WNBA Game Matchups & Analysis

7:30 p.m.
Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream

Sun: 10-30 (25.0%) | Market Rating: -6.89

Dream: 26-14 (65.0%) | Market Rating: +3.91

Line: -14.5

Total: 169.5

Open: -14.5

Open: 170

Injury Report as of Sep 8, 6:47 PM ET CON5 Out ATL1 Out

CON

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Brittney Griner	25.3	Out	Griner (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Wings.
Leila Lacan	28.2	Out	The Sun announced Sunday that Lacan will join Team France for the FIBA World Cup and miss the Sun's next four games.
Maria Kliundikova	11.3 ’25	Out	Not Injury Related
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	21.1	Out	Nelson-Ododa (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Dallas.
Rayah Marshall	6.8	Out	Marshall (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Dallas.

ATL

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Brionna Jones	16.9	Out	General manager Dan Padover said Friday that Jones (leg) won't return to game action before the FIBA World Cup break, Meghan L. Hall of USA Today reports.

MPG = this season's average. ’25 = last season's average (player hasn't appeared yet this season). Players under 3 MPG in both seasons are listed under “Not in rotation.”

Notes

No active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model only runs during the regular season.

Team Comparison Stats Loading...

Loading team comparison stats...

Records

Loading records...

Schedules

Sun Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/22/26	2026	Sun	-	away	Mystics	-	0.0	-	-	-
09/20/26	2026	Sun	-	home	Lynx	-	0.0	-	-	-
09/17/26	2026	Sun	-	away	Dream	-	+14.5	169.5	-	-
08/30/26	2026	Sun	71	away	Wings	97	+15.5	165.5	+26	168 (+2.5)
08/28/26	2026	Sun	91	away	Fever	111	+17.5	177.5	+20	202 (+24.5)
08/26/26	2026	Sun	64	home	Valkyries	89	+14.5	153.5	+25	153 (-0.5)
08/25/26	2026	Sun	87	home	Sky	81	+7.5	171.0	-6	168 (-3.0)
08/22/26	2026	Sun	68	away	Sparks	77	+5.5	171.0	+9	145 (-26.0)
08/20/26	2026	Sun	78	away	Aces	101	+14.5	168.5	+23	179 (+10.5)
08/18/26	2026	Sun	85	home	Sparks	77	+2.0	170.0	-8	162 (-8.0)
08/15/26	2026	Sun	75	home	Liberty	82	+8.0	171.0	+7	157 (-14.0)
08/13/26	2026	Sun	69	home	Dream	104	+10.0	173.5	+35	173 (-0.5)
08/07/26	2026	Sun	75	home	Mercury	72	+5.5	173.5	-3	147 (-26.5)
Away Games Avg (4 games)			77.0	-	-	96.5	+13.3	170.6	+19.5	173.5 (+2.9)
All Games Avg (10 games)			76.3	-	-	89.1	+10.1	169.5	+12.8	165.4 (-4.1)

Dream Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/21/26	2026	Dream	-	away	Liberty	-	0.0	-	-	-
09/19/26	2026	Dream	-	home	Sky	-	0.0	-	-	-
09/17/26	2026	Dream	-	home	Sun	-	-14.5	169.5	-	-
08/30/26	2026	Dream	89	home	Lynx	81	+2.5	177.0	-8	170 (-7.0)
08/28/26	2026	Dream	83	home	Fire	101	-13.0	178.5	+18	184 (+5.5)
08/24/26	2026	Dream	78	away	Sparks	71	-10.5	182.0	-7	149 (-33.0)
08/22/26	2026	Dream	99	away	Mercury	89	-8.5	176.5	-10	188 (+11.5)
08/20/26	2026	Dream	124	away	Sparks	88	-9.5	181.0	-36	212 (+31.0)
08/18/26	2026	Dream	97	away	Aces	82	+3.5	179.5	-15	179 (-0.5)
08/16/26	2026	Dream	91	home	Fever	95	-1.5	188.0	+4	186 (-2.0)
08/13/26	2026	Dream	104	away	Sun	69	-10.0	173.5	-35	173 (-0.5)
08/10/26	2026	Dream	107	home	Tempo	95	-15.0	187.5	-12	202 (+14.5)
08/07/26	2026	Dream	74	away	Mystics	79	-5.5	171.0	+5	153 (-18.0)
Home Games Avg (4 games)			92.5	-	-	93.0	-6.8	182.8	+0.5	185.5 (+2.8)
All Games Avg (10 games)			94.6	-	-	85.0	-6.8	179.5	-9.6	179.6 (+0.2)

Notable Trends

The Dream are 27.8% (5-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 72.2% (13-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Dream are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 30% (6-14) against the spread away

The Sun are 30% (6-14) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Sun are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Dream (Home)

The Dream are 40% (16-24) against the spread

The Dream are 35% (7-13) against the spread at home

The Dream are 36.1% (13-23) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 27.8% (5-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 52.5% (21-19) to the over/under

The Dream are 65% (13-7) to the over/under at home

The Dream are 58.3% (21-15) to the over/under as a fav

The Dream are 72.2% (13-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Dream are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Dream are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Dream are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Dream are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Dream are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Dream are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 45% (18-22) against the spread

The Sun are 30% (6-14) against the spread away

The Sun are 47.2% (17-19) against the spread as a dog

The Sun are 30% (6-14) against the spread as an away dog

The Sun are 47.5% (19-21) to the over/under

The Sun are 65% (13-7) to the over/under away

The Sun are 41.7% (15-21) to the over/under as a dog

The Sun are 65% (13-7) to the over/under as an away dog

The Sun are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread