NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/12, Final: 20 – 12
Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Seahawks: 3-2 (60.0%) - NFC West | Market Rating: +0.40

Jaguars: 4-1 (80.0%) - AFC South | Market Rating: -0.51 | Home Field: +1.6 pts

Line: +1.5

Total: 47.5

Open: -1

Open: 44.5

Team totals: Seahawks 23.5 · Jaguars 23.5

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Games
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Injury Report SEANo report JAXNo report

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

West Coast team traveling East

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Rest Advantage

Baller System(s)

Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers

Fade an underdog who won their last game w/ more than 2 Rushing TD

Jaguars

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Rest Disadvantage

Short rest: 4 or 5 days

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model Side

No clear side

Model Total

No clear side

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/25 2025	Seahawks	-	@	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	47.5	-	-
10/20/25 2025	Seahawks	-	vs.	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	41.5	-	-
10/12/25 2025	Seahawks	-	@	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	47.5	-	-
10/05/25 2025	Seahawks	35	vs.	Buccaneers	38	463	122	341	0	1	-3.5	44.5	+3	O 73 +28.5
09/25/25 2025	Seahawks	23	@	Cardinals	20	397	155	242	2	2	-1.5	43.5	-3	U 43 -0.5
09/21/25 2025	Seahawks	44	vs.	Saints	13	320	87	233	1	1	-7.5	41.5	-31	O 57 +15.5
09/14/25 2025	Seahawks	31	@	Steelers	17	412	117	295	2	0	+3.5	40.5	-14	O 48 +7.5
09/07/25 2025	Seahawks	13	vs.	49ers	17	234	84	150	2	3	+2.5	43.5	+4	U 30 -13.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Rams	25	317	126	191	1	0	-7.5	38.5	-5	O 55 +16.5
12/26/24 2024	Seahawks	6	@	Bears	3	282	122	160	1	3	-4.5	43.0	-3	U 9 -34.0
12/22/24 2024	Seahawks	24	vs.	Vikings	27	373	59	314	0	0	+2.5	43.0	+3	O 51 +8.0
12/15/24 2024	Seahawks	13	vs.	Packers	30	253	80	173	0	0	+3.0	48.5	+17	U 43 -5.5
12/08/24 2024	Seahawks	30	@	Cardinals	18	409	176	233	2	1	+3.0	45.5	-12	O 48 +2.5

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		27.0	-	-	18.5	405	136	269	2.0	1.0	+1.0	42.0	-8.5 +9.5	O 45.5 +3.5

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		29.2	-	-	21.0	365	113	252	1.4	1.4	-1.3	42.7	-8.2 +6.9	O 50.2 +7.5

Jaguars Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/25 2025	Jaguars	-	@	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	43.5	-	-
10/19/25 2025	Jaguars	-	vs.	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	44.5	-	-
10/12/25 2025	Jaguars	-	vs.	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	47.5	-	-
10/06/25 2025	Jaguars	31	vs.	Chiefs	28	330	109	221	1	1	+3.5	45.5	-3	O 59 +13.5
09/28/25 2025	Jaguars	26	@	49ers	21	325	151	174	2	1	+3.5	45.5	-5	O 47 +1.5
09/21/25 2025	Jaguars	17	vs.	Texans	10	308	86	222	2	0	-1.5	42.5	-7	U 27 -15.5
09/14/25 2025	Jaguars	27	@	Bengals	31	410	139	271	3	1	+3.5	49.5	+4	O 58 +8.5
09/07/25 2025	Jaguars	26	vs.	Panthers	10	378	200	178	2	0	-4.5	45.5	-16	U 36 -9.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
01/05/25 2024	Jaguars	23	@	Colts	26 OT	338	113	225	0	1	+3.5	46.5	+3	O 49 +2.5
12/29/24 2024	Jaguars	20	vs.	Titans	13	296	122	174	1	0	+1.0	38.5	-7	U 33 -5.5
12/22/24 2024	Jaguars	14	@	Raiders	19	319	72	247	0	3	+2.0	42.0	+5	U 33 -9.0
12/15/24 2024	Jaguars	25	vs.	Jets	32	430	136	294	0	1	+3.5	41.5	+7	O 57 +15.5
12/08/24 2024	Jaguars	10	@	Titans	6	291	71	220	0	0	+3.0	40.0	-4	U 16 -24.0

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		24.7	-	-	16.0	339	132	207	1.7	0.3	-0.8	44.5	-8.7 +7.8	U 40.7 -3.8

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		25.4	-	-	20.0	350	137	213	2.0	0.6	+0.9	45.7	-5.4 +6.3	U 45.4 -0.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Jaguars are 80% (4-1) against the spread

The Jaguars are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

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Jaguars (Home)

The Jaguars are 80% (4-1) against the spread

The Jaguars are 100% (3-0) against the spread at home

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Jaguars are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) to the under at home

The Jaguars are 100% (3-0) to the over as a dog

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) to the over as a home dog

The Jaguars are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jaguars are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Jaguars are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Jaguars are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Jaguars are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Jaguars are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Seahawks (Away)

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) to the under as an away fav

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Seahawks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Seahawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Seahawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Algorithm	Model Side
DVOA ZScores Normalized DVOA comparision.	Neutral
Basic Stats 8-feature regression.	Neutral
Luck Regression Looking at things like int, fumbles, etc.	Neutral
ATS Analysis 2-feature logistic regression.	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

NFL Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Sun, 10/12, Final: 20 – 12 Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars window.TMB_PAGE_CONTEXT = { page: 'matchup', sport: "nfl", away_team: "Seattle Seahawks", home_team: "Jacksonville Jaguars", game_date: "2025-10-12" };

Odds Full NFL odds board

Injury Report SEANo report JAXNo report

Notes

Seahawks

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Jaguars

Situational Factor(s)

Model Side

Model Total

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Algorithm Breakdown

Filters

Schedules

Seahawks Schedule Follow global filters

Jaguars Schedule Follow global filters

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Records

Notable Trends

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Jaguars (Home)

Seahawks (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Sun, 10/12, Final: 20 – 12
Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars