NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 10/29, 8:15 p.m.
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers

Panthers: 3-3 (50.0%) - NFC South | Market Rating: -1.04

Packers: 4-3 (57.1%) - NFC North | Market Rating: +1.27 | Home Field: +1.8 pts

Line: -3.5

Total: 48.0

Open: -4

Open: 45.5

Team totals: Panthers 20.5 · Packers 26.5

NWS forecast: 56°F wind 2 mph WNW (gusts 8) 0% precip · Mostly Clear (updated <1h ago)

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Injury Report as of Oct 27, 3:36 AM ET CAR2 Out3 Questionable GB2 Out1 Doubtful4 QuestionableO-line: 2 out, 1 Q

CAR

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Taylor Moton	T · 85%	Out	The Panthers placed Moton (lower leg) on injured reserve Monday.
Jaelan Phillips	LB · 68%	Out	Phillips (hamstring) was listed as a non-participant on Monday's practice estimate.
Damien Lewis	G · 92%	Questionable	questionable
Jalen Coker	WR · 74%	Questionable	Coker was listed as limited on Monday's estimated practice report due to a shoulder injury, Darin Gantt of the Panthers' official site reports.
Akayleb Evans	CB · 48%	Questionable	Evans (triceps/knee) was listed as a non-participant on Monday's practice estimate.

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Bobby Brown III, Torricelli Simpkins III

O-line: 2 starters out or doubtful (Jacob Monk, Sean Rhyan), 1 questionable (Travis Glover)

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Zaire Franklin	LB · 99%	Out	Franklin suffered a hairline fracture in his shin during last Thursday's practice, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com reports.
Jacob Monk	C · 59%	Out	The Packers placed Monk (quadriceps) on injured reserve Monday.
Sean Rhyan	C · 88%	Doubtful	Rhyan (ankle) is expected to miss multiple weeks after being injured in Sunday's loss to the Lions, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Travis Glover	G · 100%	Questionable	questionable
Matthew Golden	WR · 79%	Questionable	Golden (shoulder/foot) was listed as a non-participant on Monday's practice estimate, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports
Devonte Wyatt	DT · 48%	Questionable	Wyatt (ankle) was listed as a non-participant on Monday's practice estimate, Matt Schneidman of The Athletic reports.
Aaron Banks	G · 46%	Questionable	questionable

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Anthony Campbell

Snaps = share of the team's offensive or defensive snaps in the games he played, over the team's last 8 games (every position, linemen included). Players under 40%, or with no snap in those games (long-term absences), are listed under “Not in rotation.” = a position group with 2+ starters (50%+ of snaps, 40%+ on the D-line) out or doubtful, or 3+ counting questionable.

Notes

Panthers

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Back road team off loss more than a TD

Packers

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Panthers

54.06% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Schedules

Panthers Schedule

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/15/26 2026	Panthers	-	@	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	43.5	-	-
11/08/26 2026	Panthers	-	vs.	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	42.5	-	-
10/29/26 2026	Panthers	-	@	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	48.0	-	-
10/25/26 2026	Panthers	13	vs.	Buccaneers	43	298	88	210	0	2	-3.0	44.5	+30	56 (+11.5)
10/18/26 2026	Panthers	25	@	Eagles	14	407	126	281	0	1	-3.0	39.0	-11	39 (0.0)
10/04/26 2026	Panthers	32	vs.	Lions	26	456	127	329	0	1	+4.0	52.0	-6	58 (+6.0)
09/27/26 2026	Panthers	18	@	Browns	21	389	98	291	0	0	-2.0	42.0	+3	39 (-3.0)
09/20/26 2026	Panthers	34	@	Falcons	3	355	68	287	3	1	-2.5	43.5	-31	37 (-6.5)
09/13/26 2026	Panthers	37	vs.	Bears	59	486	125	361	0	2	+3.0	47.0	+22	96 (+49.0)
01/10/26 2025	Panthers	31	vs.	Rams	34	347	83	264	1	1	+10.0	45.0	+3	65 (+20.0)
01/03/26 2025	Panthers	14	@	Buccaneers	16	285	19	266	1	3	+3.0	42.5	+2	30 (-12.5)
12/28/25 2025	Panthers	10	vs.	Seahawks	27	153	99	54	1	2	+6.5	42.5	+17	37 (-5.5)
12/21/25 2025	Panthers	23	vs.	Buccaneers	20	292	101	191	1	0	+3.0	45.5	-3	43 (-2.5)
Away Games Avg (4 games)		22.8	-	-	13.5	359	78	281	1.0	1.3	-1.1	41.8	-9.3	36.3 (-5.5)
All Games Avg (10 games)		23.7	-	-	26.3	347	93	253	0.7	1.3	+1.9	44.4	+2.6	50.0 (+5.7)

