WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 92 – 93
Chicago Sky @ Dallas Wings

Sky: 4-10 (28.6%) | Market Rating: -3.39

Wings: 9-6 (60.0%) | Market Rating: -0.16 | Home Court: +2.3 pts

Line: -10.5

Total: 174.5

Team totals: Sky 81.5 · Wings 92.5

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Injury Report as of Jun 20, 11:47 PM ET CHI3 Out1 Questionable DAL1 Out2 Questionable

Chicago Sky

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Courtney Vandersloot	22.4	Out	Vandersloot (knee) does not have a timetable to return to the court. Updated May 17 or earlier
DiJonai Carrington	16.2	Out	Carrington (foot) remains without a timetable to return. Updated May 17 or earlier
Rickea Jackson	29.5	Out	The Sky announced Tuesday that Jackson will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a torn ACL in her left knee during Sunday's 86-79 win over the Lynx. Updated May 19
Aicha Coulibaly	13.6	Questionable	day-to-day Updated Jun 20

Not in rotation / low minutes: Ajsa Sivka

Dallas Wings

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Odyssey Sims	14.2	Out	Sims (ankle) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Fire. Updated Jun 10
Alanna Smith	17.9	Questionable	Smith won't return to Saturday's game against the Sky due to a facial injury, and she'll finish with three points (1-1 FG, 1-1 3Pt) and two steals in five minutes. Updated Jun 19
Alysha Clark	12.6	Questionable	day-to-day Updated Jun 19

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in season revenge

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Don't Be Scared to Shoot

Wings

Situational Factor(s)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Delayed Overtime Fade

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/24/26 2026	Sky	-	vs.	Fire	-	-3.5	172.0	-	-
06/22/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Sun	-	-3.5	169.5	-	-
06/20/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Wings	-	+10.5	174.5	-	-
06/17/26	Sky	95	vs.	Liberty	96	+10.0	169.5	+1	O 191 +21.5
2026	ORtg: 122.5 DRtg: 123.8 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 123.8 DRtg: 122.5 Pace: 77.6
06/11/26	Sky	106	@	Fever	114 OT	+9.0	172.5	+8	O 220 +47.5
2026	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 124.4 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 124.4 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 81.4
06/09/26	Sky	75	vs.	Dream	82	+9.5	165.5	+7	U 157 -8.5
2026	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 75.4
06/07/26	Sky	68	@	Tempo	85	+3.5	175.5	+17	U 153 -22.5
2026	ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 83.4			ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 83.4
06/05/26	Sky	85	vs.	Sun	80	-6.0	164.5	-5	O 165 +0.5
2026	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 102.2 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 102.2 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 78.2
06/02/26	Sky	72	@	Mystics	90	-1.5	161.0	+18	O 162 +1.0
2026	ORtg: 86.6 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 86.6 Pace: 83.2
05/29/26	Sky	58	vs.	Lynx	79	+4.5	172.5	+21	U 137 -35.5
2026	ORtg: 68.8 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 68.8 Pace: 84.3
05/27/26	Sky	104	vs.	Tempo	111	-4.5	172.5	+7	O 215 +42.5
2026	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 134.5 Pace: 82.5			ORtg: 134.5 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 82.5
05/23/26	Sky	75	vs.	Lynx	85	+1.5	169.0	+10	U 160 -9.0
2026	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 86.2			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 86.2
05/20/26	Sky	89	vs.	Wings	99	+2.5	169.0	+10	O 188 +19.0
2026	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 78.7

Away Games Avg (3 games)		82.0	-	-	96.3	+3.7	169.7	+14.3 -10.7	O 178.3 +8.7
	ORtg: 94.6 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 94.6 Pace: 82.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		82.7	-	-	92.1	+2.9	169.2	+9.4 -6.6	O 174.8 +5.7
	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 112.2 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 112.2 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 81.1

