NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

8:00 p.m.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies

Thunder: 6-2 (75.0%) | Market Rating: +6.59

Grizzlies: 6-2 (75.0%) | Market Rating: -3.77 | Home Court: +2.4 pts

Line: +4.5

Total: 223.5

Open: +4

Open: 225.5

Team totals: Thunder 113.5 · Grizzlies 110.5 (open 113.5 / 111.5)

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Injury Report as of Nov 6, 12:00 PM ET OKC4 Out MEM2 Out

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Cason Wallace	16.3	Out	Left Shoulder Surgery Est. return Mar 2 (Updated Oct 26)
Chet Holmgren	29.9	Out	Right Knee / Injury Recovery Est. return Jan 2 (Updated Oct 26)
Jalen Williams	31.6	Out	Left Ankle Surgery Est. return Mar 2 (Updated Oct 26)
Jaylin Williams	18.5	Out	Lowback Spasms Est. return Nov 7 (Updated Nov 4)

Not in rotation / low minutes: Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber

Memphis Grizzlies

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Isaiah Stewart	18.3	Out	Right Knee Bone Bruise Est. return Nov 9 (Updated Nov 6)
Scotty Pippen Jr.	16.0	Out	Lumbar Disc Herniation Est. return Nov 9 (Updated Oct 31)

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Est. return ESPN's estimated return date, not the team's. A day-to-day player gets his team's next game.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/10/26 2026	Thunder	-	@	Trail Blazers	-	-	-	-	-
11/07/26 2026	Thunder	-	vs.	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
11/06/26 2026	Thunder	-	@	Grizzlies	-	-4.5	223.5	-	-
11/04/26	Thunder	124	vs.	Cavaliers	116	-3.5	226.5	-8	O 240 +13.5
2026	ORtg: 121.9 DRtg: 114.0 Pace: 101.7			ORtg: 114.0 DRtg: 121.9 Pace: 101.7
11/02/26	Thunder	117	@	Cavaliers	112	+4.5	229.5	-5	U 229 -0.5
2026	ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 96.0			ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 96.0
10/31/26	Thunder	98	@	Rockets	119	+2.5	219.5	+21	U 217 -2.5
2026	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 128.3 Pace: 92.8			ORtg: 128.3 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 92.8
10/28/26	Thunder	96	@	Mavericks	120	-5.0	228.5	+24	U 216 -12.5
2026	ORtg: 101.5 DRtg: 126.9 Pace: 94.6			ORtg: 126.9 DRtg: 101.5 Pace: 94.6
10/26/26	Thunder	125	vs.	Suns	114	-8.5	221.5	-11	O 239 +17.5
2026	ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 116.3 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 116.3 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 98.0
10/25/26	Thunder	108	vs.	Clippers	101	-16.5	223.0	-7	U 209 -14.0
2026	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 100.8			ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 100.8
10/22/26	Thunder	96	vs.	Nuggets	84	-8.0	236.5	-12	U 180 -56.5
2026	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 91.3 Pace: 92.0			ORtg: 91.3 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 92.0
10/20/26	Thunder	116	@	Spurs	104	-1.0	230.0	-12	U 220 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 102.3			ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 102.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
05/30/26	Thunder	103	vs.	Spurs	111	-3.5	211.5	+8	O 214 +2.5
2025	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 90.2			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 90.2
05/28/26	Thunder	91	@	Spurs	118	+3.5	218.5	+27	U 209 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 122.3 Pace: 96.5			ORtg: 122.3 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 96.5

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		106.8	-	-	113.8	+0.3	226.9	+7.0 -6.8	U 220.5 -6.4
	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 96.4			ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 96.4

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		110.0	-	-	108.8	-4.4	226.9	-1.3 -3.2	U 218.8 -8.1
	ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 97.3			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 97.3