Packers Schedule

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/15/26 2026	Packers	-	vs.	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	45.5	-	-
11/08/26 2026	Packers	-	@	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	46.5	-	-
10/29/26 2026	Packers	-	vs.	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	48.0	-	-
10/25/26 2026	Packers	17	@	Lions	20	334	60	274	0	0	+4.0	55.5	+3	37 (-18.5)
10/18/26 2026	Packers	23	vs.	Cowboys	13	333	57	276	2	0	+1.0	54.0	-10	36 (-18.0)
10/11/26 2026	Packers	31	vs.	Bears	7	437	70	367	3	1	+1.0	47.0	-24	38 (-9.0)
10/04/26 2026	Packers	17	@	Buccaneers	14	283	86	197	2	2	-3.0	39.0	-3	31 (-8.0)
09/24/26 2026	Packers	14	vs.	Falcons	35	329	17	312	1	1	-4.5	43.0	+21	49 (+6.0)
09/20/26 2026	Packers	20	@	Jets	17	208	63	145	0	5	-3.0	44.0	-3	37 (-7.0)
09/13/26 2026	Packers	22	@	Vikings	39	453	66	387	1	2	+2.0	45.5	+17	61 (+15.5)
01/10/26 2025	Packers	27	@	Bears	31	422	99	323	2	4	-1.5	46.5	+4	58 (+11.5)
01/04/26 2025	Packers	3	@	Vikings	16	162	128	34	0	1	+13.0	37.5	+13	19 (-18.5)
12/27/25 2025	Packers	24	vs.	Ravens	41	375	79	296	0	1	-2.5	37.5	+17	65 (+27.5)
Home Games Avg (4 games)		23.0	-	-	24.0	369	56	313	1.5	0.8	-1.3	45.4	+1.0	47.0 (+1.6)
All Games Avg (10 games)		19.8	-	-	23.3	334	73	261	1.1	1.7	+0.7	45.0	+3.5	43.1 (-1.9)

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Packers are 71.4% (5-2) to the under

The Packers are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

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Packers (Home)

The Packers are 60% (3-2-2) against the spread

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread at home

The Packers are 0% (0-1-2) against the spread as a fav

The Packers are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Packers are 71.4% (5-2) to the under

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under at home

The Packers are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a fav

The Packers are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home fav

The Packers are 100% (3-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Packers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Packers are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Packers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Packers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

Panthers (Away)

The Panthers are 50% (3-3) against the spread

The Panthers are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread away

The Panthers are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 60% (3-2-1) to the over

The Panthers are 100% (2-0-1) to the under away

The Panthers are 100% (2-0) to the over as a dog

The Panthers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Panthers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Panthers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 66.7% (2-1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Panthers are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Panthers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/25 2025	Packers	13	vs.	Panthers	16	377	104	273	1	1	-12.5	43.5	+3	29 (-14.5)
12/24/23 2023	Packers	33	@	Panthers	30	408	96	312	0	2	-3.5	40.0	-3	63 (+23.0)
Packers as Home (1 games)		13.0	-	-	16.0	377	104	273	1.0	1.0	-12.5	43.5	+3.0	29.0 (-14.5)
All Games Avg (2 games)		23.0	-	-	23.0	393	100	293	0.5	1.5	-8.0	41.8	0.0	46.0 (+4.3)

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision. High Confidence: 17-12-1 (58.6%)	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression. Medium Confidence: 17-15-2 (53.1%)	Panthers
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc. High Confidence: 3-2-1 (60%)	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression. High Confidence: 10-7-2 (58.8%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	Panthers
OVERALL	Panthers \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Thu, 10/29, 8:15 p.m. Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Carolina Panthers", home_team: "Green Bay Packers", game_date: "2026-10-29" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report as of Oct 27, 3:36 AM ET CAR2 Out3 Questionable GB2 Out1 Doubtful4 QuestionableO-line: 2 out, 1 Q

Notes

Panthers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Packers

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Schedules

Panthers Schedule

Packers Schedule

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Records

Notable Trends

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Packers (Home)

Panthers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Thu, 10/29, 8:15 p.m.
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers