NBA Game Matchups & Analysis

3:00 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons

Celtics: 0-0 (0.0%)

Pistons: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: -2.0

Total: 222.5

Open: -1.5

Open: 221

Team totals: Celtics 109.5 · Pistons 110.5

Injury Report as of Oct 1, 12:45 PM ET BOS2 Questionable DET1 Out

BOS

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Devin Carter	18.4 ’25	Questionable	Injury/Illness-LeftAnkleFracture
Mike Conley	17.6 ’25	Questionable	Injury/Illness-FaceInjuries

Not in rotation (under 3 MPG): Tucker DeVries, Christopher Cenac Jr.

DET

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
John Collins	27.0 ’25	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftAnkleSprain; RightThumbFracture

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive NBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

No algorithm data available for this game.

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Records

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Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/26/26	2026	Celtics	-	home	Bulls	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Celtics	-	home	Knicks	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/20/26	2026	Celtics	-	away	Pistons	-	+2.0	222.5	-	-
05/02/26	2025	Celtics	100	home	76ers	109	-4.0	205.0	+9	209 (+4.0)
04/30/26	2025	Celtics	93	away	76ers	106	-6.5	214.5	+13	199 (-15.5)
04/28/26	2025	Celtics	97	home	76ers	113	-10.5	214.5	+16	210 (-4.5)
04/26/26	2025	Celtics	128	away	76ers	96	-6.5	212.5	-32	224 (+11.5)
04/24/26	2025	Celtics	108	away	76ers	100	-9.5	215.5	-8	208 (-7.5)
04/21/26	2025	Celtics	97	home	76ers	111	-13.5	218.5	+14	208 (-10.5)
04/19/26	2025	Celtics	123	home	76ers	91	-13.0	217.0	-32	214 (-3.0)
04/12/26	2025	Celtics	113	home	Magic	108	+13.0	222.5	-5	221 (-1.5)
04/10/26	2025	Celtics	144	home	Pelicans	118	-18.0	227.5	-26	262 (+34.5)
04/09/26	2025	Celtics	106	away	Knicks	112	+3.5	210.5	+6	218 (+7.5)
Away Games Avg (4 games)			108.8	-	-	103.5	-4.8	213.3	-5.3	212.3 (-1.0)
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.9	-	-	106.4	-6.5	215.8	-4.5	217.3 (+1.5)

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/26	2026	Pistons	-	away	76ers	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/23/26	2026	Pistons	-	away	Heat	-	0.0	-	-	-
10/20/26	2026	Pistons	-	home	Celtics	-	-2.0	222.5	-	-
05/17/26	2025	Pistons	94	home	Cavaliers	125	-4.5	204.5	+31	219 (+14.5)
05/15/26	2025	Pistons	115	away	Cavaliers	94	+3.5	209.5	-21	209 (-0.5)
05/13/26	2025	Pistons	113	home	Cavaliers	117	-4.5	210.5	+4	230 (+19.5)
05/11/26	2025	Pistons	103	away	Cavaliers	112	+3.5	213.0	+9	215 (+2.0)
05/09/26	2025	Pistons	109	away	Cavaliers	116	+5.5	211.5	+7	225 (+13.5)
05/07/26	2025	Pistons	107	home	Cavaliers	97	-5.5	207.5	-10	204 (-3.5)
05/05/26	2025	Pistons	111	home	Cavaliers	101	-3.5	216.5	-10	212 (-4.5)
05/03/26	2025	Pistons	116	home	Magic	94	-8.5	200.5	-22	210 (+9.5)
05/01/26	2025	Pistons	93	away	Magic	79	-3.5	210.5	-14	172 (-38.5)
04/29/26	2025	Pistons	116	home	Magic	109	-11.5	211.0	-7	225 (+14.0)
Home Games Avg (6 games)			109.5	-	-	107.2	-6.3	208.4	-2.3	216.7 (+8.3)
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.7	-	-	104.4	-2.9	209.5	-3.3	212.1 (+2.6)

Notable Trends

No spread or totals records available for this matchup.

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/19/26	2025	Pistons	104	Home	Celtics	103	-2.5	223.5	-1	207
12/15/25	2025	Pistons	112	Away	Celtics	105	+1.5	231.5	-7	217
11/26/25	2025	Pistons	114	Away	Celtics	117	-1.5	233.5	+3	231
10/26/25	2025	Pistons	119	Home	Celtics	113	-2.5	227.0	-6	232
Pistons as Home (2 games)			111.5	-	-	108.0	-2.5	225.3	-3.5	219.5
All Games Avg (4 games)			112.3	-	-	109.5	-1.3	228.9	-2.8	221.8