NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/27, Final: 31 – 33
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders

Seahawks: 2-0 (100.0%) - NFC West | Market Rating: +2.82

Commanders: 0-2 (0.0%) - NFC East | Market Rating: -0.79 | Home Field: +0.9 pts

Line: +8.5

Total: 40.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 43.5

Team totals: Seahawks 24.5 · Commanders 16.5

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Injury Report as of Sep 27, 11:37 PM ET SEA4 Out WAS6 OutLinebackers: 2 out

Seattle Seahawks

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Anthony Bradford	G · 98%	Out	The Seahawks placed Bradford (knee) on injured reserve Wednesday, John Boyle of the team's official site reports. Updated Sep 23
Julian Love	S · 96%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 25
Zach Charbonnet	RB · 45%	Out	Head coach Mike Macdonald said Friday that Charbonnet (knee) returning to practice next week is potentially "on the table," Corbin Smith of SI.com reports. Updated Sep 18
Ty Okada	S · 43%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 25

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Avery Smith, Brandon Pili, Connor O'Toole, Jalen Milroe, Montorie Foster Jr.

Washington Commanders

Linebackers: 2 starters out (Frankie Luvu, Leo Chenal)

Player	Pos · Snaps	Status	Reason
Nick Cross	S · 100%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 23
Sam Cosmi	G · 98%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 25
Frankie Luvu	LB · 93%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 25
Jayden Daniels	QB · 77%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 23
Chig Okonkwo	TE · 56%	Out	inactive Updated Sep 25
Leo Chenal	LB · 55%	Out	Chenal (neck) won't return to Sunday's game against the Seahawks, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports. Updated Sep 27

Not in rotation (under 40% of snaps, or no snap in the team's last 8 games): Javontae Jean-Baptiste

Snaps his share of the team's offensive or defensive snaps in the games he played, over the team's last 8 games.
Not in rotation under 40% of snaps, or no snap in those games (long-term absences).
a position group with 2+ starters (50%+ of snaps, 40%+ on the D-line) out or doubtful, or 3+ counting questionable.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

West Coast team traveling East

Commanders

Situational Factor(s)

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

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Model Total

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/11/26 2026	Seahawks	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	47.0	-	-
10/04/26 2026	Seahawks	-	vs.	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	43.0	-	-
09/27/26 2026	Seahawks	-	@	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.5	40.5	-	-
09/20/26 2026	Seahawks	31	@	Cardinals	7	397	162	235	1	2	-4.0	41.0	-24	U 38 -3.0
09/09/26 2026	Seahawks	13	vs.	Patriots	10	297	97	200	3	0	-3.0	44.5	-3	U 23 -21.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
02/08/26 2025	Seahawks	29	vs.	Patriots	13	343	141	202	2	0	-4.5	45.5	-16	U 42 -3.5
01/25/26 2025	Seahawks	31	vs.	Rams	27	421	75	346	0	2	-2.5	45.5	-4	O 58 +12.5
01/17/26 2025	Seahawks	41	vs.	49ers	6	299	175	124	1	0	-7.0	44.5	-35	O 47 +2.5
01/03/26 2025	Seahawks	13	@	49ers	3	378	180	198	1	1	-2.5	48.5	-10	U 16 -32.5
12/28/25 2025	Seahawks	27	@	Panthers	10	310	163	147	1	3	-6.5	42.5	-17	U 37 -5.5
12/18/25 2025	Seahawks	38	vs.	Rams	37 OT	441	171	270	0	1	-1.5	42.5	-1	O 75 +32.5
12/14/25 2025	Seahawks	18	vs.	Colts	16	321	50	271	1	1	-13.5	42.5	-2	U 34 -8.5
12/07/25 2025	Seahawks	37	@	Falcons	9	378	129	249	2	2	-7.0	44.5	-28	O 46 +1.5

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		31.0	-	-	7.0	397	162	235	1.0	2.0	-4.0	41.0	-24.0 +20.0	U 38.0 -3.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		22.0	-	-	8.5	347	130	218	2.0	1.0	-3.5	42.8	-13.5 +10.0	U 30.5 -12.3

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/11/26 2026	Commanders	-	vs.	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	41.0	-	-
10/04/26 2026	Commanders	-	vs.	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	46.5	-	-
09/27/26 2026	Commanders	-	vs.	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+8.5	40.5	-	-
09/20/26 2026	Commanders	20	@	Cowboys	37	389	182	207	0	3	+4.0	51.0	+17	O 57 +6.0
09/13/26 2026	Commanders	22	@	Eagles	24	296	132	164	0	1	+6.0	44.0	+2	O 46 +2.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/04/26 2025	Commanders	24	@	Eagles	17	274	143	131	1	3	+3.0	38.5	-7	O 41 +2.5
12/25/25 2025	Commanders	23	vs.	Cowboys	30	336	138	198	0	0	+8.5	50.5	+7	O 53 +2.5
12/20/25 2025	Commanders	18	vs.	Eagles	29	228	90	138	0	1	+7.0	43.5	+11	O 47 +3.5
12/14/25 2025	Commanders	29	@	Giants	21	356	145	211	1	4	+2.5	47.5	-8	O 50 +2.5
12/07/25 2025	Commanders	0	@	Vikings	31	215	107	108	0	1	+1.5	43.5	+31	U 31 -12.5
11/30/25 2025	Commanders	26	vs.	Broncos	27 OT	437	143	294	1	2	+6.0	43.5	+1	O 53 +9.5
11/16/25 2025	Commanders	13	vs.	Dolphins	16 OT	385	172	213	0	1	+2.5	47.5	+3	U 29 -18.5
11/09/25 2025	Commanders	22	vs.	Lions	44	306	93	213	0	0	+8.5	49.5	+22	O 66 +16.5

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		21.0	-	-	30.5	343	157	186	0.0	2.0	+5.0	47.5	+9.5 -4.5	O 51.5 +4.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

Notable trends will be listed here starting Week 4.

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Commanders (Home)

The Commanders are 50% (1-1) against the spread

The Commanders are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Commanders are 100% (2-0) to the over

The Commanders are 100% (2-0) to the over as a dog

The Commanders are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Commanders are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Commanders are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Commanders are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

Seahawks (Away)

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0-1) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0-1) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) to the under

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) to the under away

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) to the under as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/25 2025	Commanders	14	vs.	Seahawks	38	310	157	153	1	1	+2.5	47.5	+24	O 52 +4.5
11/12/23 2023	Commanders	26	@	Seahawks	29	489	120	369	0	0	+6.0	44.0	+3	O 55 +11.0

Commanders as Home (1 games)		14.0	-	-	38.0	310	157	153	1.0	1.0	+2.5	47.5	+24.0 -21.5	O 52.0 +4.5

All Games Avg (2 games)		20.0	-	-	33.5	400	139	261	0.5	0.5	+4.3	45.8	+13.5 -9.3	O 53.5 +7.8

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression. Medium Confidence: 1-0 (100%)	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc. High Confidence: 1-0 (100%)	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression. High Confidence: 1-0 (100%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 9/27, Final: 31 – 33 Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Seattle Seahawks", home_team: "Washington Commanders", game_date: "2026-09-27" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report as of Sep 27, 11:37 PM ET SEA4 Out WAS6 OutLinebackers: 2 out

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Commanders

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Commanders Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Commanders (Home)

Seahawks (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 9/27, Final: 31 – 33
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders