WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 56 – 79
Seattle Storm @ Dallas Wings

Storm: 3-6 (33.3%) | Market Rating: -1.03

Wings: 5-3 (62.5%) | Market Rating: -1.27 | Home Court: +2.0 pts

Line: -13.0

Total: 166.5

Team totals: Storm 76.5 · Wings 90.5

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Injury Report as of Jun 1, 11:47 PM ET SEA2 Out DAL1 Out

Seattle Storm

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Dominique Malonga	26.4	Out	Malonga (concussion) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Wings. Updated May 19
Ezi Magbegor	20.4	Out	The Storm announced Monday that Magbegor is expected to miss at least 6-8 weeks due to a right foot injury, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports. Updated May 17 or earlier

Not in rotation / low minutes: Taina Mair, Taylor Thierry

Dallas Wings

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Awak Kuier	19.2	Out	Kuier will be re-evaluated in a week due to a right wrist injury, Melissa Triebwasser of The IX Sports reports. Updated May 31

Not in rotation / low minutes: Dulcy Fankam Mendjiadeu, Costanza Verona

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Rest disadvantage

Baller System(s)

Tale of Two Dogs

Complacent Offense at Home

Wings

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Fading Away

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Storm

58.75% probability

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/06/26 2026	Storm	-	@	Lynx	-	+13.5	162.5	-	-
06/03/26 2026	Storm	-	vs.	Mercury	-	+7.5	160.5	-	-
06/01/26 2026	Storm	-	@	Wings	-	+13.0	166.5	-	-
05/30/26	Storm	72	@	Tempo	93	+6.5	171.5	+21	U 165 -6.5
2026	ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 119.0 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 119.0 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 78.2
05/27/26	Storm	64	vs.	Mystics	78	+3.5	160.5	+14	U 142 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 68.0			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 68.0
05/24/26	Storm	97	vs.	Mystics	85	+4.5	157.5	-12	O 182 +24.5
2026	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 80.2
05/22/26	Storm	77	vs.	Sun	59	-1.5	165.5	-18	U 136 -29.5
2026	ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 80.6 Pace: 73.2			ORtg: 80.6 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 73.2
05/20/26	Storm	78	vs.	Sun	80	-1.0	168.5	+2	U 158 -10.5
2026	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 77.9
05/17/26	Storm	78	@	Fever	89	+11.5	177.0	+11	U 167 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 84.3
05/13/26	Storm	73	@	Tempo	86	+2.5	167.5	+13	U 159 -8.5
2026	ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 78.6
05/10/26	Storm	89	@	Sun	82	+1.5	164.0	-7	O 171 +7.0
2026	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 82.9
05/08/26	Storm	80	vs.	Valkyries	91	+5.5	156.5	+11	O 171 +14.5
2026	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 75.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/18/25	Storm	73	@	Aces	74	+8.5	159.5	+1	U 147 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 76.1

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		78.0	-	-	87.5	+5.5	170.0	+9.5 -4.0	U 165.5 -4.5
	ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 81.0

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		78.7	-	-	82.6	+3.7	165.4	+3.9 -0.2	U 161.2 -4.2
	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 77.6

