WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 72 – 90
Chicago Sky @ Washington Mystics

Sky: 3-5 (37.5%) | Market Rating: -2.66

Mystics: 3-4 (42.9%) | Market Rating: -1.24 | Home Court: +1.5 pts

Line: +1.5

Total: 161.0

Team totals: Sky 81.5 · Mystics 80.5

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Games
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Injury Report as of Jun 2, 11:47 PM ET CHI5 Out1 Questionable WAS1 Questionable

Chicago Sky

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Courtney Vandersloot	22.4	Out	Vandersloot (knee) does not have a timetable to return to the court. Updated May 17 or earlier
DiJonai Carrington	16.2	Out	Carrington (foot) remains without a timetable to return. Updated May 17 or earlier
Gabriela Jaquez	19.5	Out	Jaquez (knee) is out for Tuesday's game against the Mystics. Updated Jun 1
Maddy Westbeld	12.0	Out	Westbeld (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Mystics. Updated Jun 2
Rickea Jackson	29.5	Out	The Sky announced Tuesday that Jackson will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a torn ACL in her left knee during Sunday's 86-79 win over the Lynx. Updated May 19
Aicha Coulibaly	13.6	Questionable	day-to-day Updated Jun 2

Not in rotation / low minutes: Ajsa Sivka

Washington Mystics

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Sonia Citron	33.2	Questionable	day-to-day Updated Jun 2

Not in rotation / low minutes: Darianna Littlepage-Buggs

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Brick House Unders

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Sky

55.63% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/07/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Tempo	-	+3.5	175.5	-	-
06/05/26 2026	Sky	-	vs.	Sun	-	-6.0	164.5	-	-
06/02/26 2026	Sky	-	@	Mystics	-	-1.5	161.0	-	-
05/29/26	Sky	58	vs.	Lynx	79	+4.5	172.5	+21	U 137 -35.5
2026	ORtg: 68.8 DRtg: 93.7 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 93.7 DRtg: 68.8 Pace: 84.3
05/27/26	Sky	104	vs.	Tempo	111	-4.5	172.5	+7	O 215 +42.5
2026	ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 134.5 Pace: 82.5			ORtg: 134.5 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 82.5
05/23/26	Sky	75	vs.	Lynx	85	+1.5	169.0	+10	U 160 -9.0
2026	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 86.2			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 86.2
05/20/26	Sky	89	vs.	Wings	99	+2.5	169.0	+10	O 188 +19.0
2026	ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 78.7
05/17/26	Sky	86	@	Lynx	79	+5.5	166.5	-7	U 165 -1.5
2026	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 82.3
05/15/26	Sky	83	@	Mercury	91	+3.5	165.5	+8	O 174 +8.5
2026	ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 111.8 Pace: 81.4			ORtg: 111.8 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 81.4
05/13/26	Sky	69	@	Valkyries	63	+5.5	166.5	-6	U 132 -34.5
2026	ORtg: 92.2 DRtg: 84.2 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 84.2 DRtg: 92.2 Pace: 74.8
05/09/26	Sky	98	@	Fire	83	-5.5	163.0	-15	O 181 +18.0
2026	ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 79.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/11/25	Sky	86	vs.	Liberty	91	+13.5	157.0	+5	O 177 +20.0
2025	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 75.3
09/09/25	Sky	61	@	Aces	92	+17.0	159.5	+31	U 153 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 134.2 Pace: 68.5			ORtg: 134.2 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 68.5

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		84.0	-	-	79.0	+2.3	165.4	-5.0 +7.3	U 163.0 -2.4
	ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 99.0 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 99.0 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 79.6

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		82.8	-	-	86.3	+1.6	168.1	+3.5 -1.9	O 169.0 +0.9
	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 106.1 Pace: 81.3			ORtg: 106.1 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 81.3

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/08/26 2026	Mystics	-	vs.	Fever	-	+5.5	171.0	-	-
06/06/26 2026	Mystics	-	@	Dream	-	+9.5	160.0	-	-
06/02/26 2026	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	+1.5	161.0	-	-
05/29/26	Mystics	87	vs.	Sparks	92	-2.5	165.0	+5	O 179 +14.0
2026	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 80.4			ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 80.4
05/27/26	Mystics	78	@	Storm	64	-3.5	160.5	-14	U 142 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 68.0			ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 68.0
05/24/26	Mystics	85	@	Storm	97	-4.5	157.5	+12	O 182 +24.5
2026	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 80.2
05/18/26	Mystics	69	@	Wings	92	+3.5	171.0	+23	U 161 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 127.6 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 127.6 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 72.1
05/15/26	Mystics	104	@	Fever	102 OT	+9.0	171.0	-2	O 206 +35.0
2026	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 84.2			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 84.2
05/10/26	Mystics	93	vs.	Liberty	98 OT	+5.0	165.5	+5	O 191 +25.5
2026	ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.6
05/08/26	Mystics	68	@	Tempo	65	+1.0	161.0	-3	U 133 -28.0
2026	ORtg: 83.1 DRtg: 79.5 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 79.5 DRtg: 83.1 Pace: 81.8
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/09/25	Mystics	66	@	Liberty	75	+14.5	157.5	+9	U 141 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 74.1
09/07/25	Mystics	65	vs.	Fever	94	+6.0	162.5	+29	U 159 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 74.2
09/04/25	Mystics	69	vs.	Mercury	75	+9.5	158.5	+6	U 144 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 75.1

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		90.0	-	-	95.0	+1.3	165.3	+5.0 -3.8	O 185.0 +19.8
	ORtg: 109.1 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 109.1 Pace: 78.5

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		83.4	-	-	87.1	+1.1	164.5	+3.7 -2.6	O 170.6 +6.1
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 108.9 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 108.9 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 77.6

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 50% (1-1-1) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (1-0-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) to the over at home

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home dog

The Mystics are 57.1% (4-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 75% (3-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (1-0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Mystics are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread

The Sky are 60% (3-2) against the spread away

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Sky are 55.6% (5-4) to the over

The Sky are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Sky are 100% (3-0) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 100% (2-0) to the over as an away fav

The Sky are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sky are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sky are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sky are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sky are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/05/25	Mystics	64	@	Sky	78	-5.5	156.0	+14	U 142 -14.0
2025	ORtg: 86.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 86.4 Pace: 74.1
07/29/25	Mystics	103	vs.	Sky	86	-7.5	156.5	-17	O 189 +32.5
2025	ORtg: 129.7 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 129.7 Pace: 79.4
07/08/25	Mystics	81	vs.	Sky	79	-7.0	159.5	-2	O 160 +0.5
2025	ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 97.5 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 97.5 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 81.0
06/17/25	Mystics	79	@	Sky	72	-4.5	155.5	-7	U 151 -4.5
2025	ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 76.7

Mystics as Home (2 games)		92.0	-	-	82.5	-7.3	158.0	-9.5 +2.3	O 174.5 +16.5
	ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 80.2

All Games Avg (4 games)		81.8	-	-	78.8	-6.1	156.9	-3.0 -3.1	O 160.5 +3.6
	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 77.8

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors. High Confidence: 3-2 (60%)	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 0-4 (0%)	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression. High Confidence: 1-4 (20%)	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate High Confidence: 4-6 (40%)	Sky (2x)
Cover Summary	Sky
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics. Medium Confidence: 2-1 (66.7%)	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate Medium Confidence: 2-6 (25%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Sky \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 72 – 90 Chicago Sky @ Washington Mystics window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Chicago Sky", home_team: "Washington Mystics", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of Jun 2, 11:47 PM ET CHI5 Out1 Questionable WAS1 Questionable

Notes

Sky

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Mystics (Home)

Sky (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 72 – 90
Chicago Sky @ Washington Mystics