WNBA Game Matchups & Analysis

6:30 p.m.
Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever

Aces: 32-13 (71.1%) | Market Rating: +5.57

Fever: 28-17 (62.2%) | Market Rating: +4.47

Line: -1.5

Total: 183.5

Open: -1

Open: 182.5

Injury Report as of Sep 28, 7:47 PM ET LVA2 Out IND2 Out2 Questionable

LVA

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Dana Evans	15.3	Out	Evans (knee) is out for Tuesday's Game 2 against the Fever.
NaLyssa Smith	24.3	Out	The Aces announced Thursday that Smith will be sidelined for the rest of the season after suffering a non-contact left leg injury during Sunday's game versus the Tempo, per Chelsea Leite of TSN.

Not in rotation (under 3 MPG): Janiah Barker

IND

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Damiris Dantas	8.2	Out	Knee
Tyasha Harris	13.7	Out	Harris (leg) will miss the rest of the season, WNBA reporter Kareem Copeland reports.
Aliyah Boston	27.4	Questionable	Boston (lower leg) is listed as probable for Game 2 of the first round of the playoffs against the Aces on Tuesday.
Caitlin Clark	31.1	Questionable	Clark (back) is listed as probable for Game 2 of the first round of the playoffs against the Aces on Tuesday.

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes

Aces

Baller System(s)

Tale of Two Dogs

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in season revenge

Baller System(s)

Don't Be Scared to Shoot

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model only runs during the regular season.

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Records

Loading records...

Schedules

Aces Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/29/26	2026	Aces	-	away	Fever	-	+1.5	183.5	-	-
09/27/26	2026	Aces	102	home	Fever	85	-4.0	182.0	-17	187 (+5.0)
09/24/26	2026	Aces	100	away	Mercury	82	-9.5	174.5	-18	182 (+7.5)
09/22/26	2026	Aces	89	home	Sparks	79	-17.0	179.0	-10	168 (-11.0)
09/20/26	2026	Aces	98	home	Storm	77	-17.5	177.0	-21	175 (-2.0)
09/17/26	2026	Aces	114	away	Storm	77	-10.5	175.0	-37	191 (+16.0)
08/28/26	2026	Aces	93	home	Tempo	73	-13.5	173.5	-20	166 (-7.5)
08/23/26	2026	Aces	88	away	Tempo	78	-13.5	181.0	-10	166 (-15.0)
08/20/26	2026	Aces	101	home	Sun	78	-14.5	168.5	-23	179 (+10.5)
08/18/26	2026	Aces	82	home	Dream	97	-3.5	179.5	+15	179 (-0.5)
08/15/26	2026	Aces	87	home	Lynx	92	+2.0	181.5	+5	179 (-2.5)
Away Games Avg (3 games)			100.7	-	-	79.0	-11.2	176.8	-21.7	179.7 (+2.8)
All Games Avg (10 games)			95.4	-	-	81.8	-10.2	177.2	-13.6	177.2 (+0.1)

Fever Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/29/26	2026	Fever	-	home	Aces	-	-1.5	183.5	-	-
09/27/26	2026	Fever	85	away	Aces	102	+4.0	182.0	+17	187 (+5.0)
09/24/26	2026	Fever	66	away	Lynx	86	-4.5	183.5	+20	152 (-31.5)
09/22/26	2026	Fever	96	home	Lynx	77	-3.0	186.0	-19	173 (-13.0)
09/20/26	2026	Fever	77	home	Mystics	93	-6.5	177.5	+16	170 (-7.5)
09/18/26	2026	Fever	103	away	Tempo	85	-15.5	187.0	-18	188 (+1.0)
08/28/26	2026	Fever	111	home	Sun	91	-17.5	177.5	-20	202 (+24.5)
08/23/26	2026	Fever	113	away	Sky	90	-2.0	187.5	-23	203 (+15.5)
08/22/26	2026	Fever	102	away	Liberty	109	+1.5	187.0	+7	211 (+24.0)
08/20/26	2026	Fever	85	away	Wings	91	-3.5	185.0	+6	176 (-9.0)
08/18/26	2026	Fever	101	away	Tempo	95	-10.5	190.5	-6	196 (+5.5)
Home Games Avg (3 games)			94.7	-	-	87.0	-9.0	180.3	-7.7	181.7 (+1.3)
All Games Avg (10 games)			93.9	-	-	91.9	-5.8	184.4	-2.0	185.8 (+1.5)

Notable Trends

The Fever are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Aces are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

View All Records

Fever (Home)

The Fever are 48.9% (22-23) against the spread

The Fever are 54.5% (12-10) against the spread at home

The Fever are 52.9% (18-16) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 55% (11-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 58.7% (27-19) to the over/under

The Fever are 56.5% (13-10) to the over/under at home

The Fever are 54.3% (19-16) to the over/under as a fav

The Fever are 52.4% (11-10) to the over/under as a home fav

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Fever are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Fever are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Fever are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Aces (Away)

The Aces are 54.3% (25-21) against the spread

The Aces are 52.2% (12-11) against the spread away

The Aces are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 40% (2-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 51.1% (24-23) to the over/under

The Aces are 58.3% (14-10) to the over/under away

The Aces are 57.1% (4-3) to the over/under as a dog

The Aces are 66.7% (4-2) to the over/under as an away dog

The Aces are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Aces are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Aces are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Aces are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Aces are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/27/26	2026	Fever	85	Away	Aces	102	+4.0	182.0	+17	187
08/06/26	2026	Fever	84	Home	Aces	86	-0.5	193.0	+2	170
07/12/26	2026	Fever	109	Away	Aces	75	+5.5	181.0	-34	184
07/05/26	2026	Fever	84	Away	Aces	68	+3.0	180.5	-16	152
09/30/25	2025	Fever	98	Away	Aces	107	+8.0	158.5	+9	205
09/28/25	2025	Fever	90	Home	Aces	83	+3.0	161.0	-7	173
09/26/25	2025	Fever	72	Home	Aces	84	+4.5	162.5	+12	156
09/23/25	2025	Fever	68	Away	Aces	90	+9.0	164.0	+22	158
09/21/25	2025	Fever	89	Away	Aces	73	+9.0	165.5	-16	162
07/24/25	2025	Fever	80	Home	Aces	70	+1.5	165.5	-10	150
Fever as Home (4 games)			81.5	-	-	80.8	+2.1	170.5	-0.8	162.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			85.9	-	-	83.8	+4.7	171.4	-2.1	169.7

WNBA Game Matchups & Analysis

6:30 p.m. Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Las Vegas Aces", home_team: "Indiana Fever", game_date: null };

Injury Report as of Sep 28, 7:47 PM ET LVA2 Out IND2 Out2 Questionable

Notes

Aces

Baller System(s)

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Records

Schedules

Aces Schedule

Fever Schedule

Notable Trends

View All Records

Fever (Home)

Aces (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

6:30 p.m.
Las Vegas Aces @ Indiana Fever