/25/25 2025	Commanders	23	vs.	Cowboys	30	336	138	198	0	0	+8.5	50.5	+7	O 53 +2.5
12/20/25 2025	Commanders	18	vs.	Eagles	29	228	90	138	0	1	+7.0	43.5	+11	O 47 +3.5

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		19.7	-	-	28.0	346	122	224	0.0	1.3	+5.7	48.8	+8.3 -2.7	U 47.7 -1.2

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		22.7	-	-	26.0	341	127	215	0.6	0.9	+4.3	45.0	+3.3 +1.0	O 48.7 +3.7

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/29/26 2026	Giants	-	@	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	47.5	-	-
11/22/26 2026	Giants	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	46.5	-	-
11/12/26 2026	Giants	-	vs.	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	45.0	-	-
10/25/26 2026	Giants	27	@	Texans	21	440	188	252	0	0	+10.0	43.0	-6	O 48 +5.0
10/18/26 2026	Giants	27	vs.	Saints	34	479	84	395	0	1	+1.0	46.0	+7	O 61 +15.0
10/11/26 2026	Giants	27	@	Commanders	27 OT	429	103	326	0	2	+3.5	41.0	0	O 54 +13.0
10/04/26 2026	Giants	36	vs.	Cardinals	24	337	87	250	3	1	+2.5	44.0	-12	O 60 +16.0
09/27/26 2026	Giants	12	vs.	Titans	7	256	138	118	1	1	-2.5	37.5	-5	U 19 -18.5
09/21/26 2026	Giants	6	@	Rams	28	183	52	131	1	1	+6.5	47.0	+22	U 34 -13.0
09/13/26 2026	Giants	28	vs.	Cowboys	20	395	165	230	1	4	+3.0	47.5	-8	O 48 +0.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/04/26 2025	Giants	34	vs.	Cowboys	17	391	161	230	1	2	+3.0	50.5	-17	O 51 +0.5
12/28/25 2025	Giants	34	@	Raiders	10	362	155	207	2	0	-3.0	40.5	-24	O 44 +3.5
12/21/25 2025	Giants	13	vs.	Vikings	16	161	128	33	1	0	+3.0	43.5	+3	U 29 -14.5

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		25.8	-	-	21.3	367	119	248	1.3	1.8	+1.0	43.8	-4.5 +5.5	O 47.0 +3.3

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		23.3	-	-	23.0	360	117	243	0.9	1.4	+3.4	43.7	-0.3 +3.7	O 46.3 +2.6

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Next Player Up

Records

Loading records...

Notable Trends

The Giants are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread

The Giants are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Giants are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Giants are 75% (3-1) to the over at home

View All Records

Giants (Home)

The Giants are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread

The Giants are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Giants are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a fav

The Giants are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Giants are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Giants are 75% (3-1) to the over at home

The Giants are 100% (1-0) to the under as a fav

The Giants are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home fav

The Giants are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Giants are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Giants are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Giants are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

Commanders (Away)

The Commanders are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread away

The Commanders are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Commanders are 57.1% (4-3) to the over

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Commanders are 50% (3-3) to the over as a dog

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as an away dog

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Commanders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Commanders are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Commanders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Commanders are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Commanders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Commanders are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Commanders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/11/26 2026	Giants	27	@	Commanders	27 OT	401	202	199	0	1	+3.5	41.0	0	O 54 +13.0
12/14/25 2025	Giants	21	vs.	Commanders	29	392	146	246	0	1	-2.5	47.5	+8	O 50 +2.5
09/07/25 2025	Giants	6	@	Commanders	21	453	220	233	0	0	+6.5	45.5	+15	U 27 -18.5
11/03/24 2024	Giants	22	vs.	Commanders	27	338	164	174	0	1	+4.5	44.5	+5	O 49 +4.5
09/15/24 2024	Giants	18	@	Commanders	21	441	215	226	0	0	+1.5	43.0	+3	U 39 -4.0
11/19/23 2023	Giants	31	@	Commanders	19	430	174	256	0	4	+7.5	39.0	-12	O 50 +11.0
10/22/23 2023	Giants	14	vs.	Commanders	7	385	106	279	1	3	+3.0	36.5	-7	U 21 -15.5

Giants as Home (3 games)		19.0	-	-	21.0	372	139	233	0.3	1.7	+1.7	42.8	+2.0 -0.3	U 40.0 -2.8

All Games Avg (7 games)		19.9	-	-	21.6	406	175	230	0.1	1.4	+3.4	42.4	+1.7 +1.7	U 41.4 -1.0

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision. High Confidence: 19-16-1 (54.3%)	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression. Medium Confidence: 20-19-2 (51.3%)	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc. High Confidence: 3-2-1 (60%)	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression. High Confidence: 11-9-2 (55%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 11/12, 8:15 p.m. Washington Commanders @ New York Giants window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Washington Commanders", home_team: "New York Giants", game_date: "2026-11-12" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report as of Nov 7, 10:37 AM ET WAS5 OutD-line: 3 outReceivers: 2 out NYG1 Doubtful

Notes

Commanders

Situational Factor(s)

Giants

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Giants (Home)

Commanders (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Thu, 11/12, 8:15 p.m.
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants