NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/25, 9:30 a.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers / New Orleans Saints Neutral site

Steelers: 4-2 (66.7%) - AFC North | Market Rating: +0.29

Saints: 2-4 (33.3%) - NFC South | Market Rating: -3.21

Line: +3.0

Total: 44.0

Open: +2

Open: 41.5

Team totals: Steelers 23.5 · Saints 20.5 (open 24.5 / 20.5)

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Injury Report as of Oct 25, 4:07 AM ET PIT1 Questionable NO2 Questionable

PIT

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Rico Dowdle	RB · 40%	Questionable	Dowdle (knee) was a limited participant in Friday's practice and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Saints in Paris, NFL insider Adam Caplan reports.

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Ben Skowronek, Brandin Echols, Sebastian Joseph-Day, DeShon Elliott

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Cesar Ruiz	G · 91%	Questionable	Ruiz (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Steelers.
Nathan Shepherd	DL · 66%	Questionable	Shepherd (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Steelers in Paris.

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Jordyn Tyson

Snaps = share of the team's offensive or defensive snaps in the games he played, over the team's last 8 games (every position, linemen included). Players under 40%, or with no snap in those games (long-term absences), are listed under “Not in rotation.” = a position group with 2+ starters (50%+ of snaps, 40%+ on the D-line) out or doubtful, or 3+ counting questionable.

Notes

Steelers

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off an Overtime game

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Overtime Hangover Unders

Saints

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead to bye week

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Schedules

Steelers Schedule

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/15/26 2026	Steelers	-	@	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	47.5	-	-
11/01/26 2026	Steelers	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	38.5	-	-
10/25/26 2026	Steelers	-	vs.	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	44.0	-	-
10/18/26 2026	Steelers	26	@	Buccaneers	19	342	89	253	2	0	-2.0	38.0	-7	45 (+7.0)
10/11/26 2026	Steelers	34	vs.	Colts	22	362	127	235	0	1	-3.0	41.5	-12	56 (+14.5)
10/01/26 2026	Steelers	24	@	Browns	27	391	92	299	1	0	-3.0	38.0	+3	51 (+13.0)
09/27/26 2026	Steelers	30	vs.	Bengals	27	430	138	292	0	0	+3.0	42.5	-3	57 (+14.5)
09/20/26 2026	Steelers	3	@	Patriots	20	278	91	187	1	2	+4.5	41.5	+17	23 (-18.5)
09/13/26 2026	Steelers	20	vs.	Falcons	13	279	58	221	2	1	-6.5	40.5	-7	33 (-7.5)
01/12/26 2025	Steelers	6	vs.	Texans	30	211	63	148	1	2	+3.0	38.5	+24	36 (-2.5)
01/04/26 2025	Steelers	26	vs.	Ravens	24	394	100	294	1	0	+4.5	41.5	-2	50 (+8.5)
12/28/25 2025	Steelers	6	@	Browns	13	299	131	168	2	3	-3.5	34.5	+7	19 (-15.5)
12/21/25 2025	Steelers	29	@	Lions	24	496	230	266	0	1	+7.0	52.0	-5	53 (+1.0)
Away Games Avg (5 games)		17.6	-	-	20.6	361	127	235	1.2	1.2	+0.6	40.8	+3.0	38.2 (-2.6)
All Games Avg (10 games)		20.4	-	-	21.9	348	112	236	1.0	1.0	+0.4	40.9	+1.5	42.3 (+1.5)

Saints Schedule

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/15/26 2026	Saints	-	vs.	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	43.5	-	-
11/08/26 2026	Saints	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	41.5	-	-
10/25/26 2026	Saints	-	vs.	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	44.0	-	-
10/18/26 2026	Saints	34	@	Giants	27	319	175	144	3	1	-1.0	46.0	-7	61 (+15.0)
10/11/26 2026	Saints	13	vs.	Vikings	23	151	55	96	0	1	+2.0	41.5	+10	36 (-5.5)
10/05/26 2026	Saints	24	vs.	Falcons	45	336	50	286	0	1	-1.0	47.5	+21	69 (+21.5)
09/27/26 2026	Saints	27	vs.	Raiders	35	403	148	255	0	4	-3.5	43.5	+8	62 (+18.5)
09/20/26 2026	Saints	24	@	Ravens	17	317	65	252	1	1	+8.5	45.0	-7	41 (-4.0)
09/13/26 2026	Saints	30	@	Lions	31	501	91	410	0	2	+7.0	49.5	+1	61 (+11.5)
01/04/26 2025	Saints	17	@	Falcons	19	367	108	259	1	1	+4.0	43.5	+2	36 (-7.5)
12/28/25 2025	Saints	34	@	Titans	26	436	103	333	0	2	-1.5	38.5	-8	60 (+21.5)
12/21/25 2025	Saints	29	vs.	Jets	6	430	84	346	1	1	-4.5	40.5	-23	35 (-5.5)
12/14/25 2025	Saints	20	vs.	Panthers	17	353	81	272	0	1	+2.5	40.5	-3	37 (-3.5)
Home Games Avg (5 games)		22.6	-	-	25.2	335	84	251	0.2	1.6	-0.9	42.7	+2.6	47.8 (+5.1)
All Games Avg (10 games)		25.2	-	-	24.6	361	96	265	0.6	1.5	+1.3	43.6	-0.6	49.8 (+6.2)

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Steelers are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Steelers are 75% (3-1) to the over as a fav

The Steelers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Saints (Home)

The Saints are 50% (3-3) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-3) against the spread at home

The Saints are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Saints are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Saints are 66.7% (4-2) to the over

The Saints are 66.7% (2-1) to the over at home

The Saints are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as a dog

The Saints are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home dog

The Saints are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Saints are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Saints are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Saints are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Saints are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Saints are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Saints are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Saints are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Steelers (Away)

The Steelers are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread

The Steelers are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Steelers are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Steelers are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Steelers are 66.7% (4-2) to the over

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Steelers are 75% (3-1) to the over as a fav

The Steelers are 100% (2-0) to the over as an away fav

The Steelers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Steelers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Steelers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Steelers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Steelers are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Steelers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Steelers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision. High Confidence: 16-11-1 (59.3%)	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression. Medium Confidence: 13-14-2 (48.1%)	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc. High Confidence: 3-2-1 (60%)	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression. High Confidence: 9-7-2 (56.3%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/25, 9:30 a.m. Pittsburgh Steelers / New Orleans Saints Neutral site window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Pittsburgh Steelers", home_team: "New Orleans Saints", game_date: "2026-10-25" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report as of Oct 25, 4:07 AM ET PIT1 Questionable NO2 Questionable

Notes

Steelers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Saints

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Schedules

Steelers Schedule

Saints Schedule

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Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Saints (Home)

Steelers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Sun, 10/25, 9:30 a.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers / New Orleans Saints Neutral site