NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/28, Final: 34 – 10
New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders

Giants: 2-13 (13.3%) - NFC East | Market Rating: -2.25

Raiders: 2-13 (13.3%) - AFC West | Market Rating: -3.75 | Home Field: +2.0 pts

Line: +3.0

Total: 40.5

Open: +3

Open: 43

Team totals: Giants 21.5 · Raiders 19.5

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Injury Report NYGNo report LVNo report

Notes

Giants

Situational Factor(s)

East Coast team traveling West

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Raiders

Situational Factor(s)

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/13/26 2026	Giants	-	vs.	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	47.5	-	-
01/04/26 2025	Giants	-	vs.	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	50.5	-	-
12/28/25 2025	Giants	-	@	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	40.5	-	-
12/21/25 2025	Giants	13	vs.	Vikings	16	161	128	33	1	0	+3.0	43.5	+3	U 29 -14.5
12/14/25 2025	Giants	21	vs.	Commanders	29	392	146	246	0	1	-2.5	47.5	+8	O 50 +2.5
12/01/25 2025	Giants	15	@	Patriots	33	250	111	139	0	1	+7.0	46.5	+18	O 48 +1.5
11/23/25 2025	Giants	27	@	Lions	34 OT	521	122	399	1	1	+12.5	50.5	+7	O 61 +10.5
11/16/25 2025	Giants	20	vs.	Packers	27	343	142	201	0	1	+7.5	42.5	+7	O 47 +4.5
11/09/25 2025	Giants	20	@	Bears	24	456	169	287	0	1	+4.5	44.5	+4	U 44 -0.5
11/02/25 2025	Giants	24	vs.	49ers	34	308	117	191	0	0	+2.5	47.5	+10	O 58 +10.5
10/26/25 2025	Giants	20	@	Eagles	38	261	68	193	0	0	+7.5	43.5	+18	O 58 +14.5
10/19/25 2025	Giants	32	@	Broncos	33	402	119	283	0	0	+8.0	40.5	+1	O 65 +24.5
10/09/25 2025	Giants	34	vs.	Eagles	17	367	172	195	1	0	+7.5	40.5	-17	O 51 +10.5

Away Games Avg (5 games)		22.8	-	-	32.4	378	118	260	0.2	0.6	+7.9	45.1	+9.6 -1.7	O 55.2 +10.1

All Games Avg (10 games)		22.6	-	-	28.5	346	129	217	0.3	0.5	+5.8	44.7	+5.9 -0.2	O 51.1 +6.4

Raiders Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/13/26 2026	Raiders	-	vs.	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	40.5	-	-
01/04/26 2025	Raiders	-	vs.	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	35.5	-	-
12/28/25 2025	Raiders	-	vs.	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	40.5	-	-
12/21/25 2025	Raiders	21	@	Texans	23	346	145	201	0	1	+14.5	38.0	+2	O 44 +6.0
12/14/25 2025	Raiders	0	@	Eagles	31	110	46	64	0	0	+12.5	37.0	+31	U 31 -6.0
12/07/25 2025	Raiders	17	vs.	Broncos	24	253	40	213	0	0	+8.5	40.5	+7	O 41 +0.5
11/30/25 2025	Raiders	14	@	Chargers	31	196	31	165	1	1	+9.5	40.5	+17	O 45 +4.5
11/23/25 2025	Raiders	10	vs.	Browns	24	345	60	285	1	2	-3.5	36.0	+14	U 34 -2.0
11/17/25 2025	Raiders	16	vs.	Cowboys	33	265	27	238	0	0	+3.5	48.5	+17	O 49 +0.5
11/06/25 2025	Raiders	7	@	Broncos	10	217	74	143	2	2	+9.5	42.5	+3	U 17 -25.5
11/02/25 2025	Raiders	29	vs.	Jaguars	30 OT	341	57	284	1	0	+2.5	43.5	+1	O 59 +15.5
10/19/25 2025	Raiders	0	@	Chiefs	31	100	25	75	0	2	+13.5	44.5	+31	U 31 -13.5
10/12/25 2025	Raiders	20	vs.	Titans	10	242	68	174	1	0	-3.5	41.5	-10	U 30 -11.5

Home Games Avg (5 games)		18.4	-	-	24.2	289	50	239	0.6	0.4	+1.5	42.0	+5.8 -4.3	O 42.6 +0.6

All Games Avg (10 games)		13.4	-	-	24.7	242	57	184	0.6	0.8	+6.7	41.3	+11.3 -4.6	U 38.1 -3.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Raiders are 75% (3-1) to the over as a home dog

The Raiders are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Giants are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Raiders (Home)

The Raiders are 40% (6-9) against the spread

The Raiders are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread at home

The Raiders are 41.7% (5-7) against the spread as a dog

The Raiders are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Raiders are 53.3% (8-7) to the under

The Raiders are 57.1% (4-3) to the over at home

The Raiders are 50% (6-6) to the over as a dog

The Raiders are 75% (3-1) to the over as a home dog

The Raiders are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Raiders are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Raiders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Raiders are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Raiders are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Raiders are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Giants (Away)

The Giants are 50% (7-7-1) against the spread

The Giants are 50% (4-4) against the spread away

The Giants are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a fav

The Giants are 60% (9-6) to the over

The Giants are 62.5% (5-3) to the over away

The Giants are 100% (1-0) to the over as a fav

The Giants are 33.3% (1-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Giants are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Giants are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Giants are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Giants are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Giants are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/05/23 2023	Raiders	30	vs.	Giants	6	334	125	209	2	0	-1.5	37.5	-24	U 36 -1.5

Raiders as Home (1 games)		30.0	-	-	6.0	334	125	209	2.0	0.0	-1.5	37.5	-24.0 +22.5	U 36.0 -1.5

All Games Avg (1 games)		30.0	-	-	6.0	334	125	209	2.0	0.0	-1.5	37.5	-24.0 +22.5	U 36.0 -1.5

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/28, Final: 34 – 10 New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "New York Giants", home_team: "Las Vegas Raiders", game_date: "2025-12-28" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report NYGNo report LVNo report

Notes

Giants

Situational Factor(s)

Raiders

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Giants Schedule Follow global filters

Raiders Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Raiders (Home)

Giants (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 12/28, Final: 34 – 10
New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders