NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/14, Final: 16 – 18
Indianapolis Colts @ Seattle Seahawks

Colts: 8-5 (61.5%) - AFC South | Market Rating: +1.75

Seahawks: 10-3 (76.9%) - NFC West | Market Rating: +2.71 | Home Field: +2.0 pts

Line: -13.5

Total: 42.5

Open: -3.5

Open: 46.5

Team totals: Colts 14.5 · Seahawks 27.5

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Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Colts

Situational Factor(s)

East Coast team traveling West

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Unders system: based on team with consecutive road games and a higher than average total

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Baller System(s)

Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring

Unders system: back an under when a favorite is a bigger favorite than their previous game and their total is lower

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Colts Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/28/25 2025	Colts	-	vs.	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	48.5	-	-
12/22/25 2025	Colts	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	46.5	-	-
12/14/25 2025	Colts	-	@	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+13.5	42.5	-	-
12/07/25 2025	Colts	19	@	Jaguars	36	294	89	205	0	1	-2.5	44.5	+17	O 55 +10.5
11/30/25 2025	Colts	16	vs.	Texans	20	287	86	201	1	2	-3.0	44.5	+4	U 36 -8.5
11/23/25 2025	Colts	20	@	Chiefs	23 OT	255	74	181	1	0	+3.5	50.0	+3	U 43 -7.0
11/09/25 2025	Colts	31	vs.	Falcons	25 OT	578	323	255	0	4	-6.5	48.5	-6	O 56 +7.5
11/02/25 2025	Colts	20	@	Steelers	27	397	55	342	0	4	-3.0	51.5	+7	U 47 -4.5
10/26/25 2025	Colts	38	vs.	Titans	14	436	164	272	1	0	-14.5	48.0	-24	O 52 +4.0
10/19/25 2025	Colts	38	@	Chargers	24	408	120	288	2	1	+2.5	49.0	-14	O 62 +13.0
10/12/25 2025	Colts	31	vs.	Cardinals	27	362	150	212	1	0	-8.5	46.5	-4	O 58 +11.5
10/05/25 2025	Colts	40	vs.	Raiders	6	317	96	221	2	1	-7.5	46.5	-34	U 46 -0.5
09/28/25 2025	Colts	20	@	Rams	27	347	85	262	0	2	+3.5	49.5	+7	U 47 -2.5

Away Games Avg (5 games)		23.4	-	-	27.4	340	85	256	0.6	1.6	+0.8	48.9	+4.0 -3.2	O 50.8 +1.9

All Games Avg (10 games)		27.3	-	-	22.9	368	124	244	0.8	1.5	-3.6	47.9	-4.4 +0.8	O 50.2 +2.4

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/28/25 2025	Seahawks	-	@	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.5	42.5	-	-
12/18/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	42.5	-	-
12/14/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-13.5	42.5	-	-
12/07/25 2025	Seahawks	37	@	Falcons	9	378	129	249	2	2	-7.0	44.5	-28	O 46 +1.5
11/30/25 2025	Seahawks	26	vs.	Vikings	0	253	125	128	4	3	-12.5	42.5	-26	U 26 -16.5
11/23/25 2025	Seahawks	30	@	Titans	24	358	114	244	0	0	-13.0	40.5	-6	O 54 +13.5
11/16/25 2025	Seahawks	19	@	Rams	21	414	135	279	0	1	+3.0	49.5	+2	U 40 -9.5
11/09/25 2025	Seahawks	44	vs.	Cardinals	22	376	198	178	0	4	-7.5	44.5	-22	O 66 +21.5
11/02/25 2025	Seahawks	38	@	Commanders	14	418	88	330	1	1	-2.5	47.5	-24	O 52 +4.5
10/20/25 2025	Seahawks	27	vs.	Texans	19	331	118	213	1	2	-3.0	41.5	-8	O 46 +4.5
10/12/25 2025	Seahawks	20	@	Jaguars	12	355	60	295	0	0	-1.5	47.5	-8	U 32 -15.5
10/05/25 2025	Seahawks	35	vs.	Buccaneers	38	463	122	341	0	1	-3.5	44.5	+3	O 73 +28.5
09/25/25 2025	Seahawks	23	@	Cardinals	20	397	155	242	2	2	-1.5	43.5	-3	U 43 -0.5

Home Games Avg (4 games)		33.0	-	-	19.8	356	141	215	1.3	2.5	-6.6	43.3	-13.3 +6.6	O 52.8 +9.5

All Games Avg (10 games)		29.9	-	-	17.9	374	124	250	1.0	1.6	-4.9	44.6	-12.0 +7.1	O 47.8 +3.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Seahawks are 76.9% (10-3) against the spread

The Seahawks are 80% (8-2) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 70% (7-3) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Colts are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

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Seahawks (Home)

The Seahawks are 76.9% (10-3) against the spread

The Seahawks are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 80% (8-2) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 61.5% (8-5) to the over

The Seahawks are 66.7% (4-2) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 70% (7-3) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Colts (Away)

The Colts are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread

The Colts are 50% (3-3) against the spread away

The Colts are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Colts are 53.8% (7-6) to the over

The Colts are 50% (3-3) to the over away

The Colts are 50% (2-2) to the over as a dog

The Colts are 66.7% (2-1) to the under as an away dog

The Colts are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Colts are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Colts are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Colts are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Colts are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Colts are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Colts are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 12/14, Final: 16 – 18 Indianapolis Colts @ Seattle Seahawks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Indianapolis Colts", home_team: "Seattle Seahawks", game_date: "2025-12-14" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report INDNo report SEANo report

Notes

Colts

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Colts Schedule Follow global filters

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Seahawks (Home)

Colts (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 12/14, Final: 16 – 18
Indianapolis Colts @ Seattle Seahawks