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/09/26 2026	Wings	-	@	Lynx	-	+4.5	171.5	-	-
06/05/26 2026	Wings	-	@	Sparks	-	-2.5	178.5	-	-
06/01/26 2026	Wings	-	vs.	Storm	-	-13.0	166.5	-	-
05/28/26	Wings	95	vs.	Aces	87	+5.5	176.0	-8	O 182 +6.0
2026	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 79.3
05/24/26	Wings	91	@	Liberty	76	+6.0	180.0	-15	U 167 -13.0
2026	ORtg: 123.5 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 73.7			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 123.5 Pace: 73.7
05/22/26	Wings	69	@	Dream	86	+5.5	173.5	+17	U 155 -18.5
2026	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 78.8
05/20/26	Wings	99	@	Sky	89	-2.5	169.0	-10	O 188 +19.0
2026	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 78.7
05/18/26	Wings	92	vs.	Mystics	69	-3.5	171.0	-23	U 161 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 127.6 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 127.6 Pace: 72.1
05/14/26	Wings	86	vs.	Lynx	90	-4.0	178.5	+4	U 176 -2.5
2026	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 118.9 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 118.9 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 75.7
05/12/26	Wings	72	vs.	Dream	77	+1.5	180.0	+5	U 149 -31.0
2026	ORtg: 96.2 DRtg: 102.9 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 102.9 DRtg: 96.2 Pace: 74.8
05/09/26	Wings	107	@	Fever	104	+5.5	179.0	-3	O 211 +32.0
2026	ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 88.7			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 88.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/11/25	Wings	97	vs.	Mercury	76	+5.5	167.5	-21	O 173 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 125.6 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 125.6 Pace: 77.2
09/07/25	Wings	77	@	Sparks	91	+9.5	181.5	+14	U 168 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 84.8

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		86.3	-	-	80.8	-0.1	176.4	-5.5 +5.4	U 167.0 -9.4
	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 75.5

All Games Avg (8 games this season)		88.9	-	-	84.8	+1.8	175.9	-4.1 +5.9	U 173.6 -2.3
	ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 108.7 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 108.7 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 77.7

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Wings are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Wings are 75% (3-1) to the under as a fav

The Wings are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Wings are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Storm are 70% (7-3) to the under

The Storm are 80% (4-1) to the under away

The Storm are 80% (4-1) to the under as an away dog

The Storm are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

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Wings (Home)

The Wings are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread

The Wings are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Wings are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 66.7% (6-3) to the under

The Wings are 80% (4-1) to the under at home

The Wings are 75% (3-1) to the under as a fav

The Wings are 100% (3-0) to the under as a home fav

The Wings are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Wings are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Wings are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Wings are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Storm (Away)

The Storm are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Storm are 40% (2-3) against the spread away

The Storm are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 40% (2-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Storm are 70% (7-3) to the under

The Storm are 80% (4-1) to the under away

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) to the under as a dog

The Storm are 80% (4-1) to the under as an away dog

The Storm are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Storm are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Storm are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under away

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Storm are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/22/25	Wings	60	vs.	Storm	95	+8.0	169.5	+35	U 155 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 75.6 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 75.6 Pace: 79.3
07/22/25	Wings	87	@	Storm	63	+9.0	164.5	-24	U 150 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 82.4			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 82.4
06/03/25	Wings	77	@	Storm	83	+10.5	166.0	+6	U 160 -6.0
2025	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 82.7
05/19/25	Wings	71	vs.	Storm	79	+3.5	166.0	+8	U 150 -16.0
2025	ORtg: 88.6 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 88.6 Pace: 80.1

Wings as Home (2 games)		65.5	-	-	87.0	+5.8	167.8	+21.5 -15.8	U 152.5 -15.3
	ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 79.7

All Games Avg (4 games)		73.8	-	-	80.0	+7.8	166.5	+6.3 +1.5	U 153.8 -12.8
	ORtg: 90.7 DRtg: 98.8 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 98.8 DRtg: 90.7 Pace: 81.1

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors. High Confidence: 3-2 (60%)	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 0-3 (0%)	Storm (2x)
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression. High Confidence: 1-3 (25%)	Storm (2x)
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate High Confidence: 4-6 (40%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	Storm
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics. Medium Confidence: 2-1 (66.7%)	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate Medium Confidence: 2-6 (25%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Storm \| No Total Edge

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 56 – 79 Seattle Storm @ Dallas Wings window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Seattle Storm", home_team: "Dallas Wings", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of Jun 1, 11:47 PM ET SEA2 Out DAL1 Out

Notes

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Wings

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Wings (Home)

Storm (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 56 – 79
Seattle Storm @ Dallas Wings