WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 64
Washington Mystics @ Seattle Storm

Mystics: 2-3 (40.0%) | Market Rating: -1.35

Storm: 3-4 (42.9%) | Market Rating: -0.96 | Home Court: 0.0 pts

Line: +3.5

Total: 160.5

Team totals: Mystics 81.5 · Storm 78.5

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Games
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Injury Report as of May 27, 11:47 PM ET WASClean SEA2 Out

Washington Mystics

No injuries listed.

Seattle Storm

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Dominique Malonga	26.4	Out	Malonga (concussion) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mystics. Updated May 19
Ezi Magbegor	20.4	Out	The Storm announced Monday that Magbegor is expected to miss at least 6-8 weeks due to a right foot injury, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports. Updated May 17 or earlier

Not in rotation / low minutes: Taina Mair, Taylor Thierry

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Travel fatigue, at least fourth straight game on the road

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Double digit, in season revenge

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Bounceback Road Favorite

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Fading Away

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Mystics

55.63% probability

Model Total

Under

55.63% probability

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/02/26 2026	Mystics	-	vs.	Sky	-	+1.5	161.0	-	-
05/29/26 2026	Mystics	-	vs.	Sparks	-	-2.5	165.0	-	-
05/27/26 2026	Mystics	-	@	Storm	-	-3.5	160.5	-	-
05/24/26	Mystics	85	@	Storm	97	-4.5	157.5	+12	O 182 +24.5
2026	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 80.2
05/18/26	Mystics	69	@	Wings	92	+3.5	171.0	+23	U 161 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 127.6 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 127.6 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 72.1
05/15/26	Mystics	104	@	Fever	102 OT	+9.0	171.0	-2	O 206 +35.0
2026	ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 84.2			ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 84.2
05/10/26	Mystics	93	vs.	Liberty	98 OT	+5.0	165.5	+5	O 191 +25.5
2026	ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.6
05/08/26	Mystics	68	@	Tempo	65	+1.0	161.0	-3	U 133 -28.0
2026	ORtg: 83.1 DRtg: 79.5 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 79.5 DRtg: 83.1 Pace: 81.8
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/09/25	Mystics	66	@	Liberty	75	+14.5	157.5	+9	U 141 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 74.1
09/07/25	Mystics	65	vs.	Fever	94	+6.0	162.5	+29	U 159 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 126.6 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 126.6 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 74.2
09/04/25	Mystics	69	vs.	Mercury	75	+9.5	158.5	+6	U 144 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 99.9 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 99.9 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 75.1
08/31/25	Mystics	78	@	Sparks	81	+9.0	168.5	+3	U 159 -9.5
2025	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 81.0
08/30/25	Mystics	62	@	Valkyries	99	+4.5	148.0	+37	O 161 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 79.6 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 79.6 Pace: 77.9

Away Games Avg (4 games this season)		81.5	-	-	89.0	+2.3	165.1	+7.5 -5.3	O 170.5 +5.4
	ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 79.6			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 79.6

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		83.8	-	-	90.8	+2.8	165.2	+7.0 -4.2	O 174.6 +9.4
	ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 79.0			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 79.0

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/01/26 2026	Storm	-	@	Wings	-	+13.0	166.5	-	-
05/30/26 2026	Storm	-	@	Tempo	-	+6.5	171.5	-	-
05/27/26 2026	Storm	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+3.5	160.5	-	-
05/24/26	Storm	97	vs.	Mystics	85	+4.5	157.5	-12	O 182 +24.5
2026	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 80.2
05/22/26	Storm	77	vs.	Sun	59	-1.5	165.5	-18	U 136 -29.5
2026	ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 80.6 Pace: 73.2			ORtg: 80.6 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 73.2
05/20/26	Storm	78	vs.	Sun	80	-1.0	168.5	+2	U 158 -10.5
2026	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 77.9
05/17/26	Storm	78	@	Fever	89	+11.5	177.0	+11	U 167 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 84.3
05/13/26	Storm	73	@	Tempo	86	+2.5	167.5	+13	U 159 -8.5
2026	ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 78.6			ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 78.6
05/10/26	Storm	89	@	Sun	82	+1.5	164.0	-7	O 171 +7.0
2026	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 98.9 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 98.9 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 82.9
05/08/26	Storm	80	vs.	Valkyries	91	+5.5	156.5	+11	O 171 +14.5
2026	ORtg: 106.4 DRtg: 121.1 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 121.1 DRtg: 106.4 Pace: 75.2
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/18/25	Storm	73	@	Aces	74	+8.5	159.5	+1	U 147 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 76.1
09/16/25	Storm	86	vs.	Aces	83	+5.0	162.0	-3	O 169 +7.0
2025	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 74.3
09/14/25	Storm	77	@	Aces	102	+6.0	161.5	+25	O 179 +17.5
2025	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 131.5 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 131.5 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 77.6

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		83.0	-	-	78.8	+1.9	162.0	-4.3 +6.1	U 161.8 -0.3
	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 76.6

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		81.7	-	-	81.7	+3.3	165.2	0.0 +3.3	U 163.4 -1.8
	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 78.9

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 50% (4-4) against the spread

The Storm are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Storm are 50% (3-3) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) to the under

The Storm are 60% (3-2) to the under at home

The Storm are 50% (3-3) to the over as a dog

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a home dog

The Storm are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Storm are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the under

The Storm are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Storm are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Storm are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 60% (3-2-1) against the spread

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) against the spread away

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) to the over

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) to the under away

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away fav

The Mystics are 60% (3-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Mystics are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under away

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/24/26	Storm	97	vs.	Mystics	85	+4.5	157.5	-12	O 182 +24.5
2026	ORtg: 121.0 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 80.2			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 121.0 Pace: 80.2
08/24/25	Storm	84	@	Mystics	82	-8.5	157.0	-2	O 166 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 80.3
07/26/25	Storm	58	@	Mystics	69	-4.0	155.5	+11	U 127 -28.5
2025	ORtg: 75.5 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 75.5 Pace: 76.8
07/13/25	Storm	69	vs.	Mystics	74	-7.0	156.5	+5	U 143 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 90.2 DRtg: 96.7 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 96.7 DRtg: 90.2 Pace: 76.5

Storm as Home (2 games)		83.0	-	-	79.5	-1.3	157.0	-3.5 +2.3	O 162.5 +5.5
	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 78.3

All Games Avg (4 games)		77.0	-	-	77.5	-3.8	156.6	+0.5 -4.3	U 154.5 -2.1
	ORtg: 97.8 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 78.4			ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 97.8 Pace: 78.4

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors. High Confidence: 1-1 (50%)	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 0-1 (0%)	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression. High Confidence: 1-1 (50%)	Neutral
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate High Confidence: 2-2 (50%)	Mystics (2x)
Cover Summary	Mystics
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics. Medium Confidence: 2-1 (66.7%)	Neutral
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate Medium Confidence: 1-2 (33.3%)	Under
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	Mystics \| Under

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 64 Washington Mystics @ Seattle Storm window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Washington Mystics", home_team: "Seattle Storm", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of May 27, 11:47 PM ET WASClean SEA2 Out

Notes

Mystics

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Storm

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Storm (Home)

Mystics (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 78 – 64
Washington Mystics @ Seattle Storm