WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 91 – 80
Golden State Valkyries @ Seattle Storm

Valkyries: 0-0 (0.0%)

Storm: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: +5.5

Total: 156.5

Team totals: Valkyries 81.5 · Storm 75.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 1 for the Valkyries and game 1 for the Storm. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Valkyries after Thu, May 21, the Storm after Sun, May 17.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Valkyries Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/13/26 2026	Valkyries	-	vs.	Sky	-	-5.5	166.5	-	-
05/10/26 2026	Valkyries	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-2.5	158.5	-	-
05/08/26 2026	Valkyries	-	@	Storm	-	-5.5	156.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/25	Valkyries	74	vs.	Lynx	75	+10.5	151.5	+1	U 149 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 102.0 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 72.5			ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 102.0 Pace: 72.5
09/14/25	Valkyries	72	@	Lynx	101	+12.5	149.0	+29	O 173 +24.0
2025	ORtg: 89.8 DRtg: 126.0 Pace: 80.1			ORtg: 126.0 DRtg: 89.8 Pace: 80.1
09/11/25	Valkyries	53	@	Lynx	72	+7.0	152.0	+19	U 125 -27.0
2025	ORtg: 72.9 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 72.9 Pace: 72.7
09/09/25	Valkyries	73	@	Storm	74	+6.5	152.5	+1	U 147 -5.5
2025	ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 69.2			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 69.2
09/06/25	Valkyries	72	vs.	Lynx	78	+6.0	154.0	+6	U 150 -4.0
2025	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 75.1
09/04/25	Valkyries	84	vs.	Wings	80	-11.5	159.5	-4	O 164 +4.5
2025	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9
09/02/25	Valkyries	66	vs.	Liberty	58	+6.5	156.0	-8	U 124 -32.0
2025	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 83.7 Pace: 69.3			ORtg: 83.7 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 69.3
08/31/25	Valkyries	75	vs.	Fever	63	+2.5	159.0	-12	U 138 -21.0
2025	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 87.1 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 87.1 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 72.4
08/30/25	Valkyries	99	vs.	Mystics	62	-4.5	148.0	-37	O 161 +13.0
2025	ORtg: 127.1 DRtg: 79.6 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 79.6 DRtg: 127.1 Pace: 77.9
08/24/25	Valkyries	90	@	Wings	81	-1.0	157.5	-9	O 171 +13.5
2025	ORtg: 128.7 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 69.9			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 128.7 Pace: 69.9

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/13/26 2026	Storm	-	@	Tempo	-	+2.5	167.5	-	-
05/10/26 2026	Storm	-	@	Sun	-	+1.5	164.0	-	-
05/08/26 2026	Storm	-	vs.	Valkyries	-	+5.5	156.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/18/25	Storm	73	@	Aces	74	+8.5	159.5	+1	U 147 -12.5
2025	ORtg: 95.9 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 95.9 Pace: 76.1
09/16/25	Storm	86	vs.	Aces	83	+5.0	162.0	-3	O 169 +7.0
2025	ORtg: 115.7 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 74.3			ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 115.7 Pace: 74.3
09/14/25	Storm	77	@	Aces	102	+6.0	161.5	+25	O 179 +17.5
2025	ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 131.5 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 131.5 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 77.6
09/09/25	Storm	74	vs.	Valkyries	73	-6.5	152.5	-1	U 147 -5.5
2025	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 69.2			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 69.2
09/05/25	Storm	76	vs.	Liberty	84	-2.0	162.5	+8	U 160 -2.5
2025	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 113.8 Pace: 73.8			ORtg: 113.8 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 73.8
09/01/25	Storm	85	vs.	Sparks	91	-8.0	173.0	+6	O 176 +3.0
2025	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 82.7
08/30/25	Storm	79	vs.	Sky	69	-10.5	162.5	-10	U 148 -14.5
2025	ORtg: 104.8 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 104.8 Pace: 75.4
08/28/25	Storm	93	@	Lynx	79	+9.0	164.0	-14	O 172 +8.0
2025	ORtg: 119.9 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 119.9 Pace: 77.6
08/26/25	Storm	75	@	Fever	95	-3.5	168.5	+20	O 170 +1.5
2025	ORtg: 98.7 DRtg: 125.1 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 125.1 DRtg: 98.7 Pace: 76.0
08/24/25	Storm	84	@	Mystics	82	-8.5	157.0	-2	O 166 +9.0
2025	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 80.3			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 80.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Storm are 25% (6-18) against the spread at home

The Storm are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home dog

The Valkyries are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Valkyries are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as an away fav

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 39.6% (19-29) against the spread

The Storm are 25% (6-18) against the spread at home

The Storm are 69.2% (9-4) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Storm are 54.2% (26-22) to the over

The Storm are 50% (12-12) to the over at home

The Storm are 69.2% (9-4) to the over as a dog

The Storm are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home dog

The Storm are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Storm are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Storm are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Valkyries (Away)

The Valkyries are 60.9% (28-18-1) against the spread

The Valkyries are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread away

The Valkyries are 69.2% (9-4) against the spread as a fav

The Valkyries are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Valkyries are 61.7% (29-18) to the under

The Valkyries are 54.2% (13-11) to the under away

The Valkyries are 61.5% (8-5) to the over as a fav

The Valkyries are 83.3% (5-1) to the over as an away fav

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Valkyries are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/09/25	Storm	74	vs.	Valkyries	73	-6.5	152.5	-1	U 147 -5.5
2025	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 69.2			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 69.2
07/16/25	Storm	67	vs.	Valkyries	58	-5.0	155.5	-9	U 125 -30.5
2025	ORtg: 93.9 DRtg: 81.3 Pace: 71.3			ORtg: 81.3 DRtg: 93.9 Pace: 71.3
06/29/25	Storm	57	@	Valkyries	84	-5.5	158.0	+27	U 141 -17.0
2025	ORtg: 73.4 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 73.4 Pace: 77.7
06/14/25	Storm	70	@	Valkyries	76	-10.0	155.0	+6	U 146 -9.0
2025	ORtg: 90.4 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 90.4 Pace: 77.4

Storm as Home (2 games)		70.5	-	-	65.5	-5.8	154.0	-5.0 -0.8	U 136.0 -18.0
	ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 70.3			ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 70.3

All Games Avg (4 games)		67.0	-	-	72.8	-6.8	155.3	+5.8 -12.5	U 139.8 -15.5
	ORtg: 91.2 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 91.2 Pace: 73.9