WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 72
Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings

Dream: 1-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +1.56

Wings: 1-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: -2.65 | Home Court: 0.0 pts

Line: +1.5

Total: 180.0

Team totals: Dream 90.5 · Wings 89.5

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Games
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Injury Report ATLNo report DALNo report

Notes

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Wings

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Home Elite Team

Letdown Fade

Traveling Dog

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Dream and game 2 for the Wings. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Dream after Fri, May 22, the Wings after Mon, May 18.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/22/26 2026	Dream	-	vs.	Wings	-	-5.5	173.5	-	-
05/17/26 2026	Dream	-	vs.	Aces	-	+3.5	171.5	-	-
05/12/26 2026	Dream	-	@	Wings	-	-1.5	180.0	-	-
05/09/26	Dream	91	@	Lynx	90	-5.5	159.5	-1	O 181 +21.5
2026	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 84.0			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 84.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/18/25	Dream	85	vs.	Fever	87	-7.5	153.5	+2	O 172 +18.5
2025	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 81.2			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 81.2
09/16/25	Dream	60	@	Fever	77	-4.0	158.5	+17	U 137 -21.5
2025	ORtg: 78.0 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 78.0 Pace: 77.0
09/14/25	Dream	80	vs.	Fever	68	-7.5	160.0	-12	U 148 -12.0
2025	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 90.5 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 90.5 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 75.1
09/10/25	Dream	88	@	Sun	72	-12.5	156.5	-16	O 160 +3.5
2025	ORtg: 119.2 DRtg: 97.5 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 97.5 DRtg: 119.2 Pace: 73.8
09/08/25	Dream	87	vs.	Sun	62	-14.5	159.5	-25	U 149 -10.5
2025	ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 78.3 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 78.3 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 79.2
09/05/25	Dream	104	vs.	Sparks	85	-5.5	169.5	-19	O 189 +19.5
2025	ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 114.8 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 114.8 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 74.0
09/03/25	Dream	86	vs.	Sparks	75	-4.5	169.5	-11	U 161 -8.5
2025	ORtg: 110.9 DRtg: 96.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 96.7 DRtg: 110.9 Pace: 77.6
09/01/25	Dream	93	@	Sun	76	-10.5	159.0	-17	O 169 +10.0
2025	ORtg: 132.3 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 70.3			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 132.3 Pace: 70.3
08/29/25	Dream	100	vs.	Wings	78	-15.5	165.5	-22	O 178 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 129.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 129.3 Pace: 77.4

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		91.0	-	-	90.0	-5.5	159.5	-1.0 -4.5	O 181.0 +21.5
	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 84.0			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 84.0

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		91.0	-	-	90.0	-5.5	159.5	-1.0 -4.5	O 181.0 +21.5
	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 84.0			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 84.0

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/18/26 2026	Wings	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-3.5	171.0	-	-
05/14/26 2026	Wings	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-4.0	178.5	-	-
05/12/26 2026	Wings	-	vs.	Dream	-	+1.5	180.0	-	-
05/09/26	Wings	107	@	Fever	104	+5.5	179.0	-3	O 211 +32.0
2026	ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 88.7			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 88.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/11/25	Wings	97	vs.	Mercury	76	+5.5	167.5	-21	O 173 +5.5
2025	ORtg: 125.6 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 125.6 Pace: 77.2
09/07/25	Wings	77	@	Sparks	91	+9.5	181.5	+14	U 168 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 90.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 90.8 Pace: 84.8
09/04/25	Wings	80	@	Valkyries	84	+11.5	159.5	+4	O 164 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 77.9
09/01/25	Wings	71	@	Lynx	96	+18.5	169.5	+25	U 167 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 126.9 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 126.9 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 75.7
08/29/25	Wings	78	@	Dream	100	+15.5	165.5	+22	O 178 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 129.3 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 129.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
08/27/25	Wings	95	vs.	Sun	101	+1.0	166.5	+6	O 196 +29.5
2025	ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 115.1 Pace: 87.7			ORtg: 115.1 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 87.7
08/24/25	Wings	81	vs.	Valkyries	90	+1.0	157.5	+9	O 171 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 128.7 Pace: 69.9			ORtg: 128.7 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 69.9
08/22/25	Wings	60	vs.	Storm	95	+8.0	169.5	+35	U 155 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 75.6 DRtg: 119.8 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 119.8 DRtg: 75.6 Pace: 79.3
08/20/25	Wings	80	@	Sparks	81	+8.5	182.5	+1	U 161 -21.5
2025	ORtg: 101.4 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 78.9			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 101.4 Pace: 78.9

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		107.0	-	-	104.0	+5.5	179.0	-3.0 +8.5	O 211.0 +32.0
	ORtg: 120.6 DRtg: 117.2 Pace: 88.7			ORtg: 117.2 DRtg: 120.6 Pace: 88.7

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Wings (Home)

The Wings are 44.4% (20-25-1) against the spread

The Wings are 40.9% (9-13-1) against the spread at home

The Wings are 47.4% (18-20-1) against the spread as a dog

The Wings are 42.1% (8-11-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Wings are 54.3% (25-21) to the over

The Wings are 56.5% (13-10) to the over at home

The Wings are 51.3% (20-19) to the over as a dog

The Wings are 55% (11-9) to the over as a home dog

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Wings are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home dog

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 64.6% (31-17-1) against the spread

The Dream are 64% (16-9) against the spread away

The Dream are 60.6% (20-13) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as an away fav

The Dream are 54.2% (26-22-1) to the under

The Dream are 50% (12-12-1) to the over away

The Dream are 56.3% (18-14-1) to the under as a fav

The Dream are 58.3% (7-5-1) to the under as an away fav

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Dream are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/29/25	Wings	78	@	Dream	100	+15.5	165.5	+22	O 178 +12.5
2025	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 129.3 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 129.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
07/30/25	Wings	85	vs.	Dream	88	+3.5	167.0	+3	O 173 +6.0
2025	ORtg: 116.6 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 72.9			ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 116.6 Pace: 72.9
06/24/25	Wings	68	vs.	Dream	55	+8.5	169.5	-13	U 123 -46.5
2025	ORtg: 100.2 DRtg: 81.1 Pace: 67.8			ORtg: 81.1 DRtg: 100.2 Pace: 67.8
05/24/25	Wings	75	@	Dream	83	+7.0	169.5	+8	U 158 -11.5
2025	ORtg: 94.7 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 94.7 Pace: 79.2

Wings as Home (2 games)		76.5	-	-	71.5	+6.0	168.3	-5.0 +11.0	U 148.0 -20.3
	ORtg: 108.4 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 70.4			ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 108.4 Pace: 70.4

All Games Avg (4 games)		76.5	-	-	81.5	+8.6	167.9	+5.0 +3.6	U 158.0 -9.9
	ORtg: 103.1 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 103.1 Pace: 74.3

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 72 Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "Atlanta Dream", home_team: "Dallas Wings", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report ATLNo report DALNo report

Notes

Dream

Situational Factor(s)

Wings

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Filters

Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

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Records

Notable Trends

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Wings (Home)

Dream (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 77 – 72
Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings