NBA Game Matchups & Analysis

3:00 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons

Celtics: 39-18 (68.4%)

Pistons: 42-21 (66.7%)

Line: -2.0

Total: 222.5

Injury Report May 17, 11:45 PM ET BOS1 Out DET

BOS

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Jayson Tatum	33.6 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftKnee;Stiffness

DET

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Caris LeVert	18.8 ’25	Available	Injury/Illness-RightHeel;Contusion
Duncan Robinson	27.7 ’25	Available	Injury/Illness-LowBack;Soreness
Kevin Huerter	21.6 ’25	Available	Injury/Illness-LeftAdductor;Strain

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes

No active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

No algorithm data available for this game.

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Records

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Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26	2026	Celtics	-	home	Bulls	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Celtics	-	home	Knicks	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/20/26	2026	Celtics	-	away	Pistons	-	-2.0	222.5	-	-
05/02/26	2025	Celtics	100	home	76ers	109	-4.0	205.0	+9	209
04/30/26	2025	Celtics	93	away	76ers	106	-6.5	214.5	+13	199
04/28/26	2025	Celtics	97	home	76ers	113	-10.5	214.5	+16	210
04/26/26	2025	Celtics	128	away	76ers	96	-6.5	212.5	-32	224
04/24/26	2025	Celtics	108	away	76ers	100	-9.5	215.5	-8	208
04/21/26	2025	Celtics	97	home	76ers	111	-13.5	218.5	+14	208
04/19/26	2025	Celtics	123	home	76ers	91	-13.0	217.0	-32	214
04/12/26	2025	Celtics	113	home	Magic	108	+13.0	222.5	-5	221
04/10/26	2025	Celtics	144	home	Pelicans	118	-18.0	227.5	-26	262
04/09/26	2025	Celtics	106	away	Knicks	112	+3.5	210.5	+6	218
Away Games Avg (4 games)			108.8	-	-	103.5	-4.8	213.3	-5.3	212.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.9	-	-	106.4	-6.5	215.8	-4.5	217.3

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/26	2026	Pistons	-	away	76ers	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Pistons	-	away	Heat	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/20/26	2026	Pistons	-	home	Celtics	-	-2.0	222.5	-	-
05/17/26	2025	Pistons	94	home	Cavaliers	125	-4.5	204.5	+31	219
05/15/26	2025	Pistons	115	away	Cavaliers	94	+3.5	209.5	-21	209
05/13/26	2025	Pistons	113	home	Cavaliers	117	-4.5	210.5	+4	230
05/11/26	2025	Pistons	103	away	Cavaliers	112	+3.5	213.0	+9	215
05/09/26	2025	Pistons	109	away	Cavaliers	116	+5.5	211.5	+7	225
05/07/26	2025	Pistons	107	home	Cavaliers	97	-5.5	207.5	-10	204
05/05/26	2025	Pistons	111	home	Cavaliers	101	-3.5	216.5	-10	212
05/03/26	2025	Pistons	116	home	Magic	94	-8.5	200.5	-22	210
05/01/26	2025	Pistons	93	away	Magic	79	-3.5	210.5	-14	172
04/29/26	2025	Pistons	116	home	Magic	109	-11.5	211.0	-7	225
Home Games Avg (6 games)			109.5	-	-	107.2	-6.3	208.4	-2.3	216.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.7	-	-	104.4	-2.9	209.5	-3.3	212.1

Notable Trends

No betting records available for this matchup.

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/19/26	2025	Pistons	104	Home	Celtics	103	-2.5	223.5	-1	207
12/15/25	2025	Pistons	112	Away	Celtics	105	+1.5	231.5	-7	217
11/26/25	2025	Pistons	114	Away	Celtics	117	-1.5	233.5	+3	231
10/26/25	2025	Pistons	119	Home	Celtics	113	-2.5	227.0	-6	232
02/26/25	2024	Pistons	117	Home	Celtics	97	+4.5	225.0	-20	214
12/12/24	2024	Pistons	99	Away	Celtics	123	+11.0	224.5	+24	222
12/04/24	2024	Pistons	120	Away	Celtics	130	+12.0	221.5	+10	250
10/26/24	2024	Pistons	118	Home	Celtics	124	+12.5	225.0	+6	242
03/22/24	2023	Pistons	102	Home	Celtics	129	+13.5	223.0	+27	231
03/18/24	2023	Pistons	94	Away	Celtics	119	+15.0	222.5	+25	213
Pistons as Home (5 games)			112.0	-	-	113.2	+5.1	224.7	+1.2	225.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.9	-	-	116.0	+6.4	225.7	+6.1	225.9