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/25/26 2026	Wings	-	@	Aces	-	+5.5	178.0	-	-
06/22/26 2026	Wings	-	@	Storm	-	-9.5	170.5	-	-
06/20/26 2026	Wings	-	vs.	Sky	-	-10.5	174.5	-	-
06/17/26	Wings	80	@	Valkyries	91	+3.0	164.5	+11	O 171 +6.5
2026	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 119.1 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 119.1 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 76.4
06/15/26	Wings	96	vs.	Aces	66	+3.0	177.5	-30	U 162 -15.5
2026	ORtg: 124.1 DRtg: 85.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 85.3 DRtg: 124.1 Pace: 77.3
06/13/26	Wings	83	@	Fire	84	-3.5	167.0	+1	P 167 0.0
2026	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 79.4
06/11/26	Wings	85	vs.	Mercury	70	-6.5	169.0	-15	U 155 -14.0
2026	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 86.9 Pace: 80.5			ORtg: 86.9 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 80.5
06/09/26	Wings	76	@	Lynx	100	+4.5	171.5	+24	O 176 +4.5
2026	ORtg: 91.4 DRtg: 120.2 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 120.2 DRtg: 91.4 Pace: 83.2
06/05/26	Wings	104	@	Sparks	96	-2.5	178.5	-8	O 200 +21.5
2026	ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 116.5 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 116.5 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 82.4
06/01/26	Wings	79	vs.	Storm	56	-13.0	166.5	-23	U 135 -31.5
2026	ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 72.2 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 72.2 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 77.6
05/28/26	Wings	95	vs.	Aces	87	+5.5	176.0	-8	O 182 +6.0
2026	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 79.3
05/24/26	Wings	91	@	Liberty	76	+6.0	180.0	-15	U 167 -13.0
2026	ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 73.7
05/22/26	Wings	69	@	Dream	86	+5.5	173.5	+17	U 155 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 78.8

Home Games Avg (4 games)		88.8	-	-	69.8	-2.8	172.3	-19.0 +16.3	U 158.5 -13.8
	ORtg: 112.8 DRtg: 88.5 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 88.5 DRtg: 112.8 Pace: 78.7

All Games Avg (10 games)		85.8	-	-	81.2	+0.2	172.4	-4.6 +4.8	U 167.0 -5.4
	ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 78.9

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Wings are 75% (6-2) to the under at home

The Wings are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over away

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Wings (Home)

The Wings are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread

The Wings are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread at home

The Wings are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 53.3% (8-7-1) to the under

The Wings are 75% (6-2) to the under at home

The Wings are 57.1% (4-3-1) to the under as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) to the under as a home fav

The Wings are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 50% (5-5-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Wings are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread

The Sky are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread away

The Sky are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 60% (9-6) to the over

The Sky are 62.5% (5-3) to the over away

The Sky are 54.5% (6-5) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 50% (3-3) to the over as an away dog

The Sky are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sky are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/20/26	Wings	99	@	Sky	89	-2.5	169.0	-10	O 188 +19.0
2026	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 78.7
07/09/25	Wings	76	@	Sky	87	0.0	166.5	+11	U 163 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 75.3
05/31/25	Wings	83	vs.	Sky	94	-2.5	171.5	+11	O 177 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 81.0
05/29/25	Wings	92	@	Sky	97	-1.0	172.5	+5	O 189 +16.5
2025	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 80.8			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 80.8

Wings as Home (1 games)		83.0	-	-	94.0	-2.5	171.5	+11.0 -13.5	O 177.0 +5.5
	ORtg: 102.4 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 102.4 Pace: 81.0

All Games Avg (4 games)		87.5	-	-	91.8	-1.5	169.9	+4.3 -5.8	O 179.3 +9.4
	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 116.2 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 116.2 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 79.0

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors. High Confidence: 4-4 (50%)	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 5-8 (38.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression. High Confidence: 4-9 (30.8%)	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate High Confidence: 16-18 (47.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics. Medium Confidence: 2-1 (66.7%)	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate Medium Confidence: 6-7 (46.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 92 – 93 Chicago Sky @ Dallas Wings window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Chicago Sky", home_team: "Dallas Wings", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of Jun 20, 11:47 PM ET CHI3 Out1 Questionable DAL1 Out2 Questionable

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Wings

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Wings (Home)

Sky (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 92 – 93
Chicago Sky @ Dallas Wings