WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 96 – 98
New York Liberty @ Portland Fire

Liberty: 2-0 (100.0%) | Market Rating: +2.38

Fire: 0-1 (0.0%)

Line: +12.0

Total: 174.5

Team totals: Liberty 93.5 · Fire 80.5

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Games
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Injury Report NYLNo report PDXNo report

Notes

Liberty

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off an overtime game

Rest disadvantage

Fire

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Overtime Overs

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Liberty and game 2 for the Fire. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Liberty after Thu, May 14, the Fire after Mon, May 18.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/21/26 2026	Liberty	-	vs.	Valkyries	-	-5.5	169.0	-	-
05/14/26 2026	Liberty	-	@	Fire	-	-11.5	176.0	-	-
05/12/26 2026	Liberty	-	@	Fire	-	-12.0	174.5	-	-
05/10/26	Liberty	98	@	Mystics	93 OT	-5.0	165.5	-5	O 191 +25.5
2026	ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 76.6
05/08/26	Liberty	106	vs.	Sun	75	-9.5	159.5	-31	O 181 +21.5
2026	ORtg: 120.5 DRtg: 85.3 Pace: 88.0			ORtg: 85.3 DRtg: 120.5 Pace: 88.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/19/25	Liberty	73	@	Mercury	79	+2.5	155.5	+6	U 152 -3.5
2025	ORtg: 86.9 DRtg: 94.0 Pace: 84.0			ORtg: 94.0 DRtg: 86.9 Pace: 84.0
09/17/25	Liberty	60	vs.	Mercury	86	-4.5	159.5	+26	U 146 -13.5
2025	ORtg: 78.9 DRtg: 113.0 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 113.0 DRtg: 78.9 Pace: 76.1
09/14/25	Liberty	76	@	Mercury	69 OT	-2.5	164.0	-7	U 145 -19.0
2025	ORtg: 89.4 DRtg: 81.2 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 81.2 DRtg: 89.4 Pace: 77.0
09/11/25	Liberty	91	@	Sky	86	-13.5	157.0	-5	O 177 +20.0
2025	ORtg: 120.9 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 75.3			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 120.9 Pace: 75.3
09/09/25	Liberty	75	vs.	Mystics	66	-14.5	157.5	-9	U 141 -16.5
2025	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 74.1
09/05/25	Liberty	84	@	Storm	76	+2.0	162.5	-8	U 160 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 73.8
09/02/25	Liberty	58	@	Valkyries	66	-6.5	156.0	+8	U 124 -32.0
2025	ORtg: 83.7 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 83.7 Pace: 69.3
08/30/25	Liberty	63	@	Mercury	80	-1.0	167.0	+17	U 143 -24.0
2025	ORtg: 90.7 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 69.4			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 90.7 Pace: 69.4

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		98.0	-	-	93.0	-5.0	165.5	-5.0 0.0	O 191.0 +25.5
	ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 76.6

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		102.0	-	-	84.0	-7.3	162.5	-18.0 +10.8	O 186.0 +23.5
	ORtg: 118.2 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 118.2 Pace: 82.3

Fire Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/18/26 2026	Fire	-	vs.	Sun	-	-4.0	173.5	-	-
05/14/26 2026	Fire	-	vs.	Liberty	-	+11.5	176.0	-	-
05/12/26 2026	Fire	-	vs.	Liberty	-	+12.0	174.5	-	-
05/09/26	Fire	83	vs.	Sky	98	+5.5	163.0	+15	O 181 +18.0
2026	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 79.7

Home Games Avg (1 game)		83.0	-	-	98.0	+5.5	163.0	+15.0 -9.5	O 181.0 +18.0
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 79.7

All Games Avg (1 game)		83.0	-	-	98.0	+5.5	163.0	+15.0 -9.5	O 181.0 +18.0
	ORtg: 104.2 DRtg: 123.0 Pace: 79.7			ORtg: 123.0 DRtg: 104.2 Pace: 79.7

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On / Off Court

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season for the Liberty: their records include last season.

The Liberty are 25% (6-18-2) against the spread away

The Liberty are 26.7% (4-11-2) against the spread as an away fav

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Fire (Home)

The Fire are 50% (1-1) against the spread

The Fire are 50% (1-1) against the spread at home

The Fire are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Fire are 100% (2-0) to the over

The Fire are 100% (2-0) to the over at home

The Fire are 100% (2-0) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home dog

The Fire are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fire are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fire are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fire are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Fire are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Fire are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fire are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fire are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Liberty (Away)

The Liberty are 38.3% (18-29-3) against the spread

The Liberty are 25% (6-18-2) against the spread away

The Liberty are 42.1% (16-22-3) against the spread as a fav

The Liberty are 26.7% (4-11-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Liberty are 56% (28-22) to the under

The Liberty are 53.8% (14-12) to the over away

The Liberty are 58.5% (24-17) to the under as a fav

The Liberty are 52.9% (9-8) to the over as an away fav

The Liberty are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 0% (0-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Liberty are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Liberty are 0% (0-1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Liberty are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 96 – 98 New York Liberty @ Portland Fire window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "wnba", away_team: "New York Liberty", home_team: "Portland Fire", game_date: null };

Odds Full WNBA odds board

Injury Report NYLNo report PDXNo report

Notes

Liberty

Situational Factor(s)

Fire

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Filters

Schedules

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Fire Schedule Follow global filters

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On / Off Court

Next Player Up

Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Fire (Home)

Liberty (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Final: 96 – 98
New York Liberty @ Portland Fire