NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/26, Final: 39 – 38
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals

Jets: 0-7 (0.0%) - AFC East | Market Rating: -1.36

Bengals: 3-4 (42.9%) - AFC North | Market Rating: -1.81 | Home Field: +0.4 pts

Line: -5.5

Total: 43.5

Open: -3.5

Open: 43

Team totals: Jets 19.5 · Bengals 24.5

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Injury Report NYJNo report CINNo report

Notes

Jets

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead to bye week

Rest Disadvantage

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Rest Advantage

Baller System(s)

Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/13/25 2025	Jets	-	@	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	+12.5	43.5	-	-
11/09/25 2025	Jets	-	vs.	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.0	37.5	-	-
10/26/25 2025	Jets	-	@	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.5	43.5	-	-
10/19/25 2025	Jets	6	vs.	Panthers	13	253	81	172	0	0	-1.5	39.5	+7	U 19 -20.5
10/12/25 2025	Jets	11	vs.	Broncos	13	137	92	45	0	1	+7.0	43.5	+2	U 24 -19.5
10/05/25 2025	Jets	22	vs.	Cowboys	37	427	144	283	0	1	-1.5	47.5	+15	O 59 +11.5
09/29/25 2025	Jets	21	@	Dolphins	27	423	197	226	0	3	+2.5	43.5	+6	O 48 +4.5
09/21/25 2025	Jets	27	@	Buccaneers	29	296	99	197	0	1	+6.5	43.5	+2	O 56 +12.5
09/14/25 2025	Jets	10	vs.	Bills	30	183	100	83	0	3	+6.0	47.5	+20	U 40 -7.5
09/07/25 2025	Jets	32	vs.	Steelers	34	400	182	218	0	1	+3.0	38.0	+2	O 66 +28.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Jets	32	vs.	Dolphins	20	392	118	274	2	1	-2.5	39.5	-12	O 52 +12.5
12/29/24 2024	Jets	14	@	Bills	40	307	112	195	0	2	+10.0	44.0	+26	O 54 +10.0
12/22/24 2024	Jets	9	vs.	Rams	19	331	75	256	1	2	+3.0	47.0	+10	U 28 -19.0

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		24.0	-	-	28.0	360	148	212	0.0	2.0	+4.5	43.5	+4.0 +0.5	O 52.0 +8.5

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		18.4	-	-	26.1	303	128	175	0.0	1.4	+3.1	43.3	+7.7 -4.6	O 44.6 +1.3

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/16/25 2025	Bengals	-	@	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.5	47.5	-	-
11/02/25 2025	Bengals	-	vs.	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	51.5	-	-
10/26/25 2025	Bengals	-	vs.	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5.5	43.5	-	-
10/16/25 2025	Bengals	33	vs.	Steelers	31	484	142	342	2	0	+5.5	45.0	-2	O 64 +19.0
10/12/25 2025	Bengals	18	@	Packers	27	274	55	219	1	0	+14.0	44.5	+9	O 45 +0.5
10/05/25 2025	Bengals	24	vs.	Lions	37	336	85	251	0	2	+10.0	49.5	+13	O 61 +11.5
09/29/25 2025	Bengals	3	@	Broncos	28	178	53	125	1	0	+7.5	44.5	+25	U 31 -13.5
09/21/25 2025	Bengals	10	@	Vikings	48	193	53	140	0	5	+3.0	42.5	+38	O 58 +15.5
09/14/25 2025	Bengals	31	vs.	Jaguars	27	365	48	317	2	0	-3.5	49.5	-4	O 58 +8.5
09/07/25 2025	Bengals	17	@	Browns	16	159	46	113	2	0	-4.5	47.5	-1	U 33 -14.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/04/25 2024	Bengals	19	@	Steelers	17	345	68	277	0	3	-2.5	48.5	-2	U 36 -12.5
12/28/24 2024	Bengals	30	vs.	Broncos	24 OT	527	115	412	1	1	-3.5	50.5	-6	O 54 +3.5
12/22/24 2024	Bengals	24	vs.	Browns	6	368	116	252	2	1	-10.0	46.5	-18	U 30 -16.5

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		29.3	-	-	31.7	395	92	303	1.3	0.7	+4.0	48.0	+2.3 +1.7	O 61.0 +13.0

All Games Avg (7 games this season)		19.4	-	-	30.6	284	69	215	1.1	1.0	+4.6	46.1	+11.1 -6.6	O 50.0 +3.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Bengals are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Bengals (Home)

The Bengals are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread

The Bengals are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Bengals are 71.4% (5-2) to the over

The Bengals are 100% (3-0) to the over at home

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) to the over as a fav

The Bengals are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home fav

The Bengals are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bengals are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Bengals are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

Jets (Away)

The Jets are 42.9% (3-4) against the spread

The Jets are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Jets are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Jets are 57.1% (4-3) to the over

The Jets are 100% (2-0) to the over away

The Jets are 60% (3-2) to the over as a dog

The Jets are 100% (2-0) to the over as an away dog

The Jets are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Jets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Jets are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Jets are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Jets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Jets are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/25/22 2022	Bengals	27	@	Jets	12	361	76	285	0	3	-6.0	45.5	-15	U 39 -6.5

All Games Avg (1 games)		27.0	-	-	12.0	361	76	285	0.0	3.0	-6.0	45.5	-15.0 +9.0	U 39.0 -6.5

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/26, Final: 39 – 38 New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "New York Jets", home_team: "Cincinnati Bengals", game_date: "2025-10-26" };

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Injury Report NYJNo report CINNo report

Notes

Jets

Situational Factor(s)

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Jets Schedule Follow global filters

Bengals Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

View All Records

Bengals (Home)

Jets (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 10/26, Final: 39 – 38
New York Jets @ Cincinnati Bengals