Grizzlies Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/11/26 2026	Grizzlies	-	vs.	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
11/09/26 2026	Grizzlies	-	@	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
11/06/26 2026	Grizzlies	-	vs.	Thunder	-	+4.5	223.5	-	-
11/04/26	Grizzlies	103	vs.	Pacers	107	-5.5	228.0	+4	U 210 -18.0
2026	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 100.9			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 100.9
11/02/26	Grizzlies	134	vs.	Pelicans	135 OT	-5.5	231.5	+1	O 269 +37.5
2026	ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 127.5 Pace: 95.9			ORtg: 127.5 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 95.9
10/31/26	Grizzlies	136	vs.	Kings	105	-7.5	228.5	-31	O 241 +12.5
2026	ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 103.7			ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 103.7
10/29/26	Grizzlies	124	@	Trail Blazers	103	+8.0	233.0	-21	U 227 -6.0
2026	ORtg: 123.4 DRtg: 102.5 Pace: 100.5			ORtg: 102.5 DRtg: 123.4 Pace: 100.5
10/26/26	Grizzlies	110	@	Jazz	105	-1.5	237.5	-5	U 215 -22.5
2026	ORtg: 111.6 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 98.6			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 111.6 Pace: 98.6
10/25/26	Grizzlies	123	@	Kings	112	-4.0	235.0	-11	P 235 0.0
2026	ORtg: 125.5 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 98.0			ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 125.5 Pace: 98.0
10/23/26	Grizzlies	111	@	Warriors	108	+4.0	237.0	-3	U 219 -18.0
2026	ORtg: 115.8 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 95.9			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 115.8 Pace: 95.9
10/21/26	Grizzlies	123	vs.	Jazz	103	-1.5	241.5	-20	U 226 -15.5
2026	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 101.1			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 101.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
04/12/26	Grizzlies	101	@	Rockets	132	+15.0	231.5	+31	O 233 +1.5
2025	ORtg: 97.1 DRtg: 126.9 Pace: 104.0			ORtg: 126.9 DRtg: 97.1 Pace: 104.0
04/10/26	Grizzlies	101	@	Jazz	147	+4.5	248.5	+46	U 248 -0.5
2025	ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 123.1 Pace: 119.4			ORtg: 123.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 119.4

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		124.0	-	-	112.5	-5.0	232.4	-11.5 +6.5	O 236.5 +4.1
	ORtg: 120.3 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 100.4			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 120.3 Pace: 100.4

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		120.5	-	-	109.8	-1.7	234.0	-10.8 +9.1	U 230.3 -3.8
	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 99.3			ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 99.3

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Grizzlies are 75% (6-2) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 71.4% (5-2-1) to the under

The Grizzlies are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (4-0) to the under away

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under away

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Grizzlies (Home)

The Grizzlies are 75% (6-2) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 50% (2-2) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 71.4% (5-2-1) to the under

The Grizzlies are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Grizzlies are 100% (2-0) to the under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Grizzlies are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Grizzlies are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

Thunder (Away)

The Thunder are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread

The Thunder are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (4-0) to the under away

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) to the under as an away fav

The Thunder are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Thunder are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/09/26	Grizzlies	116	vs.	Thunder	117	+5.5	229.5	+1	O 233 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 96.7			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 96.7
12/22/25	Grizzlies	103	@	Thunder	119	+15.5	234.5	+16	U 222 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 102.2			ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 102.2
11/09/25	Grizzlies	100	vs.	Thunder	114	+10.5	230.5	+14	U 214 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 100.2			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 100.2

Grizzlies as Home (2 games)		108.0	-	-	115.5	+8.0	230.0	+7.5 +0.5	U 223.5 -6.5
	ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 117.4 Pace: 98.5			ORtg: 117.4 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 98.5

All Games Avg (3 games)		106.3	-	-	116.7	+10.5	231.5	+10.3 +0.2	U 223.0 -8.5
	ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 99.7			ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 99.7

Algorithm	Model Side
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 4-3 (57.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 10-10-1 (50%) Medium Confidence: 9-4 (69.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

8:00 p.m. Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nba", away_team: "Oklahoma City Thunder", home_team: "Memphis Grizzlies", game_date: null };

Odds Full NBA odds board

Injury Report as of Nov 6, 12:00 PM ET OKC4 Out MEM2 Out

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Thunder Schedule Follow global filters

Grizzlies Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Grizzlies (Home)

Thunder (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

8:00 p.m.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies