NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 10/20, Final: 19 – 27
Houston Texans @ Seattle Seahawks

Texans: 2-3 (40.0%) - AFC South | Market Rating: +0.77

Seahawks: 4-2 (66.7%) - NFC West | Market Rating: +0.49 | Home Field: +1.5 pts

Line: -3.0

Total: 41.5

Open: -3

Open: 42.5

Team totals: Texans 19.5 · Seahawks 22.5

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Injury Report HOUNo report SEANo report

Notes

Texans

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Off a bye week

Rest Advantage

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead to bye week

Rest Disadvantage

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Model Total

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Texans Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/25 2025	Texans	-	vs.	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	40.5	-	-
10/26/25 2025	Texans	-	vs.	49ers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.5	-	-
10/20/25 2025	Texans	-	@	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	41.5	-	-
10/05/25 2025	Texans	44	@	Ravens	10	434	167	267	3	0	-2.5	41.5	-34	O 54 +12.5
09/28/25 2025	Texans	26	vs.	Titans	0	362	129	233	1	0	-7.5	39.5	-26	U 26 -13.5
09/21/25 2025	Texans	10	@	Jaguars	17	291	87	204	1	1	+1.5	42.5	+7	U 27 -15.5
09/15/25 2025	Texans	19	vs.	Buccaneers	20	291	84	207	0	0	-2.5	42.5	+1	U 39 -3.5
09/07/25 2025	Texans	9	@	Rams	14	302	114	188	0	1	+3.0	43.0	+5	U 23 -20.0
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/18/25 2024	Texans	14	@	Chiefs	23	394	149	245	0	1	+9.5	41.5	+9	U 37 -4.5
01/11/25 2024	Texans	32	vs.	Chargers	12	450	168	282	4	3	+3.0	42.5	-20	O 44 +1.5
01/05/25 2024	Texans	23	@	Titans	14	385	207	178	0	2	+2.5	36.5	-9	O 37 +0.5
12/25/24 2024	Texans	2	vs.	Ravens	31	248	58	190	0	1	+6.5	47.5	+29	U 33 -14.5
12/21/24 2024	Texans	19	@	Chiefs	27	328	84	244	0	1	+3.5	43.0	+8	O 46 +3.0

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		21.0	-	-	13.7	342	123	220	1.3	0.7	+0.7	42.3	-7.3 +8.0	U 34.7 -7.7

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		21.6	-	-	12.2	336	116	220	1.0	0.4	-1.6	41.8	-9.4 +7.8	U 33.8 -8.0

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/09/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	44.5	-	-
11/02/25 2025	Seahawks	-	@	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	47.5	-	-
10/20/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.5	-	-
10/12/25 2025	Seahawks	20	@	Jaguars	12	355	60	295	0	0	-1.5	47.5	-8	U 32 -15.5
10/05/25 2025	Seahawks	35	vs.	Buccaneers	38	463	122	341	0	1	-3.5	44.5	+3	O 73 +28.5
09/25/25 2025	Seahawks	23	@	Cardinals	20	397	155	242	2	2	-1.5	43.5	-3	U 43 -0.5
09/21/25 2025	Seahawks	44	vs.	Saints	13	320	87	233	1	1	-7.5	41.5	-31	O 57 +15.5
09/14/25 2025	Seahawks	31	@	Steelers	17	412	117	295	2	0	+3.5	40.5	-14	O 48 +7.5
09/07/25 2025	Seahawks	13	vs.	49ers	17	234	84	150	2	3	+2.5	43.5	+4	U 30 -13.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Rams	25	317	126	191	1	0	-7.5	38.5	-5	O 55 +16.5
12/26/24 2024	Seahawks	6	@	Bears	3	282	122	160	1	3	-4.5	43.0	-3	U 9 -34.0
12/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Vikings	27	373	59	314	0	0	+2.5	43.0	+3	O 51 +8.0
12/15/24 2024	Seahawks	13	vs.	Packers	30	253	80	173	0	0	+3.0	48.5	+17	U 43 -5.5

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		30.7	-	-	22.7	339	98	241	1.0	1.7	-2.8	43.2	-8.0 +5.2	O 53.3 +10.2

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		27.7	-	-	19.5	364	104	259	1.2	1.2	-1.3	43.5	-8.2 +6.8	O 47.2 +3.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Texans are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Texans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

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Seahawks (Home)

The Seahawks are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 50% (3-3) to the over

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) to the over as a home fav

The Seahawks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Seahawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Seahawks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Texans (Away)

The Texans are 40% (2-3) against the spread

The Texans are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread away

The Texans are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Texans are 80% (4-1) to the under

The Texans are 66.7% (2-1) to the under away

The Texans are 100% (2-0) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (2-0) to the under as an away dog

The Texans are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Texans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the under

The Texans are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Mon, 10/20, Final: 19 – 27 Houston Texans @ Seattle Seahawks window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Houston Texans", home_team: "Seattle Seahawks", game_date: "2025-10-20" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report HOUNo report SEANo report

Notes

Texans

Situational Factor(s)

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Texans Schedule Follow global filters

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Seahawks (Home)

Texans (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Mon, 10/20, Final: 19 – 27
Houston Texans @ Seattle Seahawks