WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 73 – 90
Portland Fire @ Indiana Fever

Fire: 2-2 (50.0%) | Market Rating: -1.56

Fever: 2-2 (50.0%) | Market Rating: +1.71 | Home Court: +2.5 pts

Line: -10.0

Total: 175.5

Team totals: Fire 82.5 · Fever 92.5

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Injury Report as of May 20, 11:47 PM ET PDX3 Out IND1 Out

Portland Fire

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Kamiah Smalls	15.1	Out	Smalls (ankle) is out for Wednesday's game against the Fever. Updated May 20
Karlie Samuelson	16.0	Out	Samuelson (foot) is out for Wednesday's game against the Fever. Updated May 17 or earlier
Teja Oblak	13.4	Out	out Updated May 17 or earlier

Not in rotation / low minutes: Iyana Martin, Nika Muhl

Indiana Fever

Player	MPG	Status	Reason
Caitlin Clark	31.4	Out	Clark has been ruled out for Wednesday's game versus the Fire due to a back issue. Updated May 20

MPG this season's minutes per game.
’25 last season's average: he hasn't appeared yet this season.
Not in rotation / low minutes under 10 MPG in both seasons.
Updated the first report with his current status, looking back 120 days at most. “Or earlier” means it reaches the oldest report we have.

Notes

Fire

Situational Factor(s)

Rest disadvantage

Baller System(s)

Delayed Overtime Fade

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

Fire

55.63% probability

Model Total

Under

55.63% probability

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fire Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/25/26 2026	Fire	-	@	Liberty	-	+11.5	174.0	-	-
05/23/26 2026	Fire	-	@	Tempo	-	+5.0	173.5	-	-
05/20/26 2026	Fire	-	@	Fever	-	+10.0	175.5	-	-
05/18/26	Fire	83	vs.	Sun	82	-4.0	173.5	-1	U 165 -8.5
2026	ORtg: 106.7 DRtg: 105.4 Pace: 77.8			ORtg: 105.4 DRtg: 106.7 Pace: 77.8
05/14/26	Fire	82	vs.	Liberty	100	+11.5	176.0	+18	O 182 +6.0
2026	ORtg: 99.6 DRtg: 121.5 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 121.5 DRtg: 99.6 Pace: 82.3
05/12/26	Fire	98	vs.	Liberty	96	+12.0	174.5	-2	O 194 +19.5
2026	ORtg: 126.2 DRtg: 123.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 123.7 DRtg: 126.2 Pace: 77.6
05/09/26	Fire	83	vs.	Sky	98	+5.5	163.0	+15	O 181 +18.0
2026	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 79.7

All Games Avg (4 games)		86.5	-	-	94.0	+6.3	171.8	+7.5 -1.3	O 180.5 +8.8
	ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 79.4			ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 79.4

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/28/26 2026	Fever	-	@	Valkyries	-	+1.5	167.0	-	-
05/22/26 2026	Fever	-	vs.	Valkyries	-	-5.0	167.5	-	-
05/20/26 2026	Fever	-	vs.	Fire	-	-10.0	175.5	-	-
05/17/26	Fever	89	vs.	Storm	78	-11.5	177.0	-11	U 167 -10.0
2026	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 92.5 Pace: 84.3			ORtg: 92.5 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 84.3
05/15/26	Fever	102	vs.	Mystics	104 OT	-9.0	171.0	+2	O 206 +35.0
2026	ORtg: 109.7 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 84.2			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 109.7 Pace: 84.2
05/13/26	Fever	87	@	Sparks	78	-1.5	185.5	-9	U 165 -20.5
2026	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 79.3
05/09/26	Fever	104	vs.	Wings	107	-5.5	179.0	+3	O 211 +32.0
2026	ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 88.7			ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 88.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/30/25	Fever	98	@	Aces	107 OT	+8.0	158.5	+9	O 205 +46.5
2025	ORtg: 114.4 DRtg: 124.9 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 124.9 DRtg: 114.4 Pace: 77.6
09/28/25	Fever	90	vs.	Aces	83	+3.0	161.0	-7	O 173 +12.0
2025	ORtg: 108.8 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 82.8			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 108.8 Pace: 82.8
09/26/25	Fever	72	vs.	Aces	84	+4.5	162.5	+12	U 156 -6.5
2025	ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 77.5			ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 77.5
09/23/25	Fever	68	@	Aces	90	+9.0	164.0	+22	U 158 -6.0
2025	ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 120.0 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 120.0 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.0
09/21/25	Fever	89	@	Aces	73	+9.0	165.5	-16	U 162 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 78.5			ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 78.5
09/18/25	Fever	87	@	Dream	85	+7.5	153.5	-2	O 172 +18.5
2025	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 81.2

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		98.3	-	-	96.3	-8.7	175.7	-2.0 -6.7	O 194.7 +19.0
	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 85.7			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 85.7

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		95.5	-	-	91.8	-6.9	178.1	-3.8 -3.1	O 187.3 +9.1
	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 84.1

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Fever are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Fever are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Fire are 20% (1-4) against the spread

The Fire are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 75% (3-1) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fire are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 40% (2-3) against the spread

The Fever are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Fever are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 60% (3-2) to the under

The Fever are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Fever are 60% (3-2) to the under as a fav

The Fever are 50% (2-2) to the over as a home fav

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under

The Fever are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Fever are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Fire (Away)

The Fire are 20% (1-4) against the spread

The Fire are 0% (0-1) against the spread away

The Fire are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Fire are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Fire are 100% (1-0) to the under away

The Fire are 75% (3-1) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away dog

The Fire are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fire are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fire are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fire are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Fire are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Fire are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 2 seasons.

Algorithm	Model Side
Schedule Analysis Schedule strength and fatigue factors.	Neutral
Differentials Normalized z-scored differentials.	Neutral
Basic Stat Comp Basic 3-stat regression.	Fire (2x)
Net Ratings + Market Analysis Simple but Effective - 57.3% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Cover Summary	Fire
Opponent Defense Opponent and defensive metrics.	Under
Norms and Averages Best Totals Model - 60.1% High-Confidence Win Rate	Neutral
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	Fire \| Under

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 73 – 90 Portland Fire @ Indiana Fever window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Portland Fire", home_team: "Indiana Fever", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report as of May 20, 11:47 PM ET PDX3 Out IND1 Out

Notes

Fire

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Fever

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Fire Schedule Follow global filters

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

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Fever (Home)

Fire (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 73 – 90
Portland Fire @ Indiana